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@flameron
0xf2ab1d55462e3417a4c6e91affbe787d9c3a97a4
5.6
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $177.5K
90-Day Window5.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +11.1¢ · 23 resolved
- Hit rate
- 72.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $741.6 / $177.5K
- % return
- +0.4%
- Observations
- 43
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 1,939.4 | 97.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,895 | -$1 (-0.1%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,600 | 84.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,352 | +$8 (+0.6%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 600 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $567 | +$9 (+1.6%) |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 356.92 | 79.1¢ | 74.5¢ | $266 | -$16 (-5.8%) |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 354.21 | 88.7¢ | 62.8¢ | $223 | -$92 (-29.2%) |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 105.52 | 54.6¢ | 40.0¢ | $42 | -$15 (-26.7%) |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3.78 | 82.0¢ | 97.5¢ | $4 | +$1 (+19.0%) |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 1.44 | 69.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $1 | +$0 (+20.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | No | 93.0¢ | 93.5¢ | 2,400 | 6,200 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 77.5¢ | 78.3¢ | 5,650 | 6,956.51 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?will china invade taiwan before 2027 | No | 95.8¢ | 96.5¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$210 (+0.6%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?will extended launch a token by | Yes | 78.3¢ | 74.9¢ | 262.84 | 1,742.87 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?will reza pahlavi lead iran in 2026 | No | — | 96.6¢ | 0 | 1,200 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | No | 98.5¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | — | Sep 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 92.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | — | Sep 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 87.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | — | Aug 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,982.45 | 1,816.45 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 96.4¢ | 97.5¢ | 3,400 | 3,400 | — | Aug 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?where will aurelien tchouameni transfer 20260612233725155 | Yes | 96.6¢ | 88.2¢ | 1,199.99 | 1,199.99 | — | Aug 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?will china invade taiwan by december 31 2027 | No | 86.9¢ | 88.7¢ | 1,556.33 | 2,368.43 | — | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.8¢ | 2,200 | 1,200 | — | Aug 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?will the us confirm that aliens exist before 2027 | No | 94.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | — | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?european military action on iran byptptpt 20260720022428140 | No | 99.2¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,100 | 2,000 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 99.7¢ | 99.5¢ | 3,000 | 2,200 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by July 31?iran leadership change by | No | 99.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 1,400 | 1,400 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?will china invade taiwan by june 30 2027 | No | 89.0¢ | 90.6¢ | 1,200 | 2,699.97 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?will cristiano ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026 | No | — | 88.6¢ | 0 | 193.43 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 92.1¢ | 91.3¢ | 649.99 | 2,495.63 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 92.8¢ | 95.2¢ | 5,600 | 1,000 | +$353 (+6.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | — | 99.9¢ | 0 | 1,000.16 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?extended fdv above one day after launch | Yes | — | 78.0¢ | 0 | 300 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 99.3¢ | — | 300 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 96.5¢ | 100.4¢ | 3,554.87 | 3,554.87 | +$136 (+4.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30?trump out as president by june 30 | No | 98.6¢ | 100.6¢ | 11,259.43 | 11,259.43 | +$224 (+2.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 98.8¢ | 101.6¢ | 8,905.23 | 8,905.23 | +$250 (+2.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 97.6¢ | 98.6¢ | 18,695.75 | 18,695.75 | +$179 (+1.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.4¢ | 61,018.75 | 61,018.75 | +$610 (+1.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?will russia invade a nato country in 2025 | No | 99.7¢ | 101.7¢ | 8,423.21 | 8,423.21 | +$166 (+2.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?largest company end of june 712 | Yes | 96.2¢ | 98.5¢ | 8,734.55 | 8,734.55 | +$200 (+2.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?will the iranian regime fall by may 31 | No | 98.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 37,406.99 | 37,406.99 | +$302 (+0.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.2¢ | 12,579.22 | 12,579.22 | +$163 (+1.3%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?will satoshi move any bitcoin in 2026 | No | 90.9¢ | 91.6¢ | 29,292.34 | 29,292.34 | +$204 (+0.8%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?will the iranian regime fall by april 30 | No | 96.8¢ | 98.3¢ | 10,200 | 10,200 | +$156 (+1.