◆ Contact Dossier
0xf79e...e434
0xf79eff5d5f94db97b717aba012661daf7f47e434
4.9
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $5.6K
90-Day Window4.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.4¢ · 62 resolved
- Hit rate
- 13.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$648.8 / $5.6K
- % return
- -8.0%
- Observations
- 224
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-30%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
0W · 7L7 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No85.2¢ → 84.8¢-0.5%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No64.0¢ → 61.0¢-4.7%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No71.0¢ → 65.0¢-8.5%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No83.9¢ → 75.9¢-9.5%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · No76.0¢ → 58.0¢-24%
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes9.0¢ → 3.4¢-62%
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal · Yes24.0¢ → 0.0¢-100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | Yes | 100 | 76.0¢ | 73.0¢ | $73 | -$3 (-3.9%) |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 100 | 64.0¢ | 60.5¢ | $61 | -$4 (-5.5%) |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 100 | 57.0¢ | 35.5¢ | $36 | -$21 (-37.7%) |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | 68.5¢ | $34 | -$4 (-11.0%) |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | Yes | 50 | 36.0¢ | 25.0¢ | $13 | -$6 (-30.6%) |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | 46.5¢ | $23 | -$7 (-23.8%) |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | 50 | 24.0¢ | 6.5¢ | $3 | -$9 (-72.9%) |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | No | 50 | 66.0¢ | 37.5¢ | $19 | -$14 (-43.2%) |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | Yes | 50 | 51.0¢ | 33.0¢ | $17 | -$9 (-35.3%) |
| Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | 75.7¢ | $38 | -$1 (-1.6%) |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | Yes | 50 | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ | $18 | -$14 (-43.8%) |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? | Yes | 50 | 29.0¢ | 11.5¢ | $6 | -$9 (-60.3%) |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 50 | 89.0¢ | 60.0¢ | $30 | -$15 (-32.6%) |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | No | 50 | 64.1¢ | 46.6¢ | $23 | -$9 (-27.4%) |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | No | 50 | 70.0¢ | 58.0¢ | $29 | -$6 (-17.1%) |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 50 | 49.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $13 | -$11 (-45.9%) |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 50 | 47.0¢ | 34.5¢ | $17 | -$6 (-26.6%) |
| Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 50 | 9.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$4 (-90.6%) |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | No | 50 | 76.0¢ | 7.6¢ | $4 | -$34 (-89.9%) |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 34.0¢ | 25.5¢ | $5 | -$2 (-25.0%) |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | 67.5¢ | $14 | -$1 (-7.5%) |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | 24.5¢ | $5 | -$0 (-5.8%) |
| Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | No | 20 | 72.0¢ | 51.5¢ | $10 | -$4 (-28.5%) |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? | No | 20 | 46.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $4 | -$5 (-55.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?emmys 2026 outstanding guest actor in a comedy series | No | 77.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no listed leader be out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no starmer or petro 20260630194619406 | No | 64.0¢ | — | 100 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealatp 1000 montreal winner 20260729172910266 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$5 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of august 1785423806791 | No | 34.0¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?gemini 4pt0 released by june 30 2026 | No | 73.0¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by | Yes | 26.0¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?how many emmys will hacks win 20260720191814491 | No | 71.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$6 (-8.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | No | 85.2¢ | 84.8¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-0.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?vct pacific 2026 stage 2 winner 20260715031204084 | No | 72.0¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?how many emmys will hacks win 20260720191814491 | No | 57.0¢ | — | 100 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?who will be the democratic nominee for mn 02 | Yes | 76.0¢ | — | 100 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?1 searched passing on google in the us 2026 20260730202611087 | Yes | 9.0¢ | 3.4¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-62.2%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?will a chinese company have the best ai model by december 31 | No | 76.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$4 (-23.7%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?1 searched tv show on google 2026 20260730185304 | No | 83.9¢ | 75.9¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-9.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | No | 64.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-4.7%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?which team will win the shortest lpl game 20260730154017388 | No | 46.0¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?wsop main event winner 20260714164336205 | No | 90.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$5 (+11.1%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?where will vinicius junior transfer 20260612232836376 | No | 29.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 50 | 49.99 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-8.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1 | Yes | 59.0¢ | 47.3¢ | 50 | 50 | -$6 (-19.9%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?largest company end of december 2026 | No | 43.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-3.1%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?emmys 2026 outstanding variety series | No | 48.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-14.6%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?1 searched passing on google in the us 2026 20260730202611087 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$4 (-56.3%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?what will trump say in august 20260728181847522 | No | 12.0¢ | 5.5¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-54.2%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?top us artist 2026 20260714171850366 | No | 22.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-18.2%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?mlb world series champion 2026 | No | 61.0¢ | 60.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-0.2%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?wsop main event winner 20260714164336205 | No | 65.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-7.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | No | 72.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-6.9%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?will russia capture vodianske byptptpt 20260724162613570 | No | 42.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | No | 17.0¢ | 17.0¢ | 38.3 | 38.29 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?lecornu out as french pm by 381 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 2.2¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-84.3%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707 | Yes | 3.3¢ | 1.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-64.8%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?1 searched tv show on google 2026 20260730185304 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 5.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-54.5%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?1 searched athlete on google 2026 20260730195733 | Yes | 9.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?what will the median home value in the austin metro area be on september 30 20260630180633090 | No | 77.