◆ Contact Dossier
@Romkos7
0xa39c488ea8269609aea27f5f8486044d839908bc
6.8
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $967.4K
90-Day Window6.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +11.0¢ · 62 resolved
- Hit rate
- 79.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $39.6K / $967.4K
- % return
- +4.0%
- Observations
- 69
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-1.4%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 4
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · No70.0¢ → 71.0¢+1.4%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | No | 14,999.64 | 98.6¢ | 98.6¢ | $14,782 | -$13 (-0.1%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 10,000.06 | 96.5¢ | 97.0¢ | $9,700 | +$47 (+0.5%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10,000 | 92.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $9,250 | +$50 (+0.5%) |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | No | 7,455 | 92.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,045 | +$136 (+2.0%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4,999.95 | 98.6¢ | 98.7¢ | $4,932 | +$5 (+0.1%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | No | 3,005 | 94.0¢ | 98.9¢ | $2,970 | +$146 (+5.2%) |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000.38 | 56.0¢ | 62.0¢ | $1,240 | +$121 (+10.8%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000.23 | 24.2¢ | 22.5¢ | $450 | -$33 (-6.9%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 91.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,926 | +$106 (+5.8%) |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | No | 400 | 91.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $378 | +$11 (+3.0%) |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 173.61 | 21.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $10 | -$28 (-74.6%) |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 171.79 | 94.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $162 | +$0 (+0.0%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 52.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $5 | -$1 (-13.3%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | Yes | 21.7¢ | 7.0¢ | 1,000 | 826.39 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?will russia capture slovainsk by 2027 | No | 94.5¢ | — | 171.79 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?will russia capture kupiansk by 387 | No | 70.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 194.11 | 194.11 | +$2 (+1.4%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 98.6¢ | — | 4,999.95 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 92.7¢ | — | 7,455 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 98.6¢ | — | 14,999.64 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.59 | 0 | +$59 (+0.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 96.5¢ | — | 10,000.06 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 78.8¢ | 93.9¢ | 9,899.96 | 0 | +$2,109 (+19.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?will russia capture kupiansk by 387 | No | 91.8¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240 | No | 94.0¢ | — | 3,005 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 91.0¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 0 | +$90 (+21.8%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine peace talks byptptpt 20260609012540716 | Yes | — | 60.0¢ | 0 | 1,000 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?who will be ukraines next commander in chief in 2026 20260720173143948 | Yes | 37.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 100.26 | 100.26 | +$62 (+164.9%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 92.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 10,000 | 1,000 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by | No | — | 55.0¢ | 0 | 190 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | Yes | 26.2¢ | 14.8¢ | 1,000 | 999.99 | -$114 (-43.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?oleksandr syrskyi out as ukraines commander in chief byptptpt 20260716215007861 | Yes | 79.0¢ | 97.4¢ | 12,579.28 | 0 | +$5,659 (+24.8%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?oleksandr syrskyi out as ukraines commander in chief byptptpt 20260716215007861 | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,689.67 | 0 | +$2,632 (+7.7%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 5.3¢ | 3.8¢ | 599,999.33 | 599,999.33 | -$8,932 (-28.1%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancefifwc arg che 2026 07 11 more markets | Argentina | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 19,999.9 | 19,999.9 | +$3,100 (+18.3%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 95.6¢ | 97.9¢ | 168,999.92 | 168,999.92 | +$3,991 (+2.5%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | England | 71.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | +$850 (+39.5%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | No | 97.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$290 (+3.0%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2.2¢ | 199,999.88 | 199,999.88 | +$50 (+1.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$320 (+3.3%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancefifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 more markets | France | 77.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$3,388 (+29.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?ukraine signs peace deal with russia before 2027 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 19.2¢ | 19,999.97 | 19,999.97 | -$1,150 (-23.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancefifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 more markets | Argentina | 77.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$1,402 (+18.2%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | No | 94.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 145,999.38 | 145,999.38 | +$7,683 (+5.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | Yes | 82.0¢ | 84.2¢ | 10,071.21 | 10,071.21 | +$226 (+2.7%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | Yes | 44.5¢ | 54.3¢ | 19,999.94 | 19,999.94 | +$1,959 (+22.0%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 more markets | Norway | 29.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$710 (+244.8%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | Yes | 65.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 30,100 | 30,100 | +$300 (+1.5%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 92.8¢ | 94.0¢ | 11,039.96 | 11,039.96 | +$131 (+1.3%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$1,900 (+23.5%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancefifwc par fra 2026 07 04 more markets | France | 95.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,700 | 12,700 | +$600 (+5.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | No | 88.0¢ | 87.4¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | -$64 (-0.7%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancefifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 more markets | Argentina | 97.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,538.95 | 29,538.95 | +$854 (+3.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 12.8¢ | 12.0¢ | 160,099.97 | 160,099.97 | -$1,309 (-6.4%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | No | 88.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 2,556.06 | 2,556.06 | +$51 (+2.3%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancefifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 more markets | Spain | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$775 (+18.3%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | -$500 (-55.6%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 96.1¢ | 97.3¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$120 (+1.2%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancefifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 more markets | Belgium | 38.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | +$105 (+55.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancefifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 more markets | England | 76.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,999.98 | 1,999.98 | +$470 (+30.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancefifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 more markets | France | 86.