◆ Contact Dossier
@BigRabbit
0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a
4.9
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $744.3K
30-Day Window7.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.4¢ · 121 resolved
- Hit rate
- 48.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $25.3K / $306.1K
- % return
- +11.4%
- Observations
- 142
90-Day Window4.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.0¢ · 338 resolved
- Hit rate
- 39.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$109.5K / $744.3K
- % return
- -13.4%
- Observations
- 372
Dive Profile
Net Catch · 90D
-$101,056
Depth = mark-to-market P/L90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 250,000 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,125 | -$375 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 102,299.48 | 13.9¢ | 15.3¢ | $15,652 | +$1,397 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100,916.01 | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | $2,472 | -$249 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 100,000 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $250 | -$50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 88,670.85 | 23.8¢ | 22.1¢ | $19,641 | -$1,503 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50,000 | 1.5¢ | 1.9¢ | $975 | +$250 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 49,060.04 | 1.3¢ | 1.4¢ | $662 | +$25 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 29,702.13 | 73.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $21,534 | -$139 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25,000 | 1.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $313 | -$63 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25,000 | 1.6¢ | 1.6¢ | $388 | -$13 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 24,860.53 | 22.0¢ | 13.5¢ | $3,356 | -$2,122 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22,941.08 | 5.5¢ | 5.3¢ | $1,204 | -$57 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22,935.44 | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | $654 | +$11 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 19,999.71 | 20.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $190 | -$3,800 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 19,146.73 | 60.3¢ | 57.5¢ | $11,009 | -$539 |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | Yes | 17,962.07 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $1,527 | -$86 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15,219.76 | 34.4¢ | 21.5¢ | $3,272 | -$1,958 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 10,000 | 56.0¢ | 48.5¢ | $4,850 | -$750 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 9,999.99 | 4.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $245 | -$199 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? | Yes | 9,987.35 | 10.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $40 | -$987 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 22.0¢ | 30.5¢ | $1,525 | +$425 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 20.0¢ | 13.5¢ | $675 | -$325 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 2,500 | 29.0¢ | 31.5¢ | $788 | +$63 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 2,499.99 | 4.8¢ | 3.2¢ | $80 | -$40 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Yes | 2,499.99 | 26.8¢ | 0.8¢ | $20 | -$650 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? | Yes | 2,499.94 | 17.2¢ | 0.6¢ | $15 | -$415 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,857.03 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | $121 | +$9 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 1,222.87 | 26.8¢ | 68.0¢ | $832 | +$504 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | Yes | 1,000 | 46.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $9 | -$451 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 955.67 | 15.0¢ | 16.5¢ | $158 | +$14 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 723.02 | 35.0¢ | 39.5¢ | $286 | +$33 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? | Yes | 5.25 | 4.8¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 5.01 | 67.0¢ | 89.5¢ | $4 | +$1 |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | — | 20.4¢ | 0 | 15,219.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.3¢ | — | 2,163.69 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | — | 1.9¢ | 0 | 50,000 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | — | 12.7¢ | 0 | 30,000.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.8¢ | — | 10,335.38 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.0¢ | — | 1,038.64 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6.0¢ | — | 2,176.72 | 0 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 15.0¢ | — | 955.67 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22.0¢ | — | 5,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 56.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | — | 62.6¢ | 0 | 10,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 12.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | No | 62.0¢ | — | 2,500 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 29.0¢ | — | 2,500 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | — | 93.0¢ | 0 | 14,999.57 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | — | 12.0¢ | 0 | 10,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | — | 48.4¢ | 0 | 5,000 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.4¢ | — | 25,916.03 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 35.0¢ | — | 723.02 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 26.8¢ | — | 965.88 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.3¢ | — | 100,000 | 0 | Jun 21, 2026 |