◆ Contact Dossier
@InsiderrrZ
0x69e7ad68b5f11e97927e4bd938baf7dfb60bd3b0
7.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $364.4K
90-Day Window7.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +14.4¢ · 40 resolved
- Hit rate
- 47.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $16.1K / $364.4K
- % return
- +4.5%
- Observations
- 46
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+117%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
4W · 0L4 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No81.2¢ → 100.0¢+23%
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes81.7¢ → 100.0¢+22%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No50.0¢ → 50.0¢0.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes50.0¢ → 50.0¢0.0%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | 30,370.86 | 97.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $29,870 | +$389 (+1.3%) |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 10,271.9 | 61.5¢ | 65.5¢ | $6,723 | +$407 (+6.4%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8,000 | 50.0¢ | 9.4¢ | $752 | -$3,248 (-81.2%) |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 8,000 | 72.9¢ | 60.5¢ | $4,836 | -$996 (-17.1%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8,000 | 50.0¢ | 90.6¢ | $7,248 | +$3,248 (+81.2%) |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | Yes | 6,626.21 | 30.1¢ | 31.0¢ | $2,054 | +$56 (+2.8%) |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5,884.27 | 54.0¢ | 66.5¢ | $3,913 | +$736 (+23.1%) |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | Yes | 2,817.08 | 57.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $521 | -$1,103 (-67.9%) |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | Yes | 2,280 | 2.2¢ | 2.4¢ | $55 | +$5 (+11.1%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1,445.43 | 60.3¢ | 63.5¢ | $918 | +$46 (+5.3%) |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | Yes | 1,004.31 | 3.4¢ | 4.2¢ | $42 | +$8 (+22.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 55.42 | 81.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $50 | +$5 (+11.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 7.1¢ | 11.0¢ | 5,000 | 248.86 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 15.4¢ | — | 35,000 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 75,000 | 75,000 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 75,000 | 75,000 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 30.2¢ | 37.0¢ | 6,731.21 | 105 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 2.2¢ | — | 2,280 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 3.4¢ | — | 1,004.31 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 72.9¢ | — | 8,000 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 62.3¢ | — | 4,999.99 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?republican nominee for florida governor | No | 97.0¢ | — | 19,593.17 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?who will be the democratic nominee in the maine senate race on july 27 20260706182929391 | Yes | 51.6¢ | 94.9¢ | 22,416.85 | 22,144.75 | +$9,607 (+83.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?james fishback vote share in 2026 florida republican governor primary 20260701214154078 | Yes | 57.6¢ | — | 2,817.08 | 0 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?michigan governor republican primary winner | Yes | 81.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 917.34 | 0 | +$168 (+22.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?michigan governor republican primary winner | No | 81.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,458.67 | 0 | +$650 (+23.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?south carolina senate election winner | No | 81.0¢ | — | 55.42 | 0 | — | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?june inflation us annual 20260610151727862 | Yes | 1.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,753.44 | 0 | +$6,151 (+6200.4%) | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?june inflation us annual 20260610151727862 | Yes | 26.5¢ | — | 2,108.55 | 0 | — | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach semifinals | Yes | 32.0¢ | 91.8¢ | 6,500 | 6,500 | +$3,886 (+186.8%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 62.0¢ | — | 235.59 | 0 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach semifinals | No | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 391.58 | 391.58 | +$43 (+12.4%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach semifinals | No | 61.7¢ | 34.0¢ | 1,495.06 | 1,495.06 | -$415 (-44.9%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 49.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,292.42 | 5,292.42 | +$53 (+2.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 69.7¢ | 75.4¢ | 154,705.17 | 154,705.17 | +$8,842 (+8.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | No | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$600 (+150.0%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | Yes | 14.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,772.71 | 1,772.71 | +$1,510 (+575.8%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup nation to reach round of 16 | No | 15.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,660.35 | 3,660.35 | +$3,111 (+566.7%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup group k winner | No | 38.