◆ Contact Dossier
@Nick8585
0x564f111fae87f4d68b089ab8431c23b136fa7034
—
/ 10 · 90D
Unclassed
Class · est. size $6.5K
90-Day WindowN/A SIG
- Edge / share
- +23.0¢ · 6 resolved
- Hit rate
- 83.3%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$2.7K / $6.5K
- % return
- -41.7%
- Observations
- 6
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+20.2K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 20
+20.2K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
No open positions on record.
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | 26,953.61 | 26,953.61 | +$54 (+28.6%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2.7¢ | 36,499.79 | 36,499.79 | +$57 (+6.2%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | 137,325.4 | 137,325.4 | +$83 (+3.6%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | Yes | 23.6¢ | 31.3¢ | 1,099.99 | 1,099.99 | +$85 (+32.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | Yes | 22.6¢ | 28.6¢ | 1,647.84 | 1,647.84 | +$100 (+26.9%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?eurovision winner 2026 | Yes | 32.0¢ | — | 6.25 | 0 | — | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | Yes | 27.4¢ | 44.7¢ | 3,802.27 | 3,802.27 | +$657 (+63.0%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | — | 110,766.59 | 0 | — | Mar 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?which companys ai will first hit 1550 on chatbot arena in 2026 | Yes | — | 7.5¢ | 0 | 60.85 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | No | — | 10.0¢ | 0 | 13,804.04 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?which companys ai will first hit 1550 on chatbot arena in 2026 | Yes | — | 0.4¢ | 0 | 560.66 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?which company will have the best ai model for coding on march 31 | Yes | — | 0.7¢ | 0 | 1,345.83 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?which company will have the best ai model for math on march 31 | Yes | — | 0.8¢ | 0 | 2,418.73 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0.4¢ | 15,117.75 | 4,099.94 | +$113 (+40.5%) | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0.2¢ | 6,531.66 | 334.58 | +$84 (+67.6%) | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | 9,791.31 | 13,047.95 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?which company has the best ai model end of march 751 | Yes | — | 1.1¢ | 0 | 12,917.02 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?which company will have the best ai model for math on march 31 | Yes | — | 1.0¢ | 0 | 1,401.25 | — | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | Yes | — | 4.8¢ | 0 | 644.91 | — | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?oscars 2026 best actor winner | Yes | 52.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 94.7 | 94.7 | +$45 (+89.4%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?oscars 2026 best supporting actress winner | Yes | 52.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 90.91 | 90.91 | +$43 (+89.4%) | Mar 16, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?which company has best ai model end of june | Yes | 29.3¢ | 39.0¢ | 421.23 | 421.23 | +$41 (+33.0%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?which company has the best ai model end of february | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0.6¢ | 401,065.08 | 401,065.08 | +$1,270 (+121.8%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?which company has the best ai model end of february | Yes | 4.3¢ | 7.6¢ | 18,940.98 | 18,940.98 | +$619 (+75.4%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?which company has the best ai model end of february | No | 86.5¢ | 98.2¢ | 3,399.85 | 3,399.85 | +$398 (+13.5%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?which company has the best ai model end of february | Yes | 81.7¢ | 92.1¢ | 20,420.84 | 20,420.84 | +$2,123 (+12.7%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?which company has the best ai model end of february | No | 12.6¢ | 16.2¢ | 3,099.95 | 3,099.95 | +$112 (+28.6%) | Feb 28, 2026 | |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?portugal presidential election margin of victory second round | Yes | 66.5¢ | 95.2¢ | 1,349.98 | 1,349.98 | +$386 (+43.0%) | Feb 26, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 10.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 1,100 | 1,100 | +$55 (+50.0%) | Feb 20, 2026 | |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?will seguro win all of portugals districts | Yes | 79.7¢ | 99.7¢ | 800 | 800 | +$160 (+25.0%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?which companies will have a 1 ai model by june 30 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 24.1¢ | 1,355.47 | 1,355.47 | +$97 (+42.2%) | Feb 6, 2026 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?avatar fire and ash total domestic gross by january 31 | No | 30.1¢ | 37.0¢ | 1,899.99 | 1,899.99 | +$130 (+22.7%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?avatar fire and ash total domestic gross by january 31 | Yes | 58.8¢ | 67.1¢ | 800 | 800 | +$67 (+14.3%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?which company has the best ai model end of january | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | 127,766.3 | 127,766.3 | +$424 (+332.0%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?2nd largest company end of january | Yes | 19.6¢ | 25.3¢ | 1,197.52 | 1,197.52 | +$68 (+28.8%) | Jan 31, 2026 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?avatar fire and ash total domestic gross by january 31 | Yes | 40.5¢ | 44.2¢ | 2,100 | 2,100 | +$78 (+9.2%) | Jan 8, 2026 | |
| Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?will russia announce a christmas truce | No | 87.4¢ | 106.3¢ | 637.23 | 637.23 | +$120 (+21.6%) | Jan 8, 2026 | |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday?maduro mugshot released by monday | No | 78.7¢ | 92.5¢ | 900 | 900 | +$124 (+17.5%) | Jan 6, 2026 | |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?who will die in stranger things season 5 | No | 66.5¢ | 75.8¢ | 1,353.71 | 1,353.71 | +$126 (+14.0%) | Jan 5, 2026 | |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?who will die in stranger things season 5 | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | 50,196.96 | 50,196.96 | +$49 (+98.5%) | Jan 5, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?will the us invade venezuela in 2025 | No | 71.4¢ | 79.0¢ | 550 | 550 | +$42 (+10.7%) | Jan 4, 2026 | |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?highest grossing movie in 2025 | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1.5¢ | 34,999.99 | 34,999.99 | +$137 (+35.9%) | Jan 2, 2026 | |
| Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?who will die in stranger things season 5 | No | 77.5¢ | 97.1¢ | 870 | 870 | +$171 (+25.3%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?who will die in stranger things season 5 | No | 71.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 450.73 | 450.73 | +$127 (+39.1%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?who will die in stranger things season 5 | Yes | 68.1¢ | 77.8¢ | 1,428.14 | 1,428.14 | +$138 (+14.2%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?which company will have the best ai model for coding at the end of 2025 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1.7¢ | 19,793.27 | 19,793.27 | +$136 (+70.1%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?which company will have the best ai model for coding at the end of 2025 | Yes | 81.3¢ | 96.3¢ | 2,024.99 | 2,024.99 | +$303 (+18.4%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?which company will have the best ai model for coding at the end of 2025 | Yes | 10.0¢ | 16.7¢ | 2,344.99 | 2,344.99 | +$157 (+67.1%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?avatar fire and ash second 3 day weekend box office | Yes | 55.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$45 (+81.8%) | Dec 30, 2025 | |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?elon musk of tweets july 11 18 | Yes | 5.4¢ | 7.8¢ | 3,450 | 3,450 | +$82 (+43.7%) | Dec 15, 2025 | |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?will openai release a new frontier model by december 13 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 2.0¢ | 27,854.91 | 27,854.91 | +$347 (+166.3%) | Dec 10, 2025 | |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?romania bucharest mayoral election | Yes | 88.9¢ | 101.7¢ | 14,416.19 | 14,416.19 | +$1,848 (+14.4%) | Dec 8, 2025 | |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?romania bucharest mayoral election | Yes | 8.2¢ | 9.7¢ | 20,939.54 | 20,939.54 | +$297 (+17.2%) | Dec 8, 2025 | |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?superman opening weekend box office | Yes | 32.3¢ | 44.9¢ | 1,025.02 | 1,025.02 | +$129 (+39.0%) | Jul 14, 2025 | |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?superman opening weekend box office | No | 32.0¢ | 53.6¢ | 299.98 | 299.98 | +$65 (+67.5%) | Jul 14, 2025 | |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?which company has best ai model end of july | Yes | 2.7¢ | 4.3¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$63 (+58.2%) | Jul 13, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?romanian presidential election margin of victory | Yes | 19.0¢ | 27.9¢ | 27,589.39 | 27,589.39 | +$2,443 (+46.6%) | May 21, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?romanian presidential election margin of victory | Yes | 90.4¢ | 105.4¢ | 28,533.08 | 28,533.08 | +$4,291 (+16.6%) | May 21, 2025 | |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | Yes | 28.5¢ | 49.8¢ | 14,083.58 | 14,083.58 | +$2,993 (+74.5%) | May 19, 2025 | |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election winner | No | 55.3¢ | 93.7¢ | 12,965.49 | 12,965.49 | +$4,973 (+69.3%) | May 19, 2025 | |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?romania presidential election 1st round winner | No | 79.8¢ | 90.1¢ | 1,699.42 | 1,699.42 | +$175 (+12.9%) | May 5, 2025 |