◆ Contact Dossier
@0xB16B00B5
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
5.6
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $268.9K
90-Day Window5.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.6¢ · 140 resolved
- Hit rate
- 77.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $6.2K / $268.9K
- % return
- +1.9%
- Observations
- 284
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+228%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
2W · 0L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? · Yes10.2¢ → 33.3¢+226%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes85.0¢ → 87.0¢+2.4%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by August 31? | No | 7,804.08 | 98.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $7,753 | +$63 (+0.8%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3,500.01 | 96.9¢ | 98.8¢ | $3,456 | +$65 (+1.9%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2,564.98 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $13 | +$8 (+150.0%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2,516.76 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $13 | +$8 (+150.0%) |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 2,481.28 | 97.7¢ | 98.5¢ | $2,443 | +$19 (+0.8%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1,922.52 | 96.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,877 | +$15 (+0.8%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 1,500 | 97.1¢ | 98.0¢ | $1,469 | +$12 (+0.8%) |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 1,401.79 | 79.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,199 | +$89 (+8.0%) |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 1,364.35 | 88.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,276 | +$70 (+5.8%) |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,288.64 | 0.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $8 | +$3 (+59.7%) |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,069.27 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$1 (-50.0%) |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | Yes | 1,034.16 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$2 (-75.0%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 996.53 | 90.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $953 | +$47 (+5.2%) |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | No | 964.58 | 73.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $892 | +$180 (+25.2%) |
| Brex IPO before 2027? | Yes | 828.16 | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | $10 | +$4 (+64.3%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 719.89 | 88.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $687 | +$53 (+8.4%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 612.21 | 91.6¢ | 98.4¢ | $602 | +$42 (+7.4%) |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 590.89 | 98.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $582 | +$1 (+0.2%) |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 536.95 | 92.1¢ | 94.0¢ | $505 | +$10 (+2.1%) |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 534 | 94.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $521 | +$15 (+3.0%) |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 500 | 95.3¢ | 95.2¢ | $476 | -$1 (-0.2%) |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 500 | 93.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $468 | +$3 (+0.5%) |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | No | 500 | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | $500 | +$37 (+8.1%) |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $472 | +$7 (+1.6%) |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | 91.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $366 | +$2 (+0.5%) |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 93.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $374 | +$2 (+0.5%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 92.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $370 | +$2 (+0.5%) |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 400 | 92.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $374 | +$6 (+1.6%) |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? | Yes | 380.45 | 0.3¢ | 1.8¢ | $7 | +$6 (+443.5%) |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%? | Yes | 356.7 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | +$1 (+75.0%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $281 | +$8 (+2.7%) |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 295.52 | 98.0¢ | 98.7¢ | $292 | +$2 (+0.7%) |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 294.63 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | +$1 (+400.0%) |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 255.86 | 91.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $242 | +$7 (+3.1%) |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 232.96 | 83.8¢ | 91.0¢ | $212 | +$17 (+8.6%) |
| Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | No | 219.76 | 88.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $203 | +$8 (+4.1%) |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 208.74 | 90.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $199 | +$11 (+5.9%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 200.71 | 4.6¢ | 9.2¢ | $18 | +$9 (+99.6%) |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | No | 200 | 93.0¢ | 94.8¢ | $190 | +$4 (+2.0%) |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 182.71 | 93.4¢ | 94.0¢ | $172 | +$1 (+0.6%) |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | No | 167.43 | 79.0¢ | 97.2¢ | $163 | +$30 (+23.0%) |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 163.25 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | $2 | +$0 (+25.0%) |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 150.43 | 90.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $147 | +$11 (+7.8%) |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 132.89 | 0.2¢ | 3.7¢ | $5 | +$5 (+1750.5%) |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 131.79 | 89.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $123 | +$6 (+5.0%) |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? | Yes | 119.98 | 0.2¢ | 4.0¢ | $5 | +$5 (+1900.5%) |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | No | 110.72 | 78.2¢ | 92.0¢ | $102 | +$15 (+17.7%) |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | No | 107.26 | 90.2¢ | 98.4¢ | $105 | +$9 (+9.0%) |
| Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | 3.9¢ | $4 | -$1 (-23.0%) |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 72.5¢ | 93.9¢ | $94 | +$21 (+29.5%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 81.09 | 0.2¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | +$0 (+200.1%) |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision? | No | 79.47 | 91.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $79 | +$7 (+9.8%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 79.39 | 12.1¢ | 15.3¢ | $12 | +$3 (+26.9%) |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 70.58 | 88.0¢ | 96.2¢ | $68 | +$6 (+9.3%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 63 | 90.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $63 | +$6 (+9.8%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 61.74 | 22.0¢ | 22.5¢ | $14 | +$0 (+2.3%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 56.01 | 92.0¢ | 96.2¢ | $54 | +$2 (+4.5%) |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 52.84 | 93.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $51 | +$2 (+3.9%) |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | Yes | 52.1 | 21.6¢ | 55.5¢ | $29 | +$18 (+156.8%) |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | 97.1¢ | $49 | +$1 (+1.1%) |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 50 | 96.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $48 | +$0 (+0.6%) |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 47.84 | 32.3¢ | 27.5¢ | $13 | -$2 (-14.8%) |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 47.01 | 97.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $47 | +$1 (+1.5%) |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 45 | 6.8¢ | 39.5¢ | $18 | +$15 (+482.8%) |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | No | 40 | 97.3¢ | 97.7¢ | $39 | +$0 (+0.4%) |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? | No | 35 | 88.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $33 | +$2 (+8.0%) |
| Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.27 | 79.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $29 | +$4 (+14.6%) |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.71 | 77.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $30 | +$6 (+24.8%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 25.08 | 56.0¢ | 62.0¢ | $16 | +$2 (+10.7%) |
| Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | 6.0¢ | $1 | -$1 (-45.5%) |
| GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch | Yes | 20 | 85.0¢ | 48.0¢ | $10 | -$7 (-43.5%) |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | 28.0¢ | $6 | +$2 (+47.4%) |
| Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 82.0¢ | 41.5¢ | $8 | -$8 (-49.4%) |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? | Yes | 19.24 | 59.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $8 | -$3 (-28.0%) |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | Yes | 14.9 | 0.4¢ | 20.5¢ | $3 | +$3 (+5037.4%) |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.28 | 81.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $11 | +$2 (+17.6%) |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? | No | 11.07 | 50.0¢ | 55.0¢ | $6 | +$1 (+10.0%) |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | No | 10.85 | 78.0¢ | 92.8¢ | $10 | +$2 (+19.0%) |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 10.6 | 56.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $9 | +$3 (+58.0%) |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%? | Yes | 9.8 | 0.2¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | +$0 (+1925.0%) |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 9.69 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | +$0 (+125.9%) |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.09 | 79.0¢ | 93.0¢ | $8 | +$1 (+17.7%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 8.86 | 91.0¢ | 99.3¢ | $9 | +$1 (+9.1%) |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 6.96 | 4.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$0 (-40.0%) |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | No | 6.4 | 82.8¢ | 95.0¢ | $6 | +$1 (+14.7%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 6.32 | 65.0¢ | 96.4¢ | $6 | +$2 (+48.3%) |
| Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.5 | 0.3¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | +$0 (+613.3%) |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | Yes | 5 | 0.4¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | +$0 (+675.0%) |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%? | Yes | 5 | 0.4¢ | 3.0¢ | $0 | +$0 (+650.0%) |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 2.99 | 89.0¢ | 94.8¢ | $3 | +$0 (+6.5%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.03 | 85.0¢ | 98.2¢ | $2 | +$0 (+15.5%) |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 1.23 | 90.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $1 | +$0 (+1.7%) |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Yes | 1.18 | 3.0¢ | 89.5¢ | $1 | +$1 (+2891.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 97.3¢ | — | 40 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?sweden parliamentary election winner | No | 1.2¢ | — | 163.25 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Xi Jinping out before 2027?xi jinping out before 2027 | No | 95.3¢ | — | 500 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 | No | 93.4¢ | — | 182.71 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?how many jobs added in july 20260702221813246 | No | 50.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 20 | 8.93 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?bitcoin all time high by | No | 98.2¢ | — | 590.89 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?nicols maduro released from custody by | No | 93.0¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 33.33 | 33.33 | +$1 (+2.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | No | 98.0¢ | — | 295.52 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?how many jobs added in july 20260702221813246 | Yes | 10.2¢ | 33.3¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+226.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 200 | 100 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?uk annual inflation in 2026 | Yes | 0.4¢ | — | 14.9 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?eurozone 2026 annual inflation | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 356.7 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?eurozone annual gdp growth 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | — | 9.69 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 22.0¢ | — | 61.74 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in september 20260729163823944 | No | 94.8¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,108 | 574 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?fed emergency rate cut before 2027 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 36.95 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 97.6¢ | — | 47.01 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?nyse marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 | No | 84.0¢ | — | 322.66 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773 | No | 89.3¢ | — | 139.76 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 97.8¢ | — | 2,265.7 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077 | No | 97.2¢ | — | 1,500 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | — | 96.0¢ | 0 | 225.2 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | ECB rate cut in 2026?ecb rate cut in 2026 | No | 91.0¢ | — | 5 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President by August 31?trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928 | No | 98.5¢ | 99.1¢ | 9,999.98 | 2,195.9 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | Yes | 0.5¢ | — | 786.38 | 0 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 10.4¢ | 11.9¢ | 174,424.67 | 702.9 | +$55 (+0.3%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in july 659 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 899.34 | 899.34 | -$1 (-36.1%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in july 659 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 5,587.3 | 5,587.3 | -$4 (-38.4%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?nobel peace prize winner 2026 139 | No | 96.9¢ | — | 1,922.51 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 | No | 66.2¢ | 67.1¢ | 112.91 | 112.9 | +$1 (+1.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 92.0¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Japan military clash before 2027?china x japan military clash before 2027 | No | 91.0¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | New pandemic in 2026?new pandemic in 2026 | No | 92.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 800 | 400 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| JD Vance out as VP by July 31?jd vance out as vp by | Yes | 0.1¢ | 50.0¢ | 3.98 | 3.98 | +$2 (+49900.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by July 31?jd vance out as vp by | No | 97.0¢ | 97.0¢ | 65.9 | 65.9 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?argentina annual inflation 2026 | Yes | 0.3¢ | — | 380.45 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?fed decision in january 20260729233815502 | Yes | 56.