◆ Contact Dossier
@Dropper
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
5.8
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $3M
90-Day Window5.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.6¢ · 74 resolved
- Hit rate
- 52.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $370.7K / $3M
- % return
- +12.1%
- Observations
- 142
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+30%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
+30%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 81,627.36 | 76.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $68,975 | +$6,807 (+10.9%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 44,443.93 | 91.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $42,711 | +$2,122 (+5.2%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 30,000 | 50.0¢ | 78.3¢ | $23,475 | +$8,475 (+56.5%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25,231.15 | 63.8¢ | 78.6¢ | $19,844 | +$3,736 (+23.2%) |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 9,483.89 | 90.0¢ | 96.7¢ | $9,171 | +$635 (+7.4%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30,000 | 50.0¢ | 21.8¢ | $6,525 | -$8,475 (-56.5%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9,289.91 | 43.8¢ | 64.5¢ | $5,992 | +$1,923 (+47.3%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3,803.37 | 82.5¢ | 93.2¢ | $3,545 | +$407 (+13.0%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 15,724.91 | 24.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $2,437 | -$1,337 (-35.4%) |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2,280.37 | 78.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,195 | +$416 (+23.4%) |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | Yes | 2,534 | 50.0¢ | 81.0¢ | $2,053 | +$786 (+62.0%) |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 2,534.38 | 44.0¢ | 19.0¢ | $482 | -$634 (-56.8%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 28.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $19 | -$43 (-69.6%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 188.17 | 10.0¢ | 3.8¢ | $7 | -$12 (-62.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?minas gerais governor election winner | No | 90.0¢ | — | 9,483.89 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 78.1¢ | — | 57,786.62 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | Yes | 90.0¢ | — | 3,127.21 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?how many ships transit the strait of hormuz week of july 20 20260717154058215 | No | 0.9¢ | — | 15,727.28 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?how many ships transit the strait of hormuz week of july 20 20260717154058215 | Yes | 1.0¢ | — | 900.54 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?how many ships transit the strait of hormuz week of july 20 20260717154058215 | No | 89.5¢ | — | 9,132.36 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?how many ships transit the strait of hormuz week of july 20 20260717154058215 | Yes | 84.2¢ | — | 6,672.05 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | No | 5.0¢ | — | 3,769.36 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 50.0¢ | — | 2,534 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 44.0¢ | — | 2,534.38 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 32.6¢ | — | 26,043.46 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 36.0¢ | — | 14,916.98 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 70.0¢ | — | 1.16 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | No | 73.6¢ | — | 48,022.04 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | Yes | 70.1¢ | — | 14,955.02 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 24.0¢ | — | 15,724.91 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 70.0¢ | — | 21,205.41 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,000 | 25,000 | +$20,000 (+400.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 23.6¢ | 24.7¢ | 20,000.03 | 20,000.03 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsmlb cle cin | Cleveland Guardians | 42.0¢ | — | 10.29 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | — | 0.2¢ | 0 | 25,000 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | — | 0.6¢ | 0 | 25,000 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | — | 0.1¢ | 0 | 25,000 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 73.5¢ | — | 25,000 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 63.8¢ | — | 25,231.15 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Philippines military clash before 2027?china x philippines military clash before 2027 | No | — | 44.0¢ | 0 | 824.91 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 9.4¢ | 45.6¢ | 104,674.78 | 104,674.78 | +$37,933 (+385.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 63.5¢ | 72.9¢ | 184,673.31 | 184,673.31 | +$17,329 (+14.8%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 5.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$22,500 (+900.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 33.5¢ | 87.0¢ | 277,962.35 | 277,962.35 | +$148,746 (+159.8%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?arch arch lowest temperature in seoul on may 17 2026 | No | 72.4¢ | 80.7¢ | 230,000 | 230,000 | +$19,241 (+11.6%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 26.8¢ | 49.6¢ | 88,606.68 | 88,606.68 | +$20,148 (+84.7%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 83.4¢ | 92.4¢ | 681,175.69 | 681,175.69 | +$61,394 (+10.8%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 48.3¢ | 78.2¢ | 203,450.02 | 203,450.02 | +$60,795 (+61.9%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 66.3¢ | 95.4¢ | 210,167.44 | 210,167.44 | +$61,117 (+43.8%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | No | 38.5¢ | 89.6¢ | 62,144.73 | 62,144.73 | +$31,740 (+132.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?arch arch lowest temperature in seoul on may 17 2026 | Yes | 9.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 230,000 | 230,000 | +$209,091 (+1000.0%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?clavicular pregnancy in 2026 | No | 4.2¢ | 35.0¢ | 290,750.33 | 290,750.33 | +$89,481 (+730.9%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by | Yes | 29.