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@Mwhale
0x9419d77566df79c2f8c6679c9933c2ac76aea40f
4.7
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $102.5K
90-Day Window4.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.9¢ · 11 resolved
- Hit rate
- 44.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$2.6K / $102.5K
- % return
- -3.9%
- Observations
- 25
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+4.7K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 1
+4.7K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 11,042.69 | 88.8¢ | 96.9¢ | $10,700 | +$892 (+9.1%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 10,050.61 | 86.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $9,096 | +$366 (+4.2%) |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $9,050 | +$50 (+0.6%) |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,999.99 | 89.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,430 | +$60 (+1.1%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,044.43 | 88.0¢ | 96.9¢ | $4,886 | +$444 (+10.0%) |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 923.54 | 93.4¢ | 96.8¢ | $894 | +$31 (+3.5%) |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | No | 957.07 | 88.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $876 | +$33 (+4.0%) |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1,619.38 | 35.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $202 | -$376 (-65.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | No | — | 98.1¢ | 0 | 10,444.42 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Xi Jinping out before 2027?xi jinping out before 2027 | No | 97.5¢ | 97.5¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?putin out before 2027 | No | 86.9¢ | — | 10,050.61 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 96.4¢ | 97.9¢ | 44.44 | 5,000 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?anthropic announces bankruptcy by | No | 90.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?will china invade taiwan by december 31 2027 | No | 87.1¢ | 88.0¢ | 2,179.54 | 2,179.53 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?russia military action against eu country byptptpt | No | 89.4¢ | 90.0¢ | 8,170.3 | 2,170.31 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | Yes | 34.4¢ | — | 1,419.38 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?china x taiwan military clash before 2027 | No | 92.8¢ | 94.4¢ | 200 | 199.99 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 61.1¢ | 61.2¢ | 800 | 800 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 1.2¢ | 7.2¢ | 2,622.22 | 2,622.22 | +$158 (+488.4%) | Sep 27, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 70.9¢ | 74.1¢ | 1,827.05 | 1,827.05 | — | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 63.9¢ | 66.0¢ | 808.84 | 808.83 | — | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?will ukraine recapture crimean territory by june 30 2026 | No | 88.0¢ | — | 957.07 | 0 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by december 31 | No | 80.0¢ | 73.9¢ | 3,000 | 2,999.96 | — | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 92.3¢ | 93.0¢ | 15,816.59 | 15,816.59 | +$113 (+0.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 96.5¢ | 99.4¢ | 5,534.79 | 5,534.79 | +$160 (+3.0%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?us iran nuclear deal before 2027 | No | 39.4¢ | 42.1¢ | 3,573.99 | 3,573.99 | +$96 (+6.8%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | No | 97.6¢ | 99.6¢ | 15,066.61 | 15,066.61 | +$305 (+2.1%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$890 (+809.1%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?next prime minister of hungary | Yes | 71.0¢ | 71.5¢ | 22,499.96 | 22,499.96 | +$111 (+0.7%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | No | 96.7¢ | 98.3¢ | 24,060 | 24,060 | +$389 (+1.7%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 43.9¢ | 51.0¢ | 3,113.72 | 3,113.72 | +$221 (+16.2%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 28.6¢ | 29.3¢ | 17,455.3 | 17,455.3 | +$126 (+2.5%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 99.4¢ | 99.5¢ | 281,866.12 | 281,866.12 | +$445 (+0.2%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?iran leadership change by | No | 84.1¢ | 88.7¢ | 11,966.1 | 11,966.1 | +$550 (+5.5%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | No | 98.0¢ | 101.0¢ | 52,985.22 | 52,985.22 | +$1,612 (+3.1%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?will trump meet with putin again by | No | 87.5¢ | 94.1¢ | 2,529.98 | 2,529.98 | +$167 (+7.5%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?iran leadership change by | No | 89.8¢ | 99.7¢ | 15,990.04 | 15,990.04 | +$1,583 (+11.0%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 84.2¢ | 90.0¢ | 33,238.05 | 33,238.05 | +$1,932 (+6.9%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 32.7¢ | 45.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$370 (+37.8%) | Mar 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 94.7¢ | 99.2¢ | 20,001.24 | 20,001.24 | +$898 (+4.7%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 99.