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 115.08 | 90 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 1.1¢ | 100 | 80.7 | +$10 (+10430.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 91.6¢ | — | 95.97 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | No | 83.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$8 (+4.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?which airlines will announce bankruptcy by december 31 | Yes | 2.6¢ | 3.0¢ | 310.32 | 310.31 | +$1 (+15.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?will russia invade a nato country in 2025 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 499.99 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 20 | 5 | +$1 (+5.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?fnf quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt32 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 8.47 | 8.47 | -$1 (-19.5%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59 | Yes | 9.9¢ | 8.0¢ | 563.63 | 193.63 | -$12 (-22.3%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | — | 20.9¢ | 0 | 41.37 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President before 2027?trump out as president before 2027 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 500 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates september 2026 20260616222636097 | Yes | — | 0.3¢ | 0 | 35 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in july 659 | No | 98.9¢ | 100.7¢ | 610.2 | 610.2 | +$11 (+1.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | Yes | 0.1¢ | — | 121.38 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 96.9¢ | 97.2¢ | 3,500 | 2,883.48 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bank of England rate hike in 2026?bank of england rate hike in 2026 | Yes | — | 43.0¢ | 0 | 4.65 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in july | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 1.0¢ | 4.4¢ | 11.37 | 11.37 | +$0 (+339.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 68.0¢ | 69.0¢ | 1,981.95 | 209.54 | +$53 (+3.9%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | 881.67 | 881.67 | +$4 (+400.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 1.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 3.33 | 3.33 | +$2 (+4900.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 99.0¢ | 98.3¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-0.7%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 99.5¢ | 100.1¢ | 17,554.18 | 17,554.18 | +$110 (+0.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 76.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 77.9¢ | 81.5¢ | 4,797.15 | 4,797.15 | +$173 (+4.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 77.7¢ | 78.2¢ | 3,465.68 | 3,465.68 | +$17 (+0.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$3 (+0.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | Yes | 34.8¢ | 35.4¢ | 365.06 | 365.06 | +$2 (+1.7%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 70.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 200.18 | 200.18 | -$6 (-4.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 37.2¢ | 300 | 300 | +$6 (+6.2%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 98.9¢ | 103.1¢ | 6,908.73 | 6,908.73 | +$294 (+4.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?iran leadership change by | No | 93.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 299.99 | 299.99 | +$17 (+6.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 98.9¢ | 99.3¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$27 (+0.4%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 2.0¢ | 901.7 | 901.7 | +$11 (+162.9%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | No | 89.0¢ | 99.1¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | +$10 (+11.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026 | Down | 45.0¢ | 48.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$0 (+6.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 exact score | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$5 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?bank of canada decision in july | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 372.73 | 372.73 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29 | Yes | 56.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+16.1%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 40.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 386.34 | 386.34 | +$8 (+4.9%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt06 | Yes | 18.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 22 | 22 | +$1 (+33.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?crcl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt16 | Yes | 55.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+27.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?all quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt04 | Yes | 57.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+8.8%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt64 | Yes | 57.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-1.8%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88 | Yes | 52.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+25.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 24.8¢ | 25.7¢ | 2,422.98 | 2,422.98 | +$23 (+3.8%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by July 31?trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | 3,633.79 | 3,633.79 | +$7 (+200.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates september 2026 20260616222636097 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 46.12 | 46.12 | +$1 (+27.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | Yes | 1.2¢ | 9.0¢ | 571.87 | 571.87 | +$44 (+633.1%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates july 2026 | No | 97.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 31.74 | 31.74 | +$1 (+2.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates july 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 251.93 | 251.93 | +$0 (+100.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?how low will 10 year treasury yield get before 2027 | No | 14.6¢ | 72.6¢ | 258.5 | 258.5 | +$150 (+397.6%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 1.2¢ | 11.8¢ | 178.43 | 178.43 | +$19 (+884.8%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | Yes | 0.5¢ | 2.1¢ | 588.73 | 588.73 | +$9 (+320.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by July 31?trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374 | No | 99.4¢ | 99.8¢ | 30,043.05 | 30,043.05 | +$136 (+0.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362 | Yes | 84.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+8.3%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | No | 89.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 2,714.66 | 2,714.66 | +$54 (+2.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 13.7¢ | 43.6¢ | 156.68 | 156.68 | +$47 (+217.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 16.1¢ | 28.6¢ | 2,334.35 | 2,334.35 | +$292 (+77.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?farsi island no longer under iranian control byptptpt 20260720015111488 | No | 86.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+8.1%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 81.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$31 (-38.3%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | +$33 (+194.1%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | 93.8¢ | 98.0¢ | 55 | 55 | +$2 (+4.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | Yes | 6.9¢ | 7.1¢ | 45.71 | 45.71 | +$0 (+2.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 15.7¢ | 15.4¢ | 100 | 100 | -$0 (-1.7%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 18,806.88 | 18,806.88 | +$42 (+110.