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@pakukudolphi
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
4.8
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $410.4K
90-Day Window4.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.6¢ · 42 resolved
- Hit rate
- 48.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $22.5K / $410.4K
- % return
- +4.0%
- Observations
- 84
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-15%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
0W · 1L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes52.3¢ → 45.4¢-13%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 79,200 | 50.0¢ | 20.6¢ | $16,355 | -$23,245 (-58.7%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 79,200 | 50.0¢ | 79.3¢ | $62,845 | +$23,245 (+58.7%) |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 52,355.79 | 89.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $46,858 | -$1 (-0.0%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 26,699.1 | 89.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $25,498 | +$1,736 (+7.3%) |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 24,874.68 | 87.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $21,268 | -$471 (-2.2%) |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 19,180.51 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $29 | -$35 (-55.0%) |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 14,310.28 | 64.7¢ | 87.1¢ | $12,464 | +$3,202 (+34.6%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 10,000 | 85.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $8,650 | +$150 (+1.8%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 9,999.83 | 76.4¢ | 77.5¢ | $7,750 | +$112 (+1.5%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 9,994.09 | 83.0¢ | 85.5¢ | $8,545 | +$250 (+3.0%) |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 7,775.71 | 89.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $7,037 | +$117 (+1.7%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5,301.02 | 81.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,426 | +$112 (+2.6%) |
| Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 5,100 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $28 | +$8 (+37.5%) |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 12.0¢ | 9.5¢ | $475 | -$125 (-20.8%) |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,857.63 | 88.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,639 | +$365 (+8.5%) |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4,499.97 | 61.0¢ | 54.5¢ | $2,452 | -$292 (-10.7%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4,000 | 55.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $2,220 | +$20 (+0.9%) |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 3,105.97 | 93.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,904 | -$10 (-0.4%) |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 3,025.84 | 90.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $2,799 | +$76 (+2.8%) |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 2,974.12 | 16.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $461 | -$15 (-3.1%) |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2,814.42 | 74.0¢ | 97.3¢ | $2,737 | +$654 (+31.4%) |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 1,499.98 | 61.0¢ | 50.5¢ | $757 | -$157 (-17.2%) |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 784.42 | 75.7¢ | 82.0¢ | $643 | +$50 (+8.3%) |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 713.62 | 79.9¢ | 96.7¢ | $690 | +$119 (+20.9%) |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 300 | 77.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $237 | +$6 (+2.6%) |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 245.37 | 90.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $237 | +$15 (+6.6%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 86 | 48.0¢ | 39.5¢ | $34 | -$7 (-17.7%) |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 76.75 | 6.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $2 | -$3 (-65.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 85.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 72.1¢ | 61.1¢ | 22,261.48 | 12,261.7 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?will any country expel an israeli ambassador by december 31 | No | 75.7¢ | — | 779.42 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?which country will join abraham accords before 2027 | No | 94.8¢ | — | 20,446.9 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?which country will join abraham accords before 2027 | No | 93.8¢ | — | 3,105.97 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?nevada governor winner 2026 | Yes | 55.0¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 81.4¢ | — | 5,301.02 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?will a new country join the abraham accords before 2027 | No | 86.4¢ | — | 147.59 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 52.3¢ | 45.4¢ | 735.22 | 735.22 | -$51 (-13.2%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 | No | 89.0¢ | — | 7,775.71 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israel election likud of seats | No | 87.4¢ | — | 24,859.29 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israel election likud of seats | No | 77.0¢ | 70.5¢ | 5,000 | 4,700 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 87.6¢ | — | 14,188.08 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 0.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,565.88 | 2,565.88 | -$6 (-101.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?practical magic 2 2nd weekend box office | No | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$40 (-100.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 38,036.16 | 38,036.16 | +$1,921 (+5.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 4.0¢ | 2.8¢ | 5,008.34 | 5,008.34 | -$62 (-31.