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@poorersob
0x45bc74efa620b45c02308acaecdff1f7c06f978b
4.4
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $2.2M
90-Day Window4.4 SIG
- Edge / share
- +1.7¢ · 59 resolved
- Hit rate
- 73.6%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $1K / $2.2M
- % return
- 0.0%
- Observations
- 110
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-32%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJul 1
-32%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10,000 | 94.0¢ | 96.3¢ | $9,630 | +$230 (+2.4%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4,999.71 | 77.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $4,225 | +$348 (+9.0%) |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1,020 | 96.0¢ | 97.5¢ | $995 | +$16 (+1.6%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 999.98 | 54.0¢ | 96.4¢ | $963 | +$424 (+78.5%) |
| GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 499.99 | 97.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $497 | +$11 (+2.3%) |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500 | 84.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $473 | +$49 (+11.6%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 96.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $20 | +$0 (+2.3%) |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 9.5 | 96.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $9 | +$0 (+0.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETbtc updown 15m 1788827400 | Up | 99.8¢ | — | 4,580.18 | 0 | — | Sep 8, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?will the us confirm that aliens exist before 2027 | No | 99.1¢ | 99.2¢ | 4,999.98 | 12,520.2 | — | Sep 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President by September 30?dtrump out as president by september 30 | No | 98.5¢ | 98.7¢ | 14,999.97 | 14,999.97 | — | Sep 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold | No | 99.0¢ | — | 1,425 | 0 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | — | 93.0¢ | 0 | 11,999.99 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | No | 93.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 900 | 900 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?will satoshi move any bitcoin in 2026 | No | 95.2¢ | 95.3¢ | 405.58 | 5,230.13 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?putin out before 2027 | No | 98.6¢ | 98.8¢ | 6,500 | 6,500 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 99.0¢ | 99.3¢ | 4,499.98 | 7,499.98 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?will the us confirm that aliens exist before 2027 | No | — | 96.2¢ | 0 | 5,122.88 | — | Sep 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?will betmoar launch a token by | No | 99.0¢ | — | 647.48 | 0 | — | Sep 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | GTA VI released by September 30?gta vi released before november 2026 | No | 98.3¢ | — | 1,502.01 | 0 | — | Sep 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?where will tropical storm saudel make landfall 1787177922936 | No | 95.3¢ | — | 518.95 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? new stranger things episode released by wednesday | No | 96.3¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 85.0¢ | — | 1,268 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?what price will bitcoin hit before 2027 | No | 96.1¢ | — | 20 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?bitcoin all time high by | No | 99.2¢ | — | 789.72 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump resign before 2027?will trump resign before 2027 | No | 96.7¢ | — | 9.5 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump out as President before 2027?trump out as president before 2027 | No | 95.0¢ | — | 5,000 | 0 | — | Sep 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | No | 99.6¢ | 99.8¢ | 3,152.45 | 3,152.45 | — | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | No | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 500 | 500 | — | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | Yes | 92.0¢ | 0.7¢ | 300 | 300 | — | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 99.9¢ | — | 5 | 0 | — | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 80.3¢ | 97.8¢ | 490 | 499.98 | — | Aug 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 98.9¢ | — | 9,105.64 | 0 | — | Aug 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 99.6¢ | — | 5,000 | 0 | — | Aug 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 13.2¢ | — | 100 | 0 | — | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 99.8¢ | — | 4,500 | 0 | — | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | — | 0.8¢ | 0 | 2,141.74 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 99.8¢ | — | 2,500 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?what price will bitcoin hit in august 2026 | No | 99.0¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?us ceasefire against iran continues throughptptpt | Yes | 98.9¢ | — | 90 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 exact score | Yes | 0.3¢ | 34.5¢ | 58,374.19 | 58,374.19 | +$19,956 (+10683.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | Yes | 0.2¢ | 2.3¢ | 178,051.27 | 178,051.27 | +$3,800 (+1067.2%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETbtc updown 5m 1776611700 | Down | 1.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,892.33 | 4,892.33 | +$2,397 (+4900.0%) | Apr 19, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETbtc updown 15m 1776353400 | Up | 49.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,725.88 | 7,725.88 | +$3,940 (+104.1%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETbtc updown 5m 1776353400 | Up | 47.0¢ | 95.6¢ | 6,203.63 | 6,203.63 | +$3,014 (+103.4%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1776353700 | Up | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,698.07 | 5,698.07 | +$2,507 (+78.6%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1775341200 | Up | 16.8¢ | 82.6¢ | 5,003.97 | 5,003.97 | +$3,291 (+391.7%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETbtc updown 5m 1774216800 | Up | 22.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,963.77 | 12,963.77 | +$10,071 (+348.2%) | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETbtc updown 5m 1774107600 | Down | 7.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,663.91 | 2,663.91 | +$2,474 (+1302.4%) | Mar 21, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETbtc updown 5m 1773860100 | Up | 5.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,997.97 | 2,997.97 | +$2,824 (+1624.1%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1773775500 | Up | 2.