◆ Contact Dossier
@Jellow2
0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
4.5
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $509.2K
90-Day Window4.5 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.3¢ · 50 resolved
- Hit rate
- 62.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $21.4K / $509.2K
- % return
- +4.3%
- Observations
- 69
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-1.8%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 6
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No56.0¢ → 87.8¢+57%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 121,000 | 50.0¢ | 20.1¢ | $24,261 | -$36,240 (-59.9%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 121,000 | 50.0¢ | 80.0¢ | $96,740 | +$36,240 (+59.9%) |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 13,787.8 | 23.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $21 | -$3,174 (-99.4%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8,000 | 49.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $5,160 | +$1,240 (+31.6%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5,207.19 | 70.2¢ | 64.5¢ | $3,359 | -$297 (-8.1%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 5,000 | 49.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $3,225 | +$775 (+31.6%) |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3,399.99 | 87.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $2,703 | -$279 (-9.4%) |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 3,000 | 33.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,505 | +$1,515 (+153.0%) |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31? | Yes | 1,079.9 | 92.8¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,043 | +$41 (+4.1%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 718.73 | 68.0¢ | 57.5¢ | $413 | -$75 (-15.4%) |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 660.18 | 57.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $485 | +$107 (+28.5%) |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 299.41 | 63.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $217 | +$28 (+15.1%) |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 144.9 | 72.0¢ | 77.0¢ | $112 | +$7 (+6.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 110.7 | 51.0¢ | 67.5¢ | $75 | +$18 (+32.4%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 100.42 | 52.0¢ | 41.5¢ | $42 | -$11 (-20.2%) |
| Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 72.11 | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $72 | +$9 (+14.9%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 40.82 | 51.0¢ | 68.5¢ | $28 | +$7 (+34.3%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | No | 56.0¢ | 87.8¢ | 1,800 | 1,800 | +$572 (+56.7%) | Oct 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | — | 64.0¢ | 0 | 5,207.06 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 50.5¢ | 47.1¢ | 1,999.96 | 1,999.96 | -$68 (-6.7%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?brazil presidential election first round winner | No | 91.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 11,999.98 | 0 | +$980 (+8.9%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | Yes | 60.3¢ | 65.6¢ | 6,670.09 | 23,503.98 | +$6,233 (+39.7%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 0 | +$1,905 (+94.3%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election winner | Yes | 22.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,203.03 | 5,203.03 | -$1,165 (-100.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election winner | No | 84.7¢ | 81.8¢ | 6,728.25 | 6,728.25 | -$200 (-3.5%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election 2nd place 20260806103311321 | Yes | 15.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,672.06 | 3,672.06 | -$551 (-100.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 2.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 14,230.35 | 14,230.35 | -$398 (-100.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027 | No | 79.7¢ | 90.0¢ | 7,500 | 7,499.99 | +$775 (+13.0%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 64.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | -$889 (-34.7%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | — | 86.0¢ | 0 | 100 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?spider man brand new day total domestic gross by october 31 | Yes | 92.8¢ | — | 1,079.9 | 0 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?next governing mayor of berlin 1786117615442 | Yes | 72.0¢ | — | 144.9 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?russia elections united russia wins every region | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 0 | +$44 (+1.1%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 6.3¢ | 3,000 | 2,999.97 | -$381 (-66.8%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?spider man brand new day total domestic gross by september 30 | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,332.58 | 0 | +$66 (+2.9%) | Sep 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?how many seats will united russia win in the next russian legislative election | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 201.65 | 0 | +$18 (+10.0%) | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | No | 64.6¢ | 65.8¢ | 2,492.12 | 2,492.12 | +$32 (+2.0%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?berlin state election winner | No | 57.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 125 | 125 | +$10 (+14.1%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election winner | Yes | 84.2¢ | 97.7¢ | 10,016.73 | 10,016.73 | +$1,357 (+16.1%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 85.