Open Water
The hunting grounds — active Polymarket events where the whales feed. Sounded for depth (liquidity), current (volume), and drift (24-hour move on the favored outcome).
Open Markets
100
sounded this scan
Total Depth
$872.9M
aggregate liquidity
24h Current
$177.4M
volume traded
Strongest Drift
+40.0%
Starmer - UK PM · Next leader out of power bef…
Sounding Chart
Page scroll · hover chart to lock| Market | Favored | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Soccer | France19.8% | $3B | $81.3M | $568.6M | — |
World Elections | Gavin Newsom23.2% | $1.2B | $1.1M | $66.6M | -0.1% |
Politics | Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49.0% | $663.3M | $502.8K | $46.6M | — |
World Elections | JD Vance20.4% | $636.2M | $517.1K | $38.9M | -0.2% |
Sports | Kimi Antonelli60.8% | $176.9M | $261.4K | $13.7M | +0.2% |
World | December 3153.5% | $122.9M | $36.8K | $216.1K | — |
Politics | Keiko Fujimori99.0% | $104.7M | $345.8K | $15.3M | +0.1% |
Elections | Jordan Bardella24.5% | $103.8M | $457.7K | $10.3M | — |
Brazil | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5% | $103.5M | $537.7K | $9M | +3.0% |
Trump-Machado | Nicolás Maduro74.2% | $91.5M | $58.7K | $1.7M | — |
Culture | No98.0% | $63.9M | $12K | $849.9K | — |
Iran | No99.8% | $63M | $172.4K | $1M | +0.1% |
Culture | December 319.5% | $55.8M | $230.6K | $1.9M | — |
Bitcoin | ↓ 85,000100.0% | $43.9M | $126.8K | $2.1M | +11.5% |
Politics | Abelardo de la Espriella99.2% | $43.4M | $1.1M | $7.2M | +0.7% |
Elections | Xavier Becerra89.3% | $40M | $337K | $6.7M | +0.4% |
Geopolitics | No86.5% | $38.6M | $37K | $352K | +1.0% |
Business | 0 (0 bps)80.3% | $37.6M | $301.8K | $2.6M | -0.6% |
Foreign Policy | No93.8% | $36.4M | $38K | $618K | +0.1% |
Sports | Los Angeles Rams16.5% | $33.7M | $447.4K | $4.1M | — |
Macro Geopolitics | No93.5% | $31.7M | $654.8K | $829.9K | -1.0% |
Commodities | ↑ $90100.0% | $31.4M | $499.8K | $2.3M | +1.0% |
MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers28.5% | $31.1M | $183.8K | $2.2M | -0.5% |
Trump | December 3113.5% | $27.6M | $42.8K | $490.5K | — |
FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe35.5% | $27.3M | $3.8M | $4.7M | +10.0% |
Bitcoin | by December 31, 20264.7% | $26.7M | $99.9K | $289.9K | +0.1% |
Sports | O/U 0.5100.0% | $26.4M | $25.7M | $5.2M | +2.4% |
Formula 1 | Mercedes82.5% | $25.2M | $118.1K | $1.7M | — |
Bitcoin | ↓ 70,000100.0% | $23.5M | $1M | $2.1M | — |
AI | NVIDIA98.8% | $23.4M | $259.1K | $1.5M | +0.1% |
Culture | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire100.0% | $22.8M | $42.3K | $644.6K | -27.5% |
Sports | Senegal35.5% | $22.6M | $21.3M | $693.8K | +6.0% |
Israel | December 316.5% | $21.2M | $9.8K | $263.8K | — |
Awards | UNRWA10.4% | $20.9M | $85.3K | $2M | -0.1% |
Israel | No90.5% | $20.6M | $101.5K | $536.5K | — |
Politics | Gadi Eizenkot37.0% | $19.9M | $643.2K | $1.5M | -0.2% |
Iran | July 3114.5% | $18.8M | $155K | $295.7K | — |
Soccer | Inter Miami CF17.5% | $18.6M | $39.3K | $709K | -7.0% |
Middle East | Mojtaba Khamenei82.7% | $16.5M | $36.2K | $1.6M | -2.1% |
Tech | Anthropic93.3% | $16.5M | $167.1K | $3.4M | -1.3% |
Geopolitics | December 3121.5% | $16.5M | $81.8K | $338.4K | — |
fomc | No change72.5% | $16.5M | $1.2M | $1.8M | -3.0% |
Weather | No95.9% | $15.7M | $5.3K | $395K | — |
Soccer | France99.8% | $15.6M | $14.7M | $767.6K | +9.3% |
Politics | Andy Burnham97.0% | $13.4M | $1.6M | $2.3M | +2.4% |