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?which film will get the most oscar nominations at the 99th academy awards | Yes | 13.0¢ | 5.8¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-55.4%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?where will rafael leao transfer 20260612222809594 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$3 (-50.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?core cpi yoy july 2026 20260714151811920 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-28.6%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?oscars 2027 best actress winner 20260727174350980 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-3.3%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?july inflation china annual | Yes | 36.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?where will emiliano martinez transfer 20260612234353773 | No | 38.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?core cpi yoy july 2026 20260714151811920 | No | 70.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?carly rae jepsen day and night first week album sales 20260629185320818 | No | 66.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391 | Yes | 67.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?highest grossing movie in 2026 | No | 9.0¢ | 9.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$1 (+5.6%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?core cpi mom july 2026 20260705181328287 | No | 64.1¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | No | 24.0¢ | 17.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-29.2%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | Yes | 82.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$41 (-100.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?oscars 2027 best actor winner 20260727174302919 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-12.9%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?july inflation us monthly 20260714151042665 | No | 70.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-7.1%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?2026 july 1st 2nd 3rd hottest on record 20260706144334512 | Yes | 84.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-7.1%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?spider man brand new day rotten tomatoes score 20260630144021976 | Yes | 87.0¢ | 84.7¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-2.7%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?ppi yoy july 2026 20260715201412025 | Yes | 29.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?will a chinese company have the best ai model by december 31 | No | 67.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 99.5 | 99.5 | -$67 (-100.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026 20260722231944202 | No | 47.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?bank of israel decision in september 20260710022159182 | Yes | 77.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-5.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?will base launch a token in 2025 341 | No | 92.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-1.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?how many emmys will beef win 20260730202918 | Yes | 51.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jason De Puy come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?big brother season 28 3rd place 20260708174910761 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 2.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-50.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?best chinese ai company end of september 20260717140852824 | No | 38.0¢ | 26.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-31.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026 | No | 52.9¢ | 45.7¢ | 70 | 70 | -$5 (-14.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | Yes | 29.0¢ | 22.1¢ | 100 | 150 | -$10 (-23.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | No | 35.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$6 (-11.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?oscars 2027 best actor winner 20260727174302919 | No | 87.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-5.7%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?emmys 2026 outstanding comedy series | No | 61.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?emmys 2026 outstanding guest actor in a drama series | Yes | 64.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?south korea gdp growth yoy in q3 2026 20260723231127764 | Yes | 24.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?what will the median home value in chicago metro be on september 30 20260630182405995 | Yes | 51.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?argentina annual inflation 2026 | No | 59.0¢ | 58.1¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-1.5%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?how many cities will waymo operate in by december 31 20260626203648850 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-29.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by | No | 48.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-4.2%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$7 (-10.7%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?2026 f1 drivers champion | No | 26.3¢ | 24.9¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-5.3%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 | No | 81.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$6 (-13.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?japan core core cpi yoy in 2026 20260617223728725 | No | 58.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-13.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?japan core core cpi yoy in 2026 20260617223728725 | Yes | 62.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 50 | 0 | -$6 (-19.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?mexico annual inflation 2026 | Yes | 49.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?july inflation us monthly 20260714151042665 | No | 35.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-2.9%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?which cities will russia enter by december 31 | No | 63.5¢ | 62.6¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-1.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 14.7¢ | 14.7¢ | 150 | 150 | -$2 (-7.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?eurovision 2027 city | Yes | 89.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | No | 11.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2 | No | 59.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$30 (-100.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 3.1¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-55.7%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? will t1 beat grok ai in 2026 | Yes | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-7.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$6 (-50.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?which streaming service will win the most emmys 20260710203956416 | No | 62.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$6 (-50.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?bulgaria presidential election | No | 41.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$7 (-34.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | Yes | 27.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$3 (-11.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?what will the median home value in the san francisco metro area be on september 30 20260630181308201 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$7 (-19.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?will russia capture all of chasiv yar by | Yes | 33.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?emmys 2026 outstanding realitycompetition series | Yes | 82.0¢ | 71.7¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-12.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?flut quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt52 | No | 38.0¢ | 27.5¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-27.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?july inflation us monthly 20260714151042665 | Yes | 63.