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | +$400 (+15.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 more markets | Norway | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$150 (+8.1%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$610 (+156.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999.98 | 4,999.98 | +$1,350 (+37.0%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 6.6¢ | 5.7¢ | 399,972.19 | 399,972.19 | -$3,505 (-13.3%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 5.7¢ | 6.3¢ | 293,442.93 | 293,442.93 | +$1,690 (+10.1%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 1.9¢ | 1.4¢ | 319,968.77 | 319,968.77 | -$1,360 (-22.7%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 19.1¢ | 20.3¢ | 110,199.98 | 110,199.98 | +$1,340 (+6.4%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | 1,098,511.51 | 1,098,511.51 | -$1,239 (-32.8%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.1¢ | 8.3¢ | 219,999.92 | 219,999.92 | +$340 (+1.9%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0.2¢ | 199,999.97 | 199,999.97 | -$1,399 (-77.8%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 11.9¢ | 12.4¢ | 90,000 | 90,000 | +$440 (+4.1%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2.7¢ | 2,010,000 | 2,010,000 | +$3,314 (+6.6%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 1.4¢ | 1.6¢ | 50,000.27 | 50,000.27 | +$100 (+14.3%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by | No | 96.6¢ | 96.9¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$22 (+0.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 95.0¢ | 98.2¢ | 59,015.63 | 59,015.63 | +$1,876 (+3.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 9.7¢ | 10.9¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | +$1,190 (+12.3%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 92.0¢ | 98.4¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | +$2,550 (+6.9%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5)fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 more markets | Curaçao | 69.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 750 | 750 | -$518 (-100.0%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 300,000 | 300,000 | +$300 (+33.3%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 more markets | Over | 71.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$290 (+40.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5)fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 more markets | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 74.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$260 (+35.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$1,000 (+100.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norwaywch sui nor | Switzerland | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$110 (+12.4%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 97.5¢ | 99.8¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$230 (+2.4%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | +$100 (+14.3%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiawch fin cze | Czechia | 25.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$250 (-100.0%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| World Championships: Canada vs. USAwch can usa | USA | 21.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$210 (-100.0%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?ukraine signs peace deal with russia by june 30 | No | 87.5¢ | 95.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | +$377 (+8.6%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 97.9¢ | 98.1¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$20 (+0.2%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenglory in giza oleksandr usyk vs rico verhoeven | Usyk | 92.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$705 (+7.6%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 38.2¢ | 39.0¢ | 4,999.68 | 4,999.68 | +$41 (+2.1%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?will the iranian regime fall by may 31 | No | 96.4¢ | 98.9¢ | 40,000.07 | 40,000.07 | +$992 (+2.6%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 21.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$550 (-52.4%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 | Yes | 47.6¢ | 69.3¢ | 3,499.65 | 3,499.65 | +$761 (+45.7%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | Yes | 84.3¢ | 108.8¢ | 50,626.1 | 50,626.1 | +$12,378 (+29.0%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$347 (-100.0%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | No | 92.6¢ | 91.1¢ | 40,202.79 | 40,202.79 | -$592 (-1.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?will russia capture lyman in 2025 | No | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.76 | 9,999.76 | +$400 (+4.2%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by april 30 2026 | No | 94.4¢ | 94.3¢ | 172,403.88 | 172,403.88 | -$212 (-0.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?bulgaria parliamentary election winner | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000.39 | 5,000.39 | +$262 (+5.5%) | Apr 20, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 82.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 45.21 | 45.21 | +$4 (+11.0%) | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2027 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 193.59 | 193.59 | +$114 (+143.9%) | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17 | No | 31.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 499.55 | 499.55 | -$155 (-99.7%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 27.2¢ | 36,882.18 | 36,882.18 | -$1,384 (-12.1%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?hungary parliamentary election winner | Yes | 75.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999.96 | 49,999.96 | +$12,201 (+32.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$5,300 (+36.1%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 97.6¢ | 2.1¢ | 34,999.97 | 34,999.97 | -$33,407 (-97.8%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 197,985.71 | 197,985.71 | +$3,976 (+2.1%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | Yes | 35.7¢ | 40.7¢ | 9,999.74 | 9,999.74 | +$499 (+14.0%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 82.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 24,219.46 | 24,219.46 | -$1,943 (-9.8%) | Mar 24, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 90.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 129,999.97 | 129,999.97 | +$12,381 (+10.5%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 32.1¢ | 9,000 | 9,000 | -$620 (-17.7%) | Mar 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 93.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,999.85 | 24,999.85 | +$1,600 (+6.8%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | No | 93.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | +$666 (+7.2%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | No | 70.5¢ | 74.7¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | +$420 (+6.0%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 71.7¢ | 77.5¢ | 95,528.57 | 95,528.57 | +$5,525 (+8.1%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandmwoh can fin | Canada | 61.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$420 (+23.0%) | Feb 20, 2026 | |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiamwoh can cze | Canada | 87.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$640 (+14.7%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandmwoh fin swi | Finland | 71.0¢ | 51.5¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$195 (-27.4%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviamwoh swe lat | Sweden | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$80 (+8.7%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | No | 84.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,513.9 | 3,513.9 | +$562 (+19.0%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | No | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,999.99 | 14,999.99 | +$565 (+3.9%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | No | 80.1¢ | 94.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$1,110 (+17.3%) | Jan 21, 2026 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?will trump acquire greenland before 2027 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 30,000 | 30,000 | +$300 (+5.9%) | Jan 15, 2026 |