◆ Contact Dossier
0x9f44...7470
0x9f444616d2450a5151922ac7c889911950b97470
6.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $1.3K
90-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.6¢ · 101 resolved
- Hit rate
- 45.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$347 / $1.3K
- % return
- -16.3%
- Observations
- 127
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 47.16 | 64.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $34 | +$3 (+11.3%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 111.29 | 9.2¢ | 27.5¢ | $31 | +$20 (+197.9%) |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,990.98 | 1.9¢ | 1.4¢ | $27 | -$11 (-28.9%) |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 28.33 | 63.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $24 | +$6 (+30.8%) |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 42,457.63 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $21 | -$106 (-83.3%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? | No | 18.49 | 93.4¢ | 95.3¢ | $18 | +$0 (+2.1%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? | No | 124.87 | 15.0¢ | 14.0¢ | $17 | -$1 (-6.7%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | Yes | 17.9 | 44.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $17 | +$9 (+110.3%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 42.93 | 8.0¢ | 27.7¢ | $12 | +$8 (+245.6%) |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 52.68 | 8.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $11 | +$7 (+156.3%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | Yes | 9.6 | 93.5¢ | 95.2¢ | $9 | +$0 (+1.8%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 17.03 | 55.0¢ | 49.5¢ | $8 | -$1 (-10.0%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.91 | 56.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $8 | +$2 (+29.5%) |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 7.48 | 80.4¢ | 99.4¢ | $7 | +$1 (+23.6%) |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 230.77 | 2.8¢ | 3.2¢ | $7 | +$1 (+14.3%) |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 7.31 | 82.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $7 | +$1 (+18.8%) |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 7.5 | 81.0¢ | 88.0¢ | $7 | +$1 (+8.6%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | Yes | 6.67 | 90.0¢ | 98.3¢ | $7 | +$1 (+9.2%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | Yes | 6.6 | 92.0¢ | 99.0¢ | $7 | +$0 (+7.6%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 18.19 | 33.0¢ | 35.5¢ | $6 | +$0 (+7.6%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat? | Yes | 6.67 | 93.0¢ | 96.0¢ | $6 | +$0 (+3.3%) |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 6.48 | 92.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $6 | +$0 (+6.1%) |
| Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 6.32 | 98.7¢ | 97.2¢ | $6 | -$0 (-1.5%) |
| Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 6.21 | 98.8¢ | 98.6¢ | $6 | -$0 (-0.3%) |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 6.25 | 91.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $6 | +$0 (+5.5%) |
| Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 6.36 | 98.4¢ | 95.0¢ | $6 | -$0 (-3.5%) |
| Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 6.11 | 99.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $6 | -$0 (-3.3%) |
| Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 6.13 | 98.8¢ | 95.0¢ | $6 | -$0 (-3.8%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 7.72 | 53.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $5 | +$1 (+21.7%) |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 5.13 | 61.0¢ | 95.7¢ | $5 | +$2 (+56.8%) |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 209.09 | 3.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $4 | -$3 (-36.8%) |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9.75 | 61.7¢ | 41.1¢ | $4 | -$2 (-33.4%) |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 254.12 | 2.9¢ | 1.3¢ | $3 | -$4 (-56.3%) |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 12.5 | 17.0¢ | 24.5¢ | $3 | +$1 (+44.1%) |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? | Yes | 5 | 18.0¢ | 54.0¢ | $3 | +$2 (+200.0%) |
| Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? | Yes | 33.36 | 10.0¢ | 8.0¢ | $3 | -$1 (-20.0%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? | No | 124.77 | 5.0¢ | 1.8¢ | $2 | -$4 (-63.0%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-09 House seat? | No | 65 | 5.0¢ | 3.5¢ | $2 | -$1 (-29.0%) |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | Yes | 40 | 11.0¢ | 5.5¢ | $2 | -$2 (-49.5%) |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 9 | 17.0¢ | 23.5¢ | $2 | +$1 (+38.2%) |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? | Yes | 108.14 | 2.0¢ | 1.9¢ | $2 | -$0 (-5.0%) |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,308.09 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$9 (-81.8%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | 37.0¢ | 11.5¢ | $2 | -$4 (-68.9%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? | Yes | 25.54 | 14.6¢ | 7.5¢ | $2 | -$2 (-48.6%) |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 109.64 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $2 | +$0 (0.0%) |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.5 | 99.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1 | +$0 (+0.8%) |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 170.83 | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$5 (-78.8%) |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 45 | 7.8¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | -$2 (-59.6%) |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 401.33 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$10 (-87.9%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | Yes | 19.65 | 47.9¢ | 7.0¢ | $1 | -$8 (-85.4%) |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? | Yes | 38.01 | 49.0¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$18 (-94.3%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | No | 21.5 | 5.0¢ | 4.9¢ | $1 | -$0 (-3.0%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat? | No | 31.08 | 6.0¢ | 3.2¢ | $1 | -$1 (-46.7%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 16.68 | 17.0¢ | 5.5¢ | $1 | -$2 (-67.7%) |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 91.92 | 3.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$2 (-70.3%) |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 421.83 | 2.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$8 (-90.4%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat? | No | 30 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$1 (-55.8%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | No | 38.04 | 3.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $1 | -$1 (-39.7%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? | No | 24.99 | 5.0¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$1 (-45.0%) |
| Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.6 | 79.0¢ | 4.5¢ | $0 | -$6 (-94.3%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat? | Yes | 66.64 | 4.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 (-88.8%) |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 71.51 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 (-87.5%) |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 9.38 | 65.0¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$6 (-97.1%) |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 59.56 | 6.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 (-97.5%) |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 18.58 | 4.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 (-90.0%) |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 18.88 | 11.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 (-98.7%) |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 42.19 | 57.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$24 (-99.9%) |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 25.95 | 28.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 (-99.8%) |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.58 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 (-90.2%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?quebec general election winner | No | 5.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 150 | 110 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 4.2¢ | 5.1¢ | 641.47 | 641.47 | +$6 (+22.3%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 1.6¢ | 2.2¢ | 264.94 | 665.06 | — | Sep 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 9.0¢ | 16.9¢ | 274.47 | 274.47 | +$22 (+87.3%) | Sep 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?ebonyi nigeria governor election winner | Yes | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 6.97 | 6.97 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?latvian parliamentary election winner | Yes | 1.3¢ | — | 329.44 | 0 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?ohio governor winner 2026 | No | 39.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 15.39 | 15.39 | +$3 (+51.3%) | Sep 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?will republicans lose a seat in the house of representatives in any state trump won in 2024 | Yes | 82.2¢ | — | 7.31 | 0 | — | Sep 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms | Yes | 65.0¢ | — | 9.38 | 0 | — | Sep 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?which candidates will advance to brazils presidential runoff | No | 5.0¢ | — | 150 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?latvian parliamentary election winner | Yes | 10.0¢ | — | 21.82 | 0 | — | Aug 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | No | 8.0¢ | — | 52.68 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?ak al house election winner | No | 15.0¢ | — | 124.87 | 0 | — | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?fl 02 house election winner | No | — | 88.0¢ | 0 | 37.4 | — | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?alaska at large primary winners | Yes | 14.0¢ | — | 234.63 | 0 | — | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?idaho governor winner 2026 | No | 3.4¢ | — | 38.04 | 0 | — | Aug 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?il 10 house election winner | Yes | — | 95.0¢ | 0 | 6.4 | — | Aug 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?il 06 house election winner | Yes | — | 95.2¢ | 0 | 6.53 | — | Aug 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | Yes | 0.3¢ | — | 35,667.38 | 0 | — | Aug 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?il 03 house election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | — | 108.14 | 0 | — | Aug 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?peak us national debt before 2027 | No | 0.4¢ | — | 60 | 0 | — | Aug 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?michigan senate election winner | Yes | 56.0¢ | — | 10.91 | 0 | — | Aug 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?2026 el paso county judge election winner 20260626004500794 | Yes | — | 95.0¢ | 0 | 13.24 | — | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?who will leave trump administration before 2027 | Yes | 36.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 40.44 | 40.44 | +$26 (+172.4%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?wisconsin governor democratic primary winner | No | 67.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 56.65 | 56.65 | +$18 (+47.4%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?core cpi yoy july 2026 20260714151811920 | No | 75.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 113.19 | 113.19 | +$27 (+32.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?mi 07 democratic primary winner | No | 29.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 52.54 | 52.54 | +$37 (+242.8%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 18.48 | 18.48 | +$6 (+51.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | No | 65.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 24.68 | 24.68 | +$9 (+53.3%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?mi 07 democratic primary winner | Yes | 31.0¢ | 95.9¢ | 20 | 20 | +$13 (+209.2%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?guam governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 34.29 | 34.29 | +$9 (+35.4%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?sao tome presidential election first round winner 20260702151121341 | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10.35 | 10.35 | +$2 (+31.6%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?south dakota governor republican primary winner | Yes | 15.