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-2.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka byptptpt 20260706174556069 | No | 71.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-7.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?what will kevin warsh say during july press conference 20260720204109027 | Yes | 76.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-11.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?oscars 2027 best actress winner 20260727174350980 | No | 82.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?mlb 2026 nl east champion | No | 26.0¢ | 19.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-26.1%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?2nd largest company end of august 20260715202554129 | Yes | 65.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-15.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting?what will trump say during cabinet meeting 20260727172357435 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 75.7¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-5.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?what will trump say during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556632 | Yes | 74.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$13 (+35.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?what will trump say during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556632 | Yes | 40.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$30 (+150.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | No | 16.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 46.09 | 46.09 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?highest temperature in istanbul on july 29 2026 | No | 49.0¢ | 47.5¢ | 10 | 10 | -$0 (-3.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?anthropic ipo by | Yes | 37.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-18.9%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in august | Yes | 88.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-6.8%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29?highest temperature in panama city on july 29 2026 | No | 62.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$12 (-100.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?blast bounty 2026 season 2 winner 20260709030103861 | No | 51.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$25 (+96.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 18.0¢ | 9.8¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-45.6%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?mlb 2026 nl mvp | No | 41.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-7.3%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 36.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?what will trump say during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556632 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-12.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | Yes | 42.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-2.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 55.1¢ | 53.8¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-2.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?will any ai model reach overall arena score by september 30 | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$18 (+53.8%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | No | 90.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?mo salah next league | Yes | 19.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?lol worlds 2026 winning region 226 | No | 72.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?michigan democratic senate primary oakland county winner 20260721153909098 | No | 27.0¢ | 2.8¢ | 20 | 20 | -$5 (-89.6%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-21.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?which company has the best ai agent end of august 20260716210246314 | No | 82.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-3.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?largest company end of december 2026 | Yes | 56.0¢ | 53.0¢ | 150 | 150 | -$5 (-5.4%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 92.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?top spotify album 2026 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 40 | 40 | -$4 (-30.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 44.0¢ | 31.5¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-28.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | Yes | 58.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-20.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 74.0¢ | 70.5¢ | 40 | 40 | -$1 (-4.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 63.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-14.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 59.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-5.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?pro football 2027 champion 20260729185915366 | No | 93.8¢ | 93.1¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-0.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?what will be the 2 us netflix show this week 20260722151432248 | No | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?highest temperature in munich on july 28 2026 | No | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$7 (+58.7%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?bank of israel decision in august | Yes | 71.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?south korea gdp growth yoy in q3 2026 20260723231127764 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$4 (-42.9%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 11.0¢ | 8.9¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-19.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 80.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-3.8%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?next claude opus text arena debut 20260714204425670 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-6.7%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 29.8¢ | 40 | 40 | -$0 (-3.8%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 91.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-3.3%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-1.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?ci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 7pt6 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-7.8%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?highest temperature in san francisco on july 26 2026 | No | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$6 (+47.1%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93 | No | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | No | 25.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?elon musk of tweets july 25 july 27 | No | 55.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$11 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?will any ai model reach math arena score by december 31 | No | 58.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?top spotify album 2026 | No | 80.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-15.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-13.9%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22 | Yes | 94.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-9.6%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?wisconsin secretary of state republican primary winner 20260723203728903 | No | 35.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51 | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$4 (+8.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 85.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$6 (-12.9%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?highest temperature in madrid on july 26 2026 | No | 59.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 7.89 | 7.89 | -$5 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?bl2 dus bie | No | 62.4¢ | 0.0¢ | 57 | 57 | -$36 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?elon musk of tweets july 23 july 25 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$8 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?spacex starship flight test 13 | No | 12.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 41.