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@Ronaldo2100
0x71ca04d689bc38c5e4dcda8a4d743f279c5a3501
4.6
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $652.9K
90-Day Window4.6 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.5¢ · 33 resolved
- Hit rate
- 60.0%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$32.8K / $652.9K
- % return
- -5.8%
- Observations
- 35
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-880%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 1
-565%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 11,110.98 | 50.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $9,278 | +$3,722 (+67.0%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5,555 | 88.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $5,349 | +$461 (+9.4%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,555 | 67.0¢ | 82.5¢ | $4,583 | +$861 (+23.1%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 89.1¢ | 73.0¢ | 274,940.61 | 195,478.76 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?fifwc esp arg | Yes | 29.5¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 80.4¢ | — | 1,999.99 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win on 2026-07-11?fifwc nor eng | No | 58.2¢ | 63.5¢ | 3,721.98 | 750 | — | Jul 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?fifwc fra mar | No | 86.0¢ | — | 11,111 | 0 | — | Jul 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 22.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 8,937.93 | 8,937.92 | +$6,955 (+353.8%) | Jul 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?fifwc arg egy | No | 54.0¢ | — | 5,555 | 0 | — | Jul 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 95.9¢ | — | 11,110.99 | 0 | — | Jul 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835 | No | 95.1¢ | — | 565.04 | 0 | — | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,221.98 | 22,221.98 | +$4,000 (+22.0%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 53,000 | 53,000 | +$3,710 (+7.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?hungary parliamentary election popular vote winner | Yes | 85.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 28,309.55 | 28,309.55 | +$4,062 (+16.8%) | Apr 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | No | 89.5¢ | 98.5¢ | 33,319.64 | 33,319.64 | +$3,005 (+10.1%) | Mar 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?fed decision in march 885 | Yes | 94.9¢ | 98.5¢ | 224,424.13 | 224,424.13 | +$8,014 (+3.8%) | Mar 19, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?what price will bitcoin hit in february 2026 | No | 73.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 11,110.66 | 11,110.66 | +$3,000 (+37.0%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?costa rica presidential election | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 138,750.09 | 138,750.09 | +$12,664 (+10.0%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?fed decision in january | Yes | 92.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 251,474.65 | 251,474.65 | +$19,912 (+8.6%) | Jan 29, 2026 | |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?which artists will release new albums in 2025 | No | 89.8¢ | 99.6¢ | 33,333 | 33,333 | +$3,259 (+10.9%) | Jan 2, 2026 | |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?boxing jake paul vs anthony joshua third option included | Yes | 87.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 41,109 | 41,109 | +$5,067 (+14.1%) | Dec 24, 2025 | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)lol hle1 t1 | T1 | 58.5¢ | 95.0¢ | 12,998 | 12,998 | +$4,750 (+62.5%) | Dec 14, 2025 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?fed decision in december | Yes | 65.9¢ | 90.9¢ | 542,578.29 | 542,578.29 | +$135,946 (+38.0%) | Dec 11, 2025 | |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?f1 drivers champion | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 17,243.79 | 17,243.79 | +$4,139 (+31.6%) | Dec 7, 2025 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?will the government shutdown end by 763 | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 18,270.65 | 18,270.65 | +$3,648 (+24.9%) | Nov 13, 2025 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?fed decision in october | Yes | 93.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 429,082.29 | 429,082.29 | +$28,093 (+7.0%) | Oct 29, 2025 | |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?ireland presidential election | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 43,118.7 | 43,118.7 | +$4,216 (+10.8%) | Oct 26, 2025 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?fed decision in september | No | 87.1¢ | 99.4¢ | 81,110 | 81,110 | +$9,956 (+14.1%) | Sep 22, 2025 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?fed decision in september | Yes | 90.8¢ | 96.2¢ | 183,451.68 | 183,451.68 | +$9,849 (+5.9%) | Sep 17, 2025 | |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford boxing canelo lvarez vs terence crawford | Crawford | 52.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,850.4 | 12,850.4 | +$6,171 (+92.4%) | Sep 14, 2025 | |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?2025 french open winner | Yes | 47.2¢ | 90.9¢ | 12,837 | 12,837 | +$5,607 (+92.5%) | Jun 9, 2025 | |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?2025 french open winner | No | 50.