◆ Contact Dossier
0xa277...1182
0xa2770432a5e6bd24c347c976b0d815db1f2c1182
7.4
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $16.1K
90-Day Window7.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.6¢ · 45 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $8.3K / $16.1K
- % return
- +48.4%
- Observations
- 78
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+29%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 4
0W · 3L3 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · Yes40.5¢ → 13.4¢-67%
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · Yes51.0¢ → 9.0¢-82%
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No43.5¢ → 6.8¢-84%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2,125.19 | 64.9¢ | 66.5¢ | $1,412 | +$33 (+2.4%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 2,050 | 60.6¢ | 67.5¢ | $1,384 | +$142 (+11.4%) |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 961.22 | 57.6¢ | 58.0¢ | $558 | +$4 (+0.7%) |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 691.87 | 27.4¢ | 47.0¢ | $325 | +$136 (+71.6%) |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 508.63 | 16.2¢ | 34.9¢ | $178 | +$95 (+115.4%) |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 444.66 | 25.3¢ | 33.3¢ | $148 | +$36 (+31.6%) |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 427.23 | 64.0¢ | 66.9¢ | $286 | +$12 (+4.4%) |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 233.76 | 88.0¢ | 95.0¢ | $222 | +$16 (+7.9%) |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 155.65 | 22.2¢ | 61.5¢ | $96 | +$61 (+176.6%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?top ai lab by openrouter market share week of september 28 | No | 42.5¢ | 7.1¢ | 40 | 40 | -$15 (-84.3%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?top ai lab by openrouter market share week of september 28 | Yes | 39.6¢ | 13.9¢ | 59.99 | 59.99 | -$16 (-67.0%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?2nd ai lab by openrouter market share week of september 28 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 9.3¢ | 163.3 | 163.3 | -$69 (-82.4%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?next gpt sol model 6pt1 text arena debut 20260929193259436 | No | 66.0¢ | 1.2¢ | 50.29 | 50.29 | -$33 (-98.3%) | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?which company has the best ai model end of october | No | 60.6¢ | — | 2,050 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?which company has the best ai model end of october | Yes | 64.9¢ | — | 2,125.19 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?which company has 1 ai model end of october style control on | Yes | 64.1¢ | — | 427.23 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?second best ai lab end of october | Yes | 57.6¢ | — | 961.22 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?third best ai lab end of october | Yes | 25.3¢ | — | 444.66 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?next google gemini pro model arena debut | Yes | 75.4¢ | 32.3¢ | 733.47 | 733.47 | -$321 (-57.5%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?will jesus christ return before 2027 | No | 98.2¢ | 98.1¢ | 62.1 | 63.12 | -$1 (-0.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?next google gemini pro model arena debut | Yes | 85.9¢ | 65.7¢ | 385.12 | 385.12 | -$80 (-24.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?next google gemini pro model arena debut | Yes | 77.0¢ | 68.3¢ | 157.6 | 157.6 | -$16 (-13.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?next google gemini pro model arena debut | Yes | 85.0¢ | 59.4¢ | 246.4 | 246.4 | -$65 (-30.7%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?next google gemini pro model arena debut | Yes | 82.5¢ | 83.2¢ | 254.27 | 254.27 | -$1 (-0.5%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?3 ai lab end of october style control on | No | 88.0¢ | — | 233.76 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?2 ai lab end of october style control on | Yes | 22.2¢ | — | 155.65 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench mathematics end of september 20260728165020631 | Yes | 26.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 486.15 | 486.15 | +$357 (+277.8%) | Sep 30, 2026 | |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?3 ai lab end of september style control on 20260722222220184 | Yes | 19.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 398.96 | 398.96 | +$319 (+401.7%) | Sep 30, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?second best chinese ai company end of october | Yes | 27.4¢ | — | 691.87 | 0 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?best ai model on september 28 | No | 33.2¢ | 99.1¢ | 570.67 | 262.06 | +$374 (+192.5%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?third best ai lab end of september 20260722221654811 | Yes | 70.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 524.56 | 0 | +$150 (+39.9%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?third best text arena math ai lab end of september 20260722221057130 | Yes | 50.