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,999.74 | 4,999.74 | +$2,400 (+2400.0%) | Mar 17, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETbtc updown 5m 1773743700 | Up | 25.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,388.47 | 3,388.47 | +$2,525 (+292.3%) | Mar 17, 2026 | |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections 2nd place | Yes | 0.3¢ | 48.5¢ | 8,035.37 | 8,035.37 | +$3,868 (+15043.2%) | Mar 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETbtc updown 5m 1773143400 | Down | 28.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,180.87 | 3,180.87 | +$2,266 (+247.7%) | Mar 10, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETbtc updown 15m 1772991900 | Up | 11.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,548.8 | 4,548.8 | +$4,026 (+770.3%) | Mar 8, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETbtc updown 15m 1772906400 | Up | 0.4¢ | 50.0¢ | 4,705.72 | 4,705.72 | +$2,332 (+11527.3%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETbtc updown 5m 1772607600 | Down | 25.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,143.09 | 3,143.09 | +$2,358 (+300.3%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETbtc updown 5m 1772605200 | Up | 25.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,827.5 | 3,827.5 | +$2,865 (+297.9%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETbtc updown 5m 1772521200 | Up | 10.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,242.67 | 4,242.67 | +$3,789 (+835.4%) | Mar 3, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6AM ETbitcoin up or down march 2 6am et | Up | 41.3¢ | 88.0¢ | 4,869.85 | 4,869.85 | +$2,276 (+113.1%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETbtc updown 5m 1772450400 | Up | 4.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,199.52 | 3,199.52 | +$3,067 (+2321.2%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11PM ETbitcoin up or down march 1 11pm et | Up | 24.5¢ | 94.5¢ | 4,585.86 | 4,585.86 | +$3,214 (+286.5%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETbtc updown 5m 1772401200 | Up | 26.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,770.56 | 3,770.56 | +$2,773 (+278.0%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETbtc updown 5m 1772346300 | Down | 26.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,625.14 | 3,625.14 | +$2,666 (+278.1%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771284000 | Up | 33.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,676.48 | 3,676.48 | +$2,435 (+196.0%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771280700 | Down | 11.0¢ | 48.8¢ | 6,361.27 | 6,361.27 | +$2,408 (+344.1%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771272300 | Up | 42.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,943.41 | 3,943.41 | +$2,281 (+137.2%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771269900 | Down | 49.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,956.43 | 4,956.43 | +$2,488 (+100.8%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771204500 | Down | 32.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,222.37 | 4,222.37 | +$2,848 (+207.3%) | Feb 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771176300 | Up | 58.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,785.71 | 5,785.71 | +$2,400 (+70.9%) | Feb 15, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETbtc updown 5m 1771154100 | Down | 7.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,999.31 | 2,999.31 | +$2,784 (+1294.6%) | Feb 15, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771090500 | Up | 13.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,094.83 | 3,094.83 | +$2,671 (+630.4%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETbtc updown 5m 1771088700 | Up | 46.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,811.16 | 4,811.16 | +$2,583 (+115.9%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETbtc updown 5m 1771080000 | Up | 62.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,727.25 | 6,727.25 | +$2,516 (+59.7%) | Feb 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETbtc updown 15m 1770719400 | Up | 0.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 5,999.93 | 5,999.93 | +$2,981 (+16027.1%) | Feb 10, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETbtc updown 15m 1770559200 | Up | 1.0¢ | 29.7¢ | 8,590.88 | 8,590.88 | +$2,465 (+2869.7%) | Feb 8, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1770329700 | Up | 90.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 28,915.39 | 28,915.39 | +$2,671 (+10.2%) | Feb 5, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1770077700 | Down | 0.3¢ | 50.0¢ | 6,499.83 | 6,499.83 | +$3,233 (+19898.6%) | Feb 3, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETbtc updown 15m 1770013800 | Up | 73.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 15,805.09 | 15,805.09 | +$4,233 (+36.6%) | Feb 2, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1769735700 | Up | 1.7¢ | 49.6¢ | 8,499.63 | 8,499.63 | +$4,070 (+2833.4%) | Jan 30, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768536900 | Down | 6.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,796.13 | 4,796.13 | +$4,490 (+1469.7%) | Jan 16, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768451400 | Down | 15.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,485.25 | 9,485.25 | +$8,051 (+561.3%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETbtc updown 15m 1768452300 | Up | 47.8¢ | 93.0¢ | 5,992.74 | 5,992.74 | +$2,706 (+94.4%) | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETbtc updown 15m 1768368600 | Down | 5.2¢ | 73.5¢ | 8,931.5 | 8,931.5 | +$6,102 (+1313.9%) | Jan 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768356900 | Up | 8.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,799.99 | 2,799.99 | +$2,561 (+1072.3%) | Jan 14, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768187700 | Down | 50.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$7,200 (+96.0%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768183200 | Up | 51.5¢ | 76.1¢ | 30,499.89 | 30,499.89 | +$7,499 (+47.7%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETbtc updown 15m 1768178700 | Up | 99.0¢ | 137.5¢ | 18,809.16 | 18,809.16 | +$7,238 (+38.9%) | Jan 12, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETbtc updown 15m 1768131900 | Up | 50.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$5,000 (+100.0%) | Jan 11, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETbtc updown 15m 1768131000 | Up | 99.0¢ | 147.8¢ | 10,034.03 | 10,034.03 | +$4,900 (+49.3%) | Jan 11, 2026 |