◆ Contact Dossier
@tunatyler
0xf1f9a438f2697381b4ac8eb283d6f4dd772d1245
7.7
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $119.7K
90-Day Window7.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.2¢ · 57 resolved
- Hit rate
- 47.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $59.4K / $119.7K
- % return
- +33.6%
- Observations
- 67
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+27%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
5W · 0L5 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No23.9¢ → 100.0¢+319%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes24.2¢ → 100.0¢+313%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes25.8¢ → 100.0¢+288%
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes39.2¢ → 100.0¢+155%
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No85.9¢ → 100.0¢+16%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 180,678.37 | 3.0¢ | 2.8¢ | $4,969 | -$428 (-7.9%) |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 113,000 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $57 | -$810 (-93.5%) |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 105,823.99 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $159 | -$755 (-82.6%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 49,232.15 | 8.6¢ | 14.9¢ | $7,360 | +$3,100 (+72.8%) |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40,000 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $260 | -$100 (-27.8%) |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34,659.27 | 1.6¢ | 2.5¢ | $884 | +$345 (+64.0%) |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 32,332.7 | 2.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $339 | -$323 (-48.7%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 28,491.37 | 2.7¢ | 10.4¢ | $2,977 | +$2,197 (+281.4%) |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26,142.35 | 6.0¢ | 5.1¢ | $1,320 | -$245 (-15.6%) |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25,000 | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | $375 | +$175 (+87.5%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 20,000.07 | 46.4¢ | 65.5¢ | $13,100 | +$3,825 (+41.2%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18,000.25 | 46.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $15,030 | +$6,695 (+80.3%) |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17,918.34 | 2.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $367 | -$70 (-16.0%) |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 16,021.98 | 53.0¢ | 66.1¢ | $10,591 | +$2,098 (+24.7%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 11,500 | 45.2¢ | 39.5¢ | $4,543 | -$657 (-12.6%) |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9,999.99 | 58.6¢ | 39.8¢ | $3,975 | -$1,890 (-32.2%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8,823.61 | 42.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $3,750 | +$0 (+0.0%) |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8,761.27 | 51.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $6,440 | +$1,961 (+43.8%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 8,289.55 | 63.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $6,093 | +$835 (+15.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,499.99 | 55.0¢ | 61.5¢ | $4,612 | +$488 (+11.8%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,499.98 | 64.0¢ | 73.5¢ | $5,512 | +$713 (+14.8%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | Yes | 6,999.99 | 17.0¢ | 21.5¢ | $1,505 | +$315 (+26.5%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6,976.26 | 49.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $3,872 | +$429 (+12.5%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6,499.98 | 70.2¢ | 64.5¢ | $4,192 | -$372 (-8.2%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,452.18 | 40.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $4,162 | +$1,577 (+61.0%) |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 5,569.6 | 9.0¢ | 14.5¢ | $810 | +$307 (+60.8%) |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 5,457.35 | 88.0¢ | 87.0¢ | $4,748 | -$55 (-1.1%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 4,999.99 | 42.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $2,125 | +$25 (+1.2%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | No | 4,827.36 | 53.0¢ | 53.5¢ | $2,583 | +$24 (+0.9%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | Yes | 4,473.72 | 32.1¢ | 24.5¢ | $1,096 | -$341 (-23.7%) |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4,000 | 59.0¢ | 54.5¢ | $2,180 | -$180 (-7.6%) |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 4,000 | 58.0¢ | 50.5¢ | $2,020 | -$300 (-12.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,999.99 | 83.0¢ | 87.0¢ | $3,480 | +$160 (+4.8%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,822.88 | 74.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,498 | +$409 (+19.6%) |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1,936.58 | 65.0¢ | 72.0¢ | $1,394 | +$136 (+10.8%) |
| Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election? | Yes | 1,586.24 | 36.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $16 | -$555 (-97.2%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,045.35 | 53.0¢ | 67.5¢ | $706 | +$152 (+27.4%) |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 532.47 | 48.0¢ | 63.5¢ | $338 | +$83 (+32.3%) |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | No | 443.98 | 58.0¢ | 79.5¢ | $353 | +$95 (+37.1%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 425.21 | 36.7¢ | 55.5¢ | $236 | +$80 (+51.0%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | No | 398.47 | 33.0¢ | 24.0¢ | $96 | -$36 (-27.2%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 360.5 | 53.0¢ | 67.5¢ | $243 | +$52 (+27.4%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? | Yes | 272.98 | 44.3¢ | 48.5¢ | $132 | +$11 (+9.4%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 209.42 | 42.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $135 | +$47 (+53.6%) |
| Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 99.37 | 30.0¢ | 6.6¢ | $7 | -$23 (-78.2%) |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 26.0¢ | 16.0¢ | $2 | -$2 (-38.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?iowa senate election winner | Yes | 42.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 5,000 | 1,176.38 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | 59.4¢ | 86.6¢ | 11,999.99 | 4,000 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?brazil presidential election first round winner | No | 85.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,499.99 | 0 | +$1,197 (+16.4%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?mi 04 house election winner | Yes | 48.0¢ | — | 22.98 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?next croat president of bosnia and herzegovina | Yes | 30.0¢ | — | 99.37 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 6,199.99 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?brazil presidential election first round margin of victory | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 3,999.97 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?nevada governor winner 2026 | Yes | 52.0¢ | — | 3,999.49 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?republika srpska presidential election 2026 | Yes | 36.0¢ | — | 1,586.24 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | No | 23.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,499.96 | 0 | +$3,425 (+318.7%) | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 1,814.31 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 28.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,505.44 | 0 | +$5,234 (+154.8%) | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israeli legislative election winner | Yes | 58.0¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?stpt petersburg mayoral election winner 20260624160811880 | Yes | — | 88.0¢ | 0 | 42.65 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?brazil presidential election first round winner | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 0 | +$2,228 (+288.3%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 24.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 0 | +$3,788 (+312.5%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israeli legislative election winner | No | 59.0¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?russia elections united russia wins every region | Yes | 66.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,816.88 | 7,816.88 | +$2,599 (+49.8%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election turnout | Yes | 62.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,949.99 | 1,949.99 | +$723 (+59.0%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election turnout | No | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 887.99 | 887.99 | +$302 (+51.5%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?how many seats will united russia win in the next russian legislative election | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 590.6 | 590.6 | +$254 (+75.4%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?how many seats will united russia win in the next russian legislative election | Yes | 11.0¢ | 10.7¢ | 2,008.83 | 2,008.83 | -$6 (-2.7%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Falcons vs. Packersnfl atl gb | Falcons | 31.0¢ | 95.8¢ | 6,451.61 | 5,160.73 | +$4,181 (+209.1%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30 | No | 26.7¢ | 22.0¢ | 6,300 | 6,300 | -$298 (-17.7%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?trump x greenland deal signed by december 31 | No | 10.7¢ | 0.9¢ | 7,499.98 | 7,499.98 | -$732 (-91.6%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?trump x greenland deal signed by december 31 | No | 35.4¢ | 3.0¢ | 1,558.49 | 1,558.49 | -$505 (-91.5%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election spd vote share | Yes | 91.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$173 (+9.5%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 89.0¢ | 84.5¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | -$135 (-5.1%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 77.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,514.91 | 24,514.91 | +$5,450 (+28.6%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?sweden parliamentary election sd vote share 20260812172636420 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$6 (+138.1%) | Sep 19, 2026 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 76.3¢ | 72.9¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | -$120 (-4.5%) | Sep 19, 2026 | |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?sweden parliamentary election 2nd place | No | 19.