◆ Contact Dossier
0xa35e...0188
0xa35ee0bf0befb73c2de35ba4d2977bd143bf0188
4.7
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $349.9K
90-Day Window4.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.6¢ · 32 resolved
- Hit rate
- 76.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$7.5K / $349.9K
- % return
- -2.1%
- Observations
- 55
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-3.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
2W · 0L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No88.0¢ → 98.5¢+12%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes94.7¢ → 100.6¢+6.2%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | Yes | 1,943.29 | 6.8¢ | 7.5¢ | $146 | +$13 (+9.9%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | No | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | 13.0¢ | $130 | +$30 (+30.0%) |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | No | 999.98 | 31.0¢ | 25.5¢ | $255 | -$55 (-17.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 7.6¢ | 12.2¢ | 3,193.29 | 1,250 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?largest company end of august 20260715202138598 | No | 10.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 88.0¢ | 98.5¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$105 (+11.9%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 92.1¢ | 98.0¢ | 1,935.18 | 1,935.17 | +$114 (+6.2%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | No | 31.0¢ | — | 999.98 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 75.6¢ | 78.5¢ | 3,093.26 | 3,093.26 | +$152 (+4.4%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 82.7¢ | 85.7¢ | 1,122.65 | 1,122.65 | +$33 (+3.5%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 21.4¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$73 (-14.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 97.9¢ | 97.7¢ | 6,164.52 | 3,870.24 | +$755 (+3.2%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | Yes | 61.7¢ | 63.5¢ | 977.83 | 977.81 | +$18 (+3.3%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?largest company end of july 20260624192302727 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 72.6¢ | 3,056.34 | 10 | +$83 (+6.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 34.7¢ | 831.8 | 831.8 | -$11 (-3.5%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 97.8¢ | 100.1¢ | 5,068.77 | 5,068.77 | +$119 (+2.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 93.4¢ | 97.3¢ | 10,471.62 | 10,471.62 | +$405 (+4.1%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 21?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 99.2¢ | 101.5¢ | 3,825.12 | 3,825.12 | +$90 (+2.4%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | No | 82.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 166.25 | 166.25 | +$7 (+4.9%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 99.1¢ | 101.1¢ | 2,199.99 | 2,199.99 | +$43 (+2.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?largest company end of july 20260624192302727 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 22.1¢ | 500 | 500 | +$85 (+341.5%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 69.5¢ | 73.3¢ | 2,549.98 | 2,549.98 | +$97 (+5.5%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+7.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 86.9¢ | 88.3¢ | 10,514.52 | 10,514.52 | +$149 (+1.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 7.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 14.41 | 14.41 | +$3 (+285.7%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 50.1¢ | 33.4¢ | 607.04 | 607.04 | -$101 (-33.3%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 99.2¢ | 100.1¢ | 5,123.86 | 5,123.86 | +$47 (+0.9%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | No | 92.0¢ | 92.2¢ | 1,299.99 | 1,299.99 | +$3 (+0.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released onptptpt 20260623051439980 | No | 80.0¢ | 92.4¢ | 746.56 | 746.56 | +$93 (+15.5%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm june 29 july 4 20260626160825412 | No | 79.0¢ | 81.1¢ | 1,884.17 | 1,884.17 | +$40 (+2.7%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?who will trump speak to in june | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 602.15 | 602.15 | -$187 (-100.0%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 78.2¢ | 85.7¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+9.6%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 97.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$18 (+1.8%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?aleksandar vui out as serbian president by | No | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 44,837.04 | 44,837.04 | +$56 (+41.2%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?aleksandar vui out as serbian president by | Yes | 95.1¢ | 97.3¢ | 5,278.55 | 5,278.55 | +$115 (+2.3%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by 20260607234645733 | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$100 (+11.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by june 30 | No | 66.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | +$500 (+50.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by june 30 | No | 57.2¢ | 60.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$55 (+4.8%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 92.7¢ | 87.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$57 (-6.1%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?will trump publicly insult someone onptptpt | Yes | 10.9¢ | 0.3¢ | 999.87 | 999.87 | -$107 (-97.4%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?will china invade taiwan by june 30 2027 | No | 88.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$10 (-1.1%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | Yes | 60.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$50 (+16.7%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 26.6¢ | -11.0¢ | 37,437 | 37,437 | -$14,059 (-141.3%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 80.9¢ | 6.0¢ | 15,264.96 | 15,264.96 | -$11,429 (-92.6%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 97.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$280 (+2.9%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 92.4¢ | 96.8¢ | 120,022.28 | 120,022.28 | +$5,313 (+4.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 83.7¢ | 95.7¢ | 52,489.96 | 52,489.96 | +$6,314 (+14.4%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 97.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 22,033 | 22,033 | +$544 (+2.5%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 90.5¢ | 84.5¢ | 5,299.98 | 5,299.98 | -$317 (-6.6%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 top 5 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$1,860 (-100.0%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | No | 79.