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 31,583.52 | 31,583.52 | +$252 (+0.8%) | Mar 3, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 49.0¢ | 53.9¢ | 7,033.04 | 7,033.04 | +$348 (+10.1%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 38.9¢ | 39.3¢ | 22,473 | 22,473 | +$96 (+1.1%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?us next strikes iran on 843 | No | 97.1¢ | 98.6¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$122 (+1.6%) | Feb 27, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 97.0¢ | 98.1¢ | 39,542.66 | 39,542.66 | +$451 (+1.2%) | Feb 27, 2026 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?us next strikes iran on 843 | No | 98.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 14,673.85 | 14,673.85 | +$286 (+2.0%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 97.3¢ | 99.0¢ | 30,890.52 | 30,890.52 | +$526 (+1.8%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 96.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 26,044.75 | 26,044.75 | +$788 (+3.1%) | Feb 25, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 97.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 15,939.5 | 15,939.5 | +$373 (+2.4%) | Feb 23, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 92.1¢ | 94.9¢ | 78,174.56 | 78,174.56 | +$2,240 (+3.1%) | Feb 21, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 99.2¢ | 99.4¢ | 54,054.14 | 54,054.14 | +$115 (+0.2%) | Feb 18, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,690.31 | 10,690.31 | +$106 (+1.0%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 96.2¢ | 99.1¢ | 29,180.52 | 29,180.52 | +$849 (+3.0%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?how long will the next government shutdown last | No | 95.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,895.57 | 3,895.57 | +$160 (+4.3%) | Feb 4, 2026 | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?epl tot mac | No | 97.8¢ | 99.8¢ | 14,701.77 | 14,701.77 | +$304 (+2.1%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)ufc ale14 die4 | Volkanovski | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 338.98 | 338.98 | +$139 (+69.5%) | Feb 1, 2026 | |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinawta sabalen svitoli | Sabalenka | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,561.01 | 5,561.01 | +$219 (+4.1%) | Jan 29, 2026 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?israel strikes iran by january 23 2026 | No | 89.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 5,727.26 | 5,727.26 | +$574 (+11.1%) | Jan 26, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 94.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,933.94 | 3,933.94 | +$208 (+5.6%) | Jan 19, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 93.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,700 | 1,700 | +$103 (+6.5%) | Jan 18, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 93.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 3,999.99 | 3,999.99 | +$276 (+7.4%) | Jan 16, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?us strikes iran by | No | 89.3¢ | 96.8¢ | 3,800 | 3,800 | +$284 (+8.4%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Maduro out in 2025?maduro out in 2025 | No | 92.0¢ | 93.6¢ | 6,025.61 | 6,025.61 | +$95 (+1.7%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?trump declassifies ufo files before 2027 | No | 6.5¢ | 22.0¢ | 1,547.62 | 1,547.62 | +$240 (+239.9%) | Dec 11, 2025 | |
| UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)ufc mer pet | Yan | 22.0¢ | 58.5¢ | 820 | 820 | +$299 (+166.0%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)nba cle tor | Raptors | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 263.57 | 263.57 | +$113 (+75.5%) | Nov 25, 2025 | |
| Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025boxing eubank jr vs benn | Benn | 46.8¢ | 99.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$261 (+111.5%) | Nov 15, 2025 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?when will the government shutdown end 545 | Yes | 96.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$113 (+3.9%) | Nov 13, 2025 | |
| Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannatp djokovi hanfman | Djokovic | 80.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 499.94 | 499.94 | +$96 (+23.9%) | Nov 7, 2025 | |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?minneapolis mayoral election 665 | Yes | 95.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,900 | 2,900 | +$125 (+4.5%) | Nov 5, 2025 | |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinneratp zverev sinner | Sinner | 85.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 1,289 | 1,289 | +$129 (+11.8%) | Nov 1, 2025 | |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinneratp shelton sinner | Sinner | 81.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,095.65 | 1,095.65 | +$200 (+22.4%) | Nov 1, 2025 |