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@Mr-Krabs
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $605.2K
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -3.1¢ · 68 resolved
- Hit rate
- 68.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$19.6K / $605.2K
- % return
- -2.4%
- Observations
- 130
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-16%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 6
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No41.0¢ → 95.0¢+132%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 15,504.95 | 83.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $14,187 | +$1,312 (+10.2%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 14,499.98 | 83.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $12,252 | +$153 (+1.3%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14,000 | 93.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $12,950 | -$70 (-0.5%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 13,196.71 | 81.0¢ | 18.5¢ | $2,441 | -$8,250 (-77.2%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 12,716.38 | 75.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $10,491 | +$935 (+9.8%) |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 8,995.81 | 71.1¢ | 79.0¢ | $7,107 | +$709 (+11.1%) |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,146.31 | 75.2¢ | 70.0¢ | $5,702 | -$427 (-7.0%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7,062.09 | 84.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $5,971 | -$11 (-0.2%) |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 6,295.29 | 83.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $5,823 | +$538 (+10.2%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 5,193.16 | 61.0¢ | 59.5¢ | $3,090 | -$78 (-2.5%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5,085.66 | 86.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $4,887 | +$466 (+10.5%) |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 4,936.79 | 82.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $4,023 | -$70 (-1.7%) |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 4,650.39 | 84.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $4,162 | +$232 (+5.9%) |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 4,416.21 | 25.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $685 | -$420 (-38.0%) |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,038.38 | 82.7¢ | 88.0¢ | $3,554 | +$213 (+6.4%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,500 | 64.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $543 | -$1,698 (-75.8%) |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 3,300 | 29.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $974 | +$17 (+1.7%) |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2,672.12 | 78.7¢ | 88.1¢ | $2,355 | +$253 (+12.0%) |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | No | 2,303.94 | 90.6¢ | 98.6¢ | $2,271 | +$184 (+8.8%) |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | No | 2,187.27 | 84.2¢ | 95.0¢ | $2,078 | +$237 (+12.9%) |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1,464.35 | 69.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,296 | +$275 (+26.9%) |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1,164.7 | 85.3¢ | 86.9¢ | $1,012 | +$18 (+1.8%) |
| Cornell President out by October 31? | No | 823.35 | 90.2¢ | 95.0¢ | $782 | +$40 (+5.4%) |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | No | 222.91 | 89.5¢ | 94.8¢ | $211 | +$12 (+5.9%) |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31? | No | 62.84 | 91.6¢ | 97.1¢ | $61 | +$3 (+6.0%) |
| Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31? | No | 15 | 88.0¢ | 79.7¢ | $12 | -$1 (-9.4%) |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.64 | 90.0¢ | 95.3¢ | $2 | +$0 (+5.9%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027 | No | — | 92.8¢ | 0 | 10,373.48 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?who will be the next secretary general of the un | No | 41.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 331.98 | 72.2 | +$179 (+131.7%) | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 | No | 83.0¢ | — | 15,504.95 | 0 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by december 31 | No | 74.3¢ | — | 445.91 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | 84.7¢ | — | 7,062.09 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 36.3¢ | 37.0¢ | 7,300 | 4,000 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | — | 83.0¢ | 0 | 2,000 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?who will be trumps ai czar in 2026 | No | 87.0¢ | 94.6¢ | 3,126.74 | 3,126.73 | +$234 (+8.6%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the house in 2026 | Yes | 93.0¢ | — | 14,000 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 84.0¢ | — | 6,500 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 10.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$0 (0.0%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 61.0¢ | — | 5,193.16 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 66.9¢ | 79.0¢ | 6,303.35 | 10,003.34 | +$1,315 (+20.0%) | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?jerome powell out from fed board by | No | 82.9¢ | — | 4,936.79 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by december 31 | No | 77.5¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?will jumper launch a token by | Yes | 82.7¢ | — | 4,038.38 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?kanye west performs in russia by october 31 | No | 85.9¢ | 97.9¢ | 5,051.93 | 17,474.59 | +$6,812 (+33.0%) | Oct 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?foreign intervention in gaza by | No | 71.