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,332.99 | 3,332.99 | +$2,696 (+425.8%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?sweden parliamentary election more votes to sd or m 20260812170140800 | M | 27.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,040.17 | 3,040.17 | +$2,191 (+259.1%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?how many dissent at the september fed meeting | Yes | 34.2¢ | 93.1¢ | 4,708.32 | 4,708.32 | +$2,778 (+172.8%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$1,943 (+14.9%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?sweden parliamentary election 2nd place | Yes | 24.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$1,891 (+311.6%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 52.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 16.42 | 16.42 | -$1 (-11.5%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | No | 26.2¢ | 11.6¢ | 1,749.97 | 1,749.97 | -$256 (-55.9%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 16.1¢ | 10.6¢ | 29,999.99 | 29,999.99 | -$1,659 (-34.3%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Raysmlb hou tb | Tampa Bay Rays | 58.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 877.19 | 877.19 | +$366 (+71.8%) | Sep 13, 2026 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?laptop fdv above one day after launch | No | 65.3¢ | 71.0¢ | 6,272.74 | 6,272.74 | +$360 (+8.8%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?laptop fdv above one day after launch | No | 34.3¢ | 42.0¢ | 7,499.99 | 7,499.99 | +$575 (+22.3%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?laptop fdv above one day after launch | No | 22.1¢ | 3.5¢ | 5,530 | 5,530 | -$1,027 (-84.2%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?nh 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 7.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,400 | 3,400 | -$247 (-100.0%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?nh 01 republican primary winner | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,301.72 | 1,301.72 | -$195 (-100.0%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?nh 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 17.4¢ | 93.0¢ | 5,633.98 | 5,633.98 | +$4,260 (+435.1%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0.8¢ | 33,789.27 | 33,789.27 | -$391 (-60.3%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 7.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,953.37 | 1,953.37 | -$137 (-100.1%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,571.43 | 3,571.43 | -$103 (-100.1%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?fl 09 republican primary winner | Yes | 9.6¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,226.17 | 6,226.17 | -$597 (-100.0%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | Yes | 20.5¢ | 16.3¢ | 8,584.24 | 8,584.24 | -$363 (-20.6%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.3¢ | -0.5¢ | 42,921.33 | 42,921.33 | -$1,216 (-123.1%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 91.3¢ | 89.6¢ | 6,500 | 6,500 | -$110 (-1.9%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?what will kevin warsh say during july press conference 20260720204109027 | Yes | 21.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$422 (-100.0%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 0.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 9,500 | 9,500 | -$77 (-100.7%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,499.91 | 3,499.91 | -$875 (-100.0%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?who will be the democratic nominee in the maine senate race on july 27 20260706182929391 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$40 (-100.0%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | No | 31.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$310 (-100.0%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?oklahoma governor republican primary winner | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | +$735 (+96.1%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 97.7¢ | 93.9¢ | 2,511.64 | 2,511.64 | -$96 (-3.9%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7.9 | 7.9 | +$2 (+25.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 82.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,039 | 1,039 | +$186 (+21.8%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | No | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,845.15 | 2,845.15 | +$967 (+51.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 68.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,539.01 | 7,539.01 | +$2,388 (+46.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 76.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$701 (+30.5%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 76.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,086.98 | 2,086.98 | +$486 (+30.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?what will trump say during the white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255806 | Yes | 77.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,090.11 | 3,090.11 | +$703 (+29.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 443.99 | 443.99 | +$253 (+132.6%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,777.78 | 2,777.78 | +$750 (+37.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | Yes | 61.9¢ | 58.0¢ | 4,155.24 | 4,155.24 | -$162 (-6.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 23.8¢ | 17.7¢ | 19,916.08 | 19,916.08 | -$1,218 (-25.