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$3,720 (+163.2%) | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 59.5¢ | 32.8¢ | 70,351.32 | 70,351.32 | -$18,832 (-45.0%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 72.2¢ | 62.8¢ | 9,465.23 | 9,465.23 | -$893 (-13.1%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 27.8¢ | 78.2¢ | 14,127.15 | 14,127.15 | +$7,120 (+181.3%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 77.2¢ | 85.5¢ | 65,488.94 | 65,488.94 | +$5,495 (+10.9%) | Jun 7, 2026 | |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?nba 2025 26 coach of the year | Yes | 79.9¢ | 100.4¢ | 8,462.47 | 8,462.47 | +$1,731 (+25.6%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?ky 04 republican primary winner | No | 38.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,711.78 | 2,711.78 | +$1,681 (+163.2%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?ky 04 republican primary winner | Yes | 38.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 84.51 | 84.51 | +$52 (+163.2%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 2nd place | No | 41.7¢ | 86.3¢ | 5,977.06 | 5,977.06 | +$2,670 (+107.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 4th place | Yes | 39.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 169.06 | 169.06 | +$102 (+151.4%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?which candidates advance to 2026 peru presidential runoff | Yes | 33.0¢ | 95.6¢ | 3,779.55 | 3,779.55 | +$2,364 (+189.4%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?which candidates advance to 2026 peru presidential runoff | No | 45.8¢ | 92.9¢ | 10,781.28 | 10,781.28 | +$5,068 (+102.5%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 37.1¢ | 88.5¢ | 10,401.01 | 10,401.01 | +$5,342 (+138.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 3rd place | No | 19.1¢ | 99.1¢ | 73.5 | 73.5 | +$59 (+419.5%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 4th place | No | 75.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 169.15 | 169.15 | +$42 (+33.2%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?billionaire one time wealth tax passes in california election 2026 | No | 65.0¢ | 62.4¢ | 4,331 | 4,331 | -$114 (-4.1%) | Apr 20, 2026 | |
| Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?which teams will make the nba playoffs 138 | No | 43.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 48.58 | 48.58 | +$27 (+130.0%) | Apr 15, 2026 | |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?texas senate election matchup 877 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 59.2¢ | 976.51 | 976.51 | -$18 (-3.0%) | Apr 14, 2026 | |
| Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?hungary election tisza wins at least seats | Yes | 81.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 5,060 | 5,060 | +$946 (+23.1%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?next prime minister of hungary | No | 77.9¢ | 99.3¢ | 47,685.2 | 47,685.2 | +$10,207 (+27.5%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?will the iranian regime fall by april 30 | No | 93.2¢ | 96.4¢ | 24,500 | 24,500 | +$796 (+3.5%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 81.0¢ | 87.1¢ | 14,819.32 | 14,819.32 | +$905 (+7.5%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner | No | 45.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 170 | 170 | +$94 (+122.2%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?how high will inflation get in 2026 | Yes | 71.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 559.19 | 559.19 | +$158 (+39.5%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner | Yes | 39.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 28,292.05 | 28,292.05 | +$16,862 (+151.2%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?march inflation us annual | Yes | 65.8¢ | 98.9¢ | 3,820.45 | 3,820.45 | +$1,263 (+50.2%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?which teams will make the nba playoffs 138 | No | 52.1¢ | 75.5¢ | 604.75 | 604.75 | +$142 (+44.9%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Spurs vs. Warriorsnba sas gsw | Spurs | 88.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$600 (+13.6%) | Apr 2, 2026 | |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5)nba sas gsw | Spurs | 60.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$1,000 (+66.7%) | Apr 2, 2026 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?us forces enter iran by | No | 36.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$200 (+22.2%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 28.3¢ | 20.3¢ | 48,597.09 | 48,597.09 | -$3,899 (-28.3%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?us x iran ceasefire by | No | 86.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,024.74 | 16,024.74 | +$2,109 (+15.2%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | No | 85.6¢ | 50.3¢ | 31,166.8 | 31,166.8 | -$10,997 (-41.2%) | Apr 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?nba 2025 26 southeast division winner | No | 88.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 678.1 | 678.1 | -$262 (-43.6%) | Mar 30, 2026 | |
| Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?which teams will make the nba playoffs 138 | No | 57.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 194.51 | 194.51 | +$82 (+73.0%) | Mar 28, 2026 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?us forces enter iran by | No | 83.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 7,500 | 7,500 | +$600 (+9.6%) | Mar 28, 2026 |