◆ Contact Dossier
@DapperChapper
0xf8ccb567e89c3240359217ebd0b5b5fe7fce5a82
4.3
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $420.6K
90-Day Window4.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.2¢ · 53 resolved
- Hit rate
- 44.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$19.8K / $420.6K
- % return
- -4.8%
- Observations
- 56
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-6.2K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 1
-36.4K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10,000 | 91.3¢ | 96.0¢ | $9,605 | +$475 (+5.2%) |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10,000 | 95.5¢ | 95.8¢ | $9,575 | +$25 (+0.3%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10,499.24 | 69.0¢ | 78.3¢ | $8,216 | +$969 (+13.4%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6,370.48 | 95.4¢ | 86.9¢ | $5,533 | -$544 (-8.9%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,999.77 | 53.0¢ | 43.8¢ | $4,375 | -$925 (-17.5%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8,058.55 | 56.0¢ | 47.5¢ | $3,828 | -$685 (-15.2%) |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 3,499.99 | 89.0¢ | 99.8¢ | $3,491 | +$376 (+12.1%) |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 3,999.96 | 41.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,380 | +$1,740 (+106.1%) |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3,014.08 | 97.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $2,967 | +$20 (+0.7%) |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 2,999.89 | 86.0¢ | 87.0¢ | $2,610 | +$30 (+1.2%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22,176.04 | 16.6¢ | 11.1¢ | $2,450 | -$1,230 (-33.4%) |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 78,669.17 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $1,927 | +$39 (+2.1%) |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 1,577.64 | 73.5¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,554 | +$395 (+34.1%) |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 1,525.2 | 87.0¢ | 87.2¢ | $1,330 | +$3 (+0.2%) |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49,999.78 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $475 | -$125 (-20.8%) |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | No | 466.4 | 86.0¢ | 91.0¢ | $424 | +$23 (+5.8%) |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 361.52 | 67.0¢ | 63.5¢ | $230 | -$13 (-5.2%) |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49,994.08 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $225 | -$375 (-62.5%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 743.42 | 34.0¢ | 18.3¢ | $136 | -$117 (-46.3%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 56.0¢ | — | 8,058.55 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 67.0¢ | — | 361.52 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?f1 hungarian grand prix winner | Yes | 16.0¢ | — | 595.24 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?f1 hungarian grand prix winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | — | 5,028.87 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | — | 12.3¢ | 0 | 11,187.68 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 6.5¢ | — | 9,999.97 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 6.4¢ | — | 12,985.16 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | — | 80.4¢ | 0 | 6,882.12 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Harry Kane: 1+ shotsfifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 player props | No | 7.0¢ | — | 2,176.23 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsfifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 player props | No | 91.3¢ | — | 11,999.91 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Spread: England (-2.5)fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 more markets | England | 3.8¢ | — | 49,999.93 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | — | 41.6¢ | 0 | 8,105.1 | — | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 20.0¢ | 32.7¢ | 10,408.17 | 0 | +$9,638 (+63.3%) | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 19.0¢ | 0 | 17,583.25 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 58.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,409.96 | 13,409.96 | +$5,579 (+71.2%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 9.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,999.98 | 24,999.98 | +$22,725 (+998.9%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 9.9¢ | 95.9¢ | 48,238.25 | 48,238.25 | +$41,468 (+865.6%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinawta sabalen rybakin | Rybakina | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,982.47 | 10,982.47 | +$6,699 (+156.4%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?2026 womens australian open winner | No | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,645.9 | 9,645.9 | +$5,884 (+156.4%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?super bowl champion 2026 731 | Yes | 3.9¢ | 13.1¢ | 50,411.26 | 50,411.26 | +$4,635 (+233.0%) | Jan 20, 2026 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Januarynothing ever happens january | No | 27.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,197.55 | 20,197.55 | +$14,711 (+268.1%) | Jan 3, 2026 | |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?maduro out in 2025 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$6,400 (+177.8%) | Jan 3, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?what price will bitcoin hit in 2025 | No | 54.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,899.85 | 13,899.85 | +$6,343 (+83.9%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbattle of the sexes aryna sabalenka vs nick kyrgios | Kyrgios | 82.3¢ | 99.6¢ | 40,441.12 | 40,441.12 | +$7,030 (+21.1%) | Dec 28, 2025 | |
| Packers vs. Bearsnfl gb chi | Bears | 52.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,000 | 30,000 | +$14,400 (+92.3%) | Dec 21, 2025 | |
| Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5nfl gb chi | Under | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 19,999.99 | 19,999.99 | +$8,800 (+78.6%) | Dec 21, 2025 | |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5)nba orl uta | Jazz | 47.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$5,300 (+112.8%) | Dec 21, 2025 | |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?boxing jake paul vs anthony joshua third option included | Yes | 86.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 659,181.57 | 659,181.57 | +$91,719 (+16.2%) | Dec 20, 2025 | |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5cfb ala okl | Over | 49.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,998.21 | 7,998.21 | +$4,079 (+104.1%) | Dec 20, 2025 | |
| O/U 40.5cfb ala okl | Over | 53.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$3,760 (+88.7%) | Dec 20, 2025 | |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?f1 drivers champion | Yes | 72.0¢ | 116.4¢ | 54,440.57 | 54,440.57 | +$24,136 (+61.6%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?f1 drivers champion | Yes | 3.9¢ | 14.3¢ | 69,072.07 | 69,072.07 | +$7,175 (+268.8%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?top 5 most searched people on google 2025 | No | 48.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,124.39 | 30,124.39 | +$15,598 (+107.4%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?top 5 most searched people on google 2025 | No | 35.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,571.81 | 22,571.81 | +$14,624 (+184.0%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?what price will bitcoin hit in november 2025 | Yes | 17.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,000 | 16,000 | +$13,160 (+463.4%) | Nov 21, 2025 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?of views of next mrbeast video on day 1 916 | Yes | 35.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,333 | 8,333 | +$5,366 (+180.9%) | Oct 6, 2025 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?how many fed rate cuts in 2025 | No | 84.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 41,123.82 | 41,123.82 | +$6,519 (+18.8%) | Sep 19, 2025 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?nba champion 2024 2025 | Yes | 19.5¢ | 98.6¢ | 13,922.67 | 13,922.67 | +$11,022 (+407.0%) | Jun 25, 2025 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?champions league winner 2025 | Yes | 5.3¢ | 83.5¢ | 108,104.54 | 108,104.54 | +$84,524 (+1469.1%) | Jun 1, 2025 | |
| Braves vs. Philliesmlb atl phi | Phillies | 51.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,800 | 7,800 | +$3,784 (+94.2%) | May 28, 2025 | |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?eurovision 2025 top 5 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$6,080 (+316.7%) | May 19, 2025 | |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?2025 internazionali bnl ditalia winner m | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$4,720 (+143.9%) | May 19, 2025 | |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?la liga winner | Yes | 54.6¢ | 98.6¢ | 60,688.07 | 60,688.07 | +$26,673 (+80.5%) | May 17, 2025 | |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?premier league winner 24 25 | Yes | 70.6¢ | 98.7¢ | 31,200.67 | 31,200.67 | +$8,758 (+39.8%) | Apr 28, 2025 | |
| Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?superbowl champion 2025 | Yes | 32.1¢ | 50.3¢ | 39,789.86 | 39,789.86 | +$7,260 (+56.8%) | Feb 10, 2025 | |
| Bills vs. Chiefsnfl buf kc | Chiefs | 54.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,500 | 12,500 | +$5,750 (+85.2%) | Jan 27, 2025 | |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?who will be inaugurated as president | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 181,999.88 | 181,999.88 | +$7,613 (+4.4%) | Jan 21, 2025 | |
| Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South?nfc south winner 1 | Yes | 25.1¢ | 93.3¢ | 13,661.28 | 13,661.28 | +$9,325 (+272.5%) | Jan 6, 2025 | |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?ethereum all time high wen | Yes | 21.0¢ | 37.5¢ | 29,543.41 | 29,543.41 | +$4,873 (+78.5%) | Jan 1, 2025 | |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?record turnout in 2024 presidential election | No | 85.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 40,889.22 | 40,889.22 | +$5,813 (+16.6%) | Dec 17, 2024 | |
| Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?will trump win florida by 8 points | Yes | 74.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 26,442.57 | 26,442.57 | +$6,824 (+34.8%) | Nov 20, 2024 | |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?jake paul vs mike tyson who will win | Yes | 62.0¢ | 89.6¢ | 220,787.98 | 220,787.98 | +$60,786 (+44.4%) | Nov 16, 2024 | |
| Trump wins every swing state?trump wins every swing state | Yes | 99.1¢ | 108.4¢ | 57,599.05 | 57,599.05 | +$5,342 (+9.4%) | Nov 10, 2024 | |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?will either kamala or trump win every swing state | Yes | 99.4¢ | 107.5¢ | 55,694.03 | 55,694.03 | +$4,534 (+8.2%) | Nov 10, 2024 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?fed interest rates november 2024 | Yes | 1.1¢ | 50.0¢ | 35,520.19 | 35,520.19 | +$17,374 (+4446.7%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?pennsylvania presidential election winner | No | 56.9¢ | 99.3¢ | 17,896.96 | 17,896.96 | +$7,590 (+74.6%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | Yes | 57.3¢ | 95.2¢ | 236,491.16 | 236,491.16 | +$89,746 (+66.3%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | No | 55.6¢ | 98.0¢ | 36,110.93 | 36,110.93 | +$15,318 (+76.4%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Texans vs. Packersnfl hou gb | Packers | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,479.25 | 16,479.25 | +$6,423 (+63.9%) | Oct 20, 2024 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?fed interest rates september 2024 | Yes | 18.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,552.92 | 10,552.92 | +$8,609 (+443.0%) | Sep 19, 2024 | |
| Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?what will trump say during elon interview | No | 27.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,220.92 | 8,220.92 | +$6,004 (+270.7%) | Aug 13, 2024 | |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?what will trump say during elon interview | No | 64.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,034.56 | 12,034.56 | +$4,258 (+54.8%) | Aug 13, 2024 | |
| Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?what will trump say during elon interview | No | 75.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,478.88 | 16,478.88 | +$4,015 (+32.2%) | Aug 13, 2024 |