◆ Contact Dossier
@yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
5.3
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $446.1K
90-Day Window5.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.2¢ · 88 resolved
- Hit rate
- 34.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $60.6K / $446.1K
- % return
- +8.5%
- Observations
- 178
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 40,368.95 | 34.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $34,919 | +$20,866 (+148.5%) |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 10,360.99 | 67.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $9,688 | +$2,736 (+39.4%) |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 7,822.8 | 45.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $7,314 | +$3,760 (+105.8%) |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 8,061.43 | 41.3¢ | 82.0¢ | $6,610 | +$3,284 (+98.7%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,156.62 | 8.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $5,618 | +$5,012 (+827.5%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 14,602.18 | 15.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $2,263 | -$1 (-0.0%) |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 12,087.25 | 56.1¢ | 12.5¢ | $1,511 | -$5,276 (-77.7%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,011.88 | 37.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $855 | +$111 (+14.9%) |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6,070.56 | 25.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $698 | -$832 (-54.4%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 28.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $275 | -$1,163 (-80.9%) |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,178.67 | 18.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $183 | -$29 (-13.9%) |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 36.2¢ | 12.5¢ | $125 | -$237 (-65.5%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 107.35 | 31.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $103 | +$70 (+208.1%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 519.76 | 46.9¢ | 18.5¢ | $96 | -$148 (-60.5%) |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 6.6¢ | 3.9¢ | $77 | -$54 (-41.3%) |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 360.79 | 12.5¢ | 10.9¢ | $40 | -$6 (-12.7%) |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 72.51 | 63.9¢ | 12.5¢ | $9 | -$37 (-80.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 57.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,559.75 | 8,559.75 | +$3,631 (+73.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 34.7¢ | 90.1¢ | 21,452.93 | 18,000 | +$10,897 (+49.9%) | Aug 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?kai and speed beat minecraft challenge byptptpt 20260807141254095 | No | 2.1¢ | — | 83,500 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 33.2¢ | — | 11,298.67 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 74.7¢ | — | 3,160.74 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 63.6¢ | — | 4,206.81 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 6.5¢ | 49.1¢ | 24,475.97 | 0 | +$11,481 (+659.4%) | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | Yes | — | 52.8¢ | 0 | 8,922.46 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 62.3¢ | — | 1,323.35 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 92.6¢ | — | 22,018.75 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 16.6¢ | 10.4¢ | 66,621.01 | 36,575.49 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | No | 24.4¢ | — | 1,157.68 | 0 | — | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 4.0¢ | — | 1,128.92 | 0 | — | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 5.1¢ | — | 62,153.46 | 0 | — | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 11.3¢ | — | 38,255.38 | 0 | — | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 18.0¢ | — | 1,178.67 | 0 | — | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | No | 55.2¢ | — | 5,508.49 | 0 | — | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 89.1¢ | — | 32,609.73 | 0 | — | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.5¢ | 41,363.98 | 133,620.11 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?kai and speed beat minecraft challenge byptptpt 20260807141254095 | No | 82.0¢ | — | 3,000 | 0 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 17.9¢ | — | 6,335.39 | 0 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 9.7¢ | — | 49,789.17 | 0 | — | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 1,634.97 | 0 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 50.9¢ | — | 1,348.04 | 0 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 14.5¢ | 14.6¢ | 36,000 | 170,065.57 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 6.5¢ | — | 70,518.03 | 0 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 97.4¢ | — | 20,087.83 | 0 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | — | 15.6¢ | 0 | 23,000 | — | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 22.8¢ | 28.0¢ | 25,345.9 | 0 | +$6,506 (+1116.0%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 91.8¢ | — | 5,367.91 | 0 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 79.3¢ | 96.4¢ | 15,087.91 | 0 | +$10,505 (+11.9%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 63.3¢ | 66.5¢ | 32,124.4 | 234.19 | +$7,506 (+23.4%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 50.8¢ | — | 2,502.01 | 0 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | Yes | 58.0¢ | — | 272.08 | 0 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | Yes | 47.6¢ | — | 471.43 | 0 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 14.0¢ | 32.3¢ | 5,159.99 | 0 | +$5,345 (+130.9%) | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 23.8¢ | — | 1,736.7 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 13.3¢ | 77.6¢ | 7,315.7 | 0 | +$5,663 (+344.