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@Irboz-sama
0x9b0b60aa0a1df93202f996860342fd5607815e43
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $40.4K
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -6.1¢ · 13 resolved
- Hit rate
- 73.9%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $509.9 / $40.4K
- % return
- +1.6%
- Observations
- 23
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-1.4K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJun 20
-1.4K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 3,055.78 | 85.9¢ | 86.1¢ | $2,631 | +$7 (+0.3%) |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3,000.02 | 86.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,627 | +$23 (+0.9%) |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2,085 | 86.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,030 | +$220 (+12.2%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 95.4¢ | 98.8¢ | $988 | +$34 (+3.5%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,500 | 68.7¢ | 54.9¢ | $824 | -$207 (-20.1%) |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 500 | 90.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $478 | +$28 (+6.1%) |
| Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 457.98 | 83.0¢ | 95.9¢ | $439 | +$59 (+15.5%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 272,835.13 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $409 | -$136 (-25.0%) |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? | No | 210.71 | 41.8¢ | 58.0¢ | $122 | +$34 (+38.7%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50 | 50.0¢ | 80.0¢ | $40 | +$15 (+59.9%) |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 206.89 | 61.9¢ | 14.0¢ | $29 | -$99 (-77.4%) |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 30 | 88.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $29 | +$2 (+8.5%) |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | No | 30 | 91.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $29 | +$1 (+4.9%) |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | 96.0¢ | 99.5¢ | $20 | +$1 (+3.6%) |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 20 | 75.1¢ | 81.0¢ | $16 | +$1 (+7.8%) |
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 41.52 | 23.8¢ | 31.5¢ | $13 | +$3 (+32.4%) |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,000 | 4.0¢ | 1.3¢ | $13 | -$28 (-68.8%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | 20.1¢ | $10 | -$15 (-59.9%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 8.19 | 89.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $7 | +$0 (+1.7%) |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? | No | 20 | 27.0¢ | 36.5¢ | $7 | +$2 (+35.2%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $7 | -$4 (-36.4%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 1.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $6 | +$3 (+126.9%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $5 | -$2 (-25.0%) |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 277.99 | 0.2¢ | 1.6¢ | $4 | +$4 (+525.8%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 64.33 | 14.6¢ | 4.2¢ | $3 | -$7 (-71.6%) |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | No | 100 | 7.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $2 | -$5 (-66.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | No | 88.2¢ | 89.0¢ | 26,667.21 | 22,803.95 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?next french presidential election who will advance to the 2nd round | No | 85.9¢ | 86.1¢ | 3,200 | 144.22 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?putin out before 2027 | No | 89.0¢ | — | 8.19 | 0 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 193,305.06 | 227,164.79 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?variational fdv above one day after launch | No | 0.3¢ | — | 277.99 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | Yes | 10.8¢ | 11.6¢ | 6,657.26 | 5,794.02 | +$388 (+54.1%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?jumper fdv above one day after launch | No | 41.8¢ | — | 210.71 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$215 (+614.3%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 86.5¢ | 96.9¢ | 2,310.59 | 2,310.59 | +$242 (+12.1%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 221,737.08 | 221,737.08 | +$157 (+35.5%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | 199,998.29 | 199,998.29 | +$200 (+16.7%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | No | 99.9¢ | 106.2¢ | 3,122 | 3,122 | +$195 (+6.3%) | Jun 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?fed decision in april | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | 999,946.95 | 999,946.95 | +$362 (+12.1%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 168,624.06 | 168,624.06 | +$133 (+26.3%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 99,997.38 | 99,997.38 | +$125 (+41.7%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | 99,999.52 | 99,999.52 | +$200 (+66.7%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | 88,151.82 | 88,151.82 | +$131 (+21.2%) | Apr 19, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?what price will bitcoin hit in march 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 430,848.13 | 430,848.13 | +$434 (+50.