◆ Contact Dossier
@DonationsReceiver
0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418
5.5
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $1.6M
90-Day Window5.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.5¢ · 118 resolved
- Hit rate
- 49.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $52.6K / $1.6M
- % return
- +3.2%
- Observations
- 160
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+184%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
4W · 5L9 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes3.1¢ → 94.9¢+2.9K%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No65.0¢ → 95.9¢+48%
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes96.1¢ → 99.7¢+3.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes99.9¢ → 100.0¢+0.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.2¢ → 0.1¢-50%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · No3.5¢ → 0.0¢-100%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes3.1¢ → 0.0¢-100%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes3.1¢ → 0.0¢-100%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes3.1¢ → 0.0¢-100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 60,000 | 50.0¢ | 20.9¢ | $12,570 | -$17,430 (-58.1%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 60,000 | 50.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $47,430 | +$17,430 (+58.1%) |
| Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Will Pamela Walford win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | -$112 (-97.4%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5,555.01 | 96.6¢ | 96.1¢ | $5,338 | -$28 (-0.5%) |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,427.92 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $14 | -$3 (-16.7%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,011.75 | 82.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $4,335 | +$195 (+4.7%) |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | No | 3,999 | 95.8¢ | 99.0¢ | $3,957 | +$126 (+3.3%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2,000 | 73.3¢ | 78.6¢ | $1,573 | +$107 (+7.3%) |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1,113.46 | 91.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,052 | +$39 (+3.8%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 243.09 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | $18 | -$4 (-16.7%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 225.2 | 94.0¢ | 97.8¢ | $220 | +$8 (+4.0%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | No | 103.69 | 65.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $21 | -$46 (-68.5%) |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $9 | +$0 (+5.1%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $1 | +$0 (+21.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 499 | 499 | -$16 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 499 | 499 | -$16 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 499 | 499 | -$16 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | 499.99 | 0 | -$17 (-100.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 3.1¢ | 94.9¢ | 499 | 499 | +$458 (+2936.8%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 65.0¢ | 94.9¢ | 998.99 | 499.99 | +$308 (+47.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 999 | 999 | -$1 (-50.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?michigan governor republican primary winner | Yes | 96.1¢ | 99.7¢ | 2,910.67 | 2,910.67 | +$105 (+3.7%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,096.1 | 0 | +$25 (+0.1%) | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 4.1¢ | 4.6¢ | 5,555 | 5,555 | +$38 (+14.1%) | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 65.0¢ | 53.0¢ | 207.38 | 103.69 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | Yes | 84.6¢ | 90.2¢ | 1,672.68 | 1,672.68 | +$94 (+6.9%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 73.1¢ | 5.1¢ | 300 | 300 | -$204 (-93.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?what will kevin warsh say during july press conference 20260720204109027 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 9.1¢ | 48.65 | 33.62 | -$2 (-42.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 74.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,097.06 | 0 | +$283 (+34.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?hantavirus pandemic in 2026 | No | 96.6¢ | — | 5,555 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 94.0¢ | 96.5¢ | 999 | 773.8 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 37,984.37 | 0 | -$46 (-100.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?what price will bitcoin hit in july 2026 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 12,983.31 | 0 | -$98 (-100.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?who will announce presidential run before 2027 | No | 81.9¢ | 88.8¢ | 500 | 500 | +$35 (+8.4%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 93.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 0 | +$134 (+7.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 91.0¢ | — | 1,113.46 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | Yes | 0.3¢ | — | 5,427.92 | 0 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 80,000 | 0 | +$110 (+0.1%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 73.3¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | Yes | — | 9.0¢ | 0 | 5,311.91 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 exact score | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 871.78 | 871.78 | +$9 (+1.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 99.9¢ | 101.0¢ | 90,000 | 0 | +$1,027 (+1.1%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | Yes | 9.1¢ | 8.9¢ | 100 | 100 | -$0 (-2.2%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 70.0¢ | 69.5¢ | 3,660.61 | 3,660.61 | -$17 (-0.7%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 1.9¢ | 95.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$5,585 (+4840.2%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | Over | 94.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,999 | 4,999 | +$287 (+6.1%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | Over | 80.5¢ | 24.5¢ | 3,332.98 | 3,332.98 | -$1,866 (-69.6%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 more markets | Over | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$44 (+78.6%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?fifwc fra mar | Yes | 62.7¢ | 63.5¢ | 300 | 300 | +$2 (+1.2%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?fifwc che col | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 90,000 | 90,000 | +$60,000 (+200.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?fifwc che col | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 90,000 | 90,000 | -$30,000 (-100.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?fifwc che col | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 90,000 | 90,000 | -$29,910 (-33.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 33.6¢ | 99.3¢ | 999.98 | 999.98 | +$657 (+195.