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?nyc air quality index below 100 byptptpt 20260717052808748 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+17.6%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?argentina annual inflation 2026 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 3.9¢ | 52.99 | 52.99 | +$2 (+875.0%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?jpmorgan jpm closes at 1t market cap by 20260715163827893 | No | 60.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+1.7%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0.9¢ | 500 | 500 | +$2 (+50.0%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | 500 | 500 | -$1 (-18.2%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 1.2¢ | 14.1 | 14.1 | +$0 (+500.0%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?bitcoin all time high by | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1.9¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$12 (+46.2%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 3.4¢ | 9.4¢ | 948.37 | 948.37 | +$57 (+175.8%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?will the 2026 midterm elections happen as scheduled | Yes | 94.7¢ | 95.8¢ | 768.14 | 768.14 | +$8 (+1.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 199.99 | 199.99 | +$8 (+23.5%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| US recession by end of 2026?us recession by end of 2026 | No | 89.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 259.74 | 259.74 | +$3 (+1.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| What will be the next Fed rate change?what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796 | Hike | 76.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+5.3%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | 92.1¢ | 95.4¢ | 441.87 | 441.87 | +$15 (+3.6%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | 59.4¢ | 95.6¢ | 1,010 | 1,010 | +$365 (+60.8%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?fed decisions apr jul | No | 99.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,387.33 | 1,387.33 | +$10 (+0.7%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | Yes | 8.5¢ | 17.6¢ | 245.52 | 245.52 | +$22 (+106.8%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?reserve bank of new zealand decision in september 20260710022000963 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$5 (+31.5%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in july 659 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | 857.26 | 857.26 | +$3 (+325.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in july | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 947.64 | 947.64 | +$2 (+100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | No | 93.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 19.29 | 19.29 | -$8 (-46.2%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in july | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,390.94 | 1,390.94 | -$3 (-100.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorefifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10 | 10 | +$4 (+58.7%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 94.4¢ | 99.4¢ | 300 | 300 | +$15 (+5.3%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 exact score | Yes | 22.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 10 | 10 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?how high will inflation get in 2026 | No | 87.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 300 | 300 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 3.6¢ | 4.6¢ | 8,912.65 | 8,912.65 | +$86 (+26.7%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?reserve bank of new zealand decision in july | No | 98.1¢ | 100.3¢ | 232.99 | 232.99 | +$5 (+2.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?china ballistic missile launch by december 31 20260706145934670 | No | 10.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$8 (+400.0%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | 92.1¢ | 95.9¢ | 600 | 600 | +$23 (+4.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 570.36 | 570.36 | +$6 (+16.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?what will fed rate hit before 2027 | No | 92.5¢ | 95.2¢ | 818.42 | 818.42 | +$22 (+2.9%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 23.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | +$5 (+4.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 87.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$3 (+1.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?trump announces us x iran ceasefire over byptptpt 20260607232555290 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 13.4¢ | 200 | 200 | -$1 (-4.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | Yes | 3.9¢ | 2.7¢ | 397.32 | 397.32 | -$5 (-30.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | No | 95.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?bank of canada decision in july | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 595.15 | 595.15 | +$1 (+120.0%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?bank of israel decision in july | Yes | 88.0¢ | 89.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$2 (+1.1%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?bank of israel decision in july | No | 89.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 145.64 | 145.64 | +$4 (+3.4%) | Jul 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fed decisions juloct 20260617191209856 | Yes | 13.5¢ | 38.6¢ | 357.43 | 357.43 | +$90 (+185.4%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 32.1¢ | 47.6¢ | 809.8 | 809.8 | +$125 (+48.2%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 36.9¢ | 41.5¢ | 1,642.46 | 1,642.46 | +$76 (+12.6%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 2.7¢ | 2,294.02 | 2,294.02 | +$39 (+172.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?bank of canada decision in july | No | 87.6¢ | 99.2¢ | 110.16 | 110.16 | +$13 (+13.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| US bank failure by June 30?us bank failure by june 30 227 | No | 96.5¢ | 104.1¢ | 715.36 | 715.36 | +$54 (+7.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?us x russia military clash by | No | 97.8¢ | 100.8¢ | 1,245.06 | 1,245.06 | +$37 (+3.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by June 30?jd vance out as vp by | No | 99.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 665.22 | 665.22 | +$6 (+0.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$1 (+3.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$2 (+5.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?xi jinping out by | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 381.72 | 381.72 | +$2 (+0.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?xi jinping out by | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1.3¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$2 (+5.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?which banks will fail by june 30 | Yes | 1.6¢ | 21.4¢ | 500 | 500 | +$99 (+1238.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?which banks will fail by june 30 | No | 99.0¢ | 87.1¢ | 721.04 | 721.04 | -$86 (-12.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?which banks will fail by june 30 | No | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,024.9 | 1,024.9 | +$15 (+1.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 98.8¢ | 100.3¢ | 230 | 230 | +$3 (+1.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?bill clinton divorce by june 30 | No | 98.0¢ | 100.3¢ | 728.38 | 728.38 | +$17 (+2.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?will france uk or germany strike iran by june 30 259 | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$3 (+1.