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-14.6%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?will any ai model reach coding arena score by december 31 | No | 68.0¢ | 63.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-7.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93 | Yes | 94.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-9.6%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?highest temperature in chongqing on july 26 2026 | No | 53.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$9 (+88.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 68.25 | 68.25 | +$1 (+1.5%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 37.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-5.4%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?next chairman of the council of ministers of bosnia and herzegovina 20260702191248528 | No | 92.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-8.7%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 25?highest temperature in panama city on july 25 2026 | No | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$8 (+69.5%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?mar quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 3pt07 | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$4 (+26.6%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?total commitments for the ripcars public sale on metadao 20260720205129593 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$20 (+63.9%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-17.6%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?us economic state at the end of 2026 | No | 44.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-22.7%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 60 | 60 | +$5 (+8.7%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?tour de france 2026 white jersey 20260702205142928 | No | 47.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-17.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 20260626152655081 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 4.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-20.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?3rd largest company end of august 20260715203029875 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?2nd largest company end of july 20260624192727948 | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$5 (+11.1%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?ca 37 house election winner individual 20260710020839627 | No | 5.0¢ | 5.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?highest temperature in milan on july 25 2026 | No | 66.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-15.2%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?highest temperature in shenzhen on july 25 2026 | No | 64.0¢ | 58.3¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-9.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?highest temperature in hong kong on july 25 2026 | No | 72.0¢ | 69.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-4.2%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?mlb al manager of the year | Yes | 25.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 43.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?berlin state election winner | Yes | 33.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | No | 83.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$42 (-100.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | No | 90.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?highest temperature in milan on july 24 2026 | No | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$6 (+44.9%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 24?highest temperature in seattle on july 24 2026 | No | 64.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-4.7%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | No | 35.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | No | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-8.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?china annual gdp growth 2026 | Yes | 86.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-1.2%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 10.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-30.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?highest temperature in los angeles on july 24 2026 | Yes | 43.0¢ | 36.1¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-15.9%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-2.6%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?big brother season 28 winner 20260708173711844 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 5.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-16.7%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 23?highest temperature in toronto on july 23 2026 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-12.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?mlb 2026 al west champion | Yes | 55.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-5.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?highest temperature in austin on july 23 2026 | No | 67.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-7.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?emmys 2026 outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie 20260710151841405 | No | 32.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-6.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 23?highest temperature in toronto on july 23 2026 | No | 73.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+5.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$20 (+63.9%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 79.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-1.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?who will be the next prime minister of australia after the next election 20260610170604224 | No | 81.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-2.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | No | 85.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-7.1%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?where will bruno fernandes transfer 20260612223228777 | Yes | 92.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-7.6%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?uefa champions league 2027 champion 20260701202025549 | No | 87.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?next brazil senate election most seats won | Yes | 84.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?oh 10 house election winner | No | 23.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-30.4%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | No | 72.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?france united left primary winner | No | 9.0¢ | 4.3¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-52.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?highest temperature in los angeles on july 23 2026 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-24.4%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?houthis successfully target shipping byptptpt 20260708165455691 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-14.7%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?us economic state at the end of 2026 | Yes | 52.0¢ | 52.4¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (+0.8%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?zambia presidential election winner 20260604205247322 | No | 9.0¢ | 9.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date | Yes | 32.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?elon musk of tweets july 17 july 24 | No | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$19 (+58.7%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 73.3¢ | 73.1¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-0.3%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?iran invades kuwait byptptpt 20260720015031544 | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | 50 | 50 | -$0 (-33.3%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 23?highest temperature in wellington on july 23 2026 | Yes | 16.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-12.5%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 | No | 88.