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,604.72 | 3,604.72 | +$749 (+26.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 top 3 | No | 91.2¢ | 99.1¢ | 1,499.97 | 1,499.97 | +$119 (+8.7%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 top 10 | Yes | 81.2¢ | 99.3¢ | 5,995.56 | 5,995.56 | +$1,086 (+22.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 top 10 | Yes | 95.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,071.51 | 1,071.51 | +$53 (+5.2%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 top 5 | Yes | 76.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 779.15 | 779.15 | +$186 (+31.4%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | No | 83.2¢ | 94.8¢ | 18,050.11 | 18,050.11 | +$2,087 (+13.9%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 95.7¢ | 99.5¢ | 28,411.99 | 28,411.99 | +$1,088 (+4.0%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 38.8¢ | 28.0¢ | 4,196.48 | 4,196.48 | -$452 (-27.8%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 25.4¢ | 23.6¢ | 70 | 70 | -$1 (-7.1%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 96.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 8,319.97 | 8,319.97 | +$260 (+3.2%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 89.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 920 | 920 | +$9 (+1.1%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?largest company end of may 167 | Yes | 72.9¢ | 79.2¢ | 9,743.68 | 9,743.68 | +$613 (+8.6%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 97.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 6,815.71 | 6,815.71 | +$175 (+2.6%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?qatarenergy announcesresumes lng production in qatar by april 30 | No | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$4 (-100.0%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?iran military action against by april 30 | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | 2,452.06 | 2,452.06 | +$1 (+3.8%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.5¢ | 97.9¢ | 3,577.74 | 3,577.74 | -$55 (-1.6%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?will metamask launch a token in 2025 | No | 91.1¢ | 93.3¢ | 5,270.95 | 5,270.95 | +$112 (+2.3%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?will opensea launch a token by 142 | No | 90.6¢ | 94.0¢ | 3,474.05 | 3,474.05 | +$119 (+3.8%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 1.3¢ | 1.4¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$1 (+6.2%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 5.7¢ | 1.7¢ | 1,764.46 | 1,764.46 | -$71 (-70.5%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?iran military action against by april 30 | No | 98.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,748 | 4,748 | +$47 (+1.0%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.2¢ | 99.6¢ | 1,213.96 | 1,213.96 | +$5 (+0.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.6¢ | 97.6¢ | 1,708 | 1,708 | -$34 (-2.0%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.5¢ | 99.3¢ | 4,552.27 | 4,552.27 | -$7 (-0.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.9¢ | 100.1¢ | 1,611.97 | 1,611.97 | +$3 (+0.2%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 84.0¢ | 96.9¢ | 4,455.46 | 4,455.46 | +$573 (+15.3%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?what will the us agree to | No | 90.4¢ | 98.4¢ | 4,982.12 | 4,982.12 | +$399 (+8.9%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?what will the us agree to | No | 63.3¢ | 76.4¢ | 3,535.07 | 3,535.07 | +$462 (+20.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?what will the us agree to | No | 98.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 449.37 | 449.37 | +$9 (+2.0%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 918.11 | 918.11 | +$4 (+0.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 98.4¢ | 98.6¢ | 5,001.89 | 5,001.89 | +$10 (+0.2%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 88.4¢ | 96.3¢ | 405.65 | 405.65 | +$32 (+8.9%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?printr public sale total commitments | No | 91.0¢ | 98.6¢ | 4,535.15 | 4,535.15 | +$343 (+8.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?will base launch a token in 2025 341 | No | 95.3¢ | 96.1¢ | 11.11 | 11.11 | +$0 (+0.8%) | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?will megaeth launch a token by | Yes | 10.0¢ | 16.5¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$454 (+64.8%) | Apr 27, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 96.3¢ | 99.8¢ | 4,049.41 | 4,049.41 | +$142 (+3.6%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by april 30 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 9,205.85 | 9,205.85 | -$456 (-38.1%) | Apr 22, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 95.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 3,406.12 | 3,406.12 | +$160 (+4.9%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 85.0¢ | 86.4¢ | 16,825.85 | 16,825.85 | +$240 (+1.7%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?will megaeth launch a token by | No | 30.0¢ | 39.5¢ | 11,092.34 | 11,092.34 | +$1,052 (+31.6%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?fluent public sale total commitments | No | 96.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 243.75 | 243.75 | +$9 (+3.9%) | Apr 14, 2026 | |
| Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale?fluent public sale total commitments | No | 93.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,506.61 | 2,506.61 | +$155 (+6.6%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?will nansen launch a token by | No | 90.8¢ | 95.3¢ | 226.35 | 226.35 | +$10 (+5.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?will nansen launch a token by | No | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 47.24 | 47.24 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?will opensea launch a token by 142 | No | 91.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 3,646.61 | 3,646.61 | +$36 (+1.1%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?oscars 2026 best picture winner | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,293.16 | 6,293.16 | +$1,041 (+19.8%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?oscars 2026 best director winner | Yes | 93.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,633.99 | 2,633.99 | +$175 (+7.1%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| OpenSea token announcement in 2024?opensea token in 2024 | No | 84.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 182.57 | 182.57 | +$28 (+17.8%) | Jan 4, 2025 |