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@ThanksGivingTurkey1001
0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $949.1K
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -6.0¢ · 95 resolved
- Hit rate
- 60.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.1K / $949.1K
- % return
- -0.7%
- Observations
- 156
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 39,789.24 | 83.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $36,009 | +$2,694 (+8.1%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 42,507.1 | 84.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $35,940 | +$239 (+0.7%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 17,332.19 | 94.8¢ | 96.9¢ | $16,786 | +$351 (+2.1%) |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 12,112.43 | 88.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $10,962 | +$248 (+2.3%) |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 13,613.48 | 31.3¢ | 52.3¢ | $7,113 | +$2,851 (+66.9%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 7,007.55 | 79.1¢ | 93.0¢ | $6,517 | +$970 (+17.5%) |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 4,695.16 | 85.3¢ | 97.0¢ | $4,557 | +$551 (+13.8%) |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,238.55 | 55.8¢ | 73.0¢ | $4,554 | +$1,070 (+30.7%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,087.61 | 90.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,863 | +$184 (+5.0%) |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,513.57 | 86.2¢ | 93.7¢ | $3,292 | +$263 (+8.7%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,928.27 | 66.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $2,927 | +$317 (+12.2%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 4,808.25 | 75.1¢ | 54.5¢ | $2,620 | -$992 (-27.5%) |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | No | 2,790.2 | 86.0¢ | 93.3¢ | $2,603 | +$203 (+8.4%) |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4,500 | 57.9¢ | 56.8¢ | $2,554 | -$52 (-2.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2,387.57 | 89.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,232 | +$87 (+4.0%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 2,262.28 | 86.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $2,193 | +$248 (+12.7%) |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 2,000.58 | 92.0¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,924 | +$84 (+4.5%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,999.56 | 15.2¢ | 17.5¢ | $1,750 | +$226 (+14.8%) |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | No | 1,944.79 | 91.0¢ | 78.1¢ | $1,519 | -$250 (-14.1%) |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1,500 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,418 | +$23 (+1.6%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,002.99 | 68.0¢ | 67.0¢ | $1,342 | -$20 (-1.5%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1,817.06 | 80.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,336 | -$127 (-8.7%) |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | No | 1,521.49 | 84.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,194 | -$92 (-7.1%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 1,136.84 | 80.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,052 | +$142 (+15.6%) |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? | No | 990 | 94.4¢ | 96.0¢ | $950 | +$15 (+1.6%) |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Yes | 999.99 | 93.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $915 | -$15 (-1.6%) |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 664.31 | 80.0¢ | 94.3¢ | $626 | +$95 (+17.8%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1,186.44 | 77.0¢ | 47.5¢ | $564 | -$350 (-38.3%) |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 522.14 | 70.0¢ | 80.5¢ | $420 | +$55 (+15.0%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 390.64 | 66.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $346 | +$88 (+34.1%) |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 350.11 | 67.0¢ | 81.0¢ | $284 | +$49 (+20.9%) |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 154.28 | 83.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $146 | +$17 (+13.5%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 59.8 | 60.0¢ | 81.5¢ | $49 | +$13 (+35.8%) |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.74 | 64.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $47 | +$13 (+38.3%) |
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? | No | 133.33 | 64.7¢ | 4.6¢ | $6 | -$80 (-92.9%) |
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? | Yes | 5 | 53.0¢ | 95.4¢ | $5 | +$2 (+80.0%) |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.03 | 82.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $5 | +$0 (+11.6%) |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.93 | 90.0¢ | 18.4¢ | $0 | -$1 (-79.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | 82.3¢ | 82.9¢ | 76,820.42 | 56,915.34 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?will krakens valuation hit by december 31 | No | 89.5¢ | — | 1,310.11 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 89.0¢ | — | 6,700.99 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?next prime minister of spain 20260625005215443 | Yes | 70.0¢ | — | 522.14 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 83,672.14 | 83,672.14 | +$4,172 (+5.2%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?brazil presidential election first round margin of victory | Yes | — | 8.0¢ | 0 | 4,663.56 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?which candidates will advance to brazils presidential runoff | Yes | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 6,758.57 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | No | — | 28.9¢ | 0 | 46,547.22 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | — | 10.0¢ | 0 | 6,487.16 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | — | 15.1¢ | 0 | 15,003.54 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?brazil presidential election first round margin of victory | No | 90.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 48,410.6 | 13,822.04 | +$3,586 (+8.2%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?crude oil all time high by | No | 96.