◆ Contact Dossier
0x8199...bb6d
0x8199d2d2813a60bc15580cc97f2e0e54c73abb6d
7.3
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $43.1K
90-Day Window7.3 SIG
- Edge / share
- +13.8¢ · 55 resolved
- Hit rate
- 79.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $653.1 / $43.1K
- % return
- +0.8%
- Observations
- 118
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+29%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
2W · 1L3 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? · Yes4.5¢ → 7.0¢+56%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Yes62.2¢ → 75.5¢+21%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026? · Yes22.0¢ → 11.0¢-50%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 2,624.22 | 92.7¢ | 94.0¢ | $2,467 | +$33 (+1.4%) |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,493.57 | 93.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,423 | +$89 (+3.8%) |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 2,331.19 | 86.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,180 | +$175 (+8.7%) |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 88.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $537 | +$6 (+1.1%) |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 301.26 | 88.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $290 | +$24 (+8.8%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300.01 | 86.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $245 | -$14 (-5.6%) |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$5 (-95.0%) |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 17.0¢ | 11.0¢ | $11 | -$6 (-35.3%) |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 61.84 | 4.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 (-90.4%) |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | No | 59.35 | 9.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $4 | -$2 (-30.5%) |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | 39.0¢ | 29.5¢ | $15 | -$5 (-24.4%) |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 46 | 80.0¢ | 74.5¢ | $34 | -$3 (-6.9%) |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.59 | 88.3¢ | 97.0¢ | $38 | +$3 (+9.9%) |
| Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.59 | 6.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $5 | +$4 (+242.5%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 2.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 (-76.1%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 1.3¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | +$0 (+38.5%) |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 43.0¢ | 37.5¢ | $8 | -$1 (-12.8%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$0 (-36.2%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | +$0 (+90.0%) |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.99 | 20.5¢ | 13.0¢ | $2 | -$1 (-36.6%) |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 3.9¢ | 6.6¢ | $1 | +$0 (+67.9%) |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.99 | 4.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | -$0 (-31.4%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.04 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 (-81.7%) |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.32 | 13.2¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$0 (-84.5%) |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.12 | 11.0¢ | 2.5¢ | $0 | -$0 (-76.8%) |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.06 | 60.0¢ | 62.0¢ | $1 | +$0 (+3.3%) |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 7.4¢ | 6.7¢ | $0 | -$0 (-10.1%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by october 31 20261001003357876 | Yes | 4.5¢ | 7.0¢ | 40 | 39.99 | +$1 (+55.7%) | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?will russia announce a new forced mobilization byptptpt | No | 93.8¢ | 94.5¢ | 3,200 | 1,699.99 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of october | Yes | 22.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$2 (-50.0%) | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?predictfun fdv above one day after launch | Yes | — | 75.0¢ | 0 | 4 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?will russia announce a new forced mobilization byptptpt | No | 82.4¢ | 85.2¢ | 1,299.99 | 1,002.39 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?will ukraine re enter terny by | Yes | 20.5¢ | 20.0¢ | 39.99 | 22 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?anthropic ipo by | Yes | 77.8¢ | 85.4¢ | 250 | 249.99 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?will iran target an arab country by 20260909 | Yes | 61.7¢ | 74.1¢ | 142 | 136.93 | +$19 (+21.4%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?how many democratic house incumbents will not win their primary | No | 91.4¢ | 88.8¢ | 61 | 61 | -$2 (-3.1%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia byptptpt | Yes | 16.0¢ | 21.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+31.3%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?will ukraine re enter terny by | Yes | 43.0¢ | — | 21 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?saudi troops enter sanaa by | No | 91.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$6 (+3.3%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?will cambria launch a token by | Yes | 90.4¢ | 88.8¢ | 100 | 100.41 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Nothing Ever Happens: Octobernothing ever happens october 26 | Something | 9.4¢ | — | 59.35 | 0 | — | Oct 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?crude oil all time high by | No | 97.4¢ | 98.6¢ | 3,452.07 | 3,452.07 | +$43 (+1.3%) | Oct 2, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of september 1785423806491 | Yes | 12.9¢ | 7.8¢ | 19.99 | 19.99 | -$1 (-39.6%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?swiss national bank decision in december 2026 | Yes | 75.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 100 | 99.99 | -$2 (-2.7%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?who will trump meet with in september 20260826 | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$76 (-100.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 98.1¢ | 99.6¢ | 2,967.23 | 2,967.23 | +$46 (+1.6%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?russia nuclear test by | No | 96.3¢ | 98.4¢ | 237.42 | 237.42 | +$5 (+2.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?us x cuba economic deal by | Yes | 17.0¢ | 22.6¢ | 99.99 | 250.26 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of october | Yes | 2.7¢ | 9.3¢ | 10 | 10 | +$1 (+244.4%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 | No | 92.