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@UnderperformingForALiving
0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5
5.2
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $5.4M
90-Day Window5.2 SIG
- Edge / share
- +13.8¢ · 11 resolved
- Hit rate
- 31.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$4.1K / $5.4M
- % return
- -0.1%
- Observations
- 22
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+8.4%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogSep 3
+8.4%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1,000.17 | 50.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $999 | +$499 (+99.7%) |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,000.17 | 50.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$499 (-99.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?indiana enacts data center moratorium by 20260929 | Yes | 41.1¢ | 36.0¢ | 598.25 | 523.25 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?indiana enacts data center moratorium by 20260929 | Yes | 26.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 47,600 | 96.26 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?ohio enacts data center moratorium by 20260928 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 37.1¢ | 154.1 | 154.1 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by 20260929 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 4,211.01 | 8 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 17.2¢ | 17.5¢ | 75,214.69 | 75,214.69 | +$248 (+1.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 16.2¢ | 15.7¢ | 18,381.09 | 18,381.08 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 15.2¢ | 16.0¢ | 4,637.96 | 4,637.96 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 87.5¢ | 96.2¢ | 435,921.63 | 195,263.76 | +$14,823 (+3.9%) | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.3¢ | 9.3¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$500 (+12.0%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 33.0¢ | 33.5¢ | 19,516.43 | 19,516.43 | +$102 (+1.6%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | Under | 44.3¢ | 28.6¢ | 20,000 | 19,999.99 | — | Jul 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | — | 79.0¢ | 0 | 133,815.41 | — | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 9.1¢ | 10.2¢ | 68,480.67 | 68,480.67 | +$743 (+11.9%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 92.9¢ | 93.0¢ | 311,132.51 | 311,132.51 | +$421 (+0.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 5.3¢ | 6.0¢ | 50,796.98 | 50,796.98 | +$359 (+13.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 more markets | Under | 50.0¢ | — | 0 | 0 | +$12,324 | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 35.0¢ | 36.1¢ | 22,990.15 | 22,990.15 | +$262 (+3.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 50.0¢ | — | 0 | 0 | +$515,771 | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 22.0¢ | 22.4¢ | 61,903.34 | 61,903.34 | +$251 (+1.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 68.0¢ | 68.7¢ | 102,671.26 | 102,671.26 | +$748 (+1.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | No | 56.7¢ | 71.9¢ | 1,167,210.84 | 1,167,210.84 | +$177,686 (+26.9%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 33.0¢ | 33.6¢ | 31,295.17 | 31,295.17 | +$189 (+1.8%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | Yes | 0.7¢ | 32.4¢ | 124,494.15 | 124,494.15 | +$39,440 (+4525.7%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 91.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 100,128.66 | 100,128.66 | +$1,040 (+1.1%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 11.0¢ | 11.3¢ | 52,494.61 | 52,494.61 | +$169 (+2.9%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?what iranian demands will trump agree to by may 31 | Yes | 4.5¢ | 4.8¢ | 62,234.23 | 62,234.23 | +$187 (+6.7%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by may 15 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,559,741.88 | 2,559,741.88 | +$5,433 (+0.2%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)epl ars bur 2026 05 18 more markets | Burnley FC | 51.0¢ | 54.5¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | +$3,500 (+6.9%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 99.3¢ | 100.9¢ | 823,792.57 | 823,792.57 | +$13,764 (+1.7%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 250,000.03 | 250,000.03 | +$1,139 (+0.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5nba det orl | Under | 54.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,081.66 | 3,081.66 | +$1,399 (+83.1%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | No | 95.7¢ | 95.9¢ | 77,994.02 | 77,994.02 | +$162 (+0.2%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?what price will bitcoin hit in april 2026 | No | 89.0¢ | 91.4¢ | 44,397.71 | 44,397.71 | +$1,074 (+2.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?lal ray esp | No | 69.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 10,801.45 | 10,801.45 | +$109 (+1.5%) | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5nba tor cle | Over | 48.0¢ | 49.0¢ | 14,585 | 14,585 | +$146 (+2.1%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5nba gsw phx | Over | 48.0¢ | 48.2¢ | 422,875 | 422,875 | +$854 (+0.4%) | Apr 18, 2026 | |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsmlb sf wsh | San Francisco Giants | 56.0¢ | 56.2¢ | 60,006.19 | 60,006.19 | +$91 (+0.3%) | Apr 18, 2026 | |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersmlb hou sea | Seattle Mariners | 59.0¢ | 59.6¢ | 78,950 | 78,950 | +$500 (+1.1%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)mlb wsh mil | Washington Nationals | 50.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 8,455.69 | 8,455.69 | +$85 (+2.0%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Will Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?nor aal kfu | Yes | 94.1¢ | 99.0¢ | 2,107.18 | 2,107.18 | +$103 (+5.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5sea ata juv 2026 04 11 more markets | Under | 47.0¢ | 47.6¢ | 38,980 | 38,980 | +$249 (+1.4%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5lal elc val 2026 04 11 more markets | Under | 51.0¢ | 51.3¢ | 48,575 | 48,575 | +$150 (+0.6%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5bun hei uni 2026 04 11 more markets | Under | 48.0¢ | 49.0¢ | 61,600 | 61,600 | +$616 (+2.1%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksnhl car chi | Hurricanes | 65.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 43,762.24 | 43,762.24 | +$438 (+1.5%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Magicnba min orl | Timberwolves | 22.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 52,395 | 52,395 | +$524 (+4.5%) | Apr 9, 2026 | |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesmlb sd pit | San Diego Padres | 49.0¢ | 49.3¢ | 38,101.38 | 38,101.38 | +$95 (+0.5%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)nba cle mem | Cavaliers | 45.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,060 | 20,060 | +$11,033 (+122.2%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatscbb utahst arz | Utah State Aggies | 14.0¢ | 15.6¢ | 600,000 | 600,000 | +$9,544 (+11.4%) | Mar 23, 2026 | |
| UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinscbb ucf ucla | UCF Knights | 33.1¢ | — | 0 | 0 | +$6,723 | Mar 20, 2026 | |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigerscbb iowa clmsn | Clemson Tigers | 46.2¢ | — | 0 | 0 | +$6,574 | Mar 20, 2026 | |
| Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieverscbb howrd umbc | Howard Bison | 99.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 36,703.11 | 36,703.11 | +$189 (+0.5%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 51.1¢ | 99.0¢ | 39,999.87 | 39,999.87 | +$19,161 (+93.8%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 46.0¢ | 47.6¢ | 220,000 | 220,000 | +$3,447 (+3.4%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 19.0¢ | 49.6¢ | 527.13 | 527.13 | +$161 (+161.2%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 14.9¢ | 48.1¢ | 1,012,457.99 | 1,012,457.99 | +$335,809 (+222.8%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 91.3¢ | 97.7¢ | 12,483.39 | 12,483.39 | +$802 (+7.0%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 24?nvda up or down on february 24 2026 | Up | 87.3¢ | 99.6¢ | 25,174.48 | 25,174.48 | +$3,102 (+14.1%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?spx up or down on february 24 2026 | Up | 98.0¢ | 98.4¢ | 74,883.06 | 74,883.06 | +$351 (+0.5%) | Feb 25, 2026 |