◆ Contact Dossier
@Risto
0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $330.9K
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -0.2¢ · 68 resolved
- Hit rate
- 55.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$18.3K / $330.9K
- % return
- -6.3%
- Observations
- 107
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-12%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 4
-12%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10,018.47 | 95.6¢ | 97.9¢ | $9,803 | +$224 (+2.3%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11,299.96 | 62.0¢ | 71.5¢ | $8,079 | +$1,074 (+15.3%) |
| Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 5,000 | 58.0¢ | 89.0¢ | $4,450 | +$1,550 (+53.4%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,800.01 | 78.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,366 | +$182 (+8.3%) |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 1,500.44 | 77.9¢ | 75.5¢ | $1,133 | -$36 (-3.0%) |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1,090.57 | 76.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $922 | +$90 (+10.9%) |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1,000.33 | 77.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $875 | +$102 (+13.3%) |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 82.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $865 | +$45 (+5.5%) |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 2,000 | 57.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $830 | -$320 (-27.8%) |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 599.78 | 25.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $513 | +$362 (+239.2%) |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 499.99 | 94.3¢ | 95.0¢ | $475 | +$3 (+0.7%) |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 500 | 86.4¢ | 86.1¢ | $431 | -$2 (-0.3%) |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 505.03 | 66.8¢ | 58.0¢ | $293 | -$45 (-13.2%) |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5,999.88 | 4.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $291 | +$40 (+15.7%) |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 299.99 | 85.5¢ | 94.3¢ | $283 | +$27 (+10.4%) |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 221.99 | 86.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $216 | +$24 (+12.3%) |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 150.02 | 64.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $125 | +$28 (+28.7%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | 83.4¢ | 92.2¢ | $92 | +$9 (+10.6%) |
| Will United Russia win the next Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? | Yes | 79.44 | 97.8¢ | 98.7¢ | $78 | +$1 (+0.9%) |
| Will United Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections? | Yes | 70 | 94.0¢ | 96.7¢ | $68 | +$2 (+2.8%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 53.65 | 63.1¢ | 61.5¢ | $33 | -$1 (-2.5%) |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,976 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | $28 | +$4 (+18.7%) |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7,125.95 | 1.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $25 | -$89 (-78.1%) |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 15.53 | 49.0¢ | 60.5¢ | $9 | +$2 (+23.5%) |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,705 | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $9 | -$13 (-58.3%) |
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 5.25 | 63.9¢ | 79.0¢ | $4 | +$1 (+23.5%) |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | 64.0¢ | 73.5¢ | $4 | +$0 (+14.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will United Russia win the next Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?nizhny novgorod oblast parliament election party winner | Yes | 97.8¢ | — | 79.44 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 | No | 94.3¢ | — | 499.99 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 78.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 5,300 | 2,500 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 | No | 82.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?printr fdv above one day after launch | No | 73.3¢ | 82.3¢ | 2,969.64 | 1,671.08 | +$333 (+15.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?extended fdv above one day after launch | Yes | — | 78.0¢ | 0 | 245 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?ingushetia parliament election party winner | Yes | 94.0¢ | — | 70 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | — | 31.8¢ | 0 | 400 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?grvt fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 59.7¢ | 0 | 1,599.64 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?reya fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 75.6¢ | 0 | 453.84 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?opensea fdv above one day after launch | Yes | — | 20.3¢ | 0 | 1,229.84 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?variational fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 60.3¢ | 0 | 1,766.71 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?grvt fdv above one day after launch | No | 9.5¢ | 17.0¢ | 4,000 | 10,119.34 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?grvt fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 96.0¢ | 0 | 10 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 87.8¢ | 90.9¢ | 8,500 | 8,500 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?metamask fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 94.7¢ | 0 | 11.56 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?venezuela leader end of 2026 | No | — | 97.2¢ | 0 | 277.21 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?will russia enter stinky by march 31 | Yes | — | 19.0¢ | 0 | 34.38 | — | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?opensea fdv above one day after launch | Yes | — | 27.5¢ | 0 | 815.59 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | No | — | 96.8¢ | 0 | 1,000.04 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?will reza pahlavi lead iran in 2026 | No | — | 95.5¢ | 0 | 15 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | No | 44.0¢ | — | 1,400 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?reya fdv above one day after launch | No | — | 81.0¢ | 0 | 95 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?will ukraine recapture crimean territory by june 30 2026 | No | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 7,499.96 | — | Jul 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 3.4¢ | — | 999.99 | 0 | — | Jul 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 10.9¢ | 0 | 3,866.84 | — | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancefifwc par fra 2026 07 04 more markets | France | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,285.85 | 9,285.85 | +$700 (+8.2%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 88.0¢ | 88.9¢ | 40,123.33 | 40,123.33 | +$348 (+1.0%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 85.