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?maine senate election winner | Yes | 78.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 999 | 999 | -$190 (-24.4%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?fifwc prt esp | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$53,333 (+200.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?fifwc prt esp | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | -$26,667 (-100.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?fifwc prt esp | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | -$26,587 (-33.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 96.3¢ | 97.1¢ | 9,999 | 9,999 | +$77 (+0.8%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?fifwc par fra | No | 73.0¢ | 64.0¢ | 299.99 | 299.99 | -$27 (-12.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?peru election 2nd round margin of victory 0pt1 brackets 20260609021541549 | No | 11.0¢ | 10.9¢ | 517.95 | 517.95 | -$0 (-0.6%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?which countries will recognize israel by june 30 | No | 95.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,704.48 | 1,704.48 | +$75 (+4.6%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?fifwc arg cvi | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | -$13,293 (-33.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?fifwc arg cvi | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | -$13,333 (-100.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?fifwc arg cvi | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$53,333 (+200.0%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?fifwc arg cvi | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | -$13,293 (-33.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?fifwc arg cvi | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.1¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | -$13,293 (-99.7%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?fifwc bel sen | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 77,777 | 77,777 | +$51,851 (+200.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 1.9¢ | 1,111 | 1,111 | -$191 (-90.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?fifwc bel sen | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 77,777 | 77,777 | -$25,926 (-100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?fifwc bel sen | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 77,777 | 77,777 | -$25,848 (-33.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 7,202.27 | 7,202.27 | +$3,551 (+7042.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 84.8¢ | 75.5¢ | 14,154.69 | 14,154.69 | -$1,321 (-11.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,555 | 5,555 | +$33 (+0.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?putin out as president of russia by june 30 | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,026.88 | 1,026.88 | +$26 (+2.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 99.7¢ | 87.7¢ | 104,336.09 | 104,336.09 | -$12,528 (-12.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 39.9¢ | 34,997 | 34,997 | +$13,821 (+9873.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$91 (-100.0%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 54.7¢ | 60.3¢ | 2,996.99 | 2,996.99 | +$170 (+10.4%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?fifwc ger par | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,222 | 22,222 | +$14,815 (+200.0%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?fifwc ger par | Yes | 33.3¢ | -0.1¢ | 22,522 | 22,522 | -$7,524 (-100.2%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?fifwc ger par | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 22,222 | 22,222 | -$7,385 (-33.3%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?fifwc bra jpn | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 998.98 | 998.98 | -$100 (-100.0%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancefifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 more markets | Brazil | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 999 | 999 | +$300 (+42.9%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?aleksandar vui out as serbian president by | Yes | 96.0¢ | 98.1¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | +$71 (+2.2%) | Jun 29, 2026 | |
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,999.89 | 29,999.89 | +$30 (+0.1%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup group g winner | No | 88.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$22 (+12.5%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 999 | 999 | +$15 (+1.5%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044 | Yes | 81.0¢ | 94.2¢ | 140.51 | 140.51 | +$19 (+16.3%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 82.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 999 | 999 | +$110 (+13.4%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?fifwc bel irn | No | 88.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 299.99 | 299.99 | +$18 (+6.8%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.2¢ | 4,444.5 | 4,444.5 | -$82 (-90.2%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5)fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 more markets | Germany | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1.17 | 1.17 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 35,850.6 | 35,850.6 | +$252 (+0.7%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | No | 88.1¢ | 89.5¢ | 500 | 500 | +$7 (+1.6%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,222 | 22,222 | +$111 (+0.5%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?us and iran sign an agreement byptptpt 20260611221049850 | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 59,999.98 | 59,999.98 | +$120 (+0.2%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?us and iran sign an agreement byptptpt 20260611221049850 | No | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 46,482.94 | 46,482.94 | +$30 (+64.5%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 11,641.9 | 11,641.9 | +$58 (+0.5%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331 | No | 30.1¢ | 10.0¢ | 99 | 99 | -$20 (-66.8%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?alabama republican senate primary winner | No | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$24 (+8.7%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | No | 94.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 3,500 | 3,500 | +$167 (+5.0%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | 998.99 | 998.99 | -$6 (-100.0%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | Yes | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | -$7 (-21.4%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,416 | 4,416 | +$176 (+4.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 29.0¢ | 34.3¢ | 4,863.31 | 4,863.31 | +$259 (+18.4%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?will trump restart project freedom by | Yes | 84.