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$4,900 (+98.0%) | Jun 8, 2025 | |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?lee jae myung of vote in south korea election 994 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 51,124.06 | 51,124.06 | +$4,883 (+10.6%) | Jun 3, 2025 | |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?next president of south korea | Yes | 89.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 93,223.35 | 93,223.35 | +$9,859 (+11.8%) | Jun 3, 2025 | |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?poland presidential election | Yes | 67.3¢ | 84.6¢ | 51,432.56 | 51,432.56 | +$8,871 (+25.6%) | Jun 2, 2025 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?champions league winner 2025 | Yes | 58.7¢ | 91.4¢ | 9,554.99 | 9,554.99 | +$3,130 (+55.8%) | Jun 1, 2025 | |
| Oilers vs. Starsnhl edm dal | Oilers | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$3,240 (+117.4%) | May 30, 2025 | |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?next president of south korea | Yes | 0.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 20,209.33 | 20,209.33 | +$10,065 (+25139.8%) | May 29, 2025 | |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?will dan or simion win the diaspora vote | Simion | 84.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 75,550.91 | 75,550.91 | +$11,698 (+18.3%) | May 19, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | Yes | 66.3¢ | 91.8¢ | 119,300.38 | 119,300.38 | +$30,447 (+38.5%) | May 18, 2025 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?fed decision in may 2025 | Yes | 96.0¢ | 98.1¢ | 153,632.34 | 153,632.34 | +$3,159 (+2.1%) | May 7, 2025 | |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?next prime minister of australia | Yes | 89.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 74,024.98 | 74,024.98 | +$7,489 (+11.3%) | May 3, 2025 | |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?next prime minster of canada | Yes | 79.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 46,440.99 | 46,440.99 | +$9,550 (+26.0%) | May 1, 2025 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?fed decision in march | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 103,554.96 | 103,554.96 | +$5,938 (+6.1%) | Mar 19, 2025 | |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?who will biden pardon | Yes | 34.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 5,274.29 | 5,274.29 | +$3,462 (+191.6%) | Jan 20, 2025 | |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci?who will biden pardon | Yes | 31.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,670.66 | 4,670.66 | +$3,189 (+215.9%) | Jan 20, 2025 | |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?will trudeau resign tomorrow | Yes | 81.6¢ | 99.4¢ | 17,184.17 | 17,184.17 | +$3,055 (+21.8%) | Jan 6, 2025 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?fed interest rates december 2024 | Yes | 85.4¢ | 95.6¢ | 162,393.1 | 162,393.1 | +$16,591 (+12.0%) | Dec 18, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?arizona presidential election winner | Yes | 77.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,093.33 | 16,093.33 | +$3,671 (+29.6%) | Nov 10, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?nevada presidential election winner | Yes | 65.8¢ | 94.5¢ | 25,483.68 | 25,483.68 | +$7,323 (+43.7%) | Nov 10, 2024 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?fed interest rates november 2024 | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 83,856.64 | 83,856.64 | +$3,441 (+4.3%) | Nov 8, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?pennsylvania presidential election winner | Yes | 67.7¢ | 74.2¢ | 66,469.78 | 66,469.78 | +$4,345 (+9.7%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | Yes | 60.1¢ | 63.2¢ | 375,074.04 | 375,074.04 | +$11,624 (+5.2%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?georgia presidential election winner | Yes | 68.7¢ | 99.4¢ | 74,970.08 | 74,970.08 | +$23,018 (+44.7%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?wisconsin presidential election winner | Yes | 54.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,533.73 | 25,533.73 | +$11,648 (+83.9%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?iowa presidential election winner | Yes | 81.0¢ | 99.2¢ | 18,332.97 | 18,332.97 | +$3,338 (+22.5%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?who will win the vp debate according to polls | Vance | 66.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,206.2 | 15,206.2 | +$5,091 (+50.3%) | Oct 9, 2024 | |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?fed rate cut by | Yes | 91.0¢ | 98.5¢ | 68,496.76 | 68,496.76 | +$5,137 (+8.2%) | Oct 1, 2024 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?fed interest rates september 2024 | Yes | 43.4¢ | 54.8¢ | 106,827.32 | 106,827.32 | +$12,199 (+26.3%) | Sep 18, 2024 | |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?paris olympics which country wins most gold medals | Yes | 90.3¢ | 99.5¢ | 70,442.69 | 70,442.69 | +$6,417 (+10.1%) | Aug 11, 2024 |