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0x82d9...988b
0x82d9fcba8c2e1ec78beb15e7af4ed3dcbb16988b
4.9
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $9.9K
90-Day Window4.9 SIG
- Edge / share
- +9.2¢ · 13 resolved
- Hit rate
- 36.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$395.9 / $9.9K
- % return
- -3.8%
- Observations
- 33
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | Yes | 86 | 67.0¢ | 58.5¢ | $50 | -$7 (-12.7%) |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 50.01 | 85.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $45 | +$3 (+6.5%) |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | No | 85.01 | 28.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $23 | -$1 (-5.4%) |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 318.34 | 2.6¢ | 7.0¢ | $22 | +$14 (+165.6%) |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 47 | 81.1¢ | 46.6¢ | $22 | -$16 (-42.5%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 60 | 22.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $11 | -$2 (-17.8%) |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 219.94 | 4.5¢ | 2.6¢ | $6 | -$4 (-42.8%) |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 242.45 | 4.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $5 | -$5 (-53.9%) |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | 36.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $2 | -$6 (-76.4%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?how low will lake powell drop 1786980780361 | Yes | 67.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 86.3 | 0.3 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?what will the peak roni be for the 2026 27 el nino 1786975502957 | No | 27.2¢ | 23.8¢ | 246 | 160.99 | — | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?next french presidential election | No | 59.5¢ | 56.5¢ | 109 | 109 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | Yes | 19.4¢ | 20.8¢ | 164.57 | 164.57 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?will apple release a foldable iphone before 2027 | No | 85.0¢ | 87.6¢ | 348.2 | 348.2 | +$9 (+3.1%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?how high will inflation get in 2026 | Yes | 13.9¢ | 16.0¢ | 1,128.1 | 1,128.1 | +$16 (+10.5%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices rtx 5090 end of october | Yes | 81.1¢ | — | 47 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | No | 41.7¢ | 47.0¢ | 40.54 | 40.54 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?best chinese ai company end of october | Yes | 68.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 66 | 132 | — | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | Yes | — | 60.0¢ | 0 | 162 | — | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | Yes | 2.6¢ | — | 318.34 | 0 | — | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | Yes | 4.5¢ | — | 219.94 | 0 | — | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?which millennium prize problem will ai solve next | Yes | 4.1¢ | — | 242.45 | 0 | — | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?how low will 10 year treasury yield get in september | Yes | — | 2.5¢ | 0 | 483.82 | — | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789837200 | Up | 19.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789836900 | Down | 44.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 28.47 | 5 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789836900 | Up | 58.9¢ | 56.0¢ | 35 | 4.99 | +$12 (+55.9%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789836600 | Up | 39.3¢ | 35.0¢ | 45 | 30.72 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789836600 | Down | 63.9¢ | 56.0¢ | 35 | 5.36 | +$10 (+43.6%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834800 | Down | 48.8¢ | 50.1¢ | 58.93 | 28.93 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834800 | Up | 48.4¢ | 48.0¢ | 40 | 10 | +$15 (+77.5%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834500 | Down | 42.2¢ | 50.6¢ | 30 | 25 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834500 | Up | 50.1¢ | 55.0¢ | 35 | 15 | +$11 (+57.7%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834200 | Down | 42.1¢ | 47.8¢ | 34.99 | 12.64 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789834200 | Up | 49.4¢ | 49.0¢ | 22.35 | 5 | +$9 (+77.7%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789833900 | Down | 53.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 45.82 | 5.81 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789833900 | Up | 39.9¢ | 43.4¢ | 70 | 34.99 | +$22 (+90.6%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789814100 | Down | 64.2¢ | 74.5¢ | 45 | 20 | +$11 (+35.5%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789814100 | Up | 32.4¢ | 31.7¢ | 40 | 15 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789813800 | Up | 33.