◆ Contact Dossier
@scottxia1988
0x4e09ac04b37800d7643cee48642c646c1b9dd784
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $220.3K
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -0.1¢ · 38 resolved
- Hit rate
- 86.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $685.2 / $220.3K
- % return
- +0.3%
- Observations
- 53
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 13,500 | 93.0¢ | 96.9¢ | $13,075 | +$520 (+4.1%) |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 2,849.89 | 69.7¢ | 77.0¢ | $2,194 | +$207 (+10.4%) |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2,299.97 | 47.8¢ | 38.5¢ | $885 | -$213 (-19.4%) |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | 92.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $382 | +$14 (+3.8%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 240 | 91.1¢ | 97.8¢ | $235 | +$16 (+7.2%) |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 4,350 | 7.9¢ | 5.0¢ | $215 | -$129 (-37.4%) |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 40.96 | 94.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $40 | +$1 (+3.2%) |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.22 | 73.0¢ | 90.5¢ | $20 | +$4 (+24.0%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 502.48 | 61.9¢ | 3.5¢ | $17 | -$294 (-94.4%) |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 400 | 29.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $4 | -$112 (-96.6%) |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 600 | 6.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $4 | -$33 (-89.5%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | Yes | 7.2¢ | 26.2¢ | 4,740 | 3,989.99 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?best chinese ai company end of october | Yes | 47.8¢ | — | 2,299.97 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | No | 90.4¢ | — | 1,899.99 | 0 | — | Sep 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?will iran target oman byptptpt | No | 94.8¢ | 99.8¢ | 968.24 | 968.19 | — | Sep 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?best chinese ai company end of september 20260717140852824 | Yes | 79.7¢ | — | 1,199.98 | 0 | — | Sep 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?will iran target oman byptptpt | No | 94.3¢ | — | 113.09 | 0 | — | Sep 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?clarity act signed into law in 2026 | No | 68.0¢ | 85.5¢ | 300 | 300 | — | Sep 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?august inflation us annual 1786474662954 | No | 99.0¢ | — | 2,250 | 0 | — | Sep 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x China Military clash before 2027?us x china military clash before 2027 | No | 94.7¢ | — | 40.96 | 0 | — | Sep 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Philippines military clash before 2027?china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 | No | 69.1¢ | — | 849.91 | 0 | — | Sep 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 93.0¢ | — | 13,500 | 0 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President by September 30?dtrump out as president by september 30 | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 36,749.25 | 0 | +$589 (+1.6%) | Sep 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?which company has the best ai model end of september 20260717143435868 | Yes | 85.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,098.58 | 0 | +$746 (+17.1%) | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?iran invades kuwait byptptpt 20260720015031544 | No | 97.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 13,970.09 | 13,970.09 | +$383 (+2.8%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?will iran target ukraine byptptpt 20260727234956916 | No | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,594.03 | 4,594.03 | +$181 (+4.1%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 41.8¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by August 31?trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928 | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 34,999.95 | 34,999.95 | +$245 (+0.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | Yes | 34.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$196 (+189.5%) | Aug 25, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | Yes | 58.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 419.99 | 419.99 | +$174 (+71.0%) | Aug 20, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 76.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,359.94 | 9,359.94 | +$2,207 (+30.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$334 (+0.7%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?iran leadership change by | No | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 27,107.38 | 27,107.38 | +$2,079 (+8.3%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?will lionel messi play in the world cup | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,381.73 | 9,381.73 | +$519 (+5.9%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | No | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,217 | 4,217 | +$219 (+5.5%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 88.2¢ | 104.2¢ | 32,887.75 | 32,887.75 | +$5,269 (+18.2%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?what iranian demands will trump agree to by may 31 | No | 93.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,130.01 | 6,130.01 | +$380 (+6.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?israel ground operation in iran confirmed by | No | 95.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$260 (+4.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 83.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,460 | 1,460 | +$237 (+19.4%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 90.4¢ | 98.8¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$169 (+9.4%) | May 29, 2026 | |
| Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?eurovision 2026 best nordic country | Yes | 85.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | +$356 (+16.6%) | May 17, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 40,586.13 | 40,586.13 | +$269 (+0.7%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?who will trump nominate as fed chair | No | 96.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 61,060.7 | 61,060.7 | +$2,193 (+3.7%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?portugal presidential election | No | 80.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,088.46 | 2,088.46 | +$398 (+23.6%) | Feb 9, 2026 | |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?portugal presidential election | No | 91.6¢ | 99.9¢ | 4,199.98 | 4,199.98 | +$348 (+9.0%) | Feb 9, 2026 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?fed decision in january | No | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,869,999.92 | 1,869,999.92 | +$5,610 (+0.3%) | Jan 29, 2026 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?fed decision in january | No | 96.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 114,377.91 | 114,377.91 | +$3,879 (+3.5%) | Jan 29, 2026 | |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?who will qualify for the second round of the portugal presidential election | No | 68.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,669.99 | 1,669.99 | +$519 (+45.1%) | Jan 19, 2026 | |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?portugal presidential election 1st round winner | No | 86.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,329.84 | 1,329.84 | +$179 (+15.5%) | Jan 19, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,980,513.76 | 1,980,513.76 | +$3,977 (+0.2%) | Jan 5, 2026 | |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?xi jinping out in 2025 | No | 92.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,990,818.52 | 1,990,818.52 | +$142,635 (+7.7%) | Jan 1, 2026 | |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?which company has best ai model end of 2025 | Yes | 83.5¢ | 94.2¢ | 15,212.96 | 15,212.96 | +$1,634 (+12.9%) | Dec 31, 2025 | |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?boxing jake paul vs anthony joshua third option included | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,214.3 | 15,214.3 | +$2,280 (+17.6%) | Dec 20, 2025 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?top 5 most searched people on google 2025 | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,458.22 | 6,458.22 | +$581 (+9.9%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?will satoshi move any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 95.8¢ | 98.8¢ | 11,547.16 | 11,547.16 | +$351 (+3.2%) | Dec 3, 2025 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?xi jinping out before 2027 | No | 72.0¢ | 86.5¢ | 13,604.23 | 13,604.23 | +$1,973 (+20.1%) | Dec 3, 2025 | |
| Xi Jinping out before October?xi jinping out before october | No | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 164,730.47 | 164,730.47 | +$5,217 (+3.3%) | Oct 1, 2025 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?how many fed rate cuts in 2025 | No | 83.4¢ | 95.9¢ | 93,720.78 | 93,720.78 | +$11,712 (+15.0%) | Sep 17, 2025 | |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?israel military action against iran in july | No | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,005.26 | 1,005.26 | +$181 (+22.0%) | Aug 1, 2025 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? israel x iran ceasefire broken by | No | 74.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,305.84 | 4,305.84 | +$1,102 (+34.4%) | Jul 12, 2025 | |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?iran x israel conflict ends before july | Yes | 81.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,762.92 | 2,762.92 | +$520 (+23.2%) | Jul 8, 2025 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense before july | No | 80.6¢ | 99.0¢ | 2,376.8 | 2,376.8 | +$438 (+22.9%) | Jul 1, 2025 | |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?fordow nuclear facility destroyed before july | Yes | 70.0¢ | 97.0¢ | 1,793.39 | 1,793.39 | +$484 (+38.6%) | Jul 1, 2025 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by june 30 | No | 80.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,414.02 | 1,414.02 | +$275 (+24.2%) | Jun 30, 2025 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?nba champion 2024 2025 | Yes | 73.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,800.66 | 10,800.66 | +$2,882 (+36.4%) | Jun 23, 2025 | |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?2025 nba finals mvp | No | 94.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,275.61 | 6,275.61 | +$322 (+5.4%) | Jun 23, 2025 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by friday | No | 88.0¢ | 99.6¢ | 4,088.45 | 4,088.45 | +$475 (+13.2%) | Jun 21, 2025 | |
| Will Biden finish his term?will biden complete his term as president | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,957.33 | 6,957.33 | +$487 (+7.5%) | Jan 22, 2025 | |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?jake paul vs mike tyson who will win | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,410.13 | 4,410.13 | +$390 (+9.7%) | Nov 16, 2024 | |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?texas presidential election winner | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,631.04 | 2,631.04 | +$209 (+8.6%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?texas presidential election winner | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,686.39 | 2,686.39 | +$188 (+7.5%) | Nov 6, 2024 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?presidential election popular vote winner 2024 | Yes | 22.4¢ | 39.5¢ | 9,950 | 9,950 | +$1,708 (+76.8%) | Oct 23, 2024 | |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?paris olympics which country wins most gold medals | Yes | 83.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 1,278.81 | 1,278.81 | +$213 (+20.0%) | Aug 11, 2024 |