◆ Contact Dossier
@WashTrade
0x4c2da46b289847e3e8377c6f4ca3d520c620f8ae
5.1
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $150.1K
90-Day Window5.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.0¢ · 44 resolved
- Hit rate
- 45.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $7.3K / $150.1K
- % return
- +5.1%
- Observations
- 127
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-18%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
0W · 1L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes8.0¢ → 7.4¢-7.1%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 50,775.72 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $254 | +$151 (+145.8%) |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 29,610.24 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $44 | -$85 (-65.6%) |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 24,432.56 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $24 | -$36 (-59.7%) |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10,234.58 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $15 | -$18 (-54.3%) |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 8,000 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $4 | -$12 (-75.0%) |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 3,504.88 | 14.0¢ | 4.0¢ | $140 | -$350 (-71.4%) |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,668.48 | 1.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $30 | -$2 (-5.3%) |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1,499.98 | 17.0¢ | 16.5¢ | $247 | -$7 (-2.9%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | No | 1,490.75 | 24.1¢ | 27.5¢ | $410 | +$51 (+14.2%) |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 140.52 | 15.9¢ | 7.5¢ | $11 | -$12 (-52.8%) |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 128.19 | 5.7¢ | 5.0¢ | $6 | -$1 (-11.6%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?what price will wti hit in october 2026 | No | 23.5¢ | 42.0¢ | 1,790.75 | 300 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?anthropic ipo closing market cap higher strikes | Yes | 17.0¢ | — | 1,499.98 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?anthropic ipo closing market cap higher strikes | Yes | 5.7¢ | — | 128.19 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 8.0¢ | 7.4¢ | 7,000 | 6,999.98 | -$40 (-7.1%) | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 20.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$10 (-5.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 25.9¢ | 22.6¢ | 3,479.43 | 3,479.43 | -$115 (-12.7%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 43.4¢ | 43.0¢ | 3,800 | 3,800 | -$18 (-1.1%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 1,385.46 | 1,385.46 | +$42 (+23.1%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 15.0¢ | 14.7¢ | 6,912.59 | 6,912.59 | -$19 (-1.9%) | Sep 30, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 44,678.39 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 16.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$20 (-12.5%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 1,919.02 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 1.7¢ | — | 972.2 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | No | 36.7¢ | 56.8¢ | 4,536.23 | 3,445.15 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | No | 19.6¢ | 25.5¢ | 631.06 | 631.06 | +$37 (+30.4%) | Sep 28, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | No | 63.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 600 | 600 | +$120 (+31.4%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next us iran senior diplomatic meeting byptptpt | No | 65.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 2,657.23 | 1,058.63 | -$132 (-7.6%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?us strike on cuba by | No | 84.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 1,277.4 | 1,277.4 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Sep 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 13.1¢ | 9.0¢ | 2,791.99 | 2,791.99 | -$114 (-31.2%) | Sep 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | Yes | 57.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 2,268.55 | 2,268.55 | +$45 (+3.5%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 22.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 730 | 730 | +$22 (+13.6%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?will netanyahu use a visual aid during his unga speech | No | 28.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 800 | 800 | -$24 (-10.9%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | No | 12.3¢ | 8.8¢ | 4,664.27 | 4,664.27 | -$166 (-28.9%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?saudi oil pipeline east west restarts byptptpt | No | 65.7¢ | 74.3¢ | 303 | 303 | +$26 (+13.1%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | No | 46.2¢ | 50.1¢ | 1,579.67 | 1,579.67 | +$63 (+8.6%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | Yes | 36.3¢ | 37.8¢ | 710 | 710 | +$11 (+4.1%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | Yes | 62.6¢ | 54.0¢ | 1,560.41 | 1,560.41 | -$135 (-13.8%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | No | 40.2¢ | 38.8¢ | 5,460.44 | 5,460.44 | -$77 (-3.5%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 7.0¢ | 10.4¢ | 10,304.23 | 10,304.23 | +$355 (+49.3%) | Sep 14, 2026 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260808162019737 | Yes | 76.3¢ | 87.0¢ | 255.24 | 255.24 | +$27 (+13.9%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | Yes | 52.