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 20 | 9.99 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789813800 | Down | 65.7¢ | 81.6¢ | 15 | 0 | +$6 (+27.6%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789811700 | Up | 55.8¢ | 88.4¢ | 35 | 35 | +$11 (+58.4%) | Sep 19, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789809000 | Down | 69.1¢ | 91.6¢ | 30 | 30 | +$7 (+32.6%) | Sep 19, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETbtc updown 5m 1789756200 | Down | 50.7¢ | 77.2¢ | 50.78 | 50.78 | +$13 (+52.1%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789740300 | Down | 10.6¢ | 26.9¢ | 24.99 | 24.99 | +$4 (+153.1%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1789727400 | Up | 31.5¢ | 43.7¢ | 25 | 25 | +$3 (+38.8%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?saudi oil pipeline east west restarts byptptpt | No | 34.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 49.99 | 49.99 | +$3 (+17.6%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 47.3¢ | 47.9¢ | 8,191.08 | 8,191.08 | +$47 (+1.2%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?next governing mayor of berlin 1786117615442 | No | 43.0¢ | 44.6¢ | 173.2 | 173.2 | +$3 (+3.8%) | Sep 13, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?what price will wti hit in september 2026 | Yes | 67.0¢ | 67.6¢ | 994.8 | 994.8 | +$6 (+0.9%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?how low will 10 year treasury yield get in september | No | 65.0¢ | 84.4¢ | 20 | 20 | +$4 (+29.8%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 69.2¢ | 72.0¢ | 115.76 | 115.76 | +$3 (+4.1%) | Sep 8, 2026 | |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?next uk chancellor of the exchequer in 2026 20260621005319178 | Yes | 53.0¢ | 56.2¢ | 452.77 | 452.77 | +$15 (+6.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 17.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5.95 | 5.95 | +$5 (+481.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 69.2¢ | 69.6¢ | 1,596.13 | 1,596.13 | +$6 (+0.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2cs2 ast10 gl1 | Astralis | 70.0¢ | 76.8¢ | 40 | 40 | +$3 (+9.6%) | Jun 6, 2026 | |
| Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffscodmw riyf crr | Riyadh Falcons | 50.4¢ | 61.1¢ | 110.05 | 110.05 | +$12 (+21.3%) | Jun 5, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1cs2 tl1 fly | FlyQuest | 63.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$2 (+17.5%) | Jun 5, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1cs2 tyloo shk | Sharks | 69.0¢ | 72.3¢ | 85 | 85 | +$3 (+4.8%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagecs2 sparta ursa | SPARTA | 73.5¢ | 80.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$3 (+8.8%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffscs2 tri9 pha | Phantom | 70.0¢ | 76.6¢ | 45 | 45 | +$3 (+9.4%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1780320900 | Down | 57.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 17.86 | 17.86 | +$8 (+73.2%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 98.9¢ | 99.0¢ | 3,189.91 | 3,189.91 | +$3 (+0.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?israel x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 97.1¢ | 97.6¢ | 1,163.34 | 1,163.34 | +$5 (+0.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETbtc updown 5m 1780248900 | Up | 47.7¢ | 77.8¢ | 21.74 | 21.74 | +$7 (+63.1%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1780248300 | Up | 76.4¢ | 88.3¢ | 33.27 | 33.27 | +$4 (+15.5%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 72.0¢ | 73.2¢ | 415.3 | 415.3 | +$5 (+1.7%) | May 31, 2026 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?what price will spy hit in may 2026 | No | 64.9¢ | 74.2¢ | 118.66 | 118.66 | +$11 (+14.4%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779912900 | Up | 46.3¢ | 68.5¢ | 30 | 30 | +$7 (+47.9%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779912300 | Up | 45.1¢ | 65.8¢ | 32.04 | 32.04 | +$7 (+46.1%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779910500 | Up | 89.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 28.09 | 28.09 | +$3 (+11.5%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779910200 | Up | 54.6¢ | 84.1¢ | 69.98 | 69.98 | +$21 (+54.2%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779907800 | Down | 89.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 112.36 | 112.36 | +$12 (+11.5%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1779906000 | Up | 42.3¢ | 73.6¢ | 79.98 | 79.98 | +$25 (+73.9%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1779892200 | Up | 51.7¢ | 72.4¢ | 29.99 | 29.99 | +$6 (+40.0%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?solstice fdv above one day after launch | No | 79.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 367.42 | 367.42 | +$75 (+25.4%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?what price will spy hit in may 2026 | No | 11.7¢ | 34.1¢ | 88.45 | 88.45 | +$20 (+191.3%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royeratp dellien royer | Valentin Royer | 68.2¢ | 72.3¢ | 307.44 | 307.44 | +$13 (+6.1%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?solstice fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 76.7¢ | 79.9¢ | 159.88 | 159.88 | +$5 (+4.2%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?ufc strickland and chimaev to touch gloves | No | 72.7¢ | 73.8¢ | 208.33 | 208.33 | +$2 (+1.4%) | May 10, 2026 | |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacatp tsitsip machac | Tomas Machac | 64.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 34.06 | 34.06 | +$4 (+20.3%) | May 7, 2026 |