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-4.5%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 23?highest temperature in istanbul on july 23 2026 | No | 62.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 11.38 | 11.38 | -$7 (-100.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | No | 18.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$1 (+5.6%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?argentina presidential election winner | Yes | 46.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?what price will xauusd hit in july 2026 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$3 (+7.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by | Yes | 45.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 62.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?gpt 6 released by | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1.2¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+7.4%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?top artist in july 20260708185955937 | No | 6.0¢ | 2.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-64.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?highest temperature in wellington on july 23 2026 | No | 45.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-17.8%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?who will trump meet with in july 20260626153701904 | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$16 (+44.9%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?highest temperature in hong kong on july 22 2026 | No | 52.0¢ | 53.0¢ | 12 | 12 | +$0 (+1.9%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 46.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$23 (-100.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released onptptpt 20260626213101460 | No | 11.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-45.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 22?highest temperature in panama city on july 22 2026 | Yes | 38.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-13.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date | No | 68.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?highest temperature in london on july 21 2026 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-57.9%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?2026 july 1st 2nd 3rd hottest on record 20260706144334512 | No | 22.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$4 (-36.4%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?highest temperature in shenzhen on july 22 2026 | No | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8.3 | 8.3 | +$3 (+44.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 73.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$37 (-100.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?will samuel alito announce his retirement by | No | 93.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?highest temperature in wellington on july 22 2026 | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3.61 | 3.61 | +$2 (+132.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 22?highest temperature in chengdu on july 22 2026 | No | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$5 (+29.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 19.02 | 19.02 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?what price will spy hit in july 2026 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-23.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?laliga 2027 champion 20260701200737375 | No | 49.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-4.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?highest temperature in wuhan on july 22 2026 | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$7 (-100.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?3rd largest company end of august 20260715203029875 | No | 91.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-3.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?largest company end of june 712 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 149 | 149 | +$0 (+0.2%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 148.13 | 148.13 | +$0 (+0.1%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 | No | 98.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 146.71 | 146.71 | +$2 (+1.4%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 pter magyar sextape released by march 31 | Yes | 29.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-17.2%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?of views of mrbeast video day 6 | No | 32.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-3.1%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?lisa murkowski leaves the republican party in 2026 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 9.6¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-13.1%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?spx opens up or down on february 12 2026 | Down | 12.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-8.3%) | Feb 12, 2026 | |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?solv energy ipo closing market cap | No | 44.9¢ | 40.6¢ | 100 | 100 | -$4 (-9.6%) | Feb 12, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)dota2 1win avl | 1win | 75.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 35 | 35 | +$9 (+33.3%) | Feb 12, 2026 | |
| CEHL: Liberec vs. Trineccehl lib tri | Liberec | 54.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 112 | 112 | +$52 (+85.2%) | Feb 12, 2026 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?us x venezuela military engagement by | No | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 127.35 | 127.35 | +$2 (+1.4%) | Jan 16, 2026 | |
| Will Solana reach $350 in September?what price will solana hit in september | No | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 125.57 | 125.57 | +$1 (+0.4%) | Oct 31, 2025 | |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April?what price will solana hit in april | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 125.06 | 125.06 | +$0 (+0.1%) | Sep 20, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?what price will bitcoin hit by march 31 | No | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 124.81 | 124.81 | +$1 (+1.1%) | Apr 29, 2025 | |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?who will be inaugurated as president | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 123.57 | 123.57 | +$5 (+4.0%) | Mar 14, 2025 | |
| Devils vs. Kingsnhl nj lak | Kings | 51.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,805.02 | 1,805.02 | +$884 (+96.1%) | Jan 2, 2025 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?what price will bitcoin hit in november | No | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 118.87 | 118.87 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Dec 19, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | No | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$5 (+100.0%) | Nov 30, 2024 | |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | No | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 108.4 | 108.4 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Nov 30, 2024 | |
| GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?popular vote margin of victory in presidential election | No | 99.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,991.41 | 1,991.41 | +$16 (+0.8%) | Oct 6, 2024 | |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?fed rate cut by | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 47.8 | 47.8 | +$2 (+4.4%) | Oct 5, 2024 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?democratic nominee 2024 | No | 99.9¢ | 99.8¢ | 1,478 | 1,478 | -$1 (-0.1%) | Oct 5, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 45.2¢ | 10 | 10 | -$0 (-9.6%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?presidential election popular vote winner 2024 | No | 99.7¢ | 99.7¢ | 2,719.3 | 2,719.3 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?presidential election popular vote winner 2024 | No | 98.7¢ | 98.6¢ | 427.5 | 427.5 | -$0 (-0.1%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?presidential election popular vote winner 2024 | Yes | 67.2¢ | 67.2¢ | 598.7 | 598.7 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?presidential election popular vote winner 2024 | No | 99.9¢ | 99.8¢ | 417 | 417 | -$0 (-0.1%) | Aug 6, 2024 |