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 46,076.68 | 25,999.96 | +$9,514 (+12.8%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 65.5¢ | 61.7¢ | 4,000 | 3,999.99 | -$151 (-5.8%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 85.1¢ | 4,000 | 3,999.99 | -$315 (-8.5%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 84.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 3,000 | 8,000 | +$4,559 (+6.6%) | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?berlin state election linke vote share | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,488 | 0 | +$1,211 (+437.9%) | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?mecklenburg vorpommern parliamentary election spd vote share | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 0 | +$360 (+9.9%) | Sep 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?openai ipo closing market cap 554 | Yes | 68.6¢ | 68.0¢ | 3,527 | 923.19 | +$160 (+6.6%) | Sep 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?russia parliamentary election winner | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 715.02 | 0 | +$222 (+0.9%) | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?sweden parliamentary election 4th place 20260812164320100 | Yes | 27.2¢ | 2.2¢ | 2,643.82 | 2,643.82 | -$660 (-91.9%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?sweden parliamentary election 5th place 20260812164320200 | No | 88.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | +$180 (+13.6%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 1.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | -$42 (-100.9%) | Sep 17, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,999.99 | 3,999.99 | +$560 (+16.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 88.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$594 (+13.5%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027 | Yes | 13.5¢ | 25.1¢ | 19,644.02 | 19,644.02 | +$2,280 (+86.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 27.8¢ | 27.0¢ | 2,850.3 | 2,850.3 | -$22 (-2.8%) | Sep 12, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | No | 74.0¢ | 84.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$500 (+13.5%) | Sep 10, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 61.0¢ | 57.1¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$58 (-6.3%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | No | 99.4¢ | 107.2¢ | 6,900.38 | 6,900.38 | +$537 (+7.8%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?will afd win an absolute majority of seats in sachsen anhalt | Yes | 39.6¢ | 41.0¢ | 3,476.88 | 3,476.88 | +$50 (+3.6%) | Sep 7, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?openai ipo by | No | 81.2¢ | 86.0¢ | 10,551.99 | 10,551.99 | +$505 (+5.9%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?secret harbour state by election winner 20260727232510799 | No | 70.0¢ | 57.2¢ | 2,999.98 | 2,999.98 | -$383 (-18.2%) | Aug 30, 2026 | |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?openai 1t ipo before 2027 | No | 82.2¢ | 86.0¢ | 1,173.69 | 1,173.69 | +$45 (+4.6%) | Aug 29, 2026 | |
| Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?secret harbour state by election winner 20260727232510799 | Yes | 69.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$220 (-15.9%) | Aug 28, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 76.7¢ | 85.5¢ | 14,294.43 | 14,294.43 | +$1,254 (+11.4%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?south carolina senate special republican primary first round second place 20260730171850565 | Yes | 19.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,085.14 | 2,085.14 | -$400 (-100.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?south carolina senate special republican primary first round winner 20260721172033648 | No | 41.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,479.8 | 5,479.8 | -$2,276 (-100.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,856.97 | 8,856.97 | +$82 (+0.9%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | No | 96.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,039.98 | 30,039.98 | +$1,065 (+3.7%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?minnesota governor republican primary winner | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$280 (+38.9%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?who will be the democratic nominee for mn 02 | Yes | 23.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,491.82 | 4,491.82 | -$1,056 (-100.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?wisconsin governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 87.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 11,438.41 | 11,438.41 | -$9,970 (-100.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?minnesota democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 30.5¢ | 16.7¢ | 301.19 | 301.19 | -$42 (-45.2%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?minnesota democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 83.0¢ | 79.7¢ | 1,499.99 | 1,499.99 | -$49 (-3.9%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?who will be the democratic nominee for mn 02 | No | 30.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 2,310.33 | 2,310.33 | -$700 (-100.0%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | No | 66.6¢ | 74.1¢ | 30,862.35 | 30,862.35 | +$2,303 (+11.2%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | No | 86.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$140 (+16.3%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?mi 13 democratic primary winner | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$140 (+16.3%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 90.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,491.84 | 10,491.84 | +$1,036 (+11.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | No | 66.1¢ | 78.6¢ | 1,266.59 | 1,266.59 | +$158 (+18.9%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?minnesota democratic senate primary winner | No | 83.6¢ | 80.1¢ | 3,133.64 | 3,133.64 | -$108 (-4.1%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,331.4 | 2,331.4 | +$746 (+47.