◆ Contact Dossier
@Crock95
0x9524e6caca4da8aa811b57564a0a5a6d9fc286cf
4.5
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $79K
90-Day Window4.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.0¢ · 51 resolved
- Hit rate
- 49.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $5.7K / $79K
- % return
- +1.9%
- Observations
- 61
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+41%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 23
+41%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5,599.55 | 54.0¢ | 71.5¢ | $4,004 | +$980 (+32.4%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4,000 | 80.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $3,850 | +$650 (+20.3%) |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 2,231.57 | 93.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $2,214 | +$119 (+5.7%) |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 87.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,870 | +$130 (+7.5%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2,102.73 | 5.8¢ | 74.3¢ | $1,561 | +$1,440 (+1182.1%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,230.57 | 8.1¢ | 15.3¢ | $950 | +$445 (+88.3%) |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 7,700 | 7.5¢ | 10.5¢ | $809 | +$231 (+40.0%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,404.82 | 4.6¢ | 10.9¢ | $807 | +$467 (+137.0%) |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 13,999 | 4.0¢ | 5.1¢ | $721 | +$166 (+30.0%) |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 764.75 | 54.8¢ | 55.5¢ | $424 | +$6 (+1.3%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,500 | 3.1¢ | 13.2¢ | $329 | +$251 (+324.2%) |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 606.92 | 18.0¢ | 17.0¢ | $103 | -$6 (-5.6%) |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 1,331.26 | 13.0¢ | 6.5¢ | $87 | -$87 (-50.0%) |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | No | 800 | 27.9¢ | 6.5¢ | $52 | -$171 (-76.7%) |
| Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? | No | 13.07 | 50.0¢ | 68.5¢ | $9 | +$2 (+37.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?where will vinicius junior transfer 20260612232836376 | No | 27.9¢ | — | 800 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?2026 mens us open winner tennis | Yes | 4.0¢ | — | 13,999 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?2026 mens us open winner tennis | Yes | 58.4¢ | — | 500 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?2026 mens us open winner tennis | Yes | 7.5¢ | — | 7,700 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovawta osorio alexand | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 50.0¢ | — | 50 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 200 | 199.98 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?pedro snchez out as pm of spain by | Yes | 18.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 956.92 | 350 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?2026 mens us open winner tennis | Yes | 17.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 1,166.98 | 1,166.98 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup kylian mbappe goals 20260611144016735 | Yes | 9.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?2026 mens wimbledon winner | Yes | — | 81.0¢ | 0 | 446.09 | — | Jul 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 10.7¢ | 16.0¢ | 500 | 350 | — | Jul 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 29.5¢ | 37.3¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | — | Jul 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264 | No | 3.8¢ | — | 4,996.33 | 0 | — | Jul 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osakawta kasatki osaka | Daria Kasatkina | 16.0¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?which cities will russia enter by june 30 | No | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,999.99 | 3,999.99 | +$920 (+29.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?ivn cepeda vote share in 2026 colombian presidential first round 379 | No | — | 2.0¢ | 0 | 1,171.28 | — | Jun 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup team to advance to knockout stages | No | 25.0¢ | 93.5¢ | 1,349.51 | 1,349.5 | +$925 (+274.2%) | Jun 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Neymar play in the World Cup?will neymar play in the world cup | No | 14.0¢ | 13.8¢ | 3,500 | 2,535.77 | — | Jun 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?fifwc arg aut | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 150 | 0 | — | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | No | — | 93.4¢ | 0 | 3,287.18 | — | Jun 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?colombia presidential election runoff margin of victory 20260604201910879 | No | 56.0¢ | 42.4¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | — | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?colombia presidential election runoff margin of victory 