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0x9bdc...f830
0x9bdc46f90fe49236d5c7e5bfd6d3965e0716f830
5.4
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $52.3K
90-Day Window5.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.2¢ · 25 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $774.2 / $52.3K
- % return
- +1.3%
- Observations
- 47
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+3.4%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No97.7¢ → 97.7¢0.0%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | No | 1,500.02 | 90.2¢ | 93.9¢ | $1,409 | +$56 (+4.1%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | No | 1,369.99 | 97.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,365 | +$33 (+2.5%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | No | 150.01 | 93.1¢ | 93.6¢ | $140 | +$1 (+0.5%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 44.9¢ | 53.5¢ | $80 | +$13 (+19.2%) |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 99.99 | 93.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $92 | -$1 (-0.6%) |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 69.9 | 82.5¢ | 85.0¢ | $59 | +$2 (+3.0%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 48.9¢ | 36.4¢ | $22 | -$7 (-25.5%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 50 | 94.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $46 | -$1 (-2.2%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 89.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $42 | -$2 (-5.1%) |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | No | 47 | 96.3¢ | 83.7¢ | $39 | -$6 (-13.1%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.01 | 88.4¢ | 92.8¢ | $9 | +$0 (+5.0%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 10 | 63.0¢ | 63.5¢ | $6 | +$0 (+0.8%) |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | 93.0¢ | $9 | +$0 (0.0%) |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $5 | +$1 (+13.7%) |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 10 | 92.0¢ | 16.5¢ | $2 | -$8 (-82.1%) |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | 89.0¢ | $9 | +$0 (0.0%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10 | 96.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $10 | +$0 (+1.2%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 88.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $9 | +$0 (+1.3%) |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | No | 10 | 96.0¢ | 98.4¢ | $10 | +$0 (+2.5%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | Yes | 10 | 90.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $9 | -$0 (-3.9%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 61.0¢ | 76.5¢ | $8 | +$2 (+25.4%) |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | Yes | 9.99 | 94.0¢ | 59.0¢ | $6 | -$3 (-37.2%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | 63.6¢ | $1 | -$0 (-18.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 87.8¢ | 90.6¢ | 650 | 499.99 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 44.9¢ | — | 150 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?largest company end of august 20260715202138598 | No | 90.1¢ | 90.6¢ | 1,900 | 399.98 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 97.2¢ | — | 1,369.99 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | No | 89.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 89.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 51.1¢ | 36.3¢ | 100 | 40 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | No | 97.7¢ | 97.7¢ | 10 | 10 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 5.4¢ | 5.0¢ | 159.99 | 199.99 | -$11 (-51.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 94.0¢ | — | 9.99 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 90.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 90.8¢ | 98.8¢ | 10 | 10 | +$1 (+8.8%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 89.8¢ | 77.2¢ | 430 | 429 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 92.0¢ | 49.1¢ | 836 | 826 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | Yes | 94.6¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?will xi jinping visit us before 2027 | Yes | 94.0¢ | — | 89.99 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | Yes | 87.2¢ | 92.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$2 (+5.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 61.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 43.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 10 | 10 | -$1 (-25.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | No | 27.3¢ | 74.7¢ | 600 | 600 | +$284 (+173.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 97.8¢ | 88.0¢ | 6,400.28 | 96.26 | +$180 (+2.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | No | 40.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?texas governor winner 2026 | Yes | 88.3¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 63.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?largest company end of july 20260624192302727 | Yes | 97.2¢ | 99.5¢ | 559.99 | 559.99 | -$71 (-3.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 96.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?largest company end of july 20260624192302727 | Yes | 71.2¢ | 43.9¢ | 1,750 | 1,821.03 | -$491 (-48.9%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?best chinese ai company end of july | Yes | 27.7¢ | 6.1¢ | 100 | 394.01 | -$62 (-72.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | No | 96.3¢ | — | 47 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?next premier of quebec 594 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 98.6¢ | 99.1¢ | 1,350 | 1,360 | +$4 (+0.3%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 95.7¢ | 93.5¢ | 434.98 | 494.97 | -$18 (-2.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?best ai model on august 1 20260717010751015 | Yes | 96.4¢ | 98.7¢ | 180 | 590 | +$19 (+3.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 75.0¢ | 75.2¢ | 60 | 399.99 | +$111 (+10.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?which company has best ai model end of july 299 | Yes | 98.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 6,319.91 | 9.94 | +$37 (+0.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 96.2¢ | 99.8¢ | 5,427.03 | 5,427.03 | +$193 (+3.7%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100.2¢ | 1,290.33 | 1,290.33 | +$26 (+2.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100.2¢ | 761 | 761 | +$14 (+1.9%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?next claude opus text arena debut 20260714204425670 | Yes | 28.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$141 (+248.6%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 95.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,225 | 1,225 | +$55 (+4.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?israel closes its airspace by | No | 92.9¢ | 95.0¢ | 1,000.22 | 1,000.22 | +$21 (+2.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | Yes | 86.8¢ | 64.0¢ | 110 | 110 | -$25 (-26.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 97.1¢ | 100.1¢ | 300 | 300 | +$9 (+3.1%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044 | Yes | 97.1¢ | 99.7¢ | 7,919.96 | 7,919.96 | +$207 (+2.7%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no orban | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99.5¢ | 1,448.22 | 1,448.22 | +$4 (+0.3%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | Yes | 35.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$6 (+165.7%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffslol blg hle1 | Hanwha Life Esports | 46.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$23 (-50.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffslol blg hle1 | Bilibili Gaming | 34.2¢ | 7.6¢ | 750 | 750 | -$199 (-77.8%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 98.5¢ | 101.9¢ | 2,050 | 2,050 | +$69 (+3.4%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 96.5¢ | 101.9¢ | 3,604.98 | 3,604.98 | +$193 (+5.5%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 95.0¢ | 96.7¢ | 110 | 110 | +$2 (+1.8%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 88.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$11 (+12.7%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffslol hle1 ly | Hanwha Life Esports | 97.4¢ | 92.3¢ | 1,399.99 | 1,399.99 | -$71 (-5.2%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffslol hle1 ly | LYON | 64.3¢ | 31.0¢ | 150 | 150 | -$50 (-51.8%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 94.6¢ | 95.5¢ | 380 | 380 | +$3 (+0.9%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 775 | 775 | +$6 (+0.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$7 (-47.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancefifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 more markets | Spain | 74.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 89.99 | 89.99 | +$23 (+33.8%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 98.8¢ | 99.5¢ | 319.68 | 319.68 | +$2 (+0.8%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,442.74 | 1,442.74 | +$31 (+2.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 272 | 272 | +$3 (+1.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 98.9¢ | 101.3¢ | 1,069.97 | 1,069.97 | +$26 (+2.4%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99.4¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | No | 97.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$8 (+1.6%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?gpt 5pt6 released by | No | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 425 | 425 | +$33 (+8.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?fifwc usa bel | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 71.84 | 71.84 | +$2 (+2.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 99.3¢ | 99.1¢ | 65.98 | 65.98 | -$0 (-0.2%) | Jul 5, 2026 |