◆ Contact Dossier
@pantomime
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
5.6
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $1.1M
90-Day Window5.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +5.8¢ · 78 resolved
- Hit rate
- 53.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $20.8K / $1.1M
- % return
- +1.5%
- Observations
- 116
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+8.1%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
1W · 2L3 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No55.0¢ → 100.0¢+82%
Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers25.0¢ → 0.0¢-100%
Vikings vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers48.0¢ → 0.0¢-100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 34,999.99 | 92.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $32,375 | +$175 (+0.5%) |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 21,970.47 | 87.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $20,762 | +$1,648 (+8.6%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 16,887.69 | 62.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $10,893 | +$403 (+3.8%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 15,999.95 | 63.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $10,320 | +$240 (+2.4%) |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 12,854.81 | 89.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $12,148 | +$707 (+6.2%) |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 12,204.99 | 72.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $8,849 | +$61 (+0.7%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 12,103.14 | 27.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $3,207 | -$61 (-1.9%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 5,949.19 | 37.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $3,302 | +$1,101 (+50.0%) |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 5,730.17 | 61.7¢ | 61.5¢ | $3,524 | -$14 (-0.4%) |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 30.0¢ | 11.0¢ | $550 | -$950 (-63.3%) |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 4,161.49 | 0.2¢ | 1.4¢ | $56 | +$48 (+575.0%) |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 4,000 | 86.0¢ | 94.2¢ | $3,768 | +$328 (+9.5%) |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 4,000 | 92.0¢ | 96.8¢ | $3,870 | +$190 (+5.2%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | No | 3,235.47 | 11.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $404 | +$33 (+8.9%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat? | Yes | 1,464.01 | 11.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $183 | +$11 (+6.6%) |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 1,414.57 | 24.9¢ | 5.8¢ | $82 | -$271 (-76.7%) |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 1,205.82 | 78.6¢ | 94.8¢ | $1,144 | +$195 (+20.6%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,183.11 | 35.6¢ | 34.5¢ | $408 | -$14 (-3.2%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,028.31 | 57.0¢ | 73.5¢ | $756 | +$170 (+28.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 196.27 | 37.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $109 | +$36 (+50.0%) |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 193 | 9.7¢ | 1.8¢ | $4 | -$15 (-80.9%) |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 116 | 21.4¢ | 11.5¢ | $13 | -$12 (-46.3%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 107.14 | 21.0¢ | 23.5¢ | $25 | +$3 (+11.9%) |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 62.96 | 84.0¢ | 95.2¢ | $60 | +$7 (+13.3%) |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 36.0¢ | 27.5¢ | $7 | -$2 (-23.6%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?republican senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections 927 | No | — | 62.0¢ | 0 | 4,483.24 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Chargers vs. Billsnfl lac buf | Chargers | 25.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,645.61 | 1,645.61 | -$411 (-100.0%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneersnfl min tb | Buccaneers | 48.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$4,800 (-100.0%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | No | 55.7¢ | 71.9¢ | 34,999.97 | 34,999.97 | +$5,577 (+28.5%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | No | 54.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 225 | 0 | +$101 (+81.8%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?texas senate election winner | No | 63.1¢ | — | 14,483.57 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?texas senate election winner | Yes | 62.1¢ | — | 16,861.38 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?alaska senate election winner | No | 72.0¢ | — | 12,204.99 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | No | 34.7¢ | 24.8¢ | 29,999.99 | 29,999.98 | -$3,203 (-30.1%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?nebraska senate election winner | No | 67.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 5,000 | 4,978.18 | +$150 (+4.5%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the senate in 2026 | No | 62.0¢ | 88.9¢ | 19,999.94 | 19,999.94 | +$5,378 (+43.4%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?which senators will vote for the clarity act 20260729190926658 | Yes | 23.7¢ | 9.0¢ | 12.07 | 12.07 | -$2 (-63.4%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?will cmi declare a millennium prize problem solved by 20260723160122979 | No | 86.0¢ | 96.7¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$317 (+12.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by september 30 2026 | No | 75.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,594.46 | 3,594.46 | +$875 (+32.