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,660.03 | 5,660.03 | +$867 (+18.1%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 80.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 999 | 999 | -$20 (-2.5%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 99.6¢ | 101.0¢ | 3,999.62 | 3,999.62 | +$56 (+1.4%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 2.8¢ | 12,221.49 | 12,221.49 | +$94 (+38.3%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 93.6¢ | 97.2¢ | 9,776.96 | 9,776.96 | +$351 (+3.8%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 6.0¢ | 71.3¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$3,266 (+1088.6%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 94.0¢ | 103.1¢ | 8,776.01 | 8,776.01 | +$796 (+9.6%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?maine democratic senate primary winner | No | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | +$10 (+27.3%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?maine democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 6,335.09 | 6,335.09 | +$54 (+0.9%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?la mayoral election first round winner | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 63.38 | 63.38 | +$0 (+0.6%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 26,578.41 | 26,578.41 | +$106 (+0.4%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | No | 85.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 5,219.26 | 5,219.26 | +$52 (+1.2%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 17.5¢ | 22.0¢ | 19,924.26 | 19,924.26 | +$899 (+25.8%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 84.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,464.31 | 5,464.31 | -$1,858 (-40.5%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?maine democratic senate primary winner | No | 96.4¢ | 97.8¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | +$47 (+1.5%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 99.7¢ | 100.2¢ | 83,768.23 | 83,768.23 | +$440 (+0.5%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 30.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 14,000 | 14,000 | -$145 (-3.5%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?la mayoral election who will advance to the 2nd round | No | 57.9¢ | 35.8¢ | 1,319.08 | 1,319.08 | -$292 (-38.2%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?will reza pahlavi lead iran in 2026 | No | 93.5¢ | 93.7¢ | 3,657.76 | 3,657.76 | +$7 (+0.2%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?will reza pahlavi enter iran by june 30 | No | 98.0¢ | 99.4¢ | 20,553.82 | 20,553.82 | +$278 (+1.4%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?will the iranian regime fall by may 31 | No | 99.6¢ | 100.2¢ | 106,174.06 | 106,174.06 | +$652 (+0.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 80.6¢ | 82.3¢ | 1,260.37 | 1,260.37 | +$21 (+2.1%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?ucl psg ars | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$10,000 (+200.0%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?ucl psg ars | Yes | 33.3¢ | 0.1¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | -$4,985 (-99.7%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?ucl psg ars | No | 99.9¢ | 66.7¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | -$4,985 (-33.3%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 14.0¢ | 15.3¢ | 28,773.95 | 28,773.95 | +$387 (+9.6%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 29.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 458.76 | 458.76 | +$18 (+13.8%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?iran ceasefire continues through | Yes | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | 6,159.41 | 6,159.41 | -$0 (-0.0%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?internet access restored in iran by | Yes | 85.4¢ | 97.9¢ | 4,658.26 | 4,658.26 | +$582 (+14.6%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?internet access restored in iran by | Yes | 72.6¢ | 97.3¢ | 1,298.99 | 1,298.99 | +$320 (+34.0%) | May 28, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0.8¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$32 (-66.7%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 356.19 | 356.19 | +$11 (+3.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | No | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | -$17 (-27.8%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 98.5¢ | 99.7¢ | 3,390.42 | 3,390.42 | +$41 (+1.2%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 98.3¢ | 99.4¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | +$37 (+1.1%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 98.2¢ | 99.3¢ | 9,999 | 9,999 | +$110 (+1.1%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | No | 92.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,332.99 | 3,332.99 | -$1,413 (-45.9%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 3,332.95 | 3,332.95 | -$367 (-18.0%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 0.5¢ | 4.4¢ | 14,712.25 | 14,712.25 | +$568 (+771.5%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | No | 81.0¢ | 45.9¢ | 1,481.7 | 1,481.7 | -$520 (-43.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | Yes | 2.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 50,788.52 | 50,788.52 | +$49,336 (+3399.9%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | No | 99.9¢ | 98.8¢ | 106,227.31 | 106,227.31 | -$1,150 (-1.1%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,222 | 2,222 | -$267 (-100.0%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?epstein suicide note released by | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | 11,111 | 11,111 | -$11 (-100.0%) | May 12, 2026 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?ukraine signs peace deal with russia before 2027 | No | 59.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 84.07 | 84.07 | +$3 (+6.8%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999 | 49,999 | +$50 (+0.1%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | No | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | 223,220.98 | 223,220.98 | -$651 (-74.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | Yes | 24.8¢ | 41.5¢ | 999 | 999 | +$167 (+67.3%) | May 8, 2026 | |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | 2,691.9 | 2,691.9 | +$3 (+50.0%) | May 3, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,333 | 3,333 | +$70 (+2.1%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?what will the us agree to | No | 97.7¢ | 100.4¢ | 4,041.11 | 4,041.11 | +$110 (+2.8%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?next prime minister of hungary | No | 99.3¢ | 99.6¢ | 30,554 | 30,554 | +$95 (+0.3%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?us x iran ceasefire extended by | Yes | 7.0¢ | 12.3¢ | 8,944.98 | 8,944.98 | +$478 (+76.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by | Yes | 99.7¢ | 102.6¢ | 39,659.29 | 39,659.29 | +$1,139 (+2.9%) | May 1, 2026 |