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,178.24 | 0 | +$572 (+94.5%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?best chinese ai company end of october | Yes | 16.2¢ | — | 508.63 | 0 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?best chinese ai company end of september 20260717140852824 | Yes | 75.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,536.7 | 0 | +$362 (+30.9%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?third best ai lab end of september 20260722221654811 | Yes | 12.2¢ | 52.8¢ | 943.81 | 943.81 | +$379 (+328.1%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?second best chinese ai company end of september 20260722220234242 | Yes | 17.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 302.19 | 0 | +$246 (+440.2%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?best ai model on september 28 | Yes | 30.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 825.8 | 0 | +$569 (+221.4%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?second best chinese ai company end of september 20260722220234242 | Yes | 37.1¢ | 49.4¢ | 410.88 | 410.88 | +$47 (+30.7%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench coding end of september 20260728165808281 | No | 67.0¢ | 95.6¢ | 567.67 | 180.31 | +$154 (+40.6%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?will claude go down on days in september | Yes | 74.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 575.07 | 0 | +$144 (+33.3%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench overall end of september 20260728164124636 | No | 56.2¢ | 96.4¢ | 452.61 | 298.16 | +$187 (+73.5%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench overall end of september 20260728164124636 | Yes | 38.7¢ | 96.0¢ | 662.56 | 170 | +$399 (+155.9%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?of chatgpt outage days in september 2026 | No | 68.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 293.92 | 293.91 | +$85 (+42.2%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench coding end of september 20260728165808281 | Yes | 57.5¢ | 97.4¢ | 662.94 | 314.56 | +$273 (+71.5%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?third best chinese ai company end of september 20260722220502453 | Yes | 67.3¢ | 64.6¢ | 618.93 | 418.93 | +$54 (+12.4%) | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?third best chinese ai company end of september 20260722220502453 | No | 86.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 0 | +$14 (+15.9%) | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?2 ai lab end of september style control on 20260722222005322 | Yes | 48.9¢ | 90.0¢ | 1,335.39 | 665.19 | +$612 (+93.7%) | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?best ai model on september 21 | Yes | 63.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 519.84 | 0 | +$254 (+52.1%) | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?3 ai lab end of september style control on 20260722222220184 | Yes | 8.8¢ | 1.3¢ | 82.09 | 82.09 | -$6 (-84.8%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench mathematics end of september 20260728165020631 | No | 25.8¢ | 92.4¢ | 500 | 500 | +$333 (+258.8%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?next mythos class model humanitys last exam debut 20260901074046303 | No | 49.8¢ | 96.0¢ | 283.83 | 283.83 | +$131 (+92.9%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)will the next mythos class model debut as 1 text arena 20260901081919669 | Yes | 76.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 394.18 | 394.18 | +$91 (+30.2%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?next mythos class model text arena debut 20260827110151621 | Yes | 71.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 711.37 | 711.37 | +$205 (+40.6%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?of chatgpt outage days in september 2026 | No | 93.3¢ | 96.3¢ | 41 | 41 | +$1 (+3.3%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?ai model scores 90 on frontiermath benchmark before 2027 | Yes | 94.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 30.68 | 30.68 | +$2 (+6.2%) | Sep 2, 2026 | |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?nhl 2027 champion 20260612185656162 | No | 97.1¢ | 96.8¢ | 2.06 | 2.06 | -$0 (-0.3%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 98.7¢ | 98.5¢ | 4.07 | 4.07 | -$0 (-0.2%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?will claude go down on days in august 20260728182414700 | Yes | 15.8¢ | 82.5¢ | 1,657.65 | 1,657.65 | +$1,105 (+421.2%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?second best ai lab end of august 20260720230627650 | Yes | 50.2¢ | 75.7¢ | 960.12 | 960.12 | +$245 (+50.9%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?second best chinese ai company end of august 20260717141100971 | Yes | 68.0¢ | 76.5¢ | 447.31 | 447.31 | +$38 (+12.6%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?second best ai lab end of august 20260720230627650 | Yes | 33.9¢ | 60.0¢ | 262.45 | 262.45 | +$69 (+77.