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0x4805...93ef
0x4805e4fc30281fc1061db1d71e196aa3e21593ef
7.1
/ 10 · 90D
Orca
Class · est. size $3.8K
90-Day Window7.1 SIG
- Edge / share
- +15.7¢ · 37 resolved
- Hit rate
- 67.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $762.8 / $3.8K
- % return
- +20.4%
- Observations
- 43
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+20%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
2W · 0L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes86.0¢ → 96.5¢+12%
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? · Yes73.0¢ → 73.0¢0.0%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 45.71 | 36.0¢ | 7.5¢ | $3 | -$13 (-79.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?what will trump say during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421445 | Yes | 86.0¢ | 96.5¢ | 300 | 300 | +$31 (+12.2%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?mn 05 republican primary winner 20260723154244852 | Yes | 73.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?who will trump speak to in july 20260626154217421 | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0.6¢ | 752 | 751.99 | +$1 (+20.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?reserve bank of new zealand decision in october 20260729164521631 | Yes | 47.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$2 (-6.4%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$20 (+20.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?spider man brand new day opening weekend box office higher strikes 20260723205025357 | No | 30.6¢ | — | 257.81 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?what will trump say during cabinet meeting 20260727172357435 | No | 37.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 291.11 | 0 | +$181 (+165.6%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?what will trump say during cabinet meeting 20260727172357435 | No | 75.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 12.41 | 0 | +$3 (+33.3%) | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 76.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 150 | 150 | +$11 (+9.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?what will trump say during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556632 | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 150 | 0 | +$54 (+56.3%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Filibuster" during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | No | 79.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 112.51 | 0 | +$23 (+26.3%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "COVID" during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | No | 87.7¢ | 48.1¢ | 38.34 | 38.34 | -$15 (-45.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "COVID" during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | Yes | 31.1¢ | — | 68.9 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | No | 27.9¢ | — | 39.65 | 0 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | Yes | 63.9¢ | 57.6¢ | 222 | 222 | -$14 (-9.9%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Filibuster" during Fox & Friends appearance?what will trump say on fox news fox friends 20260728022316498 | Yes | 28.0¢ | 33.1¢ | 100 | 100 | +$5 (+18.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 75.5¢ | 71.2¢ | 300 | 150 | +$30 (+13.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | Yes | 70.0¢ | 69.3¢ | 333 | 333 | -$2 (-1.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 84.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 333 | 0 | +$53 (+19.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 24.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 0 | +$152 (+316.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | Yes | 74.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 220.99 | 0 | +$56 (+34.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?what will trump say during remarks in michigan 20260724162420350 | No | 71.0¢ | — | 250 | 0 | — | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5mlb laa sf | Under | 90.0¢ | 99.8¢ | 242.98 | 242.98 | +$24 (+10.9%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?who will announce presidential run before 2027 | Yes | 36.0¢ | — | 45.71 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?houthis successfully target shipping byptptpt 20260708165455691 | Yes | 44.4¢ | 99.0¢ | 40 | 40 | +$22 (+123.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Landslide" during remarks in Georgia?what will trump say during his remarks in georgia 20260720190340703 | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 0 | +$120 (+150.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" during remarks in Georgia?what will trump say during his remarks in georgia 20260720190340703 | Yes | 26.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 221 | 0 | +$163 (+280.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifiercs2 nemi1 g2 | Nemiga | 35.0¢ | — | 70 | 0 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 92.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$24 (+8.7%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagecs2 blackp run2 | Rune Eaters | 22.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 80 | 34 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 77.0¢ | 70.0¢ | 200 | 200 | -$14 (-9.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Incs2 biga ent2 | Entropy | 45.9¢ | 90.5¢ | 65.88 | 65.88 | +$29 (+97.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?what will the announcers say during argentina vs spain world cup match 20260716154956883 | No | 60.0¢ | 99.2¢ | 150 | 150 | +$59 (+65.2%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the announcers say "Super Bowl" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?what will the announcers say during argentina vs spain world cup match 20260716154956883 | No | 73.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 107.46 | 107.46 | +$27 (+34.2%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsdota2 bb4 vg | Vici Gaming | 25.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 555 | 450 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?what will trump say during the speech to the nation 20260713200621418 | No | 76.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 70 | 70 | +$16 (+29.9%) | Jul 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?what will trump say during the speech to the nation 20260713200621418 | No | 60.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 100.41 | 100.41 | +$39 (+64.4%) | Jul 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?what will trump say during the speech to the nation 20260713200621418 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 7 | 7 | +$3 (+85.0%) | Jul 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffscs2 esb mis | eSuba | 51.0¢ | 51.2¢ | 81.99 | 81.99 | +$0 (+0.3%) | Jul 14, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will anyone say "Drama" during Love Island E35?what will be said during love island usa episode 35 20260710151358743 | No | 34.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 33 | 33 | +$22 (+193.8%) | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnercs2 innerc biga | Inner Circle Academy | 42.0¢ | 88.3¢ | 50 | 50 | +$23 (+110.1%) | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will anyone say "Red Flag" during Love Island E35?what will be said during love island usa episode 35 20260710151358743 | No | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 33 | 0 | +$6 (+23.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 |
| ▸ | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerdota2 1win ty 2026 07 12 more markets | 1win | 38.5¢ | — | 85.75 | 0 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerdota2 1win ty 2026 07 12 more markets | 1win | 50.0¢ | — | 80 | 0 | — | Jul 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerlol g2 ly | G2 Esports | 25.0¢ | — | 60 | 0 | — | Jul 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Acs2 isg uno | Isurus | 43.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 43.19 | 0 | +$25 (+132.6%) | Jul 8, 2026 |