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@Romkos7
0xa39c488ea8269609aea27f5f8486044d839908bc
5.4
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $512.8K
90-Day Window5.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.2¢ · 30 resolved
- Hit rate
- 63.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $12K / $512.8K
- % return
- +2.3%
- Observations
- 47
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+3.9%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 1
+3.9%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 84.3¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,745 | +$215 (+8.5%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2,000 | 92.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,850 | +$10 (+0.5%) |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 1.07 | 94.2¢ | 96.0¢ | $1 | +$0 (+1.9%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 52.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $1 | +$0 (+64.8%) |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.38 | 56.0¢ | 61.0¢ | $1 | +$0 (+9.0%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.23 | 24.2¢ | 10.5¢ | $0 | -$0 (-56.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 63.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 1,772.52 | 1,772.43 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | No | 92.0¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 84.3¢ | 88.0¢ | 6,000 | 3,000 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 72.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 5,000 | 4,999.94 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?will russia capture all of donetsk oblast by | No | — | 97.8¢ | 0 | 171 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 93.2¢ | 89.0¢ | 59.99 | 59.99 | — | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka byptptpt 20260706174556069 | No | — | 98.0¢ | 0 | 99 | — | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?will russia capture slovainsk by 2027 | No | 93.9¢ | 97.2¢ | 165.29 | 341 | — | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 72.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 100 | 99 | — | Sep 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 53.9¢ | 12,799.96 | 12,998.89 | — | Sep 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine peace talks byptptpt 20260609012540716 | Yes | — | 59.5¢ | 0 | 99 | — | Sep 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 98.4¢ | 98.4¢ | 8,161 | 9,989.98 | — | Aug 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?will russia target kyiv onptptpt 20260810162903045 | Yes | — | 42.8¢ | 0 | 230 | — | Aug 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?will russia target kyiv onptptpt 20260810162903045 | Yes | — | 40.0¢ | 0 | 170 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by | Yes | — | 15.0¢ | 0 | 1,999 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | — | 69.2¢ | 0 | 499 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | — | 50.0¢ | 0 | 99 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by | No | — | 53.0¢ | 0 | 9 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?anthropic ipo by | No | 83.3¢ | 79.3¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?in which month will anthropic ipo | No | 85.0¢ | 77.3¢ | 129 | 129 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?will russia capture kupiansk by 387 | No | — | 93.9¢ | 0 | 390.33 | — | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 98.8¢ | — | 100 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 97.9¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?anthropic ipo by | No | 98.3¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | — | 98.4¢ | 0 | 900 | — | Aug 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 95.4¢ | 99.6¢ | 16,955.45 | 64.28 | +$668 (+4.1%) | Aug 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 78.8¢ | 93.9¢ | 13,999.96 | 13,999.96 | +$2,108 (+19.1%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?oleksandr syrskyi out as ukraines commander in chief byptptpt 20260716215007861 | Yes | 92.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 37,000.11 | 37,000.11 | +$2,632 (+7.7%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?oleksandr syrskyi out as ukraines commander in chief byptptpt 20260716215007861 | Yes | 78.1¢ | 97.4¢ | 29,270.84 | 29,270.84 | +$5,659 (+24.8%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 10.0¢ | 10.9¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | +$927 (+9.3%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 19.1¢ | 19.9¢ | 110,199.98 | 110,199.98 | +$912 (+4.3%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | Yes | 44.5¢ | 54.3¢ | 19,999.94 | 19,999.94 | +$1,957 (+22.0%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancefifwc arg che 2026 07 11 more markets | Argentina | 84.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 19,999.9 | 19,999.9 | +$3,047 (+18.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 95.6¢ | 97.9¢ | 168,999.92 | 168,999.92 | +$3,929 (+2.4%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | England | 71.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | +$850 (+39.5%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancefifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 more markets | France | 77.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$3,388 (+29.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancefifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 more markets | Argentina | 77.2¢ | 91.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$1,384 (+17.9%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | No | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 145,999.38 | 145,999.38 | +$7,640 (+5.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2.6¢ | 2,010,000 | 2,010,000 | +$2,554 (+5.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 more markets | Norway | 29.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$710 (+244.8%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$1,900 (+23.5%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancefifwc par fra 2026 07 04 more markets | France | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,700 | 12,700 | +$589 (+4.9%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancefifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 more markets | Argentina | 97.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,538.95 | 29,538.95 | +$854 (+3.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancefifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 more markets | Spain | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$775 (+18.3%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancefifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 more markets | England | 76.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,999.98 | 1,999.98 | +$470 (+30.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 92.0¢ | 98.4¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | +$2,550 (+6.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?ukraine signs peace deal with russia by june 30 | No | 87.5¢ | 95.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | +$377 (+8.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancefifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 more markets | France | 86.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | +$397 (+15.3%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 5.7¢ | 6.3¢ | 293,442.93 | 293,442.93 | +$1,658 (+9.9%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$610 (+156.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999.98 | 4,999.98 | +$1,350 (+37.0%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 95.0¢ | 98.2¢ | 59,015.63 | 59,015.63 | +$1,876 (+3.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?will the iranian regime fall by may 31 | No | 96.4¢ | 98.9¢ | 40,000.07 | 40,000.07 | +$992 (+2.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 50.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$985 (+97.1%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenglory in giza oleksandr usyk vs rico verhoeven | Usyk | 93.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$685 (+7.4%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | Yes | 84.3¢ | 108.8¢ | 50,626.1 | 50,626.1 | +$12,376 (+29.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 | Yes | 47.6¢ | 69.3¢ | 3,499.65 | 3,499.65 | +$761 (+45.7%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?will russia capture lyman in 2025 | No | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.76 | 9,999.76 | +$400 (+4.2%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?hungary parliamentary election winner | Yes | 75.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999.96 | 49,999.96 | +$12,201 (+32.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$5,300 (+36.1%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 197,985.71 | 197,985.71 | +$3,976 (+2.1%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | Yes | 35.7¢ | 40.7¢ | 9,999.74 | 9,999.74 | +$499 (+14.0%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | No | 70.5¢ | 74.7¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | +$420 (+6.0%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 90.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 129,999.97 | 129,999.97 | +$12,381 (+10.5%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 93.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,999.85 | 24,999.85 | +$1,600 (+6.8%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | No | 93.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | +$666 (+7.2%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 71.7¢ | 77.5¢ | 95,528.57 | 95,528.57 | +$5,525 (+8.1%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandmwoh can fin | Canada | 61.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$420 (+23.0%) | Feb 20, 2026 | |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiamwoh can cze | Canada | 87.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$640 (+14.7%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | No | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,999.99 | 14,999.99 | +$565 (+3.9%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | No | 84.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,513.9 | 3,513.9 | +$562 (+19.0%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | No | 80.1¢ | 94.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$1,110 (+17.3%) | Jan 21, 2026 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?fed decision in december | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$520 (+108.3%) | Jan 5, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?will iran close the strait of hormuz before july | No | 94.2¢ | 114.4¢ | 10,000.19 | 10,000.19 | +$2,019 (+21.4%) | Jul 1, 2025 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?fed interest rates november 2024 | Yes | 53.4¢ | 67.7¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$1,000 (+26.7%) | Oct 10, 2024 |