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 87.3¢ | 94.9¢ | 39,808.29 | 39,808.29 | +$3,024 (+8.7%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 33.6¢ | 32.0¢ | 71,944.12 | 71,944.12 | -$1,148 (-4.7%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 33.2¢ | 26.7¢ | 18,499.99 | 18,499.99 | -$1,201 (-19.5%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 95.1¢ | 97.2¢ | 82,859.91 | 82,859.91 | +$1,766 (+2.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?peru election 2nd round margin of victory | Yes | 72.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 228 | 228 | +$62 (+37.4%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 83.0¢ | 85.8¢ | 26,977.74 | 26,977.74 | +$746 (+3.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 11.8¢ | 7.0¢ | 44,861.16 | 44,861.16 | -$2,140 (-40.6%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 19.7¢ | 3.6¢ | 27,004.69 | 27,004.69 | -$4,342 (-81.6%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 86.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$660 (+15.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | No | 57.5¢ | 77.2¢ | 3,999.98 | 3,999.98 | +$788 (+34.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 15.0¢ | 10.7¢ | 8,500 | 8,500 | -$361 (-28.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 65.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 16,000 | 16,000 | +$801 (+7.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | No | 53.7¢ | 60.2¢ | 7,514.93 | 7,514.93 | +$485 (+12.0%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 4,758.82 | 4,758.82 | +$143 (+37.5%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 42.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | +$900 (+42.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 70.3¢ | 105.7¢ | 38,315.08 | 38,315.08 | +$13,553 (+50.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 27.0¢ | 35.4¢ | 1,499.96 | 1,499.96 | +$126 (+31.0%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 102.8¢ | 2,130.97 | 2,130.97 | +$486 (+28.5%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,600 | 1,600 | +$976 (+156.4%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | No | 62.5¢ | 78.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$1,546 (+24.7%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | No | 37.6¢ | 24.0¢ | 8,999.97 | 8,999.97 | -$1,231 (-36.4%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | No | 82.0¢ | 95.8¢ | 3,999.97 | 3,999.97 | +$553 (+16.8%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | No | 19.2¢ | 7.7¢ | 9,999.95 | 9,999.95 | -$1,148 (-59.8%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?what iranian demands will trump agree to by may 31 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 11.3¢ | 5,034.54 | 5,034.54 | -$89 (-13.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?next prime minister of denmark after parliamentary election | Yes | 12.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,499.86 | 4,499.86 | -$570 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 7.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$107 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by may 31 945 | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,222.02 | 1,222.02 | -$142 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Thunder vs. Spursnba okc sas | Thunder | 33.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,040.47 | 6,040.47 | -$2,039 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysmlb laa tb | Tampa Bay Rays | 23.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 434.78 | 434.78 | -$102 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?la mayoral election first round winner | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0.7¢ | 9,999.87 | 9,999.87 | -$1,529 (-95.6%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by may 31 | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 703.92 | 703.92 | -$20 (-100.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 9.6¢ | 25.8¢ | 15,124.42 | 15,124.42 | +$2,458 (+169.5%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?who will advance from the california governor primary | No | 96.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | +$122 (+3.6%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 22.0¢ | 41.3¢ | 3,126.13 | 3,126.13 | +$603 (+87.7%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | No | 68.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$300 (+17.6%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?who will advance from the california governor primary | No | 24.9¢ | 9.0¢ | 5,110 | 5,110 | -$815 (-63.9%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?who will advance from the california governor primary | Yes | 28.8¢ | 10.3¢ | 5,500 | 5,500 | -$1,017 (-64.2%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?claude mythos released by | No | 14.0¢ | 4.9¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | -$272 (-64.7%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?claude mythos released by | No | 7.7¢ | 4.0¢ | 4,399.99 | 4,399.99 | -$164 (-48.3%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?claude mythos released by | No | 47.1¢ | 4.0¢ | 3,749.99 | 3,749.99 | -$1,615 (-91.5%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?california governor election 2026 | Yes | 17.8¢ | 1.8¢ | 17,759.39 | 17,759.39 | -$2,849 (-90.1%) | Jun 9, 2026 |