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 200 | 200 | -$12 (-11.5%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 6.0¢ | 12.8¢ | 695.11 | 695.11 | +$48 (+114.0%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | Yes | 37.7¢ | 37.6¢ | 831.77 | 831.77 | -$1 (-0.2%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?avgpt of ships transiting bab el mandeb strait end of august 1785517679415 | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 115.37 | 115.37 | +$65 (+127.5%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 6.5¢ | 10.2¢ | 8,157.81 | 8,157.81 | +$303 (+57.2%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | No | 27.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 285 | 285 | +$9 (+11.1%) | Sep 8, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?will iran target jordan byptptpt 20260903 | No | 2.9¢ | 2.9¢ | 747.07 | 747.07 | +$0 (+0.5%) | Sep 8, 2026 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 29.3¢ | 31.6¢ | 13,795.3 | 13,795.3 | +$321 (+7.9%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 37.1¢ | 175.36 | 175.36 | +$12 (+23.6%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 20.9¢ | 23.0¢ | 313.29 | 313.29 | +$7 (+10.0%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | Yes | 34.3¢ | 32.1¢ | 1,085.5 | 1,085.5 | -$24 (-6.4%) | Sep 6, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 8.0¢ | 6.6¢ | 1,999.98 | 1,999.98 | -$27 (-17.1%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 351.85 | 351.85 | -$7 (-4.7%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 15.9¢ | 23.9¢ | 732.96 | 732.96 | +$58 (+50.0%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 5.6¢ | 3.4¢ | 4,443.62 | 4,443.62 | -$98 (-39.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?what will karoline leavitt say during the next white house press briefing 20260723175551503 | No | 46.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$42 (+45.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | No | 51.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 1,241.65 | 1,241.65 | +$49 (+7.7%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026 | Down | 49.0¢ | 84.1¢ | 200 | 200 | +$70 (+71.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?what price will wti hit in june 2026 | No | 22.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3.08 | 3.08 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 10.4¢ | 11.9¢ | 4,319.89 | 4,319.89 | +$65 (+14.4%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?what will powell say during april press conference | No | 34.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$35 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 33.5¢ | 14,817.49 | 14,817.49 | +$220 (+4.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?what price will wti hit in june 2026 | Yes | 35.9¢ | 31.2¢ | 2,623.42 | 2,623.42 | -$125 (-13.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 6.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 110.01 | 110.01 | -$7 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | 1.01 | 1.01 | -$0 (-99.5%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 7.3¢ | 17.8¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$211 (+145.3%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 39.6¢ | 87.17 | 87.17 | +$7 (+23.7%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | No | 46.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 966.07 | 966.07 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?what price will wti hit in april 2026 | No | 5.4¢ | 6.2¢ | 1,605.12 | 1,605.12 | +$12 (+13.8%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETbtc updown 5m 1779544800 | Up | 3.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 831.25 | 831.25 | -$27 (-100.1%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 6.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,042 | 1,042 | -$64 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 3.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 806.61 | 806.61 | -$27 (-100.1%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | Yes | 6.2¢ | 10.8¢ | 7,092.68 | 7,092.68 | +$326 (+73.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | Yes | 2.6¢ | -0.0¢ | 681.78 | 681.78 | -$18 (-100.1%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by 20260607234645733 | Yes | 3.8¢ | 3.5¢ | 7,973.22 | 7,973.22 | -$23 (-7.7%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?fifwc esp arg | Yes | 23.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 300 | 300 | -$70 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?what price will wti hit in april 2026 | Yes | 32.9¢ | 31.9¢ | 408.66 | 408.66 | -$4 (-2.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 11.3¢ | 17.1¢ | 10,565.95 | 10,565.95 | +$619 (+52.