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench overall end of august 20260728170525237 | Yes | 65.9¢ | 95.1¢ | 307.69 | 307.69 | +$90 (+44.3%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench mathematics end of august 20260728171217830 | Yes | 57.2¢ | 91.3¢ | 346.93 | 346.93 | +$118 (+59.7%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?which company has the best ai model on livebench mathematics end of august 20260728171217830 | No | 67.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 224.78 | 224.78 | +$73 (+47.8%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?2 ai lab end of september style control on 20260722222005322 | No | 73.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-31.5%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?will claude go down on days in august 20260728182414700 | Yes | 5.2¢ | 20.6¢ | 188.7 | 188.7 | +$29 (+296.0%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?openais astra released by 20260801214557729 | No | 42.3¢ | 36.1¢ | 322.47 | 322.47 | -$20 (-14.6%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?best ai model on august 17 20260730202018839 | Yes | 67.7¢ | 95.3¢ | 624.95 | 624.95 | +$173 (+40.9%) | Aug 17, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?will claude go down on days in august 20260728182414700 | No | 62.3¢ | 68.1¢ | 343.33 | 343.33 | +$20 (+9.3%) | Aug 15, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?will claude go down on days in august 20260728182414700 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+42.9%) | Aug 15, 2026 | |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?another critical cloudflare incident by 123 | Yes | 48.7¢ | 14.1¢ | 219.35 | 219.35 | -$76 (-71.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?best ai model on august 10 20260724144642842 | Yes | 83.3¢ | 96.1¢ | 323.63 | 323.63 | +$41 (+15.4%) | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?next claude opus humanitys last exam debut 20260723184439892 | No | 88.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 216.66 | 216.66 | +$25 (+12.8%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?next claude opus humanitys last exam debut 20260723184439892 | Yes | 91.7¢ | 98.6¢ | 32.2 | 32.2 | +$2 (+7.5%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?next claude opus humanitys last exam debut 20260723184439892 | Yes | 93.3¢ | 99.6¢ | 1.22 | 1.22 | +$0 (+6.8%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?of views of next mrbeast video on day 1 20260803174134712 | Yes | 76.9¢ | 74.3¢ | 100 | 100 | -$3 (-3.4%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?what caused the blue origin new glenn explosion | Yes | 77.8¢ | 95.1¢ | 153.94 | 153.94 | +$27 (+22.3%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?what caused the blue origin new glenn explosion | No | 88.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 16 | 16 | +$2 (+13.6%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Did an engine failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?what caused the blue origin new glenn explosion | Yes | 20.1¢ | -0.1¢ | 96 | 96 | -$19 (-100.4%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?third best ai lab end of august 20260720230611802 | Yes | 46.6¢ | 36.8¢ | 480.27 | 480.27 | -$47 (-20.9%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?best chinese ai company end of july | Yes | 79.7¢ | 91.7¢ | 1,553.04 | 1,553.04 | +$186 (+15.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?will claude go down on days in july 20260630150848708 | Yes | 27.2¢ | 24.6¢ | 2,071.19 | 2,071.19 | -$53 (-9.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?will claude go down on days in july 20260630150848708 | No | 79.6¢ | 98.2¢ | 280.1 | 280.1 | +$52 (+23.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 24 20260717202706015 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 119.46 | 119.46 | +$6 (+5.4%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?1 free app in the us apple app store on july 24 20260717202606004 | Yes | 93.7¢ | 95.9¢ | 41.5 | 41.5 | +$1 (+2.4%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?1 free app in the us apple app store on july 24 20260717202606004 | No | 95.2¢ | 99.2¢ | 32.58 | 32.58 | +$1 (+4.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?will claude go down on days in july 20260630150848708 | Yes | 18.6¢ | 19.4¢ | 1,287.48 | 1,287.48 | +$10 (+4.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 24 20260717202706015 | No | 98.5¢ | 98.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-0.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 17 20260713171454255 | No | 95.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 17 | 17 | +$1 (+4.3%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 17 20260713171454255 | Yes | 93.