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0xded2...4a85
0xded267f3884d69574ee8d6c5be05b71166cd4a85
5.2
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $283.2
90-Day Window5.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.3¢ · 45 resolved
- Hit rate
- 40.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$9.5 / $283.2
- % return
- -6.5%
- Observations
- 80
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-2.2%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
0W · 5L5 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No56.0¢ → 41.4¢-26%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No62.0¢ → 30.0¢-52%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No68.0¢ → 28.0¢-59%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No47.0¢ → 19.0¢-60%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · No56.0¢ → 15.0¢-73%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | No | 6 | 73.0¢ | 75.0¢ | $5 | +$0 (+2.7%) |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | 90.0¢ | $5 | +$1 (+25.0%) |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | No | 5 | 50.0¢ | 81.0¢ | $4 | +$2 (+62.0%) |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | 84.0¢ | $4 | +$2 (+86.7%) |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | No | 4 | 80.0¢ | 89.5¢ | $4 | +$0 (+11.9%) |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | No | 4 | 75.0¢ | 77.5¢ | $3 | +$0 (+3.3%) |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 4 | 64.0¢ | 73.0¢ | $3 | +$0 (+14.1%) |
| Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | Yes | 4 | 73.0¢ | 75.5¢ | $3 | +$0 (+3.4%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | 4 | 75.0¢ | 87.0¢ | $3 | +$0 (+16.0%) |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | No | 3 | 41.0¢ | 43.0¢ | $1 | +$0 (+4.9%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | No | 3 | 62.0¢ | 93.6¢ | $3 | +$1 (+51.0%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | No | 3 | 47.0¢ | 46.0¢ | $1 | -$0 (-2.1%) |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 3 | 44.0¢ | 82.0¢ | $2 | +$1 (+86.4%) |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? | No | 3 | 67.0¢ | 69.0¢ | $2 | +$0 (+3.0%) |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3 | 75.0¢ | 74.0¢ | $2 | -$0 (-1.3%) |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? | No | 2.5 | 84.0¢ | 99.2¢ | $2 | +$0 (+18.0%) |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | Yes | 2 | 71.0¢ | 78.5¢ | $2 | +$0 (+10.6%) |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? | Yes | 2 | 71.0¢ | 45.0¢ | $1 | -$1 (-36.6%) |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 2 | 62.5¢ | 61.4¢ | $1 | -$0 (-1.8%) |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? | No | 2 | 63.0¢ | 78.0¢ | $2 | +$0 (+23.8%) |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | No | 1.5 | 62.0¢ | 98.4¢ | $1 | +$1 (+58.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?us reissues iran oil sales sanction relief byptptpt 20260708142359046 | No | 56.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 6 | 6 | -$2 (-73.2%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 62.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$1 (-51.6%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 47.0¢ | 32.4¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-26.1%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | No | 68.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$1 (-58.8%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 47.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$1 (-59.6%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 80.0¢ | — | 4 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?clacton by election turnout 20260717155703438 | No | 45.5¢ | 37.5¢ | 10 | 10 | -$1 (-17.8%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 62.5¢ | — | 2 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?third best ai lab end of august 20260720230611802 | No | 50.0¢ | — | 5 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 46.5¢ | 29.0¢ | 6 | 3 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?second best ai lab end of august 20260720230627650 | No | 48.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-41.7%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?largest company end of august 20260715202138598 | Yes | 75.0¢ | — | 4 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 69.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$0 (-10.1%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | No | 68.2¢ | 77.2¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+12.7%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 75.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$0 (-2.7%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 72.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 8 | 8 | +$0 (+1.4%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 62.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 6 | 3 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 46.5¢ | 40.0¢ | 6 | 6 | -$0 (-14.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?will ukraine target moscow byptptpt 20260727233336447 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 84.6¢ | 3 | 3 | +$0 (+5.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | No | 64.0¢ | — | 4 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925 | No | 48.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$1 (-37.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?foreign intervention in gaza by | No | 83.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 1.34 | 0.67 | +$0 (+6.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?nato downs another russian drone byptptpt 20260726214930818 | Yes | 69.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 2 | 2 | -$0 (-18.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 59.0¢ | 53.5¢ | 6 | 6 | -$0 (-9.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?3rd largest company end of august 20260715203029875 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$2 (-47.5%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673 | No | 67.0¢ | — | 3 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | No | 61.0¢ | 84.3¢ | 4 | 4 | +$1 (+38.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?situational awareness announces fund wind down byptptpt 20260730181230095 | No | 84.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 5 | 2.5 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?us x cuba diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260616212816384 | No | 79.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 3.83 | 3.83 | +$0 (+5.0%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?gpt 6 released by | No | 75.4¢ | 80.9¢ | 14 | 9 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?fl 20 democratic primary winner | Yes | 73.0¢ | — | 4 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?us effective tariff rate for q2 2026 20260722202055493 | Yes | 83.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 6 | 6 | +$0 (+8.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?what will kevin warsh say during july press conference 20260720204109027 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 12 | 12 | -$5 (-60.3%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?clacton by election turnout 20260717155703438 | No | 63.0¢ | — | 2 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?moscow air traffic suspended byptptpt 20260720160042592 | Yes | 74.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$0 (-10.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 82.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 4 | 2 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump post "Communist" on Truth Social this week?what will trump post this week july 27 august 2 20260724154919527 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 3 | 3 | +$1 (+37.5%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 47.0¢ | — | 3 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?greater manchester mayoral election margin of victory 20260703224447578 | Yes | 84.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 4 | 4 | +$0 (+1.