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Anthropic CEO arrested?anthropic ceo arrested | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 34.15 | 34.15 | +$0 (+1.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?will russia invade a nato country in 2025 | No | 97.7¢ | 100.2¢ | 500 | 500 | +$13 (+2.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?natoeu troops fighting in ukraine in 2025 | No | 96.8¢ | 98.5¢ | 899.99 | 899.99 | +$15 (+1.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 884.51 | 884.51 | -$1 (-58.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has second best ai model end of june | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | 536.61 | 536.61 | -$3 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?central bank of colombia decision in june | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+11.1%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | No | 70.1¢ | 96.2¢ | 371.29 | 371.29 | +$97 (+37.2%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in july | No | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | 200 | 200 | +$1 (+12.0%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates july 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 937.1 | 937.1 | +$1 (+58.5%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?will venezuela become 51st state | Yes | 4.1¢ | 4.8¢ | 1,713.21 | 1,713.21 | +$12 (+17.7%) | Jun 26, 2026 | |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?will microstrategy be margin called in 2026 | No | 82.0¢ | 88.2¢ | 1,132.63 | 1,132.63 | +$71 (+7.6%) | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | No | 89.9¢ | 99.0¢ | 1,215.86 | 1,215.86 | +$110 (+10.1%) | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in september 20260616002734979 | Yes | 50.5¢ | 59.4¢ | 200 | 200 | +$18 (+17.5%) | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in june 221 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | 2,533.67 | 2,533.67 | -$0 (-14.3%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Obama arrested before 2027?obama arrested before 2027 | No | 84.7¢ | 94.9¢ | 423.6 | 423.6 | +$43 (+12.1%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.1¢ | 1,300 | 1,300 | +$9 (+0.7%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | No | 12.0¢ | 13.7¢ | 570.22 | 570.22 | +$10 (+14.3%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Fed abolished before 2027?fed abolished before 2027 | No | 91.6¢ | 98.3¢ | 194.73 | 194.73 | +$13 (+7.4%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?bank of england rate hike in 2026 | No | 66.0¢ | 72.7¢ | 124.33 | 124.33 | +$8 (+10.2%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?fed decisions apr jul | No | 86.0¢ | 80.1¢ | 66.09 | 66.09 | -$4 (-6.9%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?putin out as president of russia by june 30 | No | 98.4¢ | 99.6¢ | 3,209.88 | 3,209.88 | +$38 (+1.2%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 43.0¢ | 49.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+14.0%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 5.5¢ | 5.5¢ | 399.98 | 399.98 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?bank of canada decision in july | Yes | 2.0¢ | 2.7¢ | 78.21 | 78.21 | +$1 (+35.0%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30?trump out as president by june 30 | No | 98.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,810.34 | 12,810.34 | +$164 (+1.3%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?trump removed via 25th amendment before 2027 | No | 92.0¢ | 94.9¢ | 741.74 | 741.74 | +$22 (+3.2%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 89.9¢ | 63.0¢ | 80.86 | 80.86 | -$22 (-30.0%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 76.5¢ | 60.0¢ | 48.35 | 48.35 | -$8 (-21.5%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 65.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 4.34 | 4.34 | -$1 (-23.1%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | No | 99.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 12,095.39 | 12,095.39 | +$58 (+0.5%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | No | 91.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+9.9%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 98.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 107.95 | 107.95 | +$2 (+2.0%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 95.6¢ | 97.6¢ | 465.6 | 465.6 | +$9 (+2.1%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 1.0¢ | 7.9¢ | 210 | 210 | +$14 (+688.1%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?kevin warsh cuts rates at first fed meeting | No | 97.6¢ | 100.4¢ | 6,646.9 | 6,646.9 | +$189 (+2.9%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | 3,743.05 | 3,743.05 | +$7 (+40.0%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 28.7¢ | 33.0¢ | 2,076.17 | 2,076.17 | +$90 (+15.1%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?fed emergency rate cut before 2027 | Yes | 4.4¢ | 12.2¢ | 3,613.4 | 3,613.4 | +$280 (+175.5%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?bank of brazil decision in august | Yes | 0.2¢ | 1.5¢ | 771.52 | 771.52 | +$10 (+630.6%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in june | No | 94.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 24.31 | 24.31 | +$1 (+6.0%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 98.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 898.42 | 898.42 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates july 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 300.5 | 300.5 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.7¢ | 1,011.1 | 1,011.1 | +$5 (+231.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in june | No | 97.3¢ | 100.3¢ | 611.52 | 611.52 | +$19 (+3.1%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 94.9¢ | 96.2¢ | 281.51 | 281.51 | +$4 (+1.4%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 81.0¢ | 80.7¢ | 884.01 | 884.01 | -$2 (-0.3%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will the US add at least 200k jobs in May?how many jobs added in may 945 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 33.98 | 33.98 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?bank of canada decision in june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,503.56 | 3,503.56 | -$7 (-85.4%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in june 221 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 5,751.39 | 5,751.39 | +$10 (+82.7%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?bank of canada decision in june | No | 98.2¢ | 101.3¢ | 1,012.79 | 1,012.79 | +$31 (+3.1%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?trump announces us x iran ceasefire over byptptpt 20260607232555290 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 75.55 | 75.55 | -$6 (-100.0%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 1.7¢ | 2.2¢ | 8,524.88 | 8,524.88 | +$39 (+26.7%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 1.6¢ | 316.02 | 316.02 | +$4 (+690.2%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 555.21 | 555.21 | +$1 (+33.3%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?fed decisions mar jun | Yes | 95.1¢ | 100.2¢ | 983.48 | 983.48 | +$51 (+5.5%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?fed decisions mar jun | No | 95.9¢ | 98.5¢ | 614.61 | 614.61 | +$16 (+2.8%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?fed decisions mar jun | No | 95.0¢ | 101.9¢ | 930.28 | 930.28 | +$65 (+7.3%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has top ai model end of june style control on | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 104.18 | 104.18 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has second best ai model end of june | Yes | 1.2¢ | 4.2¢ | 115.29 | 115.29 | +$3 (+251.9%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 1,171.51 | 1,171.51 | +$2 (+95.8%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?jd vance out as vp by | No | 90.5¢ | 91.