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@InsiderrrZ
0x69e7ad68b5f11e97927e4bd938baf7dfb60bd3b0
4.8
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $155.7K
90-Day Window4.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +6.4¢ · 17 resolved
- Hit rate
- 45.5%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $6.8K / $155.7K
- % return
- +7.8%
- Observations
- 22
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+102%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 14
+102%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 20,000 | 71.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $12,900 | -$1,300 (-9.2%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 14,000 | 50.0¢ | 89.5¢ | $12,537 | +$5,537 (+79.1%) |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10,335.1 | 86.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $8,733 | -$232 (-2.6%) |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 11,596.98 | 69.7¢ | 71.0¢ | $8,234 | +$156 (+1.9%) |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9,161.03 | 61.5¢ | 41.1¢ | $3,765 | -$1,868 (-33.2%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19,000 | 50.0¢ | 10.4¢ | $1,986 | -$7,515 (-79.1%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1,445.43 | 60.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $600 | -$272 (-31.2%) |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 55.42 | 81.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $47 | +$2 (+4.3%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?south carolina senate election winner | Yes | 86.7¢ | — | 10,335.1 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?billionaire one time wealth tax passes in california election 2026 | No | 69.7¢ | — | 11,596.98 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 71.0¢ | — | 20,000 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | No | 62.3¢ | 53.6¢ | 4,999.99 | 1,110.87 | — | Sep 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 81.0¢ | — | 12,000 | 0 | — | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 79.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | — | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 62.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 13,968.27 | 13,968.12 | — | Sep 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 34.9¢ | — | 11,488.43 | 0 | — | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?james fishback vote share in 2026 florida republican governor primary 20260701214154078 | Yes | 54.0¢ | — | 3,300.08 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | — | 90.4¢ | 0 | 5,000 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 3.8¢ | — | 2,415.61 | 0 | — | Aug 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 7.1¢ | 11.0¢ | 5,000 | 248.86 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 15.4¢ | — | 35,000 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 30.2¢ | 37.0¢ | 6,731.21 | 105 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?july inflation us annual 20260714150613267 | Yes | 2.2¢ | — | 2,280 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 72.9¢ | — | 8,000 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?republican nominee for florida governor | No | 97.3¢ | — | 14,593.17 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?who will be the democratic nominee in the maine senate race on july 27 20260706182929391 | Yes | 52.6¢ | 97.0¢ | 22,416.85 | 20,109.76 | +$9,377 (+79.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?michigan governor republican primary winner | Yes | 81.7¢ | — | 917.34 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?michigan governor republican primary winner | No | 81.2¢ | — | 3,458.67 | 0 | — | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?south carolina senate election winner | No | 81.0¢ | — | 23.63 | 0 | — | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?june inflation us annual 20260610151727862 | Yes | 1.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,249.99 | 6,249.99 | +$6,148 (+6034.7%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 70.4¢ | 75.5¢ | 154,705.17 | 154,705.17 | +$7,932 (+7.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 77.1¢ | 85.5¢ | 65,488.94 | 65,488.94 | +$5,493 (+10.9%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 28.4¢ | 78.2¢ | 14,127.15 | 14,127.15 | +$7,035 (+175.4%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 37.1¢ | 88.5¢ | 10,401.01 | 10,401.01 | +$5,342 (+138.3%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?which candidates advance to 2026 peru presidential runoff | No | 45.8¢ | 92.8¢ | 10,781.28 | 10,781.28 | +$5,068 (+102.5%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?next prime minister of hungary | No | 77.9¢ | 99.3¢ | 47,685.2 | 47,685.2 | +$10,207 (+27.5%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner | Yes | 39.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 28,292.05 | 28,292.05 | +$16,862 (+151.2%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 31,000 | 31,000 | +$15,283 (+7042.9%) | Mar 27, 2026 | |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5)nba uta phi | Jazz | 52.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,407.17 | 10,407.17 | +$4,994 (+92.3%) | Mar 5, 2026 | |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericksnba mem dal | Grizzlies | 37.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,000 | 9,000 | +$5,670 (+170.3%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Celtics vs. Lakersnba bos lal | Celtics | 52.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$7,200 (+92.3%) | Feb 25, 2026 | |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?how long will the next government shutdown last | Yes | 54.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,012.79 | 25,012.79 | +$11,256 (+81.9%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?how high will inflation get in 2025 | No | 35.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 19,174.4 | 19,174.4 | +$12,439 (+184.7%) | Jan 13, 2026 | |
| Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?golden globes best motion picture drama winner | No | 43.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,184.04 | 8,184.04 | +$4,612 (+129.1%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?new jersey governor election margin of victory | Yes | 10.5¢ | 77.1¢ | 27,394.82 | 27,394.82 | +$18,241 (+636.0%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?virginia attorney general election winner 2025 | No | 37.0¢ | 76.2¢ | 23,363.92 | 23,363.92 | +$9,143 (+105.6%) | Nov 5, 2025 | |
| Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?virginia attorney general election winner 2025 | Yes | 43.4¢ | 73.6¢ | 19,853.99 | 19,853.99 | +$5,985 (+69.4%) | Nov 5, 2025 | |
| Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?nyc mayor dem primary 1st round winner | No | 31.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 13,875.06 | 13,875.06 | +$9,485 (+216.8%) | Jul 23, 2025 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? will either cuomo or mamdani announce they are running for mayor on non democrat slate | Yes | 31.8¢ | 92.5¢ | 10,097.07 | 10,097.07 | +$6,134 (+191.0%) | Jul 14, 2025 | |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | Yes | 0.5¢ | 50.0¢ | 27,100 | 27,100 | +$13,419 (+10316.0%) | May 4, 2025 | |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?next prime minster of canada | No | 51.8¢ | 99.4¢ | 139,155.28 | 139,155.28 | +$66,238 (+91.9%) | May 1, 2025 | |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?next prime minster of canada | Yes | 42.1¢ | 77.5¢ | 41,500 | 41,500 | +$14,695 (+84.2%) | Apr 30, 2025 | |
| 700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?700 measles cases in us before may | Yes | 64.5¢ | 99.5¢ | 13,314.98 | 13,314.98 | +$4,654 (+54.2%) | Apr 11, 2025 | |
| Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?which trump picks will be confirmed | No | 2.2¢ | 99.2¢ | 37,415.42 | 37,415.42 | +$36,302 (+4370.5%) | Mar 28, 2025 | |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?us government funding lapse on march 15 | Yes | 29.9¢ | 64.5¢ | 16,250.45 | 16,250.45 | +$5,637 (+116.2%) | Mar 19, 2025 | |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?next chancellor of germany | Yes | 0.5¢ | 49.9¢ | 18,942.69 | 18,942.69 | +$9,355 (+9876.9%) | Feb 25, 2025 | |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?record turnout in 2024 presidential election | No | 94.8¢ | 107.4¢ | 38,650.85 | 38,650.85 | +$4,853 (+13.2%) | Dec 20, 2024 | |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?popular vote margin of victory 0pt25 ranges | No | 27.7¢ | 85.3¢ | 22,420.71 | 22,420.71 | +$12,916 (+207.7%) | Dec 18, 2024 | |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?popular vote margin of victory 0pt25 ranges | Yes | 65.1¢ | 97.1¢ | 34,490.03 | 34,490.03 | +$11,035 (+49.2%) | Dec 18, 2024 | |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?popular vote margin of victory 0pt25 ranges | No | 60.8¢ | 93.5¢ | 17,434.61 | 17,434.61 | +$5,714 (+54.0%) | Dec 18, 2024 | |
| Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?of gop seats in house of representatives | Yes | 43.9¢ | 94.5¢ | 19,295.6 | 19,295.6 | +$9,761 (+115.3%) | Dec 4, 2024 | |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?popular vote margin of victory 0pt25 ranges | Yes | 29.9¢ | 63.8¢ | 20,354.95 | 20,354.95 | +$6,898 (+113.4%) | Nov 17, 2024 | |
| Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?trump increase share of black voters | No | 28.1¢ | 75.0¢ | 12,515.23 | 12,515.23 | +$5,868 (+166.7%) | Nov 7, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2024 | Yes | 47.8¢ | 51.3¢ | 240,774.9 | 240,774.9 | +$8,486 (+7.4%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| 2024 July hottest on record?2024 july hottest on record | Yes | 62.2¢ | 94.4¢ | 49,044.81 | 49,044.81 | +$15,790 (+51.7%) | Aug 9, 2024 | |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?democratic vp nominee | Yes | 5.6¢ | 66.5¢ | 31,462.96 | 31,462.96 | +$19,163 (+1095.5%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?democratic nominee 2024 | Yes | 96.4¢ | 117.0¢ | 39,724.75 | 39,724.75 | +$8,183 (+21.4%) | Aug 6, 2024 | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?will the 7 day covid 19 case average in the usa be below 25000 by april 1 | Yes | 21.7¢ | 45.7¢ | 22,789.06 | 22,789.06 | +$5,485 (+111.1%) | Apr 15, 2022 | |
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?will the united states average less than 75k covid cases by november 15 | No | 0.3¢ | 17.5¢ | 66,510.56 | 66,510.56 | +$11,416 (+5918.6%) | Oct 25, 2021 | |
| Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release?will new world be a top 5 game on steam two weeks after release | No | 0.7¢ | 20.0¢ | 30,072.27 | 30,072.27 | +$5,813 (+2761.3%) | Oct 11, 2021 | |
| dodgersdodgers | Yes | 5.6¢ | 23.4¢ | 30,146.82 | 30,146.82 | +$5,371 (+317.0%) | Oct 3, 2021 | |
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1?will wisconsin or south carolina have a higher 7 day covid 19 case average on october 1 | SC | 11.6¢ | 33.5¢ | 55,636.02 | 55,636.02 | +$12,199 (+189.7%) | Oct 2, 2021 | |
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? will the us have more than 200000 new daily covid 19 cases on or before october 1 2021 | Yes | 1.1¢ | 11.4¢ | 106,637.9 | 106,637.9 | +$10,950 (+900.7%) | Sep 25, 2021 | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?will more than 2dot3 million people travel through a tsa checkpoint on any day on or before september 15 | Yes | 0.3¢ | 23.4¢ | 25,530.88 | 25,530.88 | +$5,895 (+8551.8%) | Sep 14, 2021 | |
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match?will jake paul or tyron woodley win their bout on august 29th | Paul | 63.3¢ | 88.9¢ | 41,314.37 | 41,314.37 | +$10,576 (+40.4%) | Aug 30, 2021 | |
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved covid 19 vaccine in the us by may 1 2021 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 20.7¢ | 37,483.95 | 37,483.95 | +$7,434 (+2389.5%) | Apr 27, 2021 | |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren?will jake paul win his boxing match against ben askren | Yes | 58.5¢ | 98.6¢ | 14,345.65 | 14,345.65 | +$5,754 (+68.6%) | Apr 19, 2021 | |
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved covid 19 vaccine in the us by april 1 2021 | No | 77.2¢ | 81.3¢ | 143,732.71 | 143,732.71 | +$5,890 (+5.3%) | Mar 27, 2021 |