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 200 | 200 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia invade another country in 2026?will russia invade another country in 2026 | No | 91.9¢ | — | 624.21 | 0 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?swiss national bank decision in december 2026 | No | 27.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 30 | 30 | -$1 (-11.1%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 65.8¢ | 60.2¢ | 5,681.81 | 1,015.85 | -$382 (-10.2%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?will russia announce a new forced mobilization byptptpt | No | 95.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 1,599.98 | 0 | +$187 (+5.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?russia military action against eu country byptptpt | No | 81.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 400 | 400 | +$4 (+1.2%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?turkey rejoins f 35 program byptptpt 20260708215709215 | Yes | 14.5¢ | 14.0¢ | 257.23 | 88.62 | +$6 (+15.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 end of 2026 20260709165336437 | Yes | 1.3¢ | — | 21 | 0 | — | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?russia military action against eu country byptptpt | No | 97.0¢ | 98.3¢ | 352 | 352 | +$5 (+1.3%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?1 paid app in the us apple app store on september 25 20260918t180000000z | No | 56.8¢ | 49.2¢ | 70.29 | 70.29 | -$5 (-13.3%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of 2026 20260709164334623 | Yes | 3.9¢ | — | 14.3 | 0 | — | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?eu country blames russia for new sabotage attack by | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6.73 | 0 | +$2 (+58.7%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?will anthropic or openai ipo first | Anthropic | 94.9¢ | 94.9¢ | 574.12 | 300 | +$2 (+0.3%) | Sep 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 41.3¢ | 400 | 400 | +$1 (+0.6%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 74.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 600 | 1,200 | +$60 (+5.1%) | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will JD Vance say "Election" during his rally in North Carolina?what will jd vance say during his rally in north carolina | Yes | 91.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$1 (+1.1%) | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?russia election united russia er vote share | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ | 649.99 | 324.99 | — | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 95.8¢ | 96.2¢ | 1,800 | 1,800 | +$8 (+0.4%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?russia election united russia er vote share | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 3.35 | 0 | -$0 (-100.0%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?russia election united russia er vote share | Yes | 51.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 18.57 | 18.57 | +$5 (+49.0%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of 2026 20260709164949059 | Yes | 10.8¢ | 10.9¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+0.9%) | Sep 20, 2026 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 16.1¢ | 16.5¢ | 153.83 | 153.83 | +$1 (+2.7%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of september 1785423806891 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 2.1¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+425.0%) | Sep 14, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?largest ipo by market cap in 2026 287 | Yes | 62.5¢ | 42.5¢ | 400 | 400 | -$80 (-32.0%) | Sep 13, 2026 | |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?which companys ai will first hit 1550 on chatbot arena in 2026 | Yes | 25.2¢ | 22.7¢ | 114.49 | 114.49 | -$3 (-10.0%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of october | Yes | 10.0¢ | 24.1¢ | 7.39 | 7.39 | +$1 (+141.2%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?will laptop flip trump by | No | 13.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$13 (-100.0%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of september 1785423806491 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 40 | 40 | +$34 (+614.3%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of october | Yes | 24.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (0.0%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on September 5?which cities face tornado risk on september 5 2026 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$1 (-100.0%) | Sep 6, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of september 1785423806291 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 21.3¢ | 9.15 | 9.15 | +$1 (+93.6%) | Sep 5, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of august 1785423806191 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 19.95 | 19.95 | +$0 (+4.3%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of august 1785423806191 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+12.8%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of september 1785423806891 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+4.2%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 95.2¢ | 98.1¢ | 1,363.94 | 1,363.94 | +$40 (+3.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 99.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 2,799.99 | 2,799.99 | +$18 (+0.6%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 90.0¢ | 94.5¢ | 399.99 | 399.99 | +$18 (+5.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 87.0¢ | 89.9¢ | 800 | 800 | +$23 (+3.3%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240 | No | 89.5¢ | 95.0¢ | 399.99 | 399.99 | +$22 (+6.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?what price will xauusd hit in august 2026 | Yes | 38.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 49.99 | 49.99 | -$19 (-100.0%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 61.1¢ | 39.7¢ | 1,250.54 | 1,250.54 | -$268 (-35.0%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 14.7¢ | -12.8¢ | 400 | 400 | -$110 (-187.5%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | No | 84.0¢ | 85.0¢ | 600 | 600 | +$6 (+1.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?which company has best ai model end of august 20260717015626546 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$10 (+2.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of september 1785423806891 | Yes | 4.5¢ | 28.