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0xf562...4099
0xf562eeafb9acee72ec28e335ca7307fc54ed4099
5.2
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $13.8K
90-Day Window5.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +10.6¢ · 16 resolved
- Hit rate
- 64.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $753.3 / $13.8K
- % return
- +2.0%
- Observations
- 39
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+24%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogSep 20
+24%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 1,536.96 | 83.6¢ | 92.0¢ | $1,414 | +$129 (+10.0%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 967.16 | 75.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $788 | +$57 (+7.8%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 2,390.99 | 22.3¢ | 27.5¢ | $658 | +$125 (+23.5%) |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 1,214.65 | 11.0¢ | 16.2¢ | $196 | +$62 (+46.5%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 157.23 | 72.0¢ | 81.5¢ | $128 | +$15 (+13.2%) |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 412.3 | 14.7¢ | 30.5¢ | $126 | +$65 (+108.0%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 66.46 | 42.7¢ | 50.0¢ | $33 | +$5 (+17.1%) |
| Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 86.46 | 1.3¢ | 6.2¢ | $5 | +$4 (+393.6%) |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 586.12 | 3.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $2 | -$17 (-90.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | Yes | 14.4¢ | 36.0¢ | 448.43 | 36.13 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 41.0¢ | 44.6¢ | 1,076.6 | 1,010.14 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 22.3¢ | — | 2,390.99 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 1.3¢ | — | 667.94 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 1,214.65 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | No | 83.6¢ | — | 1,536.96 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | Yes | 1.3¢ | — | 86.46 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | No | 67.4¢ | 80.0¢ | 349.27 | 349.27 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?usd x iranian rials end of december | Yes | 23.3¢ | 29.4¢ | 90 | 90 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 75.6¢ | 81.0¢ | 1,289.54 | 322.38 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?foreign intervention in gaza by | No | 73.4¢ | 87.4¢ | 2,029 | 2,029 | +$284 (+19.1%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 95.3¢ | 95.4¢ | 50.01 | 50 | — | Sep 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 91.7¢ | 96.2¢ | 366.84 | 366.84 | — | Sep 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 42.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 100 | 99.99 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by August 31?will usd hit iranian rials by august 31 20260728205801827 | No | 94.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,140.62 | 1,140.62 | +$58 (+5.3%) | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31?will usd hit iranian rials by august 31 20260728205801827 | No | 89.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 282.67 | 282.67 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | No | 72.0¢ | — | 157.23 | 0 | — | Aug 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by August 31?will usd hit iranian rials by august 31 20260728205801827 | No | 6.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 330 | 102.17 | — | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Philippines military clash before 2027?china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 | No | 71.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 280 | 280 | — | Aug 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | No | 38.3¢ | 41.0¢ | 548.19 | 548.19 | — | Aug 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 51.0¢ | 74.7¢ | 390 | 390 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | No | 70.0¢ | 81.0¢ | 930.16 | 930.16 | +$102 (+15.7%) | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 8.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 250 | 249.99 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 51.3¢ | 86.0¢ | 600 | 585.61 | +$210 (+68.3%) | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 1,610 | 1,610 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 90.4¢ | 95.0¢ | 1,036.77 | 1,046.29 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?largest company end of december 2026 | No | 43.5¢ | 51.4¢ | 959.63 | 959.63 | +$68 (+15.8%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 59.1¢ | 46.9¢ | 1,357.75 | 1,357.75 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | Yes | — | 12.0¢ | 0 | 1,315.31 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?largest company end of december 2026 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 770 | 770 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 4.3¢ | — | 423.68 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 23.1¢ | 200 | 200 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 28.41 | 28.41 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 13.9¢ | — | 793.12 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?european military action on iran byptptpt 20260720022428140 | Yes | 1.2¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?european military action on iran byptptpt 20260720022428140 | Yes | 5.9¢ | — | 978 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | Yes | — | 0.5¢ | 0 | 2,973.97 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?european military action on iran byptptpt 20260720022428140 | No | 91.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 400 | 400 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | — | 54.5¢ | 0 | 620 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 63.