Israel closes its airspace by...?
View on PolymarketYES Price
14.5¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
4.8¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$295.7K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$155K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$154.7
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
2
2 YES · 0 NO
Top Holder
73%
of tracked capital
Price History
July 31July 15June 30Whale buyWhale sell
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value).
Whale Activity
Tracked smart money is net buying ($155 net), leaning YES. Largest single move: WashTrade bought $130 YES at 15¢ on Jun 21.
- BUYYESWashTrade#9315¢$129.9Jun 21
- SELLYES0x371c...c236#1514¢$26.3Jun 22
- BUYYES0x371c...c236#1515¢$20Jun 21
- BUYYES0x371c...c236#1517¢$20Jun 20
- BUYYES0x371c...c236#1518¢$20Jun 19
- SELLYES0x371c...c236#1514¢$6.2Jun 19
- SELLYES0x371c...c236#1517¢$2.8Jun 19
Holder Concentration
WashTrade#93
73.2%$129.9
0x371c...c236#15
26.8%$47.5
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.61). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 0 losing (win rate —); net -$9.3 across 2 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount100% / 0%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill100% / 0%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | 0x371c...c236 Rank #159.1 SIG | YES | open | 293.82 | 16.2¢ | $43 | -$5 -10.4% | Jun 19, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | @WashTrade Rank #936.8 SIG | YES | open | 866.29 | 15.0¢ | $126 | -$4 -3.3% | Jun 21, 2026 | Jun 21, 2026 |