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$1 (+0.6%) | Jun 5, 2026 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?will microstrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027 | No | 90.0¢ | 92.7¢ | 635.45 | 635.45 | +$17 (+3.0%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?ecb rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 89.3¢ | 98.8¢ | 86.7 | 86.7 | +$8 (+10.6%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 97.1¢ | 100.2¢ | 5,697.59 | 5,697.59 | +$175 (+3.2%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | 12,894.76 | 12,894.76 | +$13 (+14.3%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates june 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,143.92 | 1,143.92 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 54.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 26 | 26 | +$2 (+13.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by | Yes | 5.7¢ | 6.4¢ | 168.81 | 168.81 | +$1 (+11.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | Yes | 15.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 483.94 | 483.94 | +$5 (+6.7%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 9.0¢ | 10.3¢ | 200 | 200 | +$3 (+14.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 15.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 320 | 320 | +$10 (+20.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 81.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | +$5 (+1.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US bank failure by May 31?us bank failure by may 31 911 | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+11.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by may 31 | No | 97.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 12.32 | 12.32 | +$0 (+3.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?will a hurricane make landfall in the us by may 31 | No | 93.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 20.7 | 20.7 | +$1 (+7.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?trump renames straight of hormuz to strait of trump by may 31 | No | 95.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 15 | 15 | +$1 (+4.4%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best coding ai model end of may | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,820.59 | 1,820.59 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best coding ai model end of may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 2,424.31 | 2,424.31 | +$5 (+109.9%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best coding ai model end of may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,520.37 | 2,520.37 | -$5 (-94.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best coding ai model end of may | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,220.33 | 1,220.33 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best ai model end of may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 940.48 | 940.48 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?epstein suicide note released by | No | 91.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+9.9%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?will trump praise allah again by may 31 | No | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+14.9%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?iran leadership change by | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$2 (+7.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 95.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 40 | 40 | +$2 (+4.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?will bulk launch a token by | Yes | 86.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 10 | 10 | -$1 (-15.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 167,727 | 167,727 | +$0 (0.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?producer price index ppi yoy may 2026 | No | 51.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+2.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?who will be arrested before 2027 | Yes | 2.2¢ | 4.0¢ | 78.96 | 78.96 | +$1 (+81.8%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | 230.08 | 230.08 | -$0 (-1.5%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?bank of brazil decision in june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 639.92 | 639.92 | +$1 (+100.0%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$54 (+37.0%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?measles cases in us by june 30 | Yes | 40.0¢ | 44.6¢ | 40 | 40 | +$2 (+11.4%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchtea fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 32.0¢ | 48.0¢ | 60 | 60 | +$10 (+50.0%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year | Yes | 7.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 18.96 | 18.96 | +$1 (+42.8%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?what iranian demands will trump agree to by may 31 | No | 82.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 29.98 | 29.98 | +$1 (+2.4%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?will papertrade launch a token by | Yes | 82.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+6.1%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?will papertrade launch a token by | Yes | 86.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-4.7%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?will symbiotic launch a token by | No | 3.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+333.3%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates june 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 2,769.36 | 2,769.36 | +$3 (+100.0%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | No | 71.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7.55 | 7.55 | +$2 (+40.8%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?ai bubble burst by | No | 77.2¢ | 79.2¢ | 40 | 40 | +$1 (+2.6%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Tea FDV above $200M one day after launchtea fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 11.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 40 | 40 | -$0 (-9.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Tea FDV above $300M one day after launchtea fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 3.0¢ | 7.8¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+161.7%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Tea FDV above $100M one day after launchtea fdv above one day after launch | No | 10.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+150.0%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?will propr launch a token by | Yes | 51.5¢ | 87.0¢ | 40 | 40 | +$14 (+68.9%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | No | 89.8¢ | 89.9¢ | 65.26 | 65.26 | +$0 (+0.1%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybrand risk promotions 14 johnny manziel vs bob menery | Menery | 20.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 17.63 | 17.63 | -$4 (-100.0%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?when will jerome powell depart as fed chair | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 46.36 | 46.36 | -$1 (-96.1%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | 85.37 | 85.37 | +$0 (+25.0%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | No | 91.8¢ | 92.8¢ | 186.4 | 186.4 | +$2 (+1.1%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 44.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 2,509.14 | 2,509.14 | +$51 (+4.6%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 41.