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?massachusetts democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 71.0¢ | — | 2 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?clacton by election turnout 20260717155703438 | No | 78.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+15.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?mexico gdp growth in q2 2026 | No | 66.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 6 | 6 | -$0 (-12.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?best ai model on august 10 20260724144642842 | Yes | 78.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$2 (-51.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 49.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$0 (-6.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?gpt 6 released by | No | 73.0¢ | — | 6 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 62.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 3 | 1.5 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 67.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 4 | 2 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 76.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$0 (-1.3%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 82.8¢ | 68.7¢ | 17 | 17 | -$2 (-17.3%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 77.5¢ | 81.3¢ | 8 | 8 | -$0 (-1.9%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 75.6¢ | 74.5¢ | 13 | 10 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 3 | 1.5 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 42.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$2 (-83.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | Yes | 53.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$0 (-20.8%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?next claude opus released onptptpt 20260714203533730 | No | 75.0¢ | 80.3¢ | 6 | 6 | +$0 (+7.1%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | No | 46.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 8 | 8 | -$1 (-21.7%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?will trump publicly insult someone onptptpt 20260630182730878 | Yes | 84.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+8.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260629155934230 | No | 67.0¢ | 51.1¢ | 5 | 8 | -$1 (-16.4%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?us lifts caatsa sanctions on turkey byptptpt 20260708213004784 | No | 77.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$2 (+19.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?bank of korea decision in august | Yes | 75.0¢ | — | 3 | 0 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?what will kevin warsh say during july press conference 20260720204109027 | No | 64.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$1 (-45.3%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?who will trump meet with in july 20260626153701904 | No | 64.8¢ | 30.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$2 (-53.7%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?minnesota governor republican primary winner | Yes | 44.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 6 | 3 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?how many 6pt5 or above earthquakes july 20 july 26 20260718184921053 | No | 56.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 10 | 10 | -$1 (-23.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of july 20260626214740664 | No | 66.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$0 (-1.5%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?will russia enter vasylivka by | No | 68.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$2 (-73.5%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?bank of korea decision in august | No | 75.0¢ | — | 4 | 0 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 2 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?will trump publicly insult someone onptptpt 20260630182730878 | Yes | 82.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-18.3%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 2.5 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | Yes | 68.0¢ | 95.9¢ | 4 | 4 | +$1 (+23.4%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | No | 64.0¢ | 80.1¢ | 6 | 6 | +$1 (+25.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?how many 5pt5 or above earthquakes july 20 july 26 20260718184830018 | No | 83.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 13 | 13 | -$1 (-4.8%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?usd x iranian rials end of july 20260626151916139 | No | 42.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 9 | 9 | -$0 (-9.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?houthis successfully target shipping byptptpt 20260708165455691 | No | 44.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$0 (-9.1%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?minnesota governor republican primary winner | No | 45.0¢ | — | 5 | 0 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?what will trump post this week july 20 july 26 20260717143433877 | Yes | 63.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 7 | 7 | +$2 (+42.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?elon musk net worth on july 31 20260629141452413 | No | 60.1¢ | 51.2¢ | 10 | 10 | -$1 (-14.8%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 2 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 43.0¢ | — | 6 | 0 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | No | 70.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 4 | 4 | +$1 (+20.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | Yes | 72.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+2.8%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?cyclosporiasis cases in uptspt by july 31 20260714155955473 | No | 47.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 7 | 7 | -$0 (-4.3%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | No | 46.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$1 (-54.3%) | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 68.2¢ | 16.1¢ | 5 | 5 | -$3 (-76.4%) | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?next google gemini pro model released onptptpt 20260626213101460 | No | 49.3¢ | 66.5¢ | 10 | 20 | +$3 (+27.5%) | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | No | 77.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+29.9%) | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?us reissues iran oil sales sanction relief byptptpt 20260708142359046 | No | 75.0¢ | 84.5¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+12.7%) | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?minnesota governor republican primary winner | No | 74.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$0 (-2.7%) | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 52.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 4 | 4 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?trump declassifies new ufo files byptptpt 20260710184334563 | Yes | 71.0¢ | — | 2 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 42.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 3 | 3 | -$0 (-4.8%) | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | No | 45.0¢ | — | 3 | 0 | — | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?avgpt of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of july 20260626153158273 | No | 54.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 8 | 8 | -$2 (-48.1%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 71.0¢ | 48.6¢ | 8 | 8 | -$2 (-31.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?will trump publicly insult someone onptptpt 20260630182730878 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 81.5¢ | 4 | 4 | +$1 (+33.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 67.4¢ | 67.3¢ | 5 | 5 | -$0 (-0.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | Yes | 43.4¢ | 42.0¢ | 5.27 | 5.27 | -$0 (-3.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 89.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 2 | 2 | -$0 (-1.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 |