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 9.0¢ | — | 4,833.86 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?masoud pezeshkian out by | Yes | — | 16.6¢ | 0 | 135 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 28.8¢ | — | 682.97 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 14.0¢ | — | 5,214.45 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 21.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 24,314.46 | 24,314.46 | +$6,983 (+135.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 46.8¢ | 31,537.14 | 31,537.14 | +$14,631 (+10789.2%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | No | 26.5¢ | 46.8¢ | 31,548.39 | 31,548.39 | +$6,390 (+76.3%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 28.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 17,946.2 | 17,946.2 | +$3,778 (+72.7%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 4.1¢ | 37.9¢ | 156,916.71 | 156,916.71 | +$52,991 (+819.7%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?what will trump say during the white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255806 | Yes | 45.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,062.92 | 14,062.92 | +$7,649 (+119.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 40.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,706.99 | 12,706.99 | +$7,552 (+146.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 30.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 39,989.13 | 39,989.13 | +$27,901 (+230.9%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 40.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,567.83 | 9,567.83 | +$5,656 (+144.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 25.9¢ | 32.3¢ | 107,985.41 | 107,985.41 | +$6,988 (+25.0%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 0.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 35,000 | 35,000 | +$17,428 (+24897.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?iran closes its airspace byptptpt 20260609184135829 | Yes | 13.9¢ | 69.5¢ | 14,588.95 | 14,588.95 | +$8,103 (+399.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 26.1¢ | 58.1¢ | 18,820.93 | 18,820.93 | +$6,025 (+122.9%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 22.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 15,785.52 | 15,785.52 | +$4,379 (+124.7%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?us and iran sign an agreement byptptpt 20260611221049850 | Yes | 18.9¢ | 99.5¢ | 5,600.11 | 5,600.11 | +$4,512 (+425.6%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 33.9¢ | 53.5¢ | 109,385.11 | 109,385.11 | +$21,436 (+57.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | No | 15.8¢ | 43.2¢ | 73,180.61 | 73,180.61 | +$20,069 (+173.6%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 16.7¢ | 49.8¢ | 66,145.28 | 66,145.28 | +$21,909 (+198.7%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 0.6¢ | 19.3¢ | 59,138.86 | 59,138.86 | +$11,046 (+3113.0%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 7.0¢ | 32.3¢ | 16,879.15 | 16,879.15 | +$4,263 (+360.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?iran closes its airspace byptptpt 20260609184135829 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 46.1¢ | 16,406.65 | 16,406.65 | +$6,920 (+1067.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?iran closes its airspace byptptpt 20260609184135829 | Yes | 5.1¢ | 35.5¢ | 13,998.36 | 13,998.36 | +$4,262 (+598.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 33.0¢ | 82.3¢ | 40,100.9 | 40,100.9 | +$19,754 (+149.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 23.4¢ | 44.4¢ | 63,904.87 | 63,904.87 | +$13,378 (+89.3%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 31.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 57,809.24 | 57,809.24 | +$10,596 (+57.9%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 23.0¢ | 50.9¢ | 15,520.36 | 15,520.36 | +$4,333 (+121.4%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 9.0¢ | 37.1¢ | 15,239.12 | 15,239.12 | +$4,288 (+312.6%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 30.4¢ | 56.7¢ | 96,705.84 | 96,705.84 | +$25,377 (+86.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 17.5¢ | 45.7¢ | 81,952.27 | 81,952.27 | +$23,140 (+161.7%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | No | 7.2¢ | 51.7¢ | 18,600 | 18,600 | +$8,264 (+612.8%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 6.0¢ | 23.5¢ | 45,324.44 | 45,324.44 | +$7,933 (+293.7%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 19.0¢ | 92.4¢ | 5,001.32 | 5,001.32 | +$3,673 (+386.8%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 40.4¢ | 95.4¢ | 13,173.09 | 13,173.09 | +$7,246 (+136.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 15.2¢ | 99.8¢ | 61,911.7 | 61,911.7 | +$52,379 (+555.5%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 29.3¢ | 99.3¢ | 8,245 | 8,245 | +$5,770 (+238.8%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 35.0¢ | 98.6¢ | 10,499.99 | 10,499.99 | +$6,672 (+181.5%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | No | 57.7¢ | 89.0¢ | 12,076.05 | 12,076.05 | +$3,787 (+54.4%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 95.5¢ | 152.6¢ | 24,137.1 | 24,137.1 | +$13,777 (+59.7%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 95.2¢ | 161.5¢ | 11,450 | 11,450 | +$7,596 (+69.7%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 11.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 60,722.35 | 60,722.35 | +$53,889 (+809.0%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 televote winner | No | 48.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,381.85 | 9,381.85 | +$4,855 (+107.3%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 56.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,289.98 | 12,289.98 | +$5,307 (+76.0%) | May 17, 2026 |