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 166.4 | 166.4 | +$38 (+32.4%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 78.1¢ | 85.4¢ | 15,926.59 | 15,926.59 | +$1,174 (+9.4%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379 | No | 84.2¢ | — | 2,187.27 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?flydubai co pilot transferred to israel by octpt 31 | No | 91.6¢ | — | 62.84 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Cornell President out by October 31?cornell president out by october 31 | No | 90.2¢ | — | 823.35 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?trump admin held in contempt over press ban by october 31 | No | 88.0¢ | — | 15 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$425 (+20.5%) | Sep 30, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next us iran senior diplomatic meeting byptptpt | No | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 759.51 | 0 | +$8 (+1.1%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 86.0¢ | 95.7¢ | 4,822.04 | 4,822.03 | +$467 (+11.3%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?lindsay clancy convicted of murder | No | 95.3¢ | 95.0¢ | 6,132.18 | 6,132.17 | -$18 (-0.3%) | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | No | 9.7¢ | 15.9¢ | 9,586.58 | 0 | +$723 (+90.6%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | No | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 1,464.29 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 64.0¢ | — | 3,500 | 0 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?trump bans more news outlets from white house by september 30 | No | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 33.33 | 0 | +$1 (+3.1%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?ai lab announces another millennium prize solution by | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 89.46 | 0 | +$804 (+18.8%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | Yes | 89.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,300 | 0 | -$1,287 (-43.8%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?will a new country join the abraham accords by october 31 | No | — | 97.1¢ | 0 | 49.09 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30 | Yes | 90.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,771.78 | 6,771.78 | +$671 (+11.0%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| ▸ | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30 | Yes | 78.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,009.2 | 0 | +$717 (+26.8%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 71.8¢ | 69.9¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$186 (-2.6%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260727142323912 | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,012.1 | 4,012.1 | +$123 (+3.2%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 85.8¢ | 98.1¢ | 11,293.99 | 11,293.99 | +$1,388 (+14.3%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,999.98 | 14,999.98 | +$3,447 (+29.8%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | No | 24.6¢ | 22.6¢ | 8,247.92 | 8,247.92 | -$166 (-8.2%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonatp zverev shelton | Ben Shelton | 31.0¢ | 12.4¢ | 1,300 | 1,300 | -$241 (-59.9%) | Sep 13, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 1.2¢ | 19,294.51 | 19,294.51 | -$3,051 (-93.0%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?andrew tate released from custody byptptpt 20260719023459650 | No | 82.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 266.59 | 266.59 | +$21 (+9.8%) | Sep 8, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target Syria by August 31, 2026?will iran target syria byptptpt | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 319.32 | 319.32 | +$3 (+1.0%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 95.0¢ | 101.3¢ | 21,337.04 | 21,337.04 | +$1,355 (+6.7%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?will iran target ukraine byptptpt 20260727234956916 | No | 94.4¢ | 97.9¢ | 3,881.98 | 3,881.98 | +$137 (+3.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 80.7¢ | 98.3¢ | 7,546.84 | 7,546.84 | +$1,328 (+21.8%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 76.0¢ | 88.5¢ | 10,985.16 | 10,985.16 | +$1,373 (+16.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 74.0¢ | 97.4¢ | 7,939.76 | 7,939.76 | +$1,859 (+31.6%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 89.4¢ | 98.5¢ | 8,932.29 | 8,932.29 | +$812 (+10.2%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 58.0¢ | 78.6¢ | 8,541.8 | 8,541.8 | +$1,762 (+35.6%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | No | 88.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 23,402.38 | 23,402.38 | +$2,632 (+12.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?another gta vi trailer released by | No | 65.5¢ | 96.0¢ | 6,658.68 | 6,658.68 | +$2,028 (+46.5%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 | No | 88.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 12,310.58 | 12,310.58 | +$1,356 (+12.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 | No | 95.5¢ | 99.4¢ | 3,140 | 3,140 | +$122 (+4.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | Yes | 80.1¢ | 58.8¢ | 5,464.26 | 5,464.26 | -$1,163 (-26.6%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | Yes | 64.4¢ | 0.6¢ | 7,455.71 | 7,455.71 | -$4,757 (-99.1%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 | No | 84.6¢ | 91.0¢ | 3,939.58 | 3,939.58 | +$249 (+7.5%) | Aug 28, 2026 | |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?how long will the gta 6 extended look be 20260807064756488 | No | 85.6¢ | 91.6¢ | 1,287.19 | 1,287.19 | +$77 (+7.0%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026nothing ever happens 2026 | Yes | 62.5¢ | 83.0¢ | 3,972.77 | 3,972.77 | +$814 (+32.8%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | No | 90.0¢ | 97.2¢ | 22,058.87 | 22,058.87 | +$1,601 (+8.1%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | No | 74.8¢ | 83.2¢ | 5,030.53 | 5,030.53 | +$427 (+11.4%) | Aug 24, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 69.9¢ | 73.6¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$183 (+5.2%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,089.93 | 5,089.93 | +$34 (+0.7%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,009.7 | 2,009.7 | +$11 (+0.6%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?israel military action against syria byptptpt | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$10 (+5.3%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?next google gemini pro model released byptptpt | No | 93.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,001.25 | 2,001.25 | +$136 (+7.3%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | Yes | 80.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,900 | 4,900 | +$959 (+24.4%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | Yes | 50.1¢ | 32.5¢ | 6,714.08 | 6,714.08 | -$1,185 (-35.2%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | No | 92.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,121.17 | 6,121.17 | +$436 (+7.7%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 70.4¢ | 87.0¢ | 8,787.15 | 8,787.15 | +$1,457 (+23.6%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 1.7¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$615 (-87.9%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | No | 92.8¢ | 85.2¢ | 16,430.62 | 16,430.62 | -$1,252 (-8.