Culture | Spider-Man: Brand New Day67.0% | $12.9M | $443.3K | $1.4M | +0.5% |
World Elections | United Russia (ER)60.5% | $12.4M | $115.7K | $951.2K | +2.0% |
Strait of Hormuz | Troop Withdrawal100.0% | $12.2M | $462.4K | $317K | — |
transit | No100.0% | $12.1M | $43.2K | $735.7K | — |
mayor | Karen Bass61.5% | $12.1M | $31.4K | $1.2M | — |
World | No99.8% | $11.6M | $126.1K | $339.7K | +0.1% |
Trump | No95.7% | $11.5M | $250.9K | $369.8K | -0.1% |
Geopolitics | July 318.5% | $11.3M | $110.2K | $447K | -1.0% |
Geopolitics | No93.7% | $10.5M | $20.4K | $247K | +0.1% |
Elections | No90.5% | $9.3M | $63.3K | $362.9K | +1.0% |
ATH | December 31, 20265.0% | $9M | $23.6K | $222.5K | -2.0% |
Politics | No meeting by June 3099.1% | $8.7M | $49.4K | $328.1K | +0.3% |
Trump | No99.7% | $8.4M | $111.1K | $396K | — |
FIFA World Cup | Mexico100.0% | $8.3M | $1.2M | $884.7K | +3.1% |
Politics | Democrats Sweep42.5% | $8M | $13.4K | $899.7K | +1.0% |
WTA | Aryna Sabalenka22.5% | $8M | $85.2K | $856.5K | — |
Sports | Jannik Sinner57.5% | $8M | $345.7K | $1.8M | — |
putin | No91.5% | $7.9M | $7.4K | $337.7K | — |
Strait of Hormuz | No51.5% | $7.8M | $527.4K | $1M | -9.0% |
US Election | Democratic Party80.5% | $7.6M | $12.8K | $725K | — |
Finance | ↑ $90100.0% | $7M | $400.8K | $1.2M | +8.5% |
Ethereum | ↓ 2,000100.0% | $6.9M | $30.6K | $830.6K | +8.0% |
Israel | 451.2% | $6.9M | $5.9K | $267.9K | +3.6% |
COMEX Gold Futures | ↑ $5,000100.0% | $6.7M | $93.9K | $1M | +1.7% |
Sports | Europe (UEFA)69.5% | $6.2M | $72K | $1.6M | — |
NFL | Los Angeles Rams22.5% | $6.2M | $65.6K | $982.4K | — |
Sports | O/U 0.589.5% | $6.1M | $6M | $2.1M | -4.0% |
Crypto | $50M94.4% | $5.6M | $9.3K | $243.7K | -0.2% |
COMEX Silver Futures | ↑ $110100.0% | $5.4M | $34.3K | $780.8K | +4.8% |
Ethereum | ↓ 1,900100.0% | $5.1M | $221.6K | $1M | +31.4% |
Geopolitics | December 3172.0% | $5.1M | $201.8K | $395.7K | — |
Ukraine Peace Deal | December 3145.5% | $4.6M | $25.7K | $308.7K | -1.0% |
Soccer | Harry Kane31.9% | $4.4M | $68.8K | $756.4K | -0.1% |
Culture | 180-19954.5% | $4.1M | $905.8K | $1.3M | +1.0% |
American League | New York Yankees33.5% | $4M | $5.6 | $470.5K | — |
Brazil | Flávio Bolsonaro68.5% | $3.7M | $2.1K | $480.7K | — |
American League | Los Angeles Dodgers40.5% | $3.7M | $25.5 | $457.5K | +0.5% |
Economy | NVIDIA73.5% | $3.6M | $28.9K | $752.7K | — |
Politics | Starmer - UK PM79.5% | $3.5M | $1.4M | $659.7K | +40.0% |
football | Baltimore Ravens13.0% | $3.5M | $312.6 | $761.6K | — |
Business | SpaceX85.5% | $3.3M | $514.5K | $446.1K | -0.5% |
Movies | No Bond chosen91.5% | $3.1M | $22K | $203.5K | +6.6% |
Elections | Fujimori 0.2–0.3%97.3% | $2.8M | $6.2K | $602.4K | +0.6% |
US Election | Republican Party57.5% | $2.8M | $2.8K | $372.3K | — |
Fed | Yes57.5% | $2.8M | $135K | $225.8K | -4.0% |
Crypto | $150M74.5% | $2.7M | $5.8K | $229K | — |
Global Elections | CDU35.0% | $2.7M | $2.1K | $251.2K | — |
ships | Yes87.0% | $2.7M | $87.1K | $330.3K | +0.5% |
Congress | ≤4726.5% | $2.6M | $1.4K | $310.8K | — |
World | No meeting before 202780.5% | $2.6M | $1.6K | $211.7K | — |
Politics | Sorin Grindeanu39.9% | $2.6M | $165.9K | $482.5K | +23.0% |
Fed | December Meeting16.5% | $2.5M | $3.7K | $287.1K | -0.5% |
Games | Exact Score: Any Other Score69.0% | $2.3M | $2.2M | $1.5M | +24.5% |
Finance | ↑$1.6T100.0% | $2.3M | $112.9K | $247.3K | +3.5% |
World | Magdalena Andersson73.5% | $2.1M | $4K | $329.4K | -0.5% |