20260604201910879 | Yes | 51.7¢ | — | 210.28 | 0 | — | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?colombia presidential election runoff margin of victory 20260604201910879 | Yes | 7.0¢ | — | 570 | 0 | — | Jun 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?where will trump and putin meet next 584 | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 3,000 | 0 | — | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump meets with Putin by June 30?trump meets with putin by | Yes | 1.5¢ | — | 800 | 0 | — | Jun 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?trump putin and zelensky meet together before 2027 | Yes | — | 14.0¢ | 0 | 83.2 | — | Jun 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?world cup first penalty made or missed 20260605003504799 | Missed | 20.4¢ | 23.9¢ | 4,441.19 | 403.75 | — | Jun 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?armenia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 99.0¢ | — | 1,890.97 | 0 | — | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election 1st round winner | Yes | 97.5¢ | 127.7¢ | 11,100 | 11,100 | +$3,350 (+31.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?hungary election popular vote margin of victory higher strikes for tisza | Yes | 92.0¢ | 121.0¢ | 7,032.52 | 7,032.52 | +$2,040 (+31.5%) | Apr 18, 2026 | |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?hungary election popular vote margin of victory higher strikes for tisza | No | 45.0¢ | 92.8¢ | 1,684.49 | 1,684.49 | +$805 (+106.1%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?slovenian parliamentary election winner 791 | Yes | 74.0¢ | 87.4¢ | 14,610.54 | 14,610.54 | +$1,963 (+18.2%) | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?colombia chamber of representatives election winner | Yes | 53.7¢ | 98.0¢ | 2,373.16 | 2,373.16 | +$1,051 (+82.5%) | Mar 9, 2026 | |
| Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspooratp medvede grieksp | Tallon Griekspoor | 20.8¢ | 31.4¢ | 44,101.09 | 44,101.09 | +$4,714 (+51.5%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?portugal presidential election margin of victory second round | No | 62.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$1,140 (+61.3%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?portugal presidential election margin of victory second round | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,031.13 | 6,031.13 | +$703 (+13.2%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 4.8¢ | 21.5¢ | 8,271.62 | 8,271.62 | +$1,387 (+352.0%) | Feb 2, 2026 | |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?joo cotrim de figueiredo vote share in portuguese presidential first round | Yes | 8.8¢ | 42.9¢ | 15,966.09 | 15,966.09 | +$5,435 (+386.1%) | Feb 2, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | No | 9.2¢ | 25.5¢ | 26,924.83 | 26,924.83 | +$4,382 (+176.5%) | Jan 25, 2026 | |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?portugal presidential election 1st round 4th place | No | 39.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$1,201 (+150.4%) | Jan 19, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by june 30 747 | No | 46.9¢ | 61.0¢ | 7,140.15 | 7,140.15 | +$1,013 (+30.3%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?will the us invade venezuela in 2025 | Yes | 14.6¢ | 32.3¢ | 5,599.98 | 5,599.98 | +$990 (+120.7%) | Jan 3, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?russia x ukraine ceasefire in 2025 | Yes | 2.2¢ | 3.0¢ | 194,026.61 | 194,026.61 | +$1,476 (+33.9%) | Dec 28, 2025 | |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?will trump meet with zelenskyy by | Yes | 45.4¢ | 85.7¢ | 9,595.05 | 9,595.05 | +$3,862 (+88.6%) | Dec 26, 2025 | |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?chile presidential election | Yes | 83.2¢ | 99.1¢ | 4,500 | 4,500 | +$716 (+19.1%) | Dec 15, 2025 | |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?ukraine agrees to us approved peace plan by thursday | Yes | 6.5¢ | 15.1¢ | 81,090.18 | 81,090.18 | +$6,921 (+130.9%) | Nov 25, 2025 | |
| Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?chile presidential election 1st round 3rd place | Yes | 6.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 2,999.91 | 2,999.91 | +$2,220 (+1233.3%) | Nov 17, 2025 | |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?which party holds the most seats after argentina deputies election | Yes | 10.0¢ | 84.4¢ | 8,777.1 | 8,777.1 | +$6,531 (+745.9%) | Oct 27, 2025 | |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?which party holds the most seats after argentina deputies election | Yes | 4.1¢ | 71.8¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$3,386 (+1655.5%) | Oct 27, 2025 | |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?which party holds the most seats after argentina deputies election | No | 4.1¢ | 85.0¢ | 3,999.99 | 3,999.99 | +$3,236 (+1973.2%) | Oct 27, 2025 | |
| Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?pas margin of victory | Yes | 32.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 8,591 | 8,591 | +$5,817 (+211.1%) | Sep 29, 2025 | |
| Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?will pas win a majority of seats in moldova elections | Yes | 89.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,830.38 | 6,830.38 | +$705 (+11.5%) | Sep 29, 2025 | |
| Megaquake in 2025?megaquake in 2025 | Yes | 46.0¢ | 94.2¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$1,445 (+104.7%) | Jul 30, 2025 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 10.5–11m?turnout in 2025 romanian presindetial election | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,098.49 | 12,098.49 | +$846 (+7.5%) | May 23, 2025 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?turnout in 2025 romanian presindetial election | No | 89.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,036.46 | 7,036.46 | +$723 (+11.5%) | May 23, 2025 | |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | No | 78.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 6,246.24 | 6,246.24 | +$1,368 (+28.1%) | May 18, 2025 | |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | Yes | 52.0¢ | 68.1¢ | 29,344.11 | 29,344.11 | +$4,732 (+31.0%) | May 18, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?romania presidential election 1st round 2nd place | Yes | 87.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 5,748.86 | 5,748.86 | +$741 (+14.8%) | May 5, 2025 | |
| Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?which candidates will advance in romanian presidential election 1st round | No | 92.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 27,328.86 | 27,328.86 | +$2,094 (+8.3%) | May 5, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?which candidates will advance in romanian presidential election 1st round | Yes | 84.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 10,294.09 | 10,294.09 | +$1,604 (+18.5%) | May 5, 2025 | |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | Yes | 18.0¢ | 26.5¢ | 18,253.51 | 18,253.51 | +$1,557 (+47.4%) | May 4, 2025 | |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?trump wins ends ukraine war in 90 days | Yes | 4.4¢ | 40.7¢ | 330,118.43 | 330,118.43 | +$119,989 (+832.4%) | Apr 20, 2025 | |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? energy infrastructure ceasefire in ukraine in march | Yes | 36.0¢ | 50.9¢ | 6,283.6 | 6,283.6 | +$939 (+41.6%) | Mar 25, 2025 | |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?ukraine agrees to give trump rare earth metals before april | Yes | 31.3¢ | 67.2¢ | 13,132.46 | 13,132.46 | +$4,716 (+114.8%) | Mar 25, 2025 | |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?ukraine agrees to give trump rare earth metals before april | No | 32.9¢ | 38.4¢ | 32,240.35 | 32,240.35 | +$1,778 (+16.8%) | Mar 25, 2025 | |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? bsw wins 5 or more of vote in german election | No | 79.8¢ | 99.6¢ | 5,081.24 | 5,081.24 | +$1,004 (+24.8%) | Feb 24, 2025 | |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?romania presidential election | Yes | 6.9¢ | 19.8¢ | 86,489.54 | 86,489.54 | +$11,189 (+187.5%) | Jan 21, 2025 | |
| Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?russia claims responsibility for downing azerbaijan plane | Yes | 4.3¢ | 20.6¢ | 13,102.04 | 13,102.04 | +$2,136 (+382.9%) | Dec 30, 2024 | |
| Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?which candidates will advance in romanian presidential election 1st round | No | 34.0¢ | 88.6¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$1,639 (+160.7%) | Dec 11, 2024 | |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?romania presidential election | Yes | 24.0¢ | 29.3¢ | 15,253.44 | 15,253.44 | +$807 (+22.1%) | Dec 7, 2024 | |
| Will LSDP win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?which party wins the most seats in lithuanian election | No | 5.4¢ | 13.2¢ | 16,695.52 | 16,695.52 | +$1,296 (+143.8%) | Oct 29, 2024 | |
| Will TS-LKD win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?which party wins the most seats in lithuanian election | Yes | 12.5¢ | 22.7¢ | 6,841.08 | 6,841.08 | +$698 (+81.6%) | Oct 28, 2024 | |
| Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?will moldovas eu membership referendum pass | Yes | 12.9¢ | 84.4¢ | 20,700.38 | 20,700.38 | +$14,788 (+552.9%) | Oct 22, 2024 | |
| Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?will zelensky meet with trump in september | Yes | 40.9¢ | 97.8¢ | 2,259.29 | 2,259.29 | +$1,286 (+139.3%) | Sep 27, 2024 | |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?ukraine hits moscow by sept 30 | Yes | 43.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,408.5 | 3,408.5 | +$1,913 (+127.8%) | Sep 4, 2024 | |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?urkaine hits moscow by august 31 | Yes | 2.9¢ | 81.5¢ | 7,500.73 | 7,500.73 | +$5,893 (+2711.9%) | Sep 1, 2024 |