Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
View on PolymarketPrice History
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 5 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net selling ($1.4K net), leaning NO. Largest single move: a rank-#22 wallet sold $3.7K NO at 92¢ on Jun 13.
- SELLNO0xd396...4991#2292¢$3.7KJun 13
- BUYNO0xba3c...2e4e#9791¢$2.3KJun 15
Holder Concentration
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.51). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 3 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $15.1K across 6 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbd27...2807 Rank #139.5 SIG | NO | open | 1,600 | 89.3¢ | $1,464 | +$36 +2.5% | — | — | |
| 0x02a1...dd72 Rank #637.4 SIG | NO | open | 35,136.36 | 50.2¢ | $32,150 | +$14,511 +82.3% | — | — | |
| @rocky42025 Rank #906.2 SIG | YES | open | 1,749.99 | 9.3¢ | $149 | -$14 -8.4% | — | — | |
| ▸ | 0xba3c...2e4e Rank #976.7 SIG | NO | open | 2,500 | 91.0¢ | $2,288 | +$13 +0.6% | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| @kevtp Unranked | NO | open | 5,000.01 | 88.5¢ | $4,575 | +$149 +3.4% | — | — | |
| ▸ | 0xd396...4991 Rank #228.6 SIG | NO | closed | 59,581.51 | 91.0¢ | — | +$422 +0.8% | Jun 13, 2026 | Jun 13, 2026 |