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 13.8¢ | 1.0¢ | 4,007.89 | 4,007.89 | -$512 (-93.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?kai and speed beat minecraft challenge byptptpt 20260807141254095 | No | 72.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,955.5 | 6,955.5 | -$5,035 (-100.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 95.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 319.83 | 319.83 | +$13 (+4.4%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 96.2¢ | 99.3¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$77 (+3.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 64.4¢ | 83.4¢ | 7,265.62 | 7,265.62 | +$1,382 (+29.5%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 27.2¢ | 5,027.82 | 5,027.82 | -$1,146 (-45.6%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 81.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,161.25 | 2,161.25 | -$678 (-38.5%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 57.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 4,474.69 | 4,474.69 | -$1,924 (-75.4%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 86.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 8,099.98 | 8,099.98 | +$84 (+1.2%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | No | 93.5¢ | 96.5¢ | 1,346.18 | 1,346.18 | +$41 (+3.2%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 77.4¢ | 70.9¢ | 13,975.8 | 13,975.8 | -$905 (-8.4%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 84.9¢ | 39.7¢ | 9,678.61 | 9,678.61 | -$4,372 (-53.2%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 42.6¢ | 13.0¢ | 6,999.94 | 6,999.94 | -$2,076 (-69.5%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 63.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,116.07 | 2,116.07 | -$295 (-21.8%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 86.0¢ | 70.5¢ | 4,600 | 4,600 | -$712 (-18.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 32.7¢ | 0.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$1,635 (-100.0%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 89.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,699.53 | 5,699.53 | +$584 (+11.4%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 21.6¢ | 0.9¢ | 5,142.63 | 5,142.63 | -$1,064 (-95.8%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | Yes | 89.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,200 | 3,200 | -$2,854 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 99.5¢ | 112.3¢ | 22,674.94 | 22,674.94 | +$2,902 (+12.9%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?how long will trump and netanyahu shake hands for 20260724175229942 | Yes | 94.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,522.91 | 12,522.91 | +$673 (+5.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?how long will trump and netanyahu shake hands for 20260724175229942 | No | 99.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,015.32 | 2,015.32 | +$18 (+0.9%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 68.3¢ | 89.8¢ | 9,778.67 | 9,778.67 | +$2,097 (+31.4%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 96.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,391.73 | 3,391.73 | +$107 (+3.2%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 89.5¢ | 35.0¢ | 567 | 567 | -$309 (-60.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?romanian parliament dissolved by july 31 | No | 82.0¢ | 91.7¢ | 38.89 | 38.89 | +$4 (+11.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 120 | 120 | +$1 (+0.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 54.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 1,999.98 | 1,999.98 | +$260 (+24.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31 | No | 71.8¢ | 97.5¢ | 10,999.98 | 10,999.98 | +$2,825 (+35.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | No | 86.0¢ | 96.0¢ | 11,628.53 | 11,628.53 | +$1,166 (+11.7%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?iran leadership change by | No | 95.2¢ | 99.3¢ | 16,441.22 | 16,441.22 | +$681 (+4.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 84.0¢ | 94.1¢ | 6,535.97 | 6,535.97 | +$663 (+12.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?next google gemini pro model released onptptpt 20260626213101460 | Yes | 88.0¢ | 97.4¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | +$330 (+10.7%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 76.2¢ | 91.5¢ | 12,544.63 | 12,544.63 | +$1,924 (+20.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 96.9¢ | 98.3¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | +$21 (+1.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 88.6¢ | 84.7¢ | 6,167.28 | 6,167.28 | -$237 (-4.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | No | 85.7¢ | 100.3¢ | 11,486.12 | 11,486.12 | +$1,680 (+17.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | No | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 163.57 | 163.57 | +$2 (+1.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 78.1¢ | 94.7¢ | 2,663.63 | 2,663.63 | +$442 (+21.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719 | No | 97.2¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,936.67 | 1,936.67 | +$49 (+2.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by october 31 | No | 71.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 1,349.56 | 1,349.56 | +$324 (+33.8%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 77.3¢ | 45.6¢ | 2,741.8 | 2,741.8 | -$868 (-41.0%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 769.76 | 769.76 | +$54 (+7.5%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 2,800 | 2,800 | +$302 (+12.1%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 75.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,991.18 | 2,991.18 | +$728 (+32.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 94.5¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | -$1,113 (-47.1%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 90.6¢ | 99.3¢ | 5,499.99 | 5,499.99 | +$477 (+9.6%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?next claude opus released byptptpt 20260701204710232 | Yes | 88.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 4,300.8 | 4,300.8 | +$429 (+11.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | No | 14.9¢ | 0.2¢ | 11,777.3 | 11,777.3 | -$1,728 (-98.6%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | Yes | 93.3¢ | 84.7¢ | 8,741.13 | 8,741.13 | -$760 (-9.