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 169.84 | 169.84 | -$0 (-0.0%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 73.0¢ | 72.8¢ | 800.68 | 800.68 | -$2 (-0.3%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 3.1¢ | 3.7¢ | 7 | 7 | +$0 (+19.4%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 53.5¢ | 55.1¢ | 839.09 | 839.09 | +$13 (+2.9%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?what iranian demands will trump agree to by may 31 | No | 96.5¢ | 97.1¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+0.6%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by May 31?trump out as president by may 31 | No | 99.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 7,026.12 | 7,026.12 | +$57 (+0.8%) | May 21, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?openai ipo by | Yes | 2.8¢ | 11.6¢ | 700 | 700 | +$62 (+314.3%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in june 221 | Yes | 6.2¢ | 4.0¢ | 118.46 | 118.46 | -$3 (-35.0%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in june 221 | No | 6.0¢ | 4.3¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-28.3%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 568 | No | 94.1¢ | 98.0¢ | 1,309.34 | 1,309.34 | +$52 (+4.2%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 568 | No | 71.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 180.94 | 180.94 | +$52 (+40.8%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | Yes | 97.8¢ | 103.2¢ | 3,535.96 | 3,535.96 | +$190 (+5.5%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?richest person on december 31 2026 | Yes | 1.9¢ | 5.3¢ | 151.63 | 151.63 | +$5 (+177.8%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 568 | No | 90.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 450.04 | 450.04 | +$41 (+10.0%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 2.0¢ | 1.9¢ | 100 | 100 | -$0 (-5.0%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best ai model end of may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 1.6¢ | 77.15 | 77.15 | +$1 (+700.0%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in june | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | 1,207.44 | 1,207.44 | +$4 (+172.2%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?which company has the 1 ai model end of may style control on | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,554.6 | 1,554.6 | -$3 (-100.0%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 5.0¢ | 5.2¢ | 300.32 | 300.32 | +$1 (+3.6%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?us iran nuclear deal by may 31 974 | No | 89.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-5.6%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 96.6¢ | 96.9¢ | 30 | 30 | +$0 (+0.3%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | No | 94.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$0 (+1.1%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 10.1¢ | 10.4¢ | 600 | 600 | +$2 (+3.2%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 85.5¢ | 85.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-0.6%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3.8¢ | 92.31 | 92.31 | +$0 (+14.1%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the best math ai model end of may | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | 92.32 | 92.32 | +$0 (+400.0%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?which company has the 1 ai model end of may style control on | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | 1,292.73 | 1,292.73 | +$0 (+17.4%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 98.5¢ | 98.6¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (+0.1%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the second best ai model end of may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 978.15 | 978.15 | +$2 (+100.0%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?bank of england decision in june 221 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 3,627.84 | 3,627.84 | +$7 (+100.0%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?will trump acquire greenland before 2027 | Yes | 5.9¢ | 6.0¢ | 3,869.07 | 3,869.07 | +$5 (+2.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 60.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$0 (-3.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?jerome powell out as fed chair by | No | 96.9¢ | 102.2¢ | 615.64 | 615.64 | +$33 (+5.5%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?jeffrey epstein foul play confirmed in 2025 | Yes | 6.7¢ | 7.0¢ | 800 | 800 | +$3 (+5.1%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?kevin warsh confirmed as fed chair by may 15 | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2.86 | 2.86 | +$1 (+75.4%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?cerebras ipo closing market cap | Yes | 0.4¢ | 1.8¢ | 548.93 | 548.93 | +$8 (+398.1%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?cerebras ipo closing market cap | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 2,538.02 | 2,538.02 | +$3 (+135.8%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778687100 | Up | 34.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 2.92 | 2.92 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778687400 | Up | 39.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$2 (-100.0%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778687700 | Up | 40.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$2 (-100.0%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778686200 | Up | 40.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+30.0%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?which company has the best ai model end of may | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 3,025.91 | 3,025.91 | +$2 (+18.5%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778598300 | Up | 42.0¢ | 85.7¢ | 2.38 | 2.38 | +$1 (+104.1%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778596500 | Up | 39.0¢ | 89.9¢ | 2.56 | 2.56 | +$1 (+130.6%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778594400 | Up | 41.0¢ | 87.8¢ | 2.44 | 2.44 | +$1 (+114.2%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778592900 | Up | 38.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 2.63 | 2.63 | +$1 (+115.7%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | No | 97.8¢ | 97.9¢ | 2,499.99 | 2,499.99 | +$2 (+0.1%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778541900 | Up | 31.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3.23 | 3.23 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778536200 | Down | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Will Trump Insult Xi this week?will trump insult xi this week | No | 90.1¢ | 96.7¢ | 33.47 | 33.47 | +$2 (+7.3%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778541600 | Up | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2.38 | 2.38 | +$1 (+138.1%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778536500 | Down | 20.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$1 (+100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778530800 | Up | 19.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778530200 | Down | 50.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 2 | 2 | +$1 (+84.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778526000 | Up | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778523300 | Down | 42.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 2.38 | 2.38 | +$1 (+81.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778523000 | Up | 48.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 2.08 | 2.08 | -$0 (-6.2%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778518200 | Up | 38.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2.63 | 2.63 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778519100 | Up | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5 | 5 | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$1 (+25.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETbtc updown 5m 1778473500 | Down | 34.