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$577 (+16.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?iran leader end of 2026 | Yes | 36.6¢ | 67.8¢ | 1,271.99 | 1,271.99 | +$397 (+85.3%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 79.6¢ | 95.1¢ | 10,133.48 | 10,133.48 | +$1,578 (+19.6%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?spacex ipo by | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,001.98 | 1,001.98 | +$321 (+47.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 81.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,486.9 | 5,486.9 | +$993 (+22.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?hantavirus pandemic in 2026 | No | 90.8¢ | 95.6¢ | 10,706.28 | 10,706.28 | +$511 (+5.3%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 6?solana price on june 6 2026 | Yes | 78.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,471.08 | 13,471.08 | +$2,919 (+27.7%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?will the iranian regime fall by may 31 | No | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,615.96 | 12,615.96 | +$376 (+3.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?standx fdv above one day after launch | No | 78.5¢ | 92.4¢ | 5,385.75 | 5,385.75 | +$749 (+17.7%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?uefa europa league winner | Yes | 72.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,652.61 | 2,652.61 | +$739 (+38.6%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?opensea fdv above one day after launch | No | 52.7¢ | 74.3¢ | 2,999.94 | 2,999.94 | +$648 (+40.9%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?opensea fdv above one day after launch | No | 32.5¢ | 46.9¢ | 8,286.23 | 8,286.23 | +$1,196 (+44.4%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 35.8¢ | 69.3¢ | 2,424 | 2,424 | +$813 (+93.8%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?will the iranian regime fall by april 30 | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,999.99 | 24,999.99 | +$545 (+2.2%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by april 30 2026 | No | 94.7¢ | 97.8¢ | 25,052 | 25,052 | +$782 (+3.3%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by | No | 35.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,999.96 | 1,999.96 | +$295 (+41.8%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?megaeth market cap fdv one day after launch | No | 27.9¢ | 30.5¢ | 25,625.87 | 25,625.87 | +$686 (+9.6%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?usdai fdv above one day after launch | No | 75.5¢ | 91.7¢ | 3,018.97 | 3,018.97 | +$488 (+21.4%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 79.7¢ | 96.6¢ | 1,806.99 | 1,806.99 | +$304 (+21.1%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?metamask fdv above one day after launch | No | 60.9¢ | 74.3¢ | 9,715.37 | 9,715.37 | +$1,303 (+22.0%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | No | 14.2¢ | 15.6¢ | 23,499.67 | 23,499.67 | +$339 (+10.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by | No | 60.2¢ | 81.9¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$435 (+36.1%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 40.2¢ | 79.1¢ | 9,072.92 | 9,072.92 | +$3,527 (+96.6%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 59.3¢ | 92.7¢ | 7,998.82 | 7,998.82 | +$2,671 (+56.3%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 45.2¢ | 47.5¢ | 12,816.3 | 12,816.3 | +$295 (+5.1%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 28.6¢ | 37.0¢ | 14,941.95 | 14,941.95 | +$1,264 (+29.6%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?based fdv above one day after launch | No | 73.9¢ | 90.1¢ | 8,053.91 | 8,053.91 | +$1,306 (+21.9%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,179.69 | 7,179.69 | +$553 (+8.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?edgex fdv above one day after launch | No | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 18,000 | 18,000 | +$1,794 (+22.1%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backpack fdv above one day after launch | No | 9.5¢ | 18.0¢ | 22,999.64 | 22,999.64 | +$1,940 (+88.4%) | Mar 25, 2026 | |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backpack fdv above one day after launch | No | 33.1¢ | 80.1¢ | 19,583.15 | 19,583.15 | +$9,209 (+142.1%) | Mar 25, 2026 | |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backpack fdv above one day after launch | No | 54.3¢ | 65.5¢ | 14,246.54 | 14,246.54 | +$1,592 (+20.6%) | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | Yes | 81.3¢ | 95.7¢ | 3,664.98 | 3,664.98 | +$528 (+17.7%) | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?edgex fdv above one day after launch | No | 44.0¢ | 62.3¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$549 (+41.6%) | Mar 21, 2026 | |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?usdai fdv above one day after launch | No | 26.3¢ | 60.7¢ | 2,999.06 | 2,999.06 | +$1,032 (+131.0%) | Mar 20, 2026 | |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?opinion fdv above one day after launch | No | 38.7¢ | 58.4¢ | 29,606.43 | 29,606.43 | +$5,827 (+50.9%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?opinion fdv above one day after launch | No | 30.3¢ | 45.5¢ | 8,868.23 | 8,868.23 | +$1,348 (+50.2%) | Mar 6, 2026 | |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?opinion fdv above one day after launch | No | 96.8¢ | 108.6¢ | 3,850.26 | 3,850.26 | +$454 (+12.2%) | Feb 23, 2026 | |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?opinion fdv above one day after launch | No | 63.9¢ | 101.6¢ | 7,388.9 | 7,388.9 | +$2,788 (+59.1%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backpack fdv above one day after launch | No | 66.7¢ | 80.3¢ | 8,644.29 | 8,644.29 | +$1,174 (+20.4%) | Feb 13, 2026 | |
| Pacers vs. Knicksnba ind nyk | Pacers | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$5,000 (+100.0%) | Feb 11, 2026 | |
| Pistons vs. Hornetsnba det cha | Pistons | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$4,000 (+100.0%) | Feb 10, 2026 | |
| Seahawks vs. Patriotsnfl sea ne | Seahawks | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$3,500 (+100.0%) | Feb 9, 2026 | |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?zama fdv above one day after launch | No | 41.5¢ | 78.2¢ | 5,780 | 5,780 | +$2,119 (+88.3%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?will trump acquire greenland before 2027 | No | 79.0¢ | 88.8¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$1,950 (+12.3%) | Feb 2, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 89.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 4,013.99 | 4,013.99 | +$367 (+10.2%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?zama auction clearing price | No | 47.8¢ | 82.7¢ | 2,188.67 | 2,188.67 | +$764 (+73.0%) | Jan 26, 2026 |