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0x88b0...693f
0x88b03f6fb4beba2caa9f05b9979403a0ff90693f
6.3
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $15.6K
90-Day Window6.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +17.9¢ · 19 resolved
- Hit rate
- 70.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $373.1 / $15.6K
- % return
- +2.4%
- Observations
- 34
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+14%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 1
2W · 0L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes38.0¢ → 40.0¢+5.3%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes39.0¢ → 39.0¢+0.1%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1,104.2 | 35.0¢ | 35.0¢ | $386 | +$0 (0.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 2,001.39 | 897.19 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | Yes | 38.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 948.59 | 948.58 | +$19 (+5.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260629155934230 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 39.1¢ | 1,402.34 | 1,402.34 | +$1 (+0.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 34.4¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$46 (-11.8%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 39.7¢ | 40.9¢ | 3,880 | 3,879.99 | +$48 (+3.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?trump x greenland deal signed by december 31 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 265.63 | 265.63 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?houthis successfully target shipping byptptpt 20260708165455691 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 1,999.97 | 1,999.96 | +$40 (+5.9%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?vancouver mayoral election winner | Yes | 25.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 310 | 310 | +$0 (0.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 26.0¢ | 26.7¢ | 798.53 | 798.53 | +$5 (+2.5%) | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?next uk chancellor of the exchequer in 2026 20260621005319178 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 11.5¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | -$403 (-74.6%) | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?will mitch mcconnell resign from the senate before his term ends | Yes | 35.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 500 | 500 | -$15 (-8.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 40.6¢ | 42.0¢ | 4,289.99 | 4,289.98 | +$61 (+3.9%) | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?alaska senate election winner | Yes | 40.0¢ | 53.4¢ | 410 | 409.99 | +$55 (+33.6%) | Jul 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?colorado governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 30.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 500 | 499.99 | -$150 (-100.0%) | Jun 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Netanyahu out by end of 2026?netanyahu out before 2027 | Yes | 32.0¢ | 48.7¢ | 1,090.32 | 499.99 | +$154 (+44.3%) | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?billionaire one time wealth tax on california ballot | Yes | 32.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 310 | 310 | +$40 (+40.6%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?cear governor election winner | Yes | 26.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$185 (+142.3%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 45.0¢ | 67.1¢ | 1,199.99 | 1,199.99 | +$265 (+49.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 36.0¢ | 49.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | +$195 (+36.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 43.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 3,066.98 | 3,066.98 | +$520 (+39.4%) | Jun 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 37.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$20 (+5.4%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?romanian pm bolojan out by | Yes | 31.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 186.29 | 186.29 | +$13 (+22.6%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?switzerlands june referendum what will pass | Yes | 27.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 170.44 | 170.44 | +$48 (+103.7%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?trump declassifies new ufo files by 648 | Yes | 37.0¢ | 33.4¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$54 (-9.8%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | Yes | 52.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 800 | 800 | +$192 (+46.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,499.99 | 3,499.99 | -$1,050 (-100.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 41.0¢ | 30.5¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | -$263 (-25.7%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 42.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 897.82 | 897.82 | +$36 (+9.5%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?ulsan mayoral election winner | Yes | 28.0¢ | 25.1¢ | 600 | 600 | -$18 (-10.5%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?internet access restored in iran by | Yes | 36.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 499.98 | 499.98 | +$0 (+0.0%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?2026 gyeongsangnam province gubernatorial election winner | Yes | 30.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 278.76 | 278.76 | +$31 (+36.7%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?next uk prime minister in 2026 122 | Yes | 42.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$12 (+9.5%) | May 25, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 35.0¢ | 42.4¢ | 4,300 | 4,300 | +$317 (+21.1%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 35.0¢ | 47.3¢ | 132.6 | 132.6 | +$16 (+35.0%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by june 30 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 52.4¢ | 599.99 | 599.99 | +$98 (+45.5%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?california governor election 2026 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | -$25 (-11.1%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?israel military action against iranian power plant by april 30 | Yes | 33.3¢ | 30.5¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | -$34 (-8.6%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?israeli forces cross the litani river by june 30 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$106 (-20.1%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?israel strike on yemen by 593 | Yes | 26.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$280 (-53.8%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 29.3¢ | 26.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$100 (-11.4%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 42.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 999.11 | 999.11 | +$40 (+9.5%) | Apr 2, 2026 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?will russia capture lyman in 2025 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | +$72 (+16.7%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 833 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 565.98 | 565.98 | +$51 (+29.0%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 47.0¢ | 51.5¢ | 216.59 | 216.59 | +$10 (+9.6%) | Mar 26, 2026 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?israeli parliament dissolved by october 31 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 30.0¢ | 145.71 | 145.71 | -$7 (-14.3%) | Mar 23, 2026 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 40.1¢ | 1,200 | 1,200 | +$62 (+14.7%) | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 41.0¢ | 42.7¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | +$25 (+4.1%) | Mar 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?slovenian parliamentary election winner 791 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$100 (+33.3%) | Mar 20, 2026 | |
| Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?santa cruz governor election winner bolivia | Yes | 35.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 814.24 | 814.24 | -$114 (-40.0%) | Mar 17, 2026 | |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?will trump visit china by | Yes | 35.0¢ | 29.9¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$102 (-14.5%) | Mar 17, 2026 | |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?will trump visit china by | Yes | 35.5¢ | 35.6¢ | 4,626.32 | 4,626.32 | +$1 (+0.1%) | Mar 16, 2026 |