◆ Contact Dossier
@yungstalin
0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8
5.9
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $9.3M
90-Day Window5.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +7.1¢ · 72 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $169.1K / $9.3M
- % return
- +1.8%
- Observations
- 173
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+167%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 3
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes50.0¢ → 100.0¢+100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 30,931.27 | 64.9¢ | 62.5¢ | $19,332 | -$731 (-3.6%) |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 26,798.57 | 44.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $12,461 | +$549 (+4.6%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24,061.11 | 45.9¢ | 53.5¢ | $12,873 | +$1,830 (+16.6%) |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 17,928.15 | 69.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $15,158 | +$2,656 (+21.2%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 14,987.39 | 61.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $6,819 | -$2,329 (-25.5%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9,839.97 | 50.0¢ | 44.5¢ | $4,379 | -$541 (-11.0%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,000 | 72.0¢ | 66.5¢ | $3,990 | -$330 (-7.6%) |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 4,943.24 | 23.8¢ | 79.0¢ | $3,905 | +$2,728 (+231.8%) |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 4,578.46 | 33.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $710 | -$836 (-54.1%) |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 4,334.96 | 20.3¢ | 12.5¢ | $542 | -$340 (-38.6%) |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 3,132.61 | 46.0¢ | 57.5¢ | $1,801 | +$360 (+25.0%) |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 3,099.95 | 49.0¢ | 62.0¢ | $1,922 | +$403 (+26.6%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Yes | 1,727.75 | 31.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,374 | +$828 (+151.8%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,399.75 | 47.0¢ | 44.5¢ | $623 | -$35 (-5.3%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,247.06 | 27.0¢ | 22.5¢ | $281 | -$56 (-16.7%) |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,015.15 | 29.0¢ | 76.5¢ | $777 | +$482 (+163.8%) |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,012.76 | 46.0¢ | 45.0¢ | $456 | -$10 (-2.2%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 231.11 | 3.6¢ | 1.3¢ | $3 | -$5 (-65.3%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$5 (+100.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?iran leader end of 2026 | Yes | — | 79.9¢ | 0 | 5,494.18 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 65.0¢ | — | 27,430.83 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | — | 38.4¢ | 0 | 19,640.94 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 27.0¢ | — | 1,247.06 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | No | 25.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 15,488.38 | 0 | +$3,760 (+94.4%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 28.9¢ | 41.3¢ | 7,754.7 | 0 | +$1,542 (+42.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 32.2¢ | 25.7¢ | 3,548.25 | 0 | -$2,111 (-20.2%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 0.6¢ | — | 523,298.93 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,190,420.69 | 4,190,420.69 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?republican presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,190,420.69 | 4,190,420.69 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 19.3¢ | — | 8,999.95 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 50.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,232.36 | 4,232.36 | +$2,082 (+96.9%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 20.1¢ | — | 24,662.13 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 67.6¢ | 39.8¢ | 58,262.2 | 58,262.2 | -$16,196 (-41.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?iran leader end of 2026 | No | 22.2¢ | 45.1¢ | 23,096.26 | 23,096.26 | +$5,311 (+103.8%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 70.7¢ | 63.5¢ | 10,368.56 | 10,368.56 | -$740 (-10.1%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 13.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 6,582.14 | 6,582.14 | +$2,435 (+284.6%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 13.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 7.25 | 7.25 | +$6 (+624.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 exact score | No | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 100,000.06 | 100,000.06 | +$3,814 (+4.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancefifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 more markets | Spain | 93.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 44,018.36 | 44,018.36 | +$2,861 (+7.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 34.5¢ | 43.6¢ | 145,525.56 | 145,525.56 | +$13,261 (+26.4%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 56.0¢ | 58.4¢ | 16,728.7 | 16,728.7 | +$403 (+4.3%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 69.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 74,353.43 | 74,353.43 | +$22,980 (+44.7%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 14.0¢ | 15.7¢ | 106,642.18 | 106,642.18 | +$1,838 (+12.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 87.0¢ | 99.2¢ | 55,169.79 | 55,169.79 | +$6,731 (+14.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 96.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 123,489.98 | 123,489.98 | +$4,816 (+4.