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | No | 56.7¢ | 36.0¢ | 1,369.09 | 1,369.09 | -$284 (-36.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?afd wins the most seats in how many september state elections 20260630185301104 | Yes | 9.1¢ | 9.7¢ | 425.28 | 425.28 | +$3 (+6.9%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?2026 negeri sembilan general election winner 20260720213330399 | Yes | 74.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,500.9 | 5,500.9 | +$1,421 (+34.8%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?greater manchester mayoral election winner 20260619154130299 | Yes | 87.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,981.59 | 10,981.59 | +$1,374 (+14.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Jonathan Treble be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?az 01 democratic primary winner 20260629182915544 | No | 92.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 845.23 | 845.23 | +$61 (+7.8%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?az 05 republican primary winner | Yes | 85.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,019.17 | 1,019.17 | +$149 (+17.1%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?afd wins the most seats in how many september state elections 20260630185301104 | No | 20.1¢ | 18.4¢ | 776.62 | 776.62 | -$13 (-8.5%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 17.9¢ | 22.3¢ | 114.62 | 114.62 | +$5 (+24.8%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 69.1¢ | 73.0¢ | 4,065.04 | 4,065.04 | +$159 (+5.7%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 100,003 | 100,003 | +$97 (+0.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 79.1¢ | 62.6¢ | 4,499.93 | 4,499.93 | -$743 (-20.9%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 23.4¢ | 1.3¢ | 8,002.67 | 8,002.67 | -$1,771 (-94.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 13.9¢ | 5.3¢ | 18,513.08 | 18,513.08 | -$1,601 (-62.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 15.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,874.68 | 3,874.68 | -$613 (-100.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 28.5¢ | 9.0¢ | 15,621.94 | 15,621.94 | -$3,053 (-68.5%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 | Yes | 55.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 7,936.36 | 7,936.36 | -$4,383 (-100.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 | No | 68.8¢ | 72.4¢ | 5,138.38 | 5,138.38 | +$186 (+5.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 85.7¢ | 98.2¢ | 29,402.52 | 29,402.52 | +$3,669 (+14.6%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 65.0¢ | 69.7¢ | 9,435.67 | 9,435.67 | +$447 (+7.3%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 35.2¢ | 31.1¢ | 18,714.27 | 18,714.27 | -$755 (-11.5%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 82.1¢ | 83.6¢ | 138,126.04 | 138,126.04 | +$2,100 (+1.9%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?peru election 2nd round margin of victory 0pt1 brackets 20260609021541549 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10.15 | 10.15 | +$9 (+809.1%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 76.6¢ | 79.1¢ | 19,001.51 | 19,001.51 | +$477 (+3.3%) | Jul 4, 2026 | |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 92.3¢ | 97.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$93 (+5.1%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?ky 04 republican primary margin of victory | Yes | 15.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 53.99 | 53.99 | +$46 (+566.7%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?iran coup attempt by june 30 | No | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,605.6 | 5,605.6 | +$951 (+20.4%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 59.5¢ | 72.0¢ | 29,100.4 | 29,100.4 | +$3,660 (+21.2%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?colorado governor democratic primary winner | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,720.67 | 3,720.67 | +$372 (+11.1%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | No | 58.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$130 (+22.4%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | Yes | 79.7¢ | 91.3¢ | 13,096.38 | 13,096.38 | +$1,523 (+14.6%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$86 (-100.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$86 (-100.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$86 (-100.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | Yes | 2.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$86 (-100.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 35.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,279.08 | 15,279.08 | +$9,860 (+182.0%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by October 31, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 70.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,851.74 | 1,851.74 | +$540 (+41.2%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?starmer out in 2025 | Yes | 87.4¢ | 96.6¢ | 2,717.4 | 2,717.4 | +$248 (+10.4%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160 | No | 49.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 1,018.36 | 1,018.36 | +$163 (+32.6%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | Yes | 64.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 19,594.84 | 19,594.84 | +$7,041 (+56.1%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election winner | No | 92.7¢ | 99.1¢ | 23,721.44 | 23,721.44 | +$1,515 (+6.9%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?makerfield by election 2nd place | No | 96.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,400.92 | 15,400.92 | +$576 (+3.9%) | Jun 19, 2026 |