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@0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c
0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c
7.0
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $495.2K
90-Day Window7.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +20.7¢ · 23 resolved
- Hit rate
- 67.7%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $451.8K / $495.2K
- % return
- +84.5%
- Observations
- 31
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+17%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 31
1W · 1L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 3)? · Yes55.0¢ → 100.0¢+82%
Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 3)? · No42.0¢ → -0.0¢-100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 227,175.58 | 3.5¢ | 3.0¢ | $6,929 | -$1,040 (-13.0%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 108,742.59 | 3.0¢ | 10.4¢ | $11,364 | +$8,116 (+249.9%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 81,696.87 | 4.5¢ | 14.9¢ | $12,214 | +$8,529 (+231.5%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 60,519.61 | 65.5¢ | 84.4¢ | $51,079 | +$11,436 (+28.8%) |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 60,388.11 | 49.9¢ | 48.5¢ | $29,288 | -$854 (-2.8%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 59,147.5 | 80.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $54,711 | +$7,261 (+15.3%) |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49,756.89 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $522 | -$159 (-23.4%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,604.67 | 15.7¢ | 17.9¢ | $1,724 | +$216 (+14.3%) |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 857.33 | 4.4¢ | 5.9¢ | $51 | +$13 (+35.2%) |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | 20.0¢ | 11.5¢ | $81 | -$60 (-42.5%) |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Yes | 195.74 | 29.6¢ | 12.3¢ | $24 | -$34 (-58.5%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 18.01 | 76.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $17 | +$3 (+21.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the house in 2026 | Yes | — | 85.0¢ | 0 | 1,829.3 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | Yes | 49.9¢ | — | 60,388.11 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 3)?who will be evicted from big brother week 3 20260724012202340 | No | 42.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 5 | 0 | -$2 (-100.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jason De Puy be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 3)?who will be evicted from big brother week 3 20260724012202340 | Yes | 55.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5.25 | 0 | +$2 (+81.8%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 3)?who will be evicted from big brother week 3 20260724012202340 | Yes | 15.0¢ | — | 135 | 0 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)wnba ind sea | Indiana Fever | 50.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 81,870.99 | 0 | +$39,658 (+93.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormwnba ind sea | Indiana Fever | 79.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,547.57 | 0 | +$1,507 (+25.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 57.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,999.97 | 5,999.97 | +$2,572 (+75.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| ▸ | San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5mlb sf kc | Under | 48.0¢ | — | 6,000 | 0 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?nba playoffs eastern conference champion | No | 62.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 234.79 | 234.79 | +$89 (+60.5%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| ▸ | New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingswnba nyl dal | New York Liberty | 63.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 176,367.35 | 0 | +$62,147 (+54.4%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)wnba nyl dal | New York Liberty | 54.2¢ | — | 27,689.38 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?next prime minister of ethiopia | Yes | 97.1¢ | 96.3¢ | 85.2 | 85.2 | -$1 (-0.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverwnba nyl ind | Indiana Fever | 46.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,712.15 | 0 | +$2,966 (+108.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 28.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 162,833.98 | 0 | +$278,801 (+302.2%) | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunwnba por conn | Connecticut Sun | 51.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,444.05 | 0 | +$7,840 (+91.1%) | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 25.6¢ | — | 14,439.29 | 0 | — | Jul 13, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 67.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 76,000 | 76,000 | +$24,576 (+47.8%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aceswnba phx las | Las Vegas Aces | 76.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,430.62 | 3,430.62 | +$792 (+30.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aceswnba phx las | Phoenix Mercury | 27.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 9,266.35 | 9,266.35 | -$2,584 (-100.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)wnba por atl | PortlandFire | 54.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,628.62 | 8,628.62 | +$3,897 (+82.4%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)wnba por atl | PortlandFire | 49.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,196.44 | 2,196.44 | +$1,115 (+103.1%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)wnba dal tor | Dallas Wings | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,486.52 | 8,486.52 | +$3,652 (+75.6%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempownba dal tor | Dallas Wings | 75.