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 82.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 12,131.09 | 12,131.09 | -$3,882 (-39.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 83.2¢ | 88.1¢ | 133,015.75 | 133,015.75 | +$6,560 (+5.9%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 12.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 32,713.37 | 32,713.37 | +$12,431 (+316.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 75.8¢ | 93.8¢ | 291,322.84 | 291,322.84 | +$52,403 (+23.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | No | 46.6¢ | 77.0¢ | 28,357.53 | 28,357.53 | +$8,610 (+65.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?kash patel out by | No | 46.0¢ | 98.2¢ | 2,473.54 | 2,473.54 | +$1,292 (+113.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 33.2¢ | 47.2¢ | 17,921.55 | 17,921.55 | +$2,518 (+42.3%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | No | 36.9¢ | 93.8¢ | 3,376.95 | 3,376.95 | +$1,920 (+154.0%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | Yes | 65.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 197.3 | 197.3 | -$30 (-23.5%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 18.5¢ | 81.4¢ | 18,847.55 | 18,847.55 | +$11,856 (+339.8%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 17.0¢ | 6.3¢ | 7,396.69 | 7,396.69 | -$793 (-63.1%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30 | No | 62.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 13,755.79 | 13,755.79 | -$1,648 (-19.3%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | No | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 107,128.01 | 107,128.01 | +$4,949 (+4.8%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?kroger q1 identical sales without fuel growth | Yes | 28.7¢ | 82.1¢ | 4,884.35 | 4,884.35 | +$2,609 (+186.4%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 48.3¢ | 89.4¢ | 140,875.18 | 140,875.18 | +$57,801 (+84.9%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 5.0¢ | 10.2¢ | 15,672.66 | 15,672.66 | +$810 (+103.4%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 18.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,061 | 5,061 | +$1,599 (+171.8%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 98.7¢ | 110.7¢ | 616,053.66 | 616,053.66 | +$73,638 (+12.1%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100.8¢ | 12,234.97 | 12,234.97 | +$2,542 (+26.0%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 24.1¢ | 35.6¢ | 346,762.68 | 346,762.68 | +$39,805 (+47.6%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 36.0¢ | 44.9¢ | 18,781.35 | 18,781.35 | +$1,668 (+24.7%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 35.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 8,222 | 8,222 | +$1,233 (+42.9%) | Jun 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 68.0¢ | 66.7¢ | 66,438.71 | 66,438.71 | -$810 (-1.8%) | Jun 13, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 35.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 1,237.52 | 1,237.52 | +$507 (+117.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 89.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 33,351.25 | 33,351.25 | +$3,568 (+12.0%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | No | 72.2¢ | 74.7¢ | 58,052.2 | 58,052.2 | +$1,480 (+3.5%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 60.0¢ | 67.4¢ | 31,580.36 | 31,580.36 | +$2,347 (+12.4%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?trump announces us x iran ceasefire over byptptpt 20260607232555290 | No | 81.1¢ | 93.5¢ | 1,447.04 | 1,447.04 | +$179 (+15.3%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 35.8¢ | 39.8¢ | 15,416.05 | 15,416.05 | +$608 (+11.0%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?kroger q1 identical sales without fuel growth | No | 74.1¢ | 72.6¢ | 3,081.23 | 3,081.23 | -$48 (-2.1%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?la mayoral election first round second place | No | 36.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 609 | 609 | +$390 (+177.8%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?kroger q1 identical sales without fuel growth | No | 83.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 2,780.35 | 2,780.35 | -$221 (-9.6%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | No | 28.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 213.5 | 213.5 | +$41 (+67.9%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 68.5¢ | 105.5¢ | 975,253.05 | 975,253.05 | +$360,104 (+53.9%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 7.3¢ | 734,339.64 | 734,339.64 | -$313,567 (-85.4%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Chirayu Rana divorced?chirayu rana divorced | No | 78.0¢ | 98.9¢ | 500 | 500 | +$104 (+26.8%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 15.9¢ | 23.4¢ | 344,365.51 | 344,365.51 | +$25,560 (+46.6%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?us iran nuclear deal before 2027 | No | 38.6¢ | 59.5¢ | 7,067.6 | 7,067.6 | +$1,481 (+54.4%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | No | 66.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 8,804.33 | 8,804.33 | -$1,442 (-24.7%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 64.0¢ | 69.7¢ | 15,791.09 | 15,791.09 | +$901 (+8.9%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?us iran nuclear deal by may 31 974 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 18.4¢ | 1,014.99 | 1,014.99 | -$6 (-3.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?us iran nuclear deal by may 31 974 | No | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 754.79 | 754.79 | +$136 (+22.