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0x9b6f...0e5f
0x9b6fce29d890c77230ad4fdc2b85eae29d250e5f
4.5
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $55.3K
90-Day Window4.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.7¢ · 39 resolved
- Hit rate
- 50.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$17.1K / $55.3K
- % return
- -30.6%
- Observations
- 74
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+21%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 2
+21%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | Yes | 5,317.97 | 11.2¢ | 7.0¢ | $372 | -$224 (-37.6%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by June 30?iran leadership change by | Yes | — | 1.1¢ | 0 | 3,000 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | Yes | — | 43.0¢ | 0 | 100 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?will kanye west visit the uk by june 30 | Yes | — | 0.5¢ | 0 | 1,201.04 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | Yes | — | 26.0¢ | 0 | 100 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 0.5¢ | 0 | 2,200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?will anthropic or openai ipo first | OpenAI | — | 23.0¢ | 0 | 49.65 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clavicular sentenced to prison?clavicular sentenced to prison 114 | Yes | — | 15.0¢ | 0 | 40.34 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | — | 0.2¢ | 0 | 2,400.61 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?lebanon parliamentary election winner | Yes | — | 1.2¢ | 0 | 150 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | — | 1.6¢ | 0 | 200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | — | 3.9¢ | 0 | 1,200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Discord IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | — | 58.3¢ | 0 | 80.92 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?republican senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections 927 | Yes | — | 27.0¢ | 0 | 200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?berlin state election winner | Yes | 27.4¢ | 28.0¢ | 174.38 | 199.99 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will GameStop acquire eBay?will gamestop acquire ebay | Yes | — | 15.0¢ | 0 | 400 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 10.0¢ | 14.2¢ | 500 | 500 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?zendaya confirmed pregnant by june 30 | Yes | — | 0.3¢ | 0 | 6,991.28 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 16.1¢ | 0 | 600 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by | No | 85.0¢ | 96.5¢ | 103 | 103 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | — | 51.6¢ | 0 | 200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | — | 58.0¢ | 0 | 200 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | — | 20.0¢ | 0 | 599.99 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 4.9¢ | 6.3¢ | 300 | 2,199.97 | +$24 (+21.1%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 2.3¢ | 3.4¢ | 3,599.95 | 3,599.95 | +$39 (+46.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?california governor election 2026 | Yes | 22.3¢ | 88.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$131 (+294.7%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?kanye blocked from entering another country by june 30 | Yes | — | 3.0¢ | 0 | 1.14 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?will elon musk buy onlyfans | Yes | — | 0.5¢ | 0 | 1.54 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | — | 26.2¢ | 0 | 799.99 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?will apple release a foldable iphone before 2027 | Yes | 82.5¢ | 92.0¢ | 100 | 150 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US strike on Cuba by December 31?us strike on cuba by | Yes | 47.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 400 | 399.99 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?will elon musk win his case against sam altman | No | 50.0¢ | 93.1¢ | 200 | 200 | +$86 (+86.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?will spacex acquire cursor | Yes | 75.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.98 | +$65 (+17.3%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | Yes | 16.3¢ | 17.4¢ | 2,122.76 | 2,122.76 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Starmer out by June 30, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | — | 19.0¢ | 0 | 2,199.98 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?kraken ipo in 2025 | No | 18.0¢ | 66.7¢ | 600 | 600 | +$292 (+270.7%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 56.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 841.5 | 841.5 | +$135 (+28.6%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Anthropic IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 48.9¢ | 76.4¢ | 912.81 | 912.81 | +$251 (+56.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | — | 29.0¢ | 0 | 2,700 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | OpenAI IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 34.7¢ | 49.8¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$300 (+43.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 63.6¢ | 98.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$689 (+54.1%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 28.2¢ | 14.3¢ | 6,399.95 | 16,399.93 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 25.9¢ | 74.1¢ | 22,000.77 | 29,800.76 | +$13,835 (+171.9%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 31.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$630 (+203.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 78.5¢ | 99.1¢ | 4,199.99 | 8,876.32 | +$1,803 (+25.