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 6.0¢ | 7.3¢ | 3,132.87 | 3,132.87 | +$40 (+21.4%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?will trump visit china by | No | 1.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$25 (-100.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | 8,172.66 | 8,172.66 | -$64 (-75.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?will trump visit china by | No | 5.5¢ | 2.8¢ | 6,992.79 | 6,992.79 | -$187 (-48.5%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0.2¢ | 8,167.02 | 8,167.02 | -$275 (-95.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026 | Down | 0.6¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,385.99 | 2,385.99 | -$15 (-100.3%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 81.6¢ | 87.6¢ | 22,250.11 | 22,250.11 | +$1,327 (+7.3%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 23.2¢ | 13.8¢ | 8,165.47 | 8,165.47 | -$765 (-40.4%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 2.0¢ | 0.7¢ | 10,895.85 | 10,895.85 | -$137 (-62.8%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by | Yes | 45.9¢ | 60.0¢ | 516.75 | 516.75 | +$73 (+30.8%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 37.0¢ | 39.3¢ | 534.27 | 534.27 | +$12 (+6.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by 20260607234645733 | Yes | 5.9¢ | 6.4¢ | 11,500.83 | 11,500.83 | +$56 (+8.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 29.0¢ | 27.2¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$36 (-6.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 6.4¢ | 1.9¢ | 2,518.48 | 2,518.48 | -$111 (-69.5%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 65.0¢ | 64.0¢ | 500 | 500 | -$5 (-1.5%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | No | 2.1¢ | -0.1¢ | 11,994.08 | 11,994.08 | -$262 (-102.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by | No | 16.1¢ | 9.5¢ | 9,937.18 | 9,937.18 | -$655 (-40.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 39.0¢ | 15.9¢ | 5,299.99 | 5,299.99 | -$1,225 (-59.3%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 13.5¢ | 10.9¢ | 7,209.09 | 7,209.09 | -$187 (-19.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 3.1¢ | 5.9¢ | 49,632.79 | 49,632.79 | +$1,385 (+88.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 6.8¢ | 2.1¢ | 10,867.79 | 10,867.79 | -$509 (-68.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 3.5¢ | 1.7¢ | 17,329.83 | 17,329.83 | -$311 (-50.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 0.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,560.87 | 5,560.87 | -$13 (-100.1%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 2.4¢ | 4.5¢ | 40,022.98 | 40,022.98 | +$838 (+85.8%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | Yes | 2.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,449.92 | 4,449.92 | -$113 (-100.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 2.5¢ | 0.5¢ | 4,322.68 | 4,322.68 | -$89 (-81.1%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4PM ETbitcoin up or down august 30 2026 4pm et | Down | 41.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 332.41 | 332.41 | +$194 (+140.0%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 45.6¢ | 48.5¢ | 23,751.41 | 23,751.41 | +$680 (+6.3%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 74.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$20 (-1.4%) | Aug 28, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 51.0¢ | 47.4¢ | 210 | 210 | -$8 (-7.1%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 200.1 | 200.1 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 28.7¢ | 29.0¢ | 931.7 | 931.7 | +$2 (+0.9%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 23.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 1,322.07 | 1,322.07 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 284.78 | 284.78 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Aug 7, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | No | 19.3¢ | 26.7¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | +$110 (+38.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 29.7¢ | 29.0¢ | 1,426.7 | 1,426.7 | -$10 (-2.4%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | Yes | 16.9¢ | 22.1¢ | 5,953.48 | 5,953.48 | +$307 (+30.5%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 52.0¢ | 53.1¢ | 13,680.55 | 13,680.55 | +$145 (+2.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 10.2¢ | 18,884.55 | 18,884.55 | -$159 (-7.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 2,421.36 | 2,421.36 | -$24 (-4.2%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 834.53 | 834.53 | -$108 (-100.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 10.8¢ | 10.0¢ | 1,177.07 | 1,177.07 | -$10 (-7.8%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 30.7¢ | 30.0¢ | 2,967.22 | 2,967.22 | -$20 (-2.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 30.0¢ | 27.3¢ | 20,125.32 | 20,125.32 | -$541 (-9.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | No | 80.4¢ | 90.3¢ | 6,515.16 | 6,515.16 | +$647 (+12.3%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719 | No | 62.9¢ | 68.1¢ | 697.5 | 697.5 | +$36 (+8.2%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | No | 10.3¢ | 25.5¢ | 15,471.68 | 15,471.68 | +$2,360 (+148.