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | Yes | — | 29.0¢ | 0 | 106.52 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | No | 92.0¢ | — | 25,124.74 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?ny 03 house election winner | Yes | 11.7¢ | — | 1,464.01 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?ny 03 house election winner | No | 11.5¢ | — | 3,235.47 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?which company has the best ai model end of october | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 4,161.49 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 84.5¢ | 76.3¢ | 1,490.84 | 1,490.84 | -$123 (-9.7%) | Sep 28, 2026 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | Yes | 28.7¢ | 37.0¢ | 58,143.94 | 58,143.94 | +$4,797 (+28.7%) | Sep 27, 2026 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?trump x greenland deal signed by december 31 | No | 2.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,498.84 | 2,498.84 | -$61 (-100.2%) | Sep 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | No | 28.7¢ | 37.0¢ | 62,248.37 | 62,248.37 | +$5,157 (+28.8%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?florida governor winner 2026 | No | 20.1¢ | 22.1¢ | 11,587.21 | 11,587.21 | +$227 (+9.7%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | Yes | 66.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | -$2,400 (-24.2%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | No | 69.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$1,900 (-27.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?new hampshire senate election winner | No | 82.0¢ | 84.9¢ | 7,999.99 | 7,999.99 | +$235 (+3.6%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?trump x greenland deal signed by december 31 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,491.25 | 1,491.25 | +$224 (+17.6%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?berlin state election winner | Yes | 25.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 784.19 | 784.19 | -$199 (-100.0%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 96.2¢ | 91.9¢ | 24,640.12 | 24,640.12 | -$1,078 (-4.5%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | No | 24.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,838 | 5,838 | +$1,518 (+108.3%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election winner | Yes | 7.1¢ | 22.0¢ | 2,275.07 | 2,275.07 | +$340 (+211.6%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 0.9¢ | -3.0¢ | 417,655.16 | 417,655.16 | -$16,088 (-442.7%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 24.8¢ | 19.5¢ | 97,000 | 97,000 | -$5,148 (-21.4%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?delaware republican senate primary winner | No | 6.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,010.65 | 6,010.65 | -$405 (-100.0%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | Yes | 26.1¢ | 19.3¢ | 7,078.97 | 7,078.97 | -$480 (-26.0%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 34.2¢ | 78.3¢ | 107,383.15 | 107,383.15 | +$47,407 (+129.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 21.0¢ | 27.1¢ | 134,327.1 | 134,327.1 | +$8,220 (+29.1%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?how many dissent at the september fed meeting | Yes | 9.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,241.83 | 7,241.83 | +$6,576 (+988.1%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 6.2¢ | 48,975.54 | 48,975.54 | +$569 (+23.2%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?what will the announcers say during the cardinals vs chargers game 20260913 | No | 79.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,800 | 1,800 | +$366 (+25.5%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | 29.4¢ | 49.9¢ | 3,780 | 3,780 | +$775 (+69.7%) | Sep 12, 2026 | |
| Will the announcers say "Safety" during the 49ers vs Rams game?what will the announcers say during the 49ers vs rams game 20260911 | Yes | 93.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 749.44 | 749.44 | +$51 (+7.2%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?who will win the democratic nomination for providence rhode island mayor 20260727182320462 | No | 10.1¢ | 0.3¢ | 3,268.61 | 3,268.61 | -$320 (-97.3%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?who will win the democratic nomination for providence rhode island mayor 20260727182320462 | No | 79.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 23.81 | 23.81 | +$5 (+26.6%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?who will win the democratic nomination for providence rhode island mayor 20260727182320462 | Yes | 11.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 435.13 | 435.13 | -$50 (-100.0%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?nh 01 democratic primary winner | No | 18.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,011.1 | 3,011.1 | +$2,454 (+441.1%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?nh 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 4.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,022 | 2,022 | -$82 (-100.2%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?nh 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 16.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 649.6 | 649.6 | +$544 (+515.7%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?sachsen anhalt parliamentary election bsw vote share | No | 86.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 846.08 | 846.08 | +$110 (+15.0%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | No | 80.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,840.85 | 1,840.85 | -$564 (-38.0%) | Sep 6, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election winner | No | 8.3¢ | 20.4¢ | 2,978.97 | 2,978.97 | +$359 (+144.2%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 23.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 97,000 | 97,000 | -$22,375 (-99.6%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 99.4¢ | 92.9¢ | 97,000 | 97,000 | -$6,328 (-6.6%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 99.1¢ | 88.7¢ | 62,000 | 62,000 | -$6,390 (-10.4%) | Sep 2, 2026 | |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?ma 08 democratic primary winner | Yes | 86.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,357.81 | 1,357.81 | +$188 (+16.0%) | Sep 2, 2026 | |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?ma 08 democratic primary winner | No | 88.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,526.01 | 2,526.01 | +$298 (+13.4%) | Sep 2, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100.95 | 100.95 | +$37 (+58.