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 446.25 | 446.25 | +$54 (+19.1%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?iran invades kuwait byptptpt 20260720015031544 | No | 96.4¢ | 96.7¢ | 100 | 100 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 87.0¢ | 98.7¢ | 925.46 | 373.74 | +$117 (+14.5%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 590 | 590 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 40.5¢ | 70.8¢ | 1,740.8 | 1,740.8 | +$495 (+62.8%) | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Spread: France (-2.5)fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 more markets | France | 16.0¢ | — | 320 | 0 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will France win on 2026-07-18?fifwc fra eng | Yes | 57.0¢ | — | 521.2 | 0 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals AND Spread: France (-3.5) | Yes | 6.5¢ | — | 293.85 | 0 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 58.2¢ | 58.0¢ | 857.93 | 857.93 | — | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 85.8¢ | 96.2¢ | 1,900 | 1,900 | +$197 (+12.1%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | No | 83.7¢ | 94.4¢ | 6,286.91 | 6,286.91 | +$677 (+12.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | No | 93.0¢ | 102.4¢ | 2,307.7 | 2,307.7 | +$219 (+10.2%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 81.5¢ | 90.1¢ | 14,003.9 | 14,003.9 | +$1,209 (+10.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 86.0¢ | 92.1¢ | 1,357.72 | 1,357.72 | +$84 (+7.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?will usd hit iranian rials by may 31 | No | 88.9¢ | 95.5¢ | 1,563.3 | 1,563.3 | +$103 (+7.4%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by april 30 | No | 77.1¢ | 80.0¢ | 3,403.87 | 3,403.87 | +$100 (+3.8%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 34.6¢ | 40.2¢ | 1,354.99 | 1,354.99 | +$76 (+16.3%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 22.9¢ | 34.9¢ | 545 | 545 | +$66 (+52.5%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?what will the us agree to | No | 99.0¢ | 104.5¢ | 8,087.83 | 8,087.83 | +$442 (+5.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?what will the us agree to | No | 97.7¢ | 110.7¢ | 5,807.42 | 5,807.42 | +$757 (+13.3%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 85.5¢ | 89.1¢ | 5,092.23 | 5,092.23 | +$183 (+4.2%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?iran x israelus conflict ends by | No | 2.6¢ | 5.3¢ | 1,920 | 1,920 | +$51 (+102.3%) | Apr 19, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire by | No | 47.3¢ | 75.1¢ | 718.42 | 718.42 | +$200 (+58.7%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?us forces enter iran by | No | 60.0¢ | 62.9¢ | 2,499.99 | 2,499.99 | +$72 (+4.8%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31 | Yes | 15.9¢ | 35.1¢ | 1,998.61 | 1,998.61 | +$384 (+120.8%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | Yes | 11.7¢ | 20.6¢ | 1,130.32 | 1,130.32 | +$101 (+76.7%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?iran leadership change by | Yes | 10.0¢ | 12.7¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$54 (+27.1%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?will iran close the strait of hormuz by 2027 | No | 26.4¢ | 27.0¢ | 11,365.75 | 11,365.75 | +$63 (+2.1%) | Mar 14, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 60.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$60 (+20.0%) | Mar 10, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?who will be next supreme leader of iran 515 | No | 27.9¢ | 35.9¢ | 920 | 920 | +$74 (+28.8%) | Mar 8, 2026 | |
| Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?will usd hit iranian rials by march 31 | Yes | 46.9¢ | 79.0¢ | 387.74 | 387.74 | +$124 (+68.3%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?iran strikes israel on | Yes | 9.5¢ | 96.0¢ | 637.41 | 637.41 | +$551 (+912.6%) | Mar 6, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | Yes | 6.7¢ | 9.3¢ | 4,914.99 | 4,914.99 | +$127 (+38.6%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | Yes | 64.0¢ | 93.3¢ | 3,231.4 | 3,231.4 | +$949 (+45.9%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28 | Yes | 42.9¢ | 96.2¢ | 1,137.95 | 1,137.95 | +$606 (+124.1%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?usisrael strikes iran by | Yes | 52.0¢ | 65.7¢ | 1,536.98 | 1,536.98 | +$210 (+26.2%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?usisrael strikes iran by | Yes | 25.6¢ | 67.0¢ | 2,539.98 | 2,539.98 | +$1,052 (+161.9%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | Yes | 57.5¢ | 98.3¢ | 2,558.64 | 2,558.64 | +$1,044 (+70.9%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?usisrael strikes iran by | Yes | 75.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 461.07 | 461.07 | +$115 (+33.2%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?what price will ethereum hit in october 167 | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2.8¢ | 54,305.85 | 54,305.85 | +$386 (+33.9%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | No | 52.0¢ | 62.8¢ | 6,276.67 | 6,276.67 | +$676 (+20.7%) | Feb 8, 2026 | |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28 | No | 14.6¢ | 40.4¢ | 865.99 | 865.99 | +$224 (+177.4%) | Feb 6, 2026 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?usisrael strikes iran by | No | 37.5¢ | 57.7¢ | 2,256.35 | 2,256.35 | +$457 (+54.1%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 67.5¢ | 73.0¢ | 930.85 | 930.85 | +$50 (+8.0%) | Jan 17, 2026 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418 | No | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 383.45 | 383.45 | +$50 (+14.9%) | Jan 17, 2026 | |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?iran strike on israel by | No | 72.5¢ | 84.0¢ | 500.11 | 500.11 | +$57 (+15.8%) | Jan 16, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 66.0¢ | 86.2¢ | 758 | 758 | +$154 (+30.7%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 73.3¢ | 88.0¢ | 545 | 545 | +$80 (+20.0%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?what price will ethereum hit in november 2025 | Yes | 1.5¢ | 3.6¢ | 2,643.41 | 2,643.41 | +$55 (+141.3%) | Dec 1, 2025 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?what price will ethereum hit in november 2025 | Yes | 2.5¢ | 5.7¢ | 1,793.59 | 1,793.59 | +$57 (+126.8%) | Nov 4, 2025 | |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?champions league winner 2025 | Yes | 11.9¢ | 17.4¢ | 3,173.93 | 3,173.93 | +$173 (+45.8%) | May 7, 2025 |