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 94.35 | 94.35 | +$6 (+6.6%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?1 free app in the us apple app store on july 17 20260713171335738 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 51.94 | 51.94 | +$6 (+12.3%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 10 20260702174747383 | Yes | 93.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 80.44 | 80.44 | +$5 (+6.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?1 free app in the us apple app store on july 10 20260702165406659 | No | 95.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 109.99 | 109.99 | +$5 (+5.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?2 free app in the us apple app store on july 10 20260702174747383 | No | 95.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 21.48 | 21.48 | +$1 (+5.0%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?will claude go down on days in july 20260630150848708 | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | 299.6 | 299.6 | -$9 (-96.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?will claude go down on days in july 20260630150848708 | Yes | 16.5¢ | 58.7¢ | 292.74 | 292.74 | +$123 (+255.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next gaming youtube video 20260626194308517 | No | 79.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 6 | 6 | +$1 (+25.5%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next gaming youtube video 20260626194308517 | No | 82.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 4.99 | 4.99 | +$1 (+21.1%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 52.5 and 53 million views on day 5?of views of mrbeast video day 5 20260701140730023 | Yes | 57.4¢ | 60.0¢ | 246.03 | 246.03 | +$6 (+4.5%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 53.5 million views on day 5?of views of mrbeast video day 5 20260701140730023 | No | 61.8¢ | 75.0¢ | 111.84 | 111.84 | +$15 (+21.3%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?of chatgpt outage days in june 2026 | No | 94.4¢ | 99.5¢ | 53.07 | 53.07 | +$3 (+5.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?anthropic claude score on humanitys last exam by june 30 | No | 97.0¢ | 92.2¢ | 154.91 | 154.91 | -$7 (-4.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?anthropic claude score on humanitys last exam by june 30 | No | 54.9¢ | 97.4¢ | 582.64 | 582.64 | +$248 (+77.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next youtube video 20260616145759639 | No | 30.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 226.7 | 226.7 | -$70 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next youtube video 20260616145759639 | Yes | 24.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 339.03 | 339.03 | -$82 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?will claude go down on days in june | Yes | 19.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 319.4 | 319.4 | +$256 (+402.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?best chinese ai company end of june | No | 89.7¢ | 98.5¢ | 167.99 | 167.99 | +$15 (+9.8%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next youtube video 20260616145759639 | Yes | 95.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 4.03 | 4.03 | +$0 (+5.1%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next youtube video 20260616145759639 | Yes | 95.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+5.1%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?what will mrbeast say during his next youtube video 20260616145759639 | No | 23.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 9.78 | 9.78 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?1 song on us spotify this week june 26 20260619164148339 | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 52.08 | 52.08 | +$2 (+4.0%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?2 free app in the us apple app store on june 26 20260619151842959 | Yes | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 65.29 | 65.29 | +$5 (+8.4%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?1 free app in the us apple app store on june 26 20260619151743893 | No | 98.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$0 (+1.9%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?openai gpt score on humanitys last exam by june 30 | No | 86.5¢ | 91.9¢ | 50 | 50 | +$3 (+6.3%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?2 free app in the us apple app store on june 19 20260612142946547 | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0.2¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-93.3%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?another critical cloudflare incident by 995 | Yes | 79.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 189.68 | 189.68 | +$38 (+25.4%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of may | Yes | 58.9¢ | 50.7¢ | 345.56 | 345.56 | -$28 (-13.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?trump declassifies new ufo files by | Yes | 49.8¢ | 42.2¢ | 441.56 | 441.56 | -$34 (-15.3%) | May 16, 2026 |