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 498,888 | 498,888 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 498,888 | 498,888 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffscs2 furia fut | FURIA | 54.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,011.18 | 1,011.18 | -$546 (-100.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsdota2 ts8 liquid | Team Liquid | 38.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | -$5,808 (-100.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?clacton by election nigel farage vote 20260708151424120 | Yes | 0.6¢ | -1.9¢ | 6,938.76 | 6,938.76 | -$177 (-424.5%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsdota2 ironwi boombo | Iron Wing | 40.6¢ | 38.3¢ | 13,000 | 13,000 | -$301 (-5.7%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?republican nominee for florida governor | No | 2.6¢ | 2.1¢ | 36,009.89 | 36,009.89 | -$167 (-18.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | -$149 (-39.8%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?south carolina senate special republican primary first round winner 20260721172033648 | No | 28.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,999.97 | 3,999.97 | -$1,120 (-100.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?florida governor republican primary second place 20260710143927093 | Yes | 0.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 9,839.76 | 9,839.76 | -$30 (-103.1%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?clacton by election margin of victory 20260708144145603 | No | 5.6¢ | -0.0¢ | 500 | 500 | -$28 (-100.1%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsdota2 vsn2 ts8 | TEAM VISION | 56.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$5,600 (-100.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?south carolina republican senate special primary runoff horry county winner | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,252.79 | 1,252.79 | +$44 (+3.6%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Ralph Norman win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?south carolina republican senate special primary runoff horry county winner | No | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 447.06 | 447.06 | +$18 (+4.2%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?james fishback vote share in 2026 florida republican governor primary 20260701214154078 | No | 19.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$81 (+426.3%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | No | 85.3¢ | 51.3¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | -$1,358 (-39.8%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerdota2 ty ts8 | Team Spirit | 48.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 97 | 97 | +$50 (+107.3%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?ca 14 special election winner | No | 93.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,027.14 | 3,027.14 | +$193 (+6.8%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?republican nominee for florida governor | No | 98.4¢ | 100.1¢ | 28,518.17 | 28,518.17 | +$472 (+1.7%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?clacton by election nigel farage vote 20260708151424120 | Yes | 47.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 724.56 | 724.56 | +$383 (+112.3%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?clacton by election nigel farage vote 20260708151424120 | No | 44.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,700 | 1,700 | +$943 (+124.6%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?clacton by election nigel farage vote 20260708151424120 | No | 53.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 1,071.99 | 1,071.99 | +$139 (+24.5%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?how many senators will vote for todd blanche as attorney general 20260608212507372 | No | 77.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 188.73 | 188.73 | -$146 (-100.0%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 31.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4.35 | 4.35 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 22.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,892.57 | 3,892.57 | +$1,077 (+123.8%) | Aug 11, 2026 | |
| Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?how many senators will vote for todd blanche as attorney general 20260608212507372 | No | 86.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 675.74 | 675.74 | +$90 (+15.4%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?how many senators will vote for todd blanche as attorney general 20260608212507372 | No | 79.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 48.88 | 48.88 | +$10 (+25.7%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 69.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,188 | 2,188 | +$663 (+43.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 18.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 29,576.49 | 29,576.49 | -$5,426 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 4.0¢ | 6.8¢ | 1,121.7 | 1,121.7 | +$32 (+72.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 28.4¢ | 34.1¢ | 976.09 | 976.09 | +$56 (+20.1%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?anthropic removes paid plan access for fable 5 byptptpt 20260713185755110 | Yes | 27.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 176.46 | 176.46 | -$49 (-100.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 2,035.45 | 2,035.45 | +$102 (+12.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 78.0¢ | 81.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$150 (+3.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 69.9¢ | 74.9¢ | 621.01 | 621.01 | +$31 (+7.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?what will happen before gta vi | No | 51.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$60 (+5.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?california governor election 2026 | No | 23.9¢ | 8.4¢ | 14,155.59 | 14,155.59 | -$2,189 (-64.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of july | No | 92.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,208 | 1,208 | +$94 (+8.