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 84.0¢ | 75.4¢ | 10,000 | 10,000.02 | -$860 (-5.1%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 64.4¢ | 65.0¢ | 11,710.96 | 11,710.96 | +$69 (+0.9%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 88.3¢ | 94.2¢ | 30,325.18 | 13,515.44 | -$197 (-0.7%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 84.0¢ | 78.1¢ | 0 | 6,645.15 | +$465 | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 7.5¢ | 8.6¢ | 12,708.65 | 6,655.35 | -$389 (-64.8%) | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014 | Yes | 16.9¢ | 15.0¢ | 2,282.17 | 2,282.17 | -$42 (-11.0%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014 | No | — | 95.1¢ | 0 | 3,286.47 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next us iran senior diplomatic meeting byptptpt | No | 56.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 210 | 0 | +$91 (+76.9%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 86.7¢ | 92.5¢ | 2,707.89 | 9,931.35 | +$1,401 (+20.7%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?pakistan military action against afghanistan by 20260925 | Yes | 49.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 56.61 | 0 | +$29 (+103.2%) | Sep 26, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?russia elections united russia wins every region | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,595 | 1,595 | +$622 (+63.9%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election turnout | Yes | 58.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000.26 | 4,000.26 | +$1,665 (+71.3%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israeli legislative election winner | No | 61.0¢ | — | 3,085.69 | 0 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?israeli legislative election winner | Yes | 61.0¢ | — | 1,412.05 | 0 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?will netanyahu use a visual aid during his unga speech | Yes | 59.2¢ | 40.4¢ | 188.06 | 188.06 | -$38 (-50.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 4.7¢ | 34.4¢ | 3,984.81 | 0 | +$2,311 (+633.6%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 2.7¢ | 2.1¢ | 536.72 | 0 | -$14 (-21.1%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?resident evil opening weekend box office | Yes | 10.1¢ | 9.5¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | -$12 (-5.9%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | +$1,200 (+3.1%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 2.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 504 | 504 | -$11 (-100.0%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 93.0¢ | 95.7¢ | 14,304 | 14,304 | +$389 (+2.9%) | Sep 20, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 6,388.71 | 6,388.71 | +$1,086 (+50.0%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 21.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 8,918.12 | 8,918.12 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | No | 14.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 315.87 | 315.87 | -$47 (-100.1%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt 21 | No | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 397.92 | 397.92 | +$119 (+42.9%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 20.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 5,202.81 | 5,202.81 | +$0 (0.0%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | No | 58.8¢ | 45.5¢ | 1,230.26 | 1,230.26 | -$164 (-22.6%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | Yes | 21.3¢ | 10.7¢ | 8,273.85 | 8,273.85 | -$882 (-50.0%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 9.0¢ | 10.2¢ | 21,930.33 | 21,930.33 | +$266 (+13.5%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260706181026740 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 733.34 | 733.34 | +$51 (+7.5%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 67.0¢ | 20.1¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$704 (-70.0%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | Yes | 78.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$3,900 (-100.0%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 28.0¢ | 29.9¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$112 (+6.7%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 51.4¢ | 50.7¢ | 3,200.17 | 3,200.17 | -$23 (-1.4%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt | No | 80.0¢ | 24.1¢ | 870 | 870 | -$487 (-69.9%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt | No | 61.3¢ | 14.2¢ | 1,768.03 | 1,768.03 | -$831 (-76.7%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | Yes | 47.6¢ | 50.3¢ | 7,626.03 | 7,626.03 | +$205 (+5.7%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | No | 52.6¢ | 50.5¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | -$171 (-4.1%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014 | No | 72.0¢ | 77.9¢ | 5,200 | 5,200 | +$308 (+8.2%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 50.0¢ | 49.6¢ | 5,945.54 | 5,945.54 | -$25 (-0.8%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 21,362.27 | 21,362.27 | +$362 (+1.7%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?likud party primary winner 20260720203933764 | No | 90.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 71 | 71 | +$7 (+10.7%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 90.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 1,080 | 1,080 | -$43 (-4.4%) | Aug 17, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 55.7¢ | 57.0¢ | 3,327.22 | 3,327.22 | +$44 (+2.4%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 86.4¢ | 88.8¢ | 25,000 | 25,000 | +$594 (+2.7%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | Yes | 9.6¢ | 11.0¢ | 1,796.37 | 1,796.37 | +$24 (+14.2%) | Aug 11, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by december 31 | Yes | 27.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | -$220 (-40.7%) | Aug 11, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 85.5¢ | 1,688 | 1,688 | +$8 (+0.6%) | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 61.4¢ | 51.9¢ | 7,000.35 | 7,000.35 | -$666 (-15.5%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 33.3¢ | 38.5¢ | 12,613.77 | 12,613.77 | +$658 (+15.7%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | Yes | 84.4¢ | 85.4¢ | 337.02 | 337.02 | +$4 (+1.3%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 99.2¢ | 99.3¢ | 92,000 | 92,000 | +$105 (+0.1%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | Yes | 62.5¢ | 53.4¢ | 2,999.88 | 2,999.88 | -$271 (-14.5%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 77.0¢ | 92.2¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$3,040 (+19.7%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | No | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 388.13 | 388.13 | +$58 (+17.