Xi Jinping out before 2027?
View on PolymarketYES Price
6.3¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
0.9¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$247K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$20.4K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
1
0 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital
Price History
YES priceWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 10 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
0x02a1...dd72#61
100.0%$5
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net $4.4 across 1 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount0% / 100%
one wallet, one vote
By capital0% / 100%
weighted by committed $
By skill0% / 100%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x02a1...dd72 Rank #617.4 SIG | NO | open | 10 | 50.0¢ | $9 | +$4 +87.3% | — | — |