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,622.25 | 4,622.25 | +$1,113 (+31.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)wnba dal tor | Dallas Wings | 52.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,056.16 | 1,056.16 | +$504 (+91.4%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirewnba las por | Las Vegas Aces | 79.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 87,186.08 | 87,186.08 | +$18,202 (+26.4%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempownba gsv tor | Golden State Valkyries | 74.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,999.98 | 49,999.98 | +$12,954 (+35.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)wnba dal nyl | Dallas Wings | 50.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 969.89 | 969.89 | +$478 (+97.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)wnba dal nyl | Dallas Wings | 55.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,003.33 | 4,003.33 | +$1,774 (+79.6%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertywnba dal nyl | Dallas Wings | 37.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,657.05 | 1,657.05 | +$1,032 (+165.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mysticswnba gsv wsh | Golden State Valkyries | 71.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 41,775.16 | 41,775.16 | +$11,857 (+39.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 528.63 | 528.63 | +$243 (+85.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach quarterfinals | No | 54.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,562.43 | 2,562.43 | +$1,179 (+85.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 more markets | England | 51.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 98,000 | 98,000 | +$47,285 (+93.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?world cup england stage of elimination | Yes | 50.7¢ | 47.9¢ | 15,370 | 15,370 | -$437 (-5.6%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8nathans famous hot dog eating contest total hdbs ou 704pt8 20260626152700921 | Under | 42.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 158 | 158 | +$91 (+135.2%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertywnba las nyl | New York Liberty | 58.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 55,018.58 | 55,018.58 | +$23,057 (+72.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)wnba las nyl | New York Liberty | 57.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 63,305.65 | 63,305.65 | +$27,090 (+74.8%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)wnba las nyl | New York Liberty | 57.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 77,360.51 | 77,360.51 | +$32,934 (+74.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)wnba las nyl | New York Liberty | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 32,816.6 | 32,816.6 | +$16,408 (+100.0%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5wnba las nyl | Over | 55.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,288.73 | 7,288.73 | +$3,226 (+79.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosmlb min hou | Minnesota Twins | 44.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 34,000 | 34,000 | +$18,789 (+123.5%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?fifwc rsa can | Yes | 56.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,500 | 10,500 | +$4,542 (+76.3%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?nba mvp 694 | Yes | 54.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,027.07 | 2,027.07 | +$922 (+83.5%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5)nba sas por | Trail Blazers | 51.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 25,825.62 | 25,825.62 | -$13,353 (-100.0%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5)nba sas por | Spurs | 50.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 49.25 | 49.25 | +$24 (+97.0%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazersnba sas por | Spurs | 56.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,335.29 | 5,335.29 | +$2,308 (+76.2%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?nba mvp 694 | No | 88.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 59,748.26 | 59,748.26 | +$6,892 (+13.0%) | Apr 24, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,693.21 | 13,693.21 | +$4,519 (+49.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Hornets vs. Netsnba cha bkn | Hornets | 92.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 51,942.35 | 51,942.35 | +$4,040 (+8.4%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Mavericks vs. Bucksnba dal mil | Bucks | 55.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 41,285.95 | 41,285.95 | +$18,211 (+78.9%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakersnba cle lal | Lakers | 54.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 62,469.42 | 62,469.42 | +$28,154 (+82.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5nba dal mil | Over | 48.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 55.9 | 55.9 | +$29 (+108.3%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericksnba min dal | Timberwolves | 70.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 49,685 | 49,685 | +$14,685 (+42.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5nba dal mil | Over | 47.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 40,142.76 | 40,142.76 | +$21,040 (+110.2%) | Apr 3, 2026 | |
| Mavericks vs. Bucksnba dal mil | Mavericks | 50.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 75,182.55 | 75,182.55 | -$37,960 (-100.0%) | Apr 3, 2026 |