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 999.98 | 999.98 | +$770 (+334.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?us iran nuclear deal by june 30 | No | 56.5¢ | 67.9¢ | 2,460.52 | 2,460.52 | +$282 (+20.3%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?what will spacexs ipo valuation be | Yes | 6.0¢ | — | 257.66 | 0 | — | Jun 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?who will trump pardon before 2027 | Yes | 6.0¢ | — | 675 | 0 | — | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | No | 16.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 306.66 | 306.66 | +$258 (+525.0%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 14.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 700 | 30,755.23 | — | Jun 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | 15,000 | 37,399.99 | — | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?venice mayoral election winner | Yes | 55.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$89 (+80.2%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?cyprus house of representatives election winner | Yes | 63.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 482.34 | 482.34 | +$174 (+56.7%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | No | 85.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 599.99 | 599.99 | +$88 (+17.1%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 49.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,313.84 | 2,313.84 | +$1,168 (+101.9%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 50.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$180 (+18.0%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 60.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 229.07 | 229.07 | +$92 (+66.7%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 63.5¢ | 218.1 | 218.1 | +$47 (+51.1%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz in april | No | 43.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 699.99 | 699.99 | +$399 (+132.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 65.7¢ | 94.0¢ | 6,199.99 | 6,199.99 | +$1,753 (+43.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$750 (+300.0%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?bulgarian parliamentary election 3rd place | Yes | 82.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$35 (+21.2%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?will an iranian agent be charged in the us by april 30 | Yes | 10.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 372.73 | 372.73 | +$333 (+831.8%) | Apr 20, 2026 | |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31 | No | 80.2¢ | 94.2¢ | 1,619.04 | 1,619.04 | +$226 (+17.4%) | Apr 20, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 67.9¢ | 80.1¢ | 17,881.79 | 17,881.79 | +$2,171 (+17.9%) | Apr 19, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | Yes | 66.8¢ | 89.3¢ | 11,899.9 | 11,899.9 | +$2,680 (+33.7%) | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | No | 90.3¢ | 92.9¢ | 2,135.47 | 2,135.47 | +$55 (+2.8%) | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates april 2026 | Yes | 69.8¢ | 96.9¢ | 839.99 | 839.99 | +$227 (+38.8%) | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire by | No | 49.7¢ | 72.4¢ | 9,499.99 | 9,499.99 | +$2,164 (+45.9%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire by | Yes | 66.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,699.94 | 2,699.94 | +$896 (+49.7%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?next prime minister of hungary | No | 76.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 77,751.28 | 77,751.28 | +$18,367 (+31.1%) | Apr 15, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 38.5¢ | 55.0¢ | 599.99 | 599.99 | +$99 (+42.9%) | Apr 15, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire by | No | 39.2¢ | 44.0¢ | 3,108.63 | 3,108.63 | +$150 (+12.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?hungary election tisza wins at least seats | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 799.99 | 799.99 | +$464 (+138.1%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?us iran nuclear deal by april 30 | No | 76.2¢ | 85.1¢ | 2,217.09 | 2,217.09 | +$199 (+11.8%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by april 30 | No | 73.8¢ | 84.2¢ | 10,933.11 | 10,933.11 | +$1,148 (+14.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?israel strike on yemen by 593 | No | 37.7¢ | 61.0¢ | 1,422.33 | 1,422.33 | +$331 (+61.6%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?will trump praise allah again by april 15 | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 494.05 | 494.05 | +$94 (+23.5%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?israel strike on yemen by 593 | No | 50.7¢ | 88.7¢ | 1,299.97 | 1,299.97 | +$494 (+75.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | Yes | 14.2¢ | 17.6¢ | 4,173.31 | 4,173.31 | +$141 (+23.8%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?us forces enter iran by | Yes | 80.8¢ | 88.5¢ | 5,300 | 5,300 | +$405 (+9.5%) | Apr 9, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | +$120 (+11.1%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 34.6¢ | 86.7¢ | 19,285.85 | 19,285.85 | +$10,044 (+150.3%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?israeli forces cross the litani river by june 30 | No | 41.7¢ | 47.6¢ | 2,733.82 | 2,733.82 | +$160 (+14.0%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?houthi military action against israel by | Yes | 39.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 400 | 400 | +$241 (+150.9%) | Apr 5, 2026 |