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 51.3¢ | 58.7¢ | 2,685.9 | 2,685.9 | +$198 (+14.3%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?paris mayoral election | No | 66.8¢ | 80.1¢ | 5,564.47 | 5,564.47 | +$740 (+19.9%) | Mar 21, 2026 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?paris mayoral election | Yes | 1.9¢ | 10.4¢ | 2,431.86 | 2,431.86 | +$206 (+446.8%) | Mar 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?fed decision in march 885 | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 30,129.98 | 30,129.98 | +$203 (+0.7%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?what price will bitcoin hit in february 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | 1,751,513.27 | 1,751,513.27 | +$320 (+18.3%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?what price will bitcoin hit in february 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | 392,203.91 | 392,203.91 | +$185 (+47.2%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?bun wer bay | Yes | 75.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$170 (+22.7%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?total commitments for the hurupay public sale on metadao | Yes | 78.1¢ | 83.4¢ | 3,182.81 | 3,182.81 | +$170 (+6.8%) | Feb 7, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?what price will bitcoin hit in january 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 199,968.45 | 199,968.45 | +$287 (+143.6%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?fed decision in january | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99.5¢ | 91,000 | 91,000 | +$252 (+0.3%) | Jan 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 39.0¢ | 43.4¢ | 3,018.2 | 3,018.2 | +$134 (+11.4%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?ranger fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 85.1¢ | 95.1¢ | 2,099.99 | 2,099.99 | +$210 (+11.7%) | Jan 11, 2026 | |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 23.0¢ | 29.5¢ | 5,324.92 | 5,324.92 | +$347 (+28.3%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 14.0¢ | 17.7¢ | 6,320.81 | 6,320.81 | +$232 (+26.2%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 49.0¢ | 57.3¢ | 2,773.48 | 2,773.48 | +$229 (+16.9%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 1.6¢ | 2.9¢ | 8,499.98 | 8,499.98 | +$112 (+84.5%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?total commitments for the ranger public sale on metadao | No | 0.4¢ | 8.5¢ | 30,000 | 30,000 | +$2,441 (+2034.0%) | Jan 10, 2026 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?lighter market cap fdv one day after launch | Yes | 54.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$130 (+24.1%) | Jan 3, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?will bitcoin outperform gold in july | No | 95.7¢ | 100.2¢ | 10,049.17 | 10,049.17 | +$462 (+4.8%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?who will trump pardon in 2025 | No | 98.4¢ | 100.5¢ | 8,675.45 | 8,675.45 | +$181 (+2.1%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?will trump meet with putin again by | Yes | 26.7¢ | 46.2¢ | 1,499.98 | 1,499.98 | +$293 (+73.4%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?will metamask launch a token in 2025 | No | 47.6¢ | 68.1¢ | 2,200 | 2,200 | +$452 (+43.2%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?will base launch a token in 2025 341 | No | 70.0¢ | 90.5¢ | 1,030.76 | 1,030.76 | +$212 (+29.3%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?what price will bitcoin hit in 2025 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 399,994.95 | 399,994.95 | +$303 (+75.8%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?what price will bitcoin hit in 2025 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.7¢ | 299,998.41 | 299,998.41 | +$1,928 (+642.8%) | Dec 26, 2025 | |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? lighter airdop by | Yes | 58.0¢ | 74.6¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$166 (+28.6%) | Dec 23, 2025 | |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?will polymarket us go live in 2025 | Yes | 71.5¢ | 72.9¢ | 82,145.08 | 82,145.08 | +$1,131 (+1.9%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?megaeth 250m pre deposit bridge filled in the first hour | Yes | 99.7¢ | 113.3¢ | 6,567.94 | 6,567.94 | +$895 (+13.7%) | Nov 25, 2025 | |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?how long will trump and ahmed al sharaa shake hands on monday | Yes | 63.5¢ | 68.3¢ | 2,445 | 2,445 | +$118 (+7.6%) | Nov 11, 2025 | |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?will hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025 | No | 12.0¢ | 66.5¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$545 (+454.2%) | Oct 29, 2025 | |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?will hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025 | Yes | 35.6¢ | 56.8¢ | 2,084.64 | 2,084.64 | +$441 (+59.4%) | Oct 29, 2025 | |
| Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseecfb msrst mtnst | Middle Tennessee | 46.0¢ | 47.2¢ | 9,999.88 | 9,999.88 | +$121 (+2.6%) | Oct 9, 2025 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2025 | Yes | 84.3¢ | 86.1¢ | 13,656.78 | 13,656.78 | +$253 (+2.2%) | Sep 23, 2025 | |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?trump renames department of defense by september 30 | Yes | 26.0¢ | 75.3¢ | 250 | 250 | +$123 (+189.5%) | Sep 5, 2025 | |
| Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?ballon dor winner | Yes | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,731.04 | 1,731.04 | +$132 (+8.3%) | Oct 29, 2024 | |
| Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?will ftx become insolvent by eoy | Yes | 10.8¢ | 98.2¢ | 3,005.51 | 3,005.51 | +$2,627 (+811.5%) | Apr 17, 2023 | |
| Will $DOGE dip below $0.10 by Nov 30?will doge dip below 0pt10 by nov 30 | Yes | 70.5¢ | 98.9¢ | 405.62 | 405.62 | +$115 (+40.2%) | Apr 17, 2023 | |
| Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?will arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023 | No | 63.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 475.56 | 475.56 | +$176 (+58.5%) | Mar 3, 2023 |