Open Water
The hunting grounds — active Polymarket events where the whales feed. Sounded for depth (liquidity), current (volume), and drift (24-hour move on the favored outcome).
Open Markets
100
sounded this scan
Total Depth
$102.8M
aggregate liquidity
24h Current
$9.1M
volume traded
Strongest Drift
+3.0%
25 bps increase · Fed Decision in October?
Sounding Chart
Page scroll · hover chart to lock| Market | Favored | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Military Strikes | No85.5% | $72.1M | $452.2K | $1.2M | +1.0% |
Parent For Derivative | No98.7% | $66.3M | $21.5K | $399.9K | — |
President | LeBron James0.1% | $54.9M | $5.7 | $2.5M | — |
United States | Oprah Winfrey0.1% | $54.4M | $0 | $2.9M | — |
President | Tim Walz0.1% | $44.8M | $0 | $2.3M | — |
United States | Byron Donalds0.1% | $44.4M | $65.6 | $2.1M | — |
United States | Hillary Clinton0.1% | $44.2M | $20.3 | $2.8M | — |
United States | LeBron James0.1% | $44.2M | $7K | $2.7M | — |
Politics | No97.5% | $43.6M | $30.5K | $694.8K | -0.1% |
United States | George Clooney0.1% | $43.5M | $0 | $2.7M | — |
United States | Kim Kardashian0.1% | $42.9M | $0 | $2.7M | — |
United States | Beto O’Rourke0.1% | $42.8M | $89 | $2.8M | — |
United States | MrBeast0.1% | $41M | $0 | $2.8M | — |
Aliens | December 313.1% | $40.5M | $120K | $862.1K | — |
President | Kim Kardashian0.1% | $40.3M | $82 | $2.1M | — |
United States | Liz Cheney0.1% | $38.6M | $30K | $2.8M | — |
United States | John Thune0.1% | $38.2M | $284.1 | $2.1M | — |
United States | Kristi Noem0.1% | $37.7M | $262.3 | $2M | — |
President | Greg Abbott0.1% | $35.4M | $335.8 | $2.3M | — |
United States | Tom Brady0.1% | $33M | $1K | $2.1M | — |
Trump-Machado | Richard Grenell0.1% | $32.8M | $0 | $136.5K | — |
United States | Katie Britt0.3% | $29M | $25.6 | $2M | — |
United States | Kim Kardashian0.1% | $28.6M | $1K | $2.3M | — |
United States | Elise Stefanik0.1% | $28.2M | $6.3 | $2.1M | — |
Reza Pahlavi | No94.5% | $26.8M | $129.4K | $581.2K | +1.0% |
Trump-Machado | Frank Donovan0.1% | $25.9M | $1.1K | $245.2K | — |
Crypto | No95.2% | $23.8M | $318.1K | $451.1K | +0.2% |
putin | December 31, 20262.8% | $23.5M | $160.3K | $755.2K | +0.4% |
United States | Matt Gaetz0.1% | $20.4M | $0 | $2.1M | — |
President | Eric Trump0.1% | $18.9M | $0 | $2.3M | — |
Pandemics | No97.8% | $18.5M | $6K | $244.4K | +0.2% |
Politics | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva15.5% | $18.1M | $1.7M | $1.2M | — |
Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro83.5% | $17.1M | $1M | $698.9K | -1.1% |
HFC | No97.5% | $14.4M | $38.3K | $548.3K | +0.1% |
Politics | No81.5% | $14.2M | $160.5K | $567.2K | +1.0% |
Politics | No96.4% | $12.4M | $6.4K | $357.9K | -0.1% |
Oil | No100.0% | $12.3M | $336.1 | $863.7K | — |
Trump-Machado | Pete Hegseth0.1% | $9.3M | $632.3 | $250.6K | — |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 0 (0 bps)95.9% | $8.8M | $9.6K | $611K | -0.1% |
Bitcoin | ↓ 45,0003.6% | $8.2M | $26.4K | $229.3K | -0.3% |
Parent For Derivative | Democratic Party92.5% | $7.8M | $46.2K | $3M | — |
Fed | No change80.5% | $7.6M | $353.1K | $636.9K | -2.0% |
Sports | Lando Norris0.4% | $6.9M | $3.4K | $141.2K | — |
Bitcoin | ↓ 55,0007.5% | $6.5M | $4.8K | $239.8K | — |
Fed | 25 bps increase19.5% | $6.5M | $300.1K | $367.3K | +3.0% |
French Election | Mathilde Panot0.1% | $6.4M | $0 | $630.9K | — |
Sports | Max Verstappen0.5% | $6.4M | $6.4K | $185K | -0.1% |
Main Election | Benjamin Netanyahu35.5% | $6.2M | $208.3K | $710.9K | -1.0% |
French Election | Xavier Bertrand0.1% | $6.2M | $1.2K | $752.1K | — |