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$5 (+522.2%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of october | Yes | 10.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+50.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?xauusd up or down on august 27 2026 | Up | 92.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 30 | 30 | +$2 (+7.8%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?will zelenskyy talk to putin by november 30 821 | Yes | 26.7¢ | 12.2¢ | 200 | 200 | -$29 (-54.2%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 end of october | Yes | 16.0¢ | 17.0¢ | 17.06 | 17.06 | +$0 (+6.2%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 95.9¢ | 97.1¢ | 700 | 700 | +$9 (+1.3%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 51.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$1 (-2.0%) | Aug 24, 2026 | |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?uss abraham lincoln departs centcom byptptpt | No | 46.5¢ | 2.2¢ | 110 | 110 | -$49 (-95.3%) | Aug 24, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices h100 end of october | Yes | 20.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$1 (+20.0%) | Aug 24, 2026 | |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?ink fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 32.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-9.4%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 end of october | Yes | 40.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+5.0%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?ink fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 37.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$2 (+10.8%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 end of august 1785423806591 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+4.2%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?ink fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 31.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$1 (-6.5%) | Aug 21, 2026 | |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?uss abraham lincoln departs centcom byptptpt | Yes | 50.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$41 (+82.0%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?number of north korea missile tests in august 2026 1785517679415 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 31.6¢ | 101 | 101 | +$2 (+5.3%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?number of north korea missile tests in august 2026 1785517679415 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 49.99 | 49.99 | +$1 (+5.9%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?aligned layer fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 61.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$17 (+55.7%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 end of october | Yes | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+2.9%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?ukraine election called in 2025 | Yes | 16.0¢ | 18.3¢ | 351 | 351 | +$8 (+14.3%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 89.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$8 (+4.5%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 89.0¢ | 96.7¢ | 300 | 300 | +$23 (+8.7%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?aligned layer fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 43.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$4 (+18.6%) | Aug 17, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 96.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 363.38 | 363.38 | +$11 (+3.1%) | Aug 15, 2026 | |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?moscow air traffic suspended byptptpt 20260720160042592 | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$77 (+334.8%) | Aug 15, 2026 | |
| Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?aligned layer fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 47.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$6 (+25.5%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?will nansen launch a token by | No | 71.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 12.97 | 12.97 | +$2 (+23.9%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?aligned layer fdv above one day after launch | Yes | 70.2¢ | 76.4¢ | 30 | 30 | +$2 (+8.8%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 96.2¢ | 98.9¢ | 299.98 | 299.98 | +$8 (+2.8%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 97.8¢ | 98.8¢ | 200 | 200 | +$2 (+1.0%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?spx hit dec 2026 | No | 84.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 30.01 | 30.01 | +$1 (+4.8%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?gpu rental prices a100 end of september 1785423806891 | No | 20.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$0 (+10.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$2 (+1.6%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 82.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$24 (+14.6%) | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 4.1¢ | 3.7¢ | 1,995.48 | 1,995.48 | -$7 (-8.6%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?russia nuclear test by | No | 87.7¢ | 93.7¢ | 200 | 200 | +$12 (+6.9%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?bank of russia decision in october 20260724021538830 | Yes | 28.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 34.29 | 34.29 | +$5 (+57.1%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 89.1¢ | 90.6¢ | 6,822.6 | 6,822.6 | +$103 (+1.7%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?will russia target kyiv byptptpt 20260731142815986 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8.95 | 8.95 | +$1 (+12.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?us x cuba economic deal by | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 336.16 | 336.16 | +$7 (+2.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527 | No | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 199.92 | 199.92 | +$22 (+12.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 88.7¢ | 91.3¢ | 700 | 700 | +$18 (+2.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 96.5¢ | 99.4¢ | 1,840.8 | 1,840.8 | +$55 (+3.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 95.5¢ | 95.8¢ | 1,057.88 | 1,057.88 | +$3 (+0.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 75.0¢ | 88.6¢ | 92.48 | 92.48 | +$13 (+18.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 30.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$6 (+10.0%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | No | 67.