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?will russia enter novooleksandrivka by | No | 40.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,100.73 | 5,100.73 | +$3,016 (+144.7%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 36.8¢ | 77.0¢ | 8,091 | 8,091 | +$3,252 (+109.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 64.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,151.6 | 30,151.6 | +$10,644 (+54.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 61.5¢ | 78.9¢ | 294,347.8 | 294,347.8 | +$50,996 (+28.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 39.0¢ | 46.1¢ | 138,154.31 | 138,154.31 | +$9,848 (+18.3%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | Yes | 16.6¢ | 7.5¢ | 716,669.65 | 716,669.65 | -$64,652 (-54.5%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 62.0¢ | 96.0¢ | 4,138.28 | 4,138.28 | +$1,405 (+54.7%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?iran closes its airspace by | No | 3.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,568.75 | 12,568.75 | +$12,192 (+3233.3%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 76.8¢ | 85.5¢ | 110,199.75 | 110,199.75 | +$9,597 (+11.3%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 62.5¢ | 77.2¢ | 68,105.84 | 68,105.84 | +$10,006 (+23.5%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 7.6¢ | 18.0¢ | 4,036.56 | 4,036.56 | +$422 (+138.2%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 80.0¢ | 86.4¢ | 11,387.95 | 11,387.95 | +$735 (+8.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 53.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,509.23 | 3,509.23 | -$105 (-5.7%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 85.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,454.88 | 2,454.88 | +$357 (+17.0%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,184.89 | 25,184.89 | +$2,015 (+8.7%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 86.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 265 | 265 | +$35 (+15.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 73.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,396.57 | 1,396.57 | +$364 (+35.3%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 86.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,490.51 | 8,490.51 | +$1,126 (+15.3%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 64.0¢ | 55.1¢ | 222,076.99 | 222,076.99 | -$19,736 (-13.9%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 15.0¢ | 13.4¢ | 242.65 | 242.65 | -$4 (-10.7%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 34.2¢ | 56.0¢ | 68,290.11 | 68,290.11 | +$14,837 (+63.5%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?israel closes its airspace by | No | 71.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,805.95 | 2,805.95 | +$790 (+39.2%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 2.7¢ | 5.8¢ | 87,368.81 | 87,368.81 | +$2,731 (+116.5%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 26.2¢ | 69.0¢ | 10,392.85 | 10,392.85 | +$4,452 (+163.7%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 73.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 1,851.24 | 1,851.24 | +$333 (+24.7%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 40.9¢ | 48.8¢ | 34,481.15 | 34,481.15 | +$2,731 (+19.4%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 56.4¢ | 55.2¢ | 14,820.38 | 14,820.38 | -$183 (-2.2%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | No | 83.4¢ | 82.7¢ | 86,930.16 | 86,930.16 | -$606 (-0.8%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?hantavirus pandemic in 2026 | No | 91.2¢ | 94.8¢ | 113,128.72 | 113,128.72 | +$4,005 (+3.9%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,265.97 | 7,265.97 | +$160 (+2.2%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 97.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 203.48 | 203.48 | +$5 (+2.4%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,631.27 | 10,631.27 | +$237 (+2.3%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 42.8¢ | 67.9¢ | 50,195.24 | 50,195.24 | +$12,612 (+58.7%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | No | 70.1¢ | 29.5¢ | 164,421.98 | 164,421.98 | -$66,753 (-58.0%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?target q1 comparable sales growth | No | 37.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 21 | 21 | +$13 (+170.3%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?target q1 comparable sales growth | Yes | 6.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 175 | 175 | +$164 (+1540.1%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | No | 55.4¢ | 84.2¢ | 13,768.19 | 13,768.19 | +$3,964 (+52.0%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | No | 66.4¢ | 60.2¢ | 33,698.54 | 33,698.54 | -$2,104 (-9.4%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 60.3¢ | 71.0¢ | 170,542.58 | 170,542.58 | +$18,256 (+17.8%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 13.7¢ | 41.0¢ | 38,669.97 | 38,669.97 | +$10,576 (+199.7%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 13.0¢ | 13.2¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$25 (+1.9%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | Yes | 12.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 10,082.36 | 10,082.36 | -$101 (-8.3%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 91.0¢ | 77.6¢ | 38,760.83 | 38,760.83 | -$5,193 (-14.7%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?iran leadership change by | Yes | 7.8¢ | 22.5¢ | 14,125.6 | 14,125.6 | +$2,076 (+188.8%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | No | 99.2¢ | 99.9¢ | 111,435.99 | 111,435.99 | +$764 (+0.7%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 17.6¢ | 33.4¢ | 109,767.13 | 109,767.13 | +$17,278 (+89.3%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 14.3¢ | 37.9¢ | 146,802.14 | 146,802.14 | +$34,594 (+164.4%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 10.