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?who will trump meet with in july 20260626153701904 | No | 51.6¢ | 54.9¢ | 215.42 | 215.42 | +$7 (+6.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | No | 49.0¢ | 50.9¢ | 60,501.45 | 60,501.45 | +$1,186 (+4.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 24.7¢ | 29.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$128 (+17.3%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | Yes | 27.0¢ | 27.2¢ | 14,950.24 | 14,950.24 | +$25 (+0.6%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?fifwc esp arg | Yes | 42.7¢ | 40.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$3 (-6.3%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 18.6¢ | 16,343.12 | 16,343.12 | +$913 (+42.9%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | Yes | 10.9¢ | 17.2¢ | 1,726.91 | 1,726.91 | +$109 (+57.7%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | No | 44.0¢ | 42.8¢ | 1,969.85 | 1,969.85 | -$23 (-2.6%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 49.0¢ | 60.7¢ | 7,776.28 | 7,776.28 | +$908 (+23.8%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | Yes | 16.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 8,743.8 | 8,743.8 | +$264 (+18.9%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?iran leader end of 2026 | No | 17.8¢ | 18.8¢ | 13,456.57 | 13,456.57 | +$130 (+5.4%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 9.0¢ | 14.3¢ | 4,544.88 | 4,544.88 | +$242 (+59.5%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?will the us acquire any part of greenland in 2026 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$30 (-14.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 4.1¢ | 4.9¢ | 3,395.32 | 3,395.32 | +$27 (+19.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 72.6¢ | 75.2¢ | 20,935.03 | 20,935.03 | +$528 (+3.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | 126,720.99 | 126,720.99 | -$586 (-7.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by october 31 | Yes | 17.4¢ | 16.8¢ | 2,226.66 | 2,226.66 | -$14 (-3.6%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?will israel annex gaza territory by 2026 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | 346.68 | 346.68 | -$2 (-7.5%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 4.6¢ | 3.7¢ | 27,791 | 27,791 | -$233 (-18.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?israel closes its airspace by | No | 69.5¢ | 77.2¢ | 2,890.66 | 2,890.66 | +$222 (+11.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?israel strike on yemen by 593 | No | 51.0¢ | 69.0¢ | 1,999.96 | 1,999.96 | +$360 (+35.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | Yes | 16.2¢ | 21.7¢ | 3,022.86 | 3,022.86 | +$165 (+33.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 25.3¢ | 18.4¢ | 7,096.72 | 7,096.72 | -$491 (-27.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 65.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 1,922.98 | 1,922.98 | +$135 (+10.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 15.5¢ | 19.0¢ | 188.72 | 188.72 | +$7 (+22.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 36.8¢ | 38.8¢ | 1,615.69 | 1,615.69 | +$32 (+5.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 4.9¢ | 4.9¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$0 (+0.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 39.0¢ | 94.8¢ | 6.57 | 6.57 | +$4 (+143.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | No | 42.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,007.66 | 1,007.66 | +$80 (+19.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 58.0¢ | 63.5¢ | 1,605.74 | 1,605.74 | +$88 (+9.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?iran leadership change by | Yes | 23.9¢ | 35.5¢ | 7,264.09 | 7,264.09 | +$841 (+48.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8.2¢ | 22,812.27 | 22,812.27 | +$57 (+3.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?iran coup attempt by june 30 | Yes | 23.3¢ | 44.2¢ | 3,802.02 | 3,802.02 | +$797 (+90.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?israeli parliament dissolved by october 31 | No | 74.0¢ | 72.8¢ | 3,375.04 | 3,375.04 | -$39 (-1.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?what price will wti hit in june 2026 | Yes | 53.9¢ | 51.4¢ | 4,293.32 | 4,293.32 | -$108 (-4.7%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 40.7¢ | 40.9¢ | 367.1 | 367.1 | +$1 (+0.5%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026 | Down | 20.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$285 (+285.0%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 34.6¢ | 980 | 980 | +$94 (+38.4%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?israel and lebanon normalize relations before 2027 | No | 79.5¢ | 78.1¢ | 297.76 | 297.76 | -$4 (-1.7%) | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 3,409.75 | 3,409.75 | +$68 (+10.0%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 92.3¢ | 88.5¢ | 7,001.18 | 7,001.18 | -$262 (-4.1%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?who will attend the next us x iran diplomatic meeting | Yes | 71.5¢ | 68.9¢ | 1,472.72 | 1,472.72 | -$38 (-3.6%) | Jun 21, 2026 |