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 43,843.24 | 43,843.24 | +$30,870 (+238.0%) | May 4, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 98.9¢ | 103.9¢ | 361,917.73 | 361,917.73 | +$17,958 (+5.0%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?netanyahu out before 2027 | No | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 297,682.39 | 297,682.39 | +$15,470 (+5.5%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?will iran close the strait of hormuz by 2027 | No | 20.2¢ | 34.1¢ | 130,961.29 | 130,961.29 | +$18,192 (+68.6%) | Mar 14, 2026 | |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?who will trump nominate as fed chair | Yes | 2.2¢ | 9.4¢ | 253,257.71 | 253,257.71 | +$18,327 (+329.3%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | Yes | 78.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 199,880.91 | 199,880.91 | +$43,212 (+27.6%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 73.1¢ | 92.4¢ | 145,796.43 | 145,796.43 | +$28,130 (+26.4%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?which crypto company will zachxbt expose for insider trading | Yes | 28.0¢ | 50.8¢ | 114,591.84 | 114,591.84 | +$26,104 (+81.4%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| US government shutdown Saturday?will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | No | 22.0¢ | 35.3¢ | 120,949.82 | 120,949.82 | +$16,132 (+60.7%) | Feb 4, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 20.9¢ | 214,718.31 | 214,718.31 | +$36,371 (+423.5%) | Feb 2, 2026 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?fed decision in january | Yes | 31.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 62,221.98 | 62,221.98 | +$42,872 (+221.6%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025?weed rescheduled in 2025 | Yes | 5.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 77,948.38 | 77,948.38 | +$34,862 (+848.9%) | Dec 18, 2025 | |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?trump declassifies ufo files in 2025 | No | 50.0¢ | 79.1¢ | 57,104.06 | 57,104.06 | +$16,627 (+58.2%) | Dec 10, 2025 | |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?1 searched person on google this year | Yes | 39.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 69,513.28 | 69,513.28 | +$41,961 (+152.3%) | Dec 8, 2025 | |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase december 2 8 | Yes | 44.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 58,812.28 | 58,812.28 | +$32,888 (+126.9%) | Dec 8, 2025 | |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?top 5 most searched people on google 2025 | No | 62.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 42,165.49 | 42,165.49 | +$15,976 (+61.0%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?monad public sale total commitments | Yes | 48.6¢ | 66.9¢ | 164,036.29 | 164,036.29 | +$30,070 (+37.7%) | Nov 23, 2025 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12?what day will the government shutdown end | No | 11.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,221.99 | 22,221.99 | +$19,778 (+809.1%) | Nov 17, 2025 | |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?over 1pt8b committed to the megaeth public sale | Yes | 62.6¢ | 94.6¢ | 60,374.94 | 60,374.94 | +$19,324 (+51.1%) | Oct 30, 2025 | |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?openai browser by october 31 | Yes | 84.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 92,702.61 | 92,702.61 | +$14,634 (+18.7%) | Oct 23, 2025 | |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?hyperliquid daily fees above 8m in 2025 | No | 3.0¢ | 45.8¢ | 45,285.22 | 45,285.22 | +$19,409 (+1440.8%) | Oct 13, 2025 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?of views of next mrbeast video on day 1 916 | Yes | 65.2¢ | 93.5¢ | 52,596.58 | 52,596.58 | +$14,914 (+43.5%) | Oct 6, 2025 | |
| Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?will another mrbeast video get 55m day 1 views by september 30 | No | 55.0¢ | 92.6¢ | 43,856.34 | 43,856.34 | +$16,498 (+68.4%) | Oct 1, 2025 | |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?lord miles completes 40 day water fast in the dessert | Yes | 40.1¢ | 55.8¢ | 176,062.07 | 176,062.07 | +$27,685 (+39.3%) | Sep 29, 2025 | |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?who will win the usdh ticker 159 | Yes | 57.4¢ | 91.8¢ | 49,312.91 | 49,312.91 | +$17,007 (+60.1%) | Sep 14, 2025 | |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?next prime minister of norway | Yes | 5.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 18,198.07 | 18,198.07 | +$17,241 (+1801.9%) | Sep 9, 2025 | |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?will mrbeast raise 40m for clean water by august 31 | No | 2.6¢ | 28.5¢ | 167,506.95 | 167,506.95 | +$43,333 (+991.4%) | Aug 31, 2025 | |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?will zelenskyy wear a suit before july | No | 97.1¢ | 100.6¢ | 656,290.15 | 656,290.15 | +$23,228 (+3.6%) | Jul 9, 2025 | |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?fordow nuclear facility destroyed before july | Yes | 95.1¢ | 102.6¢ | 238,177.76 | 238,177.76 | +$17,873 (+7.9%) | Jul 1, 2025 | |
| US military action against Iran before July?us military action against iran before july | Yes | 52.8¢ | 66.8¢ | 117,953.34 | 117,953.34 | +$16,572 (+26.6%) | Jun 23, 2025 | |
| Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?will south korea presidential election winner get over 50 of votes | Yes | 0.1¢ | 37.3¢ | 98,000 | 98,000 | +$36,410 (+37153.0%) | Jun 8, 2025 | |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?next president of south korea | Yes | 44.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 90,230.24 | 90,230.24 | +$49,678 (+122.5%) | Jun 3, 2025 | |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?next president of south korea | Yes | 2.8¢ | 50.0¢ | 50,553 | 50,553 | +$23,851 (+1673.4%) | Jun 3, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?romanian presidential election margin of victory | Yes | 72.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 107,438.31 | 107,438.31 | +$29,972 (+38.7%) | May 21, 2025 | |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?people power party ppp presidential candidate | Yes | 2.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,246,100 | 2,246,100 | +$2,186,868 (+3699.9%) | May 4, 2025 | |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?next prime minster of canada | Yes | 0.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 30,000 | 30,000 | +$14,820 (+8233.3%) | Apr 29, 2025 | |
| Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?how much gold is there in fort knox | Yes | 23.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 121,061.46 | 121,061.46 | +$92,581 (+325.1%) | Mar 9, 2025 |