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 162,248.63 | 162,248.63 | +$6,173 (+4.0%) | Oct 2, 2026 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?what price will solana hit before 2027 | No | 66.8¢ | 85.3¢ | 7,400.23 | 7,400.23 | +$1,371 (+27.8%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?what price will ethereum hit august 17 23 2026 | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,480 | 2,480 | +$1,653 (+199.9%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 78.6¢ | 82.6¢ | 23,193.9 | 23,193.9 | +$929 (+5.1%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?what price will ethereum hit august 17 23 2026 | Yes | 46.1¢ | 82.4¢ | 4,421.31 | 4,421.31 | +$1,607 (+78.9%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 57.7¢ | 77.5¢ | 17,873.25 | 17,873.25 | +$3,540 (+34.3%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?kai and speed beat minecraft challenge byptptpt 20260807141254095 | Yes | 20.4¢ | 88.0¢ | 9,171.08 | 9,171.08 | +$6,204 (+331.6%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?kai and speed beat minecraft challenge byptptpt 20260807141254095 | Yes | 3.8¢ | 32.8¢ | 8,678.74 | 8,678.74 | +$2,518 (+759.5%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | No | 47.1¢ | 99.3¢ | 2,134.29 | 2,134.29 | +$1,114 (+110.8%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | No | 81.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,762.46 | 8,762.46 | +$1,585 (+22.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | Yes | 88.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 17,162 | 17,162 | +$1,921 (+12.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 77.1¢ | 93.6¢ | 6,284.17 | 6,284.17 | +$1,037 (+21.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 56.4¢ | 91.8¢ | 3,791.16 | 3,791.16 | +$1,340 (+62.7%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.5¢ | 19.6¢ | 14,999.99 | 14,999.99 | +$1,668 (+131.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835 | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 37,910.66 | 37,910.66 | +$966 (+2.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?world cup unbeaten champion | Yes | 87.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.63 | 9,999.63 | +$1,285 (+14.7%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 more markets | Under | 93.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 44,219.7 | 44,219.7 | +$3,003 (+7.3%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 32.7¢ | 41.5¢ | 15,999.99 | 15,999.99 | +$1,416 (+27.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811 | No | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,988.75 | 9,988.75 | +$2,193 (+28.1%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | No | 93.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,131.99 | 20,131.99 | +$1,291 (+6.9%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | No | 94.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,018.74 | 16,018.74 | +$959 (+6.4%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | Yes | 34.4¢ | 93.5¢ | 1,827.8 | 1,827.8 | +$1,081 (+172.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 90.4¢ | 98.0¢ | 15,849.98 | 15,849.98 | +$1,204 (+8.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 88.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,151.3 | 8,151.3 | +$945 (+13.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?si hit jun 2026 | No | 89.5¢ | 99.7¢ | 23,897.63 | 23,897.63 | +$2,434 (+11.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 90.7¢ | 99.3¢ | 18,921.21 | 18,921.21 | +$1,632 (+9.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 93.5¢ | 99.2¢ | 18,990 | 18,990 | +$1,087 (+6.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup team to advance to knockout stages | Yes | 84.3¢ | 99.8¢ | 7,647.1 | 7,647.1 | +$1,188 (+18.4%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 more markets | Over | 66.4¢ | 90.8¢ | 3,799.98 | 3,799.98 | +$928 (+36.8%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by end of april | No | 80.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,665.96 | 5,665.96 | +$1,110 (+24.4%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?megaeth market cap fdv one day after launch | No | 89.8¢ | 99.4¢ | 21,269.75 | 21,269.75 | +$2,025 (+10.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?what price will wti hit in april 2026 | No | 94.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,859.44 | 16,859.44 | +$973 (+6.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?what price will wti hit in april 2026 | No | 92.8¢ | 96.1¢ | 36,298.32 | 36,298.32 | +$1,201 (+3.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 96.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 60,052.95 | 60,052.95 | +$2,224 (+3.9%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1 | No | 83.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,602.59 | 13,602.59 | +$2,298 (+20.3%) | Apr 2, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?what price will bitcoin hit in february 2026 | No | 87.4¢ | 100.1¢ | 13,173.37 | 13,173.37 | +$1,673 (+14.5%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?what price will bitcoin hit in february 2026 | Yes | 29.0¢ | 92.4¢ | 15,151.59 | 15,151.59 | +$9,614 (+219.1%) | Feb 6, 2026 | |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in February?what price will solana hit in february 2026 | Yes | 25.3¢ | 77.6¢ | 20,332.17 | 20,332.17 | +$10,628 (+206.5%) | Feb 6, 2026 | |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?zama fdv above one day after launch | No | 68.5¢ | 76.0¢ | 13,604.36 | 13,604.36 | +$1,019 (+10.9%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Aster all time high by December 31?aster all time high by december 31 | No | 88.7¢ | 99.6¢ | 22,450.28 | 22,450.28 | +$2,443 (+12.3%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?what price will bitcoin hit in 2025 | No | 89.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 17,007.89 | 17,007.89 | +$1,779 (+11.7%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?what price will solana hit before 2026 | No | 94.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,123.68 | 29,123.68 | +$1,490 (+5.4%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?what price will bitcoin hit in 2025 | No | 87.7¢ | 94.8¢ | 17,928.16 | 17,928.16 | +$1,268 (+8.1%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?what price will solana hit before 2026 | No | 90.6¢ | 99.4¢ | 12,464.58 | 12,464.58 | +$1,092 (+9.7%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?what price will solana hit before 2026 | No | 82.4¢ | 99.4¢ | 23,812.77 | 23,812.77 | +$4,059 (+20.7%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?what price will xrp hit in november 2025 | No | 93.9¢ | 99.6¢ | 19,104.67 | 19,104.67 | +$1,100 (+6.1%) | Dec 1, 2025 | |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?monad public sale total commitments | No | 96.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 35,144.83 | 35,144.83 | +$1,282 (+3.8%) | Nov 23, 2025 | |
| Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?over 1pt8b committed to the megaeth public sale | No | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 44,854 | 44,854 | +$1,421 (+3.3%) | Oct 30, 2025 |