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | No | 24.9¢ | 32.6¢ | 7,191.68 | 7,191.68 | +$555 (+31.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 64.1¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,399.99 | 2,399.99 | -$339 (-22.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 23.8¢ | 40.5¢ | 3,061.71 | 3,061.71 | +$511 (+70.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 17.8¢ | 40.5¢ | 5,748.89 | 5,748.89 | +$1,304 (+127.5%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 87.1¢ | 22,627.46 | 22,627.46 | +$1,611 (+8.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,699.99 | 3,699.99 | +$574 (+18.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?south dakota governor republican primary winner | No | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | 869.52 | 869.52 | -$22 (-100.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,783.2 | 2,783.2 | +$1,142 (+69.6%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 55.0¢ | 53.0¢ | 2,603.23 | 2,603.23 | -$52 (-3.6%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 9.5¢ | 83.3¢ | 21,916.02 | 21,916.02 | +$16,182 (+780.5%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 14,999.96 | 14,999.96 | -$120 (-100.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 2.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,945.02 | 3,945.02 | -$92 (-100.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 17.2¢ | 9.3¢ | 34,416.31 | 34,416.31 | -$2,723 (-46.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 54.4¢ | 54.8¢ | 9,121.98 | 9,121.98 | +$32 (+0.6%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 49.5¢ | 57.2¢ | 16,923.3 | 16,923.3 | +$1,294 (+15.4%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 55.1¢ | 53.9¢ | 5,533.48 | 5,533.48 | -$68 (-2.2%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 26.3¢ | 30.0¢ | 14,999.99 | 14,999.99 | +$559 (+14.2%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?what will dow say during their next earnings call 20260717163814079 | Yes | 38.2¢ | 51.0¢ | 701.72 | 701.72 | +$90 (+33.4%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 75,000 | 75,000 | -$86 (-57.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?algeria parliamentary election party winner 20260625161521348 | No | 0.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 600 | 600 | -$5 (-100.7%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544 | No | 26.7¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,497.7 | 2,497.7 | -$666 (-100.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 77.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 640 | 640 | -$177 (-35.6%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | No | 69.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,142.78 | 7,142.78 | +$2,206 (+44.7%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044 | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,999.97 | 3,999.97 | +$56 (+1.4%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 45.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 4,999.27 | 4,999.27 | +$2,100 (+93.3%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348 | No | 81.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,972.9 | 1,972.9 | +$356 (+22.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm june 29 july 4 20260626160825412 | Yes | 51.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 607.59 | 607.59 | -$311 (-100.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 69.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,000 | 12,000 | +$3,709 (+44.7%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 94.0¢ | 99.1¢ | 96,984.67 | 96,984.67 | +$5,009 (+5.5%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?will mitch mcconnell resign from the senate before his term ends | No | 28.2¢ | 43.7¢ | 1,284.83 | 1,284.83 | +$199 (+55.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | Yes | 38.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 857.32 | 857.32 | -$327 (-100.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 more markets | Mexico | 49.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 19,105 | 19,105 | -$9,424 (-100.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | No | 3.4¢ | 0.2¢ | 3,960.5 | 3,960.5 | -$126 (-93.6%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | No | 69.6¢ | 8.3¢ | 2,141.72 | 2,141.72 | -$1,313 (-88.1%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | Yes | 99.0¢ | 97.9¢ | 1,219.37 | 1,219.37 | -$13 (-1.1%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 | No | 7.8¢ | 0.5¢ | 2,348.06 | 2,348.06 | -$173 (-94.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 66.3¢ | 97.3¢ | 9,970 | 9,970 | +$3,095 (+46.8%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 5.5¢ | 11.2¢ | 9,747.05 | 9,747.05 | +$549 (+101.9%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 92.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,500 | 10,500 | +$819 (+8.5%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 80.0¢ | 50.6¢ | 5,999.99 | 5,999.99 | -$1,763 (-36.7%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 1.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 91,798.86 | 91,798.86 | -$1,110 (-102.5%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 0.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 40,878.47 | 40,878.47 | -$226 (-102.3%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 37.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$2,700 (+121.6%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?claude fable 5 restored for us customers by 20260613193753196 | No | 57.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,703.07 | 1,703.07 | -$985 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?tariff increase on canada in effect by june 30 | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 367.52 | 367.52 | -$96 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 95.5¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,999.98 | 2,999.98 | -$1,365 (-47.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,780.66 | 8,780.66 | -$179 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 0.7¢ | 2.6¢ | 32,531.84 | 32,531.84 | +$613 (+273.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 |