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 2.94 | 2.94 | +$1 (+108.9%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?will hype flip sol by december 31 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 0.6 | 0.6 | +$0 (0.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778463900 | Up | 27.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 3.7 | 3.7 | +$0 (+7.4%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1778455500 | Up | 47.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2.13 | 2.13 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by may 31 945 | Yes | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 44.47 | 44.47 | +$0 (+8.3%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?which companies will be acquired before 2027 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$0 (0.0%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 3.5¢ | 3.9¢ | 999.98 | 999.98 | +$4 (+12.5%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | No | 87.5¢ | 79.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$85 (-9.7%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?bank of mexico decision in may | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 499.96 | 499.96 | -$1 (-100.0%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | No | 40.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 51.24 | 51.24 | +$5 (+25.0%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | 200.48 | 200.48 | +$0 (+16.7%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?jerome powell out from fed board by | Yes | 2.0¢ | 2.2¢ | 52.31 | 52.31 | +$0 (+10.0%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | No | 87.0¢ | 84.6¢ | 2,028.58 | 2,028.58 | -$49 (-2.8%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?will hype flip sol by december 31 | No | 87.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | -$5 (-1.1%) | May 6, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 42.0¢ | 55.7¢ | 31.41 | 31.41 | +$4 (+32.5%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026 | Yes | 6.9¢ | 7.6¢ | 2,239.96 | 2,239.96 | +$16 (+10.1%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in may | No | 96.9¢ | 99.6¢ | 880.98 | 880.98 | +$24 (+2.8%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| US civil war before 2027?us civil war before 2027 | No | 90.6¢ | 97.8¢ | 6,902.25 | 6,902.25 | +$497 (+8.0%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 129,042.45 | 129,042.45 | +$133 (+51.4%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?sharjah ruler sultan bin muhammad al qasimi arrested by may 31 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 13.3¢ | 223.06 | 223.06 | +$16 (+122.4%) | May 3, 2026 | |
| Trump out as President by April 30?trump out as president by april 30 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.3¢ | 92,740.22 | 92,740.22 | +$416 (+0.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by april 30 2026 | Yes | 5.1¢ | 4.2¢ | 814.5 | 814.5 | -$7 (-16.7%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by april 30 2026 | No | 95.4¢ | 95.8¢ | 1,600 | 1,600 | +$6 (+0.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.50% (HIGH) in April?what will the 10 year treasury hit in april | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 15.38 | 15.38 | +$2 (+11.1%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates april 2026 | Yes | 19.3¢ | 18.8¢ | 84.75 | 84.75 | -$0 (-2.7%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the best ai model end of april | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 3,113.26 | 3,113.26 | +$2 (+31.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of april | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 16.9 | 16.9 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of april | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,238.12 | 1,238.12 | -$3 (-99.7%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?ecb interest rates april 2026 | No | 97.4¢ | 94.9¢ | 42.62 | 42.62 | -$1 (-2.6%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in june | No | 96.0¢ | 99.3¢ | 1,034.35 | 1,034.35 | +$34 (+3.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?ecb rate hike in 2026 | No | 22.2¢ | 19.2¢ | 221.1 | 221.1 | -$7 (-13.3%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 23.4¢ | 1,538.14 | 1,538.14 | +$237 (+192.2%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 99.0¢ | 109.2¢ | 2,808.45 | 2,808.45 | +$286 (+10.3%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?fed decision in april | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.9¢ | 42,447.45 | 42,447.45 | +$459 (+1.1%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | No | 99.9¢ | 100.1¢ | 11,661.28 | 11,661.28 | +$24 (+0.2%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?fed decisions jan apr | Yes | 99.2¢ | 103.0¢ | 216.39 | 216.39 | +$8 (+3.8%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| 1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026 | Yes | 6.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 73.38 | 73.38 | -$4 (-100.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?bank of canada decision in april | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2.97 | 2.97 | +$0 (+2.6%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?bank of canada decision in april | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,435.54 | 10,435.54 | +$11 (+0.1%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?bank of canada decision in april | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 1.69 | 1.69 | +$0 (+57.8%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$6 (+47.1%) | Apr 29, 2026 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?bank of japan decision in april | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | 7,969.48 | 7,969.48 | +$17 (+104.5%) | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?will trump pardon ghislaine maxwell | No | 91.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 200 | 200 | -$6 (-3.3%) | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?fed decisions mar jun | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | 3,094.73 | 3,094.73 | +$10 (+339.0%) | Apr 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?fed decisions jan apr | Yes | 0.2¢ | 4.4¢ | 618.64 | 618.64 | +$26 (+2109.5%) | Apr 27, 2026 | |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 62,676.1 | 62,676.1 | +$63 (+50.5%) | Apr 26, 2026 | |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has top ai model end of june style control on | Yes | 0.2¢ | 1.1¢ | 1,043.52 | 1,043.52 | +$10 (+466.5%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?fed decisions apr jul | No | 96.6¢ | 99.3¢ | 19.03 | 19.03 | +$1 (+2.8%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | Yes | 94.2¢ | 94.4¢ | 863.38 | 863.38 | +$2 (+0.2%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?bank of canada decision in june | Yes | 76.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 46.9 | 46.9 | +$7 (+18.4%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?will russia invade another country in 2026 | No | 87.0¢ | 90.4¢ | 199.99 | 199.99 | +$7 (+3.9%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?reserve bank of australia decision in may | Yes | 6.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 16.25 | 16.25 | +$2 (+166.6%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?which company has the third best ai model end of april | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | 1,428.76 | 1,428.76 | +$0 (+11.5%) | Apr 23, 2026 | |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?when will jerome powell depart as fed chair | Yes | 5.0¢ | 4.8¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | -$0 (-4.0%) | Apr 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?reserve bank of new zealand decision in may | No | 94.1¢ | 99.5¢ | 458.85 | 458.85 | +$25 (+5.7%) | Apr 23, 2026 |