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7.15 | 7.15 | +$6 (+566.7%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 13.6¢ | 31.0¢ | 24.13 | 24.13 | +$4 (+127.9%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | 8.3¢ | 146.75 | 146.75 | +$8 (+189.1%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?colorado republican senate primary winner | Yes | 29.0¢ | 53.1¢ | 23.04 | 23.04 | +$6 (+83.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?louisiana democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 35.0¢ | 58.6¢ | 35.28 | 35.28 | +$8 (+67.3%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?who will advance from the alaska governor primary | No | 66.7¢ | 80.0¢ | 21.93 | 21.93 | +$3 (+19.9%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?maine governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 27.2¢ | 44.8¢ | 29.41 | 29.41 | +$5 (+65.1%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup group a winner | Yes | 49.0¢ | 87.4¢ | 13.07 | 13.07 | +$5 (+78.4%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?georgia governor republican primary winner | Yes | 30.8¢ | 79.0¢ | 20.69 | 20.69 | +$10 (+156.2%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | No | 53.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 11.54 | 11.54 | +$5 (+88.7%) | Jun 13, 2026 | |
| Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?castelfranco veneto mayoral election winner | No | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 13.34 | 13.34 | +$7 (+117.5%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election 1st round winner | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$9 (+809.1%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 72.5¢ | 98.0¢ | 12.2 | 12.2 | +$3 (+35.2%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?new mexico governor republican primary winner | Yes | 64.3¢ | 68.0¢ | 966.02 | 966.02 | +$36 (+5.8%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?texas republican senate primary winner | Yes | 0.4¢ | 1.2¢ | 1,630.11 | 1,630.11 | +$13 (+201.1%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?texas republican senate primary winner | No | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8.83 | 8.83 | +$3 (+47.1%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?oregon republican senate primary winner | No | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 15.05 | 15.05 | +$3 (+20.5%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?alabama republican senate primary winner | No | 14.0¢ | 31.1¢ | 23.09 | 23.09 | +$4 (+122.4%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?west virginia democratic senate primary winner | No | 44.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 14.48 | 14.48 | +$8 (+127.3%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?alaska governor election winner | Yes | 22.2¢ | 38.0¢ | 31.5 | 31.5 | +$5 (+71.1%) | Apr 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 48.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 134.69 | 134.69 | +$50 (+77.1%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?slovenian parliamentary election winner 791 | Yes | 15.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 49.03 | 49.03 | +$41 (+537.7%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?who will win the lyon mayoral election | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 16.56 | 16.56 | +$3 (+19.1%) | Mar 27, 2026 | |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?paris mayoral election | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8.83 | 8.83 | +$3 (+44.9%) | Mar 23, 2026 | |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?illinois democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 34.0¢ | 47.4¢ | 50.09 | 50.09 | +$7 (+39.3%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?tennessee governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 60.5¢ | 77.3¢ | 59 | 59 | +$10 (+27.7%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?texas republican senate primary winner | Yes | 23.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 39.43 | 39.43 | +$4 (+47.8%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?six nations champion 2026 | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 14 | 14 | +$7 (+112.8%) | Mar 15, 2026 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?democratic presidential nominee 2028 | Yes | 5.2¢ | 7.7¢ | 117.65 | 117.65 | +$3 (+48.1%) | Mar 13, 2026 | |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?who will win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections | Yes | 81.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 22.23 | 22.23 | +$4 (+22.8%) | Mar 9, 2026 | |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?jasmine crockett texas senate race result | Yes | 85.0¢ | 97.1¢ | 23.82 | 23.82 | +$3 (+14.2%) | Mar 5, 2026 | |
| Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?who will win the nice mayoral election | Yes | 55.3¢ | 82.0¢ | 13.68 | 13.68 | +$4 (+48.3%) | Feb 27, 2026 | |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?turnout in portugal presidential election second round | No | 59.3¢ | 85.0¢ | 28.86 | 28.86 | +$7 (+43.3%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?turnout in portugal presidential election second round | Yes | 23.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 26.19 | 26.19 | +$13 (+208.7%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?who will applaud during the state of the union | No | 28.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 19.5 | 19.5 | +$14 (+257.1%) | Feb 25, 2026 | |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?texas democratic senate primary winner | No | 27.0¢ | 42.9¢ | 22.23 | 22.23 | +$4 (+58.7%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price | Yes | 13.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 46.16 | 46.16 | +$40 (+669.2%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?will seguro win all of portugals districts | Yes | 84.3¢ | 120.5¢ | 71.02 | 71.02 | +$26 (+43.0%) | Feb 16, 2026 |