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 85.0¢ | 84.1¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | -$52 (-1.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by 20260607234645733 | No | 58.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 24.67 | 24.67 | +$10 (+72.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 10.0¢ | 9.0¢ | 2,611.72 | 2,611.72 | -$27 (-10.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 74.0¢ | 76.7¢ | 1,147.36 | 1,147.36 | +$31 (+3.6%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 77.3¢ | 68.9¢ | 9,080.21 | 9,080.21 | -$762 (-10.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 78.7¢ | 87.7¢ | 11,999.89 | 11,999.89 | +$1,082 (+11.5%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 41.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 1,446.1 | 1,446.1 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 47.7¢ | 47.8¢ | 4,096.02 | 4,096.02 | +$4 (+0.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 83.4¢ | 82.6¢ | 2,167.78 | 2,167.78 | -$18 (-1.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 9.0¢ | 7.3¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | -$173 (-19.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | 140.48 | 140.48 | -$4 (-90.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 45.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,047.82 | 3,047.82 | +$124 (+8.8%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?how many world cup matches will trump attend 20260610185739769 | Yes | 6.6¢ | 2.9¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$74 (-56.1%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | 12,640.12 | 12,640.12 | -$32 (-35.7%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 30.11 | 30.11 | +$5 (+22.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?israeli parliament dissolved by october 31 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 71.9¢ | 1,829.62 | 1,829.62 | -$331 (-20.1%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?israeli parliament dissolved by october 31 | Yes | 66.7¢ | 86.8¢ | 28,436.33 | 28,436.33 | +$5,718 (+30.2%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$330 (+12.4%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?israeli parliament dissolved by october 31 | No | 2.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$476 (+1974.6%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 18.1¢ | 19.3¢ | 11,156.96 | 11,156.96 | +$139 (+6.9%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 74.0¢ | 69.7¢ | 12,040.13 | 12,040.13 | -$514 (-5.8%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348 | No | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$380 (+23.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| O/U 2.5 Roundsufc max1 con | Over | 52.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,064.5 | 6,064.5 | -$3,166 (-100.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 | No | 72.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 2,058.46 | 2,058.46 | -$228 (-15.3%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,313 | 2,313 | -$393 (-100.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 71.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 1,511.55 | 1,511.55 | -$60 (-5.6%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 66.7¢ | 70.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$200 (+5.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 more markets | Under | 53.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,000 | 22,000 | +$10,285 (+87.8%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?avg of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of june | No | 65.5¢ | 77.3¢ | 17,916.04 | 17,916.04 | +$2,122 (+18.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?avg of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of june | Yes | 11.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 853.32 | 853.32 | -$43 (-45.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 63.0¢ | 63.1¢ | 27,289.36 | 27,289.36 | +$31 (+0.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?israel closes its airspace by | No | 72.8¢ | 45.8¢ | 16,999.54 | 16,999.54 | -$4,579 (-37.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 78.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,728.27 | 29,728.27 | +$6,388 (+27.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | Yes | 21.8¢ | 23.6¢ | 33,306.38 | 33,306.38 | +$629 (+8.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?which countries will recognize israel by june 30 | No | 79.8¢ | 95.5¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$626 (+19.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?trump announces us x iran ceasefire over byptptpt 20260607232555290 | No | 95.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 304.58 | 304.58 | +$14 (+4.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?will a new country join the abraham accords by june 30 | No | 82.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,058.89 | 7,058.89 | +$1,217 (+20.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | No | 97.0¢ | 99.5¢ | 37,742.46 | 37,742.46 | +$911 (+2.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 3.7¢ | 13,213.81 | 13,213.81 | -$42 (-8.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 3.0¢ | 2.7¢ | 29,035.13 | 29,035.13 | -$87 (-10.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 99,999.99 | 99,999.99 | +$600 (+0.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?avg of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of june | Yes | 10.0¢ | 48.8¢ | 6,695.86 | 6,695.86 | +$2,604 (+390.8%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?fifwc ecu kor | Yes | 84.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 1.19 | 1.19 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Jun 30, 2026 |