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | Yes | 27.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 24,652.47 | 24,652.47 | -$6,888 (-100.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 21?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 20.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,302 | 2,302 | -$460 (-100.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?next uk defence secretary in 2026 20260706182213394 | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$2,040 (-100.0%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99.8¢ | 4,499.35 | 4,499.35 | +$27 (+0.6%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | Yes | 43.2¢ | 0.8¢ | 14,519 | 14,519 | -$6,162 (-98.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?next uk home secretary in 2026 20260622184449063 | Yes | 89.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,545.08 | 5,545.08 | +$590 (+11.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 78.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 1,232.68 | 1,232.68 | +$99 (+10.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?next uk prime minister in 2026 122 | No | 40.1¢ | 40.8¢ | 381.54 | 381.54 | +$3 (+1.7%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 98.1¢ | 99.7¢ | 4,161.62 | 4,161.62 | +$67 (+1.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 87.8¢ | 90.6¢ | 17,411.94 | 17,411.94 | +$488 (+3.2%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 19.3¢ | 17.4¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$29 (-9.8%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044 | Yes | 96.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,542.79 | 2,542.79 | +$99 (+4.1%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancefifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 more markets | Spain | 73.8¢ | 91.4¢ | 666.59 | 666.59 | +$117 (+23.9%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 89.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | +$371 (+11.9%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,348 | 1,348 | -$175 (-100.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?next uk culture secretary in 2026 20260706190332026 | No | 87.6¢ | 96.0¢ | 400.87 | 400.87 | +$34 (+9.7%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?will ukraine recapture crimean territory by june 30 2026 | No | 86.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$300 (+7.0%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 95.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,455.39 | 5,455.39 | +$263 (+5.1%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 90.4¢ | 95.5¢ | 3,200 | 3,200 | +$163 (+5.6%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 53.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.24 | 0.24 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 80.8¢ | 15.6¢ | 13,225.59 | 13,225.59 | -$8,617 (-80.6%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 61.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$915 (-100.0%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?2026 mens wimbledon winner | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$1,000 (+33.3%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?2026 mens wimbledon winner | Yes | 7.3¢ | 31.8¢ | 13,127.66 | 13,127.66 | +$3,215 (+337.4%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 84.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 226.48 | 226.48 | +$36 (+19.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?2026 mens wimbledon winner | No | 81.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,467.64 | 5,467.64 | -$1,734 (-38.8%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 77.9¢ | 0.2¢ | 16,124.46 | 16,124.46 | -$12,525 (-99.8%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 95.6¢ | 69.1¢ | 20,455.92 | 20,455.92 | -$5,427 (-27.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 7.0¢ | 34.4¢ | 21,398 | 21,398 | +$5,878 (+393.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 91.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,895.46 | 5,895.46 | +$522 (+9.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?fifwc prt esp | Yes | 37.7¢ | 53.2¢ | 135.14 | 135.14 | +$21 (+41.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 89.6¢ | 94.1¢ | 16,262.43 | 16,262.43 | +$744 (+5.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?which countries will recognize israel by june 30 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 9,328.35 | 9,328.35 | +$182 (+2.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 94.0¢ | 99.5¢ | 10,248.52 | 10,248.52 | +$564 (+5.9%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?trump orders federal review for ai model releases by may 31 | No | 99.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,600 | 2,600 | +$21 (+0.8%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | No | 84.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 627.71 | 627.71 | +$95 (+17.9%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by june 30 | Yes | 55.2¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,999.01 | 4,999.01 | +$2,236 (+81.1%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?next james bond actor 635 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 500 | 500 | -$25 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30?ebola case in the us by june 30 | No | 94.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,957.04 | 3,957.04 | +$208 (+5.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,510.62 | 3,510.62 | +$245 (+7.5%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond?next james bond actor 635 | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,063.96 | 1,063.96 | +$13 (+1.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?trump announces us x iran ceasefire over byptptpt 20260607232555290 | No | 83.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,624.06 | 4,624.06 | +$770 (+20.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31 | No | 95.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 8.01 | 8.01 | +$0 (+4.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?next google gemini pro model released onptptpt | Yes | 79.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,025.97 | 4,025.97 | +$810 (+25.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | No | 93.3¢ | 99.1¢ | 2,646.76 | 2,646.76 | +$154 (+6.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 |