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 4,749.55 | 4,749.55 | +$2,422 (+510.0%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2027 | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 796.2 | 796.2 | +$406 (+104.1%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?russia x ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 | Yes | 78.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 786.97 | 786.97 | +$169 (+27.4%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 | Yes | 42.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 116,842.48 | 116,842.48 | +$67,289 (+135.8%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | Yes | 30.2¢ | 53.3¢ | 48,775.87 | 48,775.87 | +$11,262 (+76.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | No | 71.8¢ | 20.6¢ | 159,647.93 | 159,647.93 | -$81,738 (-71.3%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | No | 60.0¢ | 60.4¢ | 26,766.57 | 26,766.57 | +$106 (+0.7%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | Yes | 42.2¢ | 85.0¢ | 100,739.42 | 100,739.42 | +$43,100 (+101.4%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 75.0¢ | 57.4¢ | 125,949.67 | 125,949.67 | -$22,223 (-23.5%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?will trump visit china by | Yes | 94.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,994.83 | 2,994.83 | -$1,318 (-46.8%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 79.0¢ | 65.8¢ | 56,129.24 | 56,129.24 | -$7,406 (-16.7%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 13.4¢ | 18.3¢ | 15,460.66 | 15,460.66 | +$761 (+36.7%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 86.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,575.6 | 2,575.6 | -$927 (-41.9%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?spx up or down on may 7 2026 | Down | 23.2¢ | 95.3¢ | 9,228.23 | 9,228.23 | +$6,658 (+311.1%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 10.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 12,118.31 | 12,118.31 | +$361 (+29.8%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 94.8¢ | 50.7¢ | 19,183.51 | 19,183.51 | -$8,449 (-46.5%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?us iran nuclear deal before 2027 | Yes | 55.7¢ | 64.0¢ | 1,537.95 | 1,537.95 | +$128 (+15.0%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 92.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 31,746.16 | 31,746.16 | +$952 (+3.3%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?iran closes its airspace by | No | 77.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 7,219.68 | 7,219.68 | +$794 (+14.3%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?iran closes its airspace by | No | 71.9¢ | 79.0¢ | 61,996.95 | 61,996.95 | +$4,391 (+9.8%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 12.1¢ | 37.6¢ | 2,599.54 | 2,599.54 | +$663 (+210.7%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?israeli forces cross the litani river by june 30 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 95 | 95 | +$37 (+354.5%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 19.0¢ | 42.8¢ | 14,904.32 | 14,904.32 | +$3,552 (+125.4%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 76.0¢ | 58.5¢ | 18,492.5 | 18,492.5 | -$3,241 (-23.1%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 60.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 10,094.96 | 10,094.96 | +$707 (+11.7%) | May 3, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 5.5¢ | 11.2¢ | 61,790 | 61,790 | +$3,553 (+104.8%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 78.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,006.94 | 1,006.94 | -$282 (-35.9%) | May 2, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 96.9¢ | 75.9¢ | 62,985.09 | 62,985.09 | -$13,240 (-21.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 96.9¢ | 74.6¢ | 88,623.54 | 88,623.54 | -$19,759 (-23.0%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 65.9¢ | 53.7¢ | 14,922.82 | 14,922.82 | -$1,815 (-18.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 34.9¢ | 15,569.86 | 15,569.86 | +$2,319 (+74.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?iran leadership change by | No | 84.0¢ | 55.5¢ | 5,545.88 | 5,545.88 | -$1,579 (-33.9%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?us x iran ceasefire extended by | Yes | 51.9¢ | 6.9¢ | 13,934.01 | 13,934.01 | -$6,276 (-86.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?us x iran ceasefire extended by | No | 99.7¢ | 100.2¢ | 363,136.7 | 363,136.7 | +$1,743 (+0.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?clavicular pregnancy in 2026 | No | 5.5¢ | 0.2¢ | 8,471.69 | 8,471.69 | -$451 (-96.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by may 15 | No | 83.3¢ | 82.9¢ | 20,766.1 | 20,766.1 | -$68 (-0.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 95.2¢ | 91.3¢ | 322,906.84 | 322,906.84 | -$12,813 (-4.2%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?next us x iran diplomatic meeting on | Yes | 79.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,400 | 3,400 | -$1,011 (-37.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8.1¢ | 18,100.06 | 18,100.06 | +$27 (+1.8%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | No | 82.7¢ | 66.8¢ | 24,737.06 | 24,737.06 | -$3,950 (-19.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?how many dissent at the next fed meeting 113 | Yes | 87.7¢ | 70.7¢ | 28,908 | 28,908 | -$4,901 (-19.3%) | Apr 29, 2026 |