United States | Republicans Sweep7.5% | $6M | $367.7K | $1.9M | — |
Parent For Derivative | Republican Party7.5% | $6M | $34.5K | $2.5M | — |
Awards | Donald Trump0.7% | $6M | $28.4K | $487.5K | -0.1% |
French Election | François Bayrou0.1% | $5.9M | $0 | $640.9K | — |
Trump-Machado | Evan Pettus0.1% | $5.7M | $4.8 | $246K | — |
Sports | Lewis Hamilton0.8% | $5.5M | $851.5 | $156.2K | +0.1% |
Sports | Charles Leclerc0.1% | $5.5M | $1.3K | $256.6K | — |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 11 (275 bps)0.1% | $5.3M | $0 | $545.3K | — |
Politics | December 3111.5% | $5.1M | $48.6K | $190.9K | — |
French Election | Clémentine Autain0.1% | $5M | $0 | $629.3K | — |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 10 (250 bps)0.1% | $5M | $0 | $523.2K | — |
United States | Democrats Sweep65.5% | $4.8M | $58.6K | $2.3M | -1.0% |
French Election | Carole Delga0.1% | $4.7M | $0 | $636.4K | — |
Fed | 25 bps decrease0.4% | $4.6M | $259.5K | $502.9K | -0.1% |
Sports | Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.4% | $4.4M | $1.1K | $253.4K | — |
French Election | Marine Tondelier0.1% | $4.4M | $16.7K | $857.4K | — |
Fed | 50+ bps decrease0.1% | $4.3M | $330.6K | $810.6K | -0.1% |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 9 (225 bps)0.1% | $4.3M | $0 | $489.1K | — |
Sports | Carolina Panthers0.9% | $4.2M | $9.2K | $260.9K | +0.3% |
French Election | Clémence Guetté0.1% | $4.2M | $0 | $650.9K | — |
Bitcoin | ↓ 50,0005.5% | $4.1M | $42.5K | $243.3K | -1.0% |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 12+ (300+ bps)0.1% | $4M | $0 | $246K | — |
Fed | 50+ bps increase0.4% | $3.7M | $280.3K | $576.3K | -0.1% |
Iran | October 3122.5% | $3.5M | $86.2K | $141.6K | +1.0% |
Senate | Democratic Party65.5% | $3.4M | $45.4K | $2.3M | -2.0% |
Iran | December 3112.5% | $3.4M | $23.3K | $210.1K | -1.0% |
China | No88.5% | $3.4M | $145.3 | $244.6K | — |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 8 (200 bps)0.1% | $3.3M | $0 | $308.6K | — |
Main Election | Avigdor Lieberman1.8% | $3.1M | $26.6K | $194.2K | -0.3% |
Main Election | Yossi Cohen0.1% | $3.1M | $15.2K | $198.2K | — |
Ethereum | ↓ 1,5006.5% | $3.1M | $6.6K | $137.8K | -0.2% |
Trump-Machado | Dinorah Figuera0.1% | $3M | $0 | $196.1K | — |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 3 (75 bps)0.3% | $3M | $1.9K | $301.5K | +0.1% |
Sports | George Russell1.1% | $3M | $11.9K | $132.6K | -0.2% |
Iran | December 3151.8% | $2.9M | $59.2K | $203.8K | -0.8% |
Bitcoin | ↑ 1,000,0000.3% | $2.8M | $773.1 | $306.4K | — |
United States | D Senate, R House1.1% | $2.8M | $109.9K | $524K | +0.4% |
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec | 4 (100 bps)0.3% | $2.7M | $2.9K | $268.2K | +0.1% |
President | Jalen Brunson0.1% | $2.7M | $0 | $2.2M | — |
Main Election | Gadi Eizenkot46.8% | $2.7M | $6.2K | $200.6K | +0.9% |
United States | R Senate, D House26.5% | $2.6M | $29.6K | $2.2M | -1.0% |
Sports | New York Jets0.4% | $2.6M | $743.4 | $365.2K | — |
Main Election | Yair Golan0.1% | $2.5M | $1.9K | $209.9K | — |
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 | Scream 70.1% | $2.5M | $0 | $187.6K | — |
Senate | Republican Party34.5% | $2.4M | $15.5K | $2.4M | +1.0% |
LA | Nithya Raman60.3% | $2.4M | $15.1K | $134.8K | +0.7% |
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 | Wuthering Heights0.1% | $2.3M | $0 | $236.6K | — |
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 | Wicked: For Good0.1% | $2.2M | $0 | $199.9K | — |
United States | Other0.1% | $2.1M | $29.6K | $210K | — |
Sports | Saints51.5% | $2.1M | $2M | $3.6M | -2.0% |
AI | December 31, 20279.5% | $2M | $7.4K | $1.3M | — |