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.7¢ | 20,849.95 | 20,849.95 | +$170 (+0.8%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | No | 98.9¢ | 100.2¢ | 11,973.2 | 11,973.2 | +$154 (+1.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.2¢ | 47,797.47 | 47,797.47 | +$187 (+0.4%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?super bowl champion 2026 731 | Yes | 68.2¢ | 90.9¢ | 1,429.21 | 1,429.21 | +$325 (+33.3%) | Feb 9, 2026 | |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?epl not cry | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 434.78 | 434.78 | +$335 (+334.9%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Pelicans vs. 76ersnba nop phi | 76ers | 79.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 700 | 700 | +$147 (+26.6%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?lal esp ala | No | 51.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 392.16 | 392.16 | +$192 (+96.1%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Nets vs. Nuggetsnba bkn den | Nuggets | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 714.29 | 714.29 | +$214 (+42.9%) | Jan 30, 2026 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celticsnba por bos | Celtics | 72.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 700 | 700 | +$196 (+38.9%) | Jan 27, 2026 | |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)ufc son sea1 | O'Malley | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 400 | 400 | +$136 (+51.5%) | Jan 25, 2026 | |
| Nuggets vs. Bucksnba den mil | Nuggets | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 443.33 | 443.33 | +$297 (+203.1%) | Jan 24, 2026 | |
| Suns vs. Hawksnba phx atl | Hawks | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 509.29 | 509.29 | +$295 (+138.1%) | Jan 24, 2026 | |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?uel fen1 ast4 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 441.18 | 441.18 | +$291 (+194.2%) | Jan 23, 2026 | |
| Raptors vs. Warriorsnba tor gsw | Raptors | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 250 | 250 | +$150 (+150.0%) | Jan 21, 2026 | |
| Spurs vs. Rocketsnba sas hou | Rockets | 60.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 980 | 980 | +$392 (+66.7%) | Jan 21, 2026 | |
| Suns vs. 76ersnba phx phi | Suns | 50.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 657.96 | 657.96 | +$323 (+96.4%) | Jan 21, 2026 | |
| Thunder vs. Heatnba okc mia | Heat | 23.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 434.78 | 434.78 | +$335 (+334.9%) | Jan 18, 2026 | |
| Hornets vs. Lakersnba cha lal | Hornets | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 250 | 250 | +$145 (+138.1%) | Jan 16, 2026 | |
| Kraken vs. Devilsnhl sea nj | Devils | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 526.32 | 526.32 | +$226 (+75.5%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Lightning vs. Flyersnhl tb phi | Lightning | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 550 | 550 | +$149 (+37.0%) | Jan 13, 2026 | |
| 49ers vs. Eaglesnfl sf phi | 49ers | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 400.91 | 400.91 | +$269 (+203.1%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Rockets vs. Kingsnba hou sac | Kings | 17.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 294.12 | 294.12 | +$244 (+488.5%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Bills vs. Jaguarsnfl buf jax | Bills | 51.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 396.47 | 396.47 | +$193 (+94.6%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolvesnba sas min | Timberwolves | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 350 | 350 | +$154 (+78.6%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Mavericks vs. Jazznba dal uta | Jazz | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$201 (+203.0%) | Jan 9, 2026 | |
| Lakers vs. Pelicansnba lal nop | Lakers | 65.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 615.38 | 615.38 | +$215 (+53.9%) | Jan 7, 2026 | |
| Lions vs. Bearsnfl det chi | Lions | 37.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 310.81 | 310.81 | +$196 (+170.3%) | Jan 5, 2026 | |
| 76ers vs. Grizzliesnba phi mem | 76ers | 52.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 384.62 | 384.62 | +$185 (+92.3%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Spurs vs. Thundernba sas okc | Spurs | 21.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 274.46 | 274.46 | +$215 (+365.3%) | Dec 26, 2025 | |
| 49ers vs. Coltsnfl sf ind | 49ers | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 579.83 | 579.83 | +$180 (+45.0%) | Dec 23, 2025 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?elon musk of tweets november 4 november 11 | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 596.47 | 596.47 | +$158 (+36.1%) | Nov 12, 2025 | |
| Penguins vs. Devilsnhl pit nj | Devils | 64.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 1,062.5 | 1,062.5 | +$372 (+54.7%) | Nov 8, 2025 | |
| Blues vs. Sabresnhl stl buf | Blues | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,195.65 | 1,195.65 | +$646 (+117.4%) | Nov 7, 2025 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicksnba min nyk | Knicks | 60.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,250 | 1,250 | +$500 (+66.7%) | Nov 6, 2025 | |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazersnba lal por | Lakers | 43.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,027.31 | 1,027.31 | +$576 (+128.1%) | Nov 4, 2025 | |
| Stars vs. Panthersnhl dal fla | Panthers | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 741.07 | 741.07 | +$326 (+78.6%) | Nov 2, 2025 | |
| Raptors vs. Mavericksnba tor dal | Mavericks | 53.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 388.68 | 388.68 | +$183 (+88.7%) | Oct 27, 2025 |