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | +$1 (+1.5%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 23.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$4 (+17.4%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$1 (+0.7%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | No | 96.4¢ | 97.1¢ | 100 | 100 | +$1 (+0.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | Yes | 26.5¢ | 31.7¢ | 200 | 200 | +$10 (+19.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 99.5¢ | 99.8¢ | 73.95 | 73.95 | +$0 (+0.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister byptptpt 20260716185015029 | No | 91.3¢ | 95.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$11 (+4.1%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?2 paid app in the us apple app store on july 24 20260717204047909 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 25.25 | 25.25 | +$2 (+7.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 89.73 | 89.73 | +$7 (+9.4%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?crude oil all time high by | Yes | 7.2¢ | 8.6¢ | 100 | 100 | +$1 (+19.4%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?bank of russia decision in july | Yes | 1.7¢ | 2.4¢ | 60.49 | 60.49 | +$0 (+41.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 97.7¢ | 99.8¢ | 1,226.17 | 1,226.17 | +$27 (+2.2%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?will zelenskyy talk to putin by november 30 821 | No | 94.6¢ | 96.2¢ | 420 | 420 | +$7 (+1.7%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$3 (+2.6%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 58.82 | 58.82 | +$1 (+1.7%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sale price 20260710183448001 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 80 | 80 | +$8 (+11.1%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?gpu rental prices b200 hit in 2026 20260709171530825 | Yes | 92.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 61.02 | 61.02 | +$4 (+6.6%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 201 | 201 | +$129 (+177.8%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 201 | 201 | +$105 (+108.3%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?toy story 5 4th weekend box office 20260708231025962 | No | 26.0¢ | 19.9¢ | 50 | 50 | -$3 (-23.5%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 97.9¢ | 99.4¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$15 (+1.5%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 62.0¢ | 63.1¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | +$17 (+1.8%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 28.7¢ | 169.3 | 169.3 | -$9 (-15.6%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30 | Yes | 10.2¢ | 11.5¢ | 230 | 230 | +$3 (+12.7%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?us x cuba economic deal by | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$4 (+2.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | No | 82.0¢ | 79.5¢ | 831.48 | 831.48 | -$21 (-3.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?ukraine election called in 2025 | Yes | 3.0¢ | 4.6¢ | 250.42 | 250.42 | +$4 (+53.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by | No | 85.3¢ | 88.0¢ | 900.98 | 900.98 | +$24 (+3.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?will us withdraw from nato before 2027 | No | 95.1¢ | 99.3¢ | 135.69 | 135.69 | +$6 (+4.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?russia nuclear test by | No | 97.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 154.71 | 154.71 | +$4 (+2.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | No | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,669.26 | 1,669.26 | +$125 (+8.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30 | Yes | 1.9¢ | 2.5¢ | 3,301.98 | 3,301.98 | +$20 (+32.3%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?will china invade taiwan by june 30 2026 | No | 96.0¢ | 96.8¢ | 5,499.99 | 5,499.99 | +$40 (+0.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?natoeu troops fighting in ukraine in 2025 | No | 97.1¢ | 99.2¢ | 1,527.93 | 1,527.93 | +$32 (+2.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?will russia invade a nato country in 2025 | No | 95.0¢ | 96.6¢ | 2,024.5 | 2,024.5 | +$34 (+1.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?largest company end of june 712 | Yes | 95.7¢ | 98.7¢ | 500 | 500 | +$15 (+3.1%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of june | No | 89.7¢ | 92.9¢ | 101 | 101 | +$3 (+3.6%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | Yes | 9.3¢ | 9.8¢ | 107.22 | 107.22 | +$1 (+5.7%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?gpu rental prices h200 end of june | No | 85.0¢ | 85.9¢ | 8.14 | 8.14 | +$0 (+1.1%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704 | Down | 40.3¢ | 8.8¢ | 474.18 | 474.18 | -$149 (-78.2%) | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?which companys ai will first hit 1550 on chatbot arena in 2026 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 4.6¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | +$4 (+360.0%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?toy story 5 opening weekend box office | Yes | 16.0¢ | 15.8¢ | 448.36 | 448.36 | -$1 (-1.2%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | Yes | 91.2¢ | 87.4¢ | 1,799.68 | 1,799.68 | -$68 (-4.1%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | No | 28.8¢ | 30.9¢ | 200 | 200 | +$4 (+7.3%) | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | No | 92.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 415.1 | 415.1 | +$4 (+1.1%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | Yes | 46.5¢ | 47.8¢ | 600 | 600 | +$8 (+2.9%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?bank of russia decision in june | Yes | 95.1¢ | 96.5¢ | 199.99 | 199.99 | +$3 (+1.4%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?us iran deal physically signed byptptpt 20260616152449830 | Yes | 64.0¢ | 95.8¢ | 251 | 251 | +$80 (+49.7%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 78.6¢ | 79.4¢ | 200 | 200 | +$2 (+1.0%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?highest domestically grossing may film on june 30 | Yes | 86.8¢ | 95.1¢ | 100 | 100 | +$8 (+9.6%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?toy story 5 opening weekend box office | Yes | 39.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 50 | 50 | +$1 (+5.1%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?armenia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 413.41 | 413.41 | +$7 (+1.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 |