◆ Contact Dossier
@Warren-Buffett
0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4
4.7
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $1.2M
90-Day Window4.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.0¢ · 155 resolved
- Hit rate
- 64.1%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$46.9K / $1.2M
- % return
- -3.2%
- Observations
- 329
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-30%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
1W · 3L4 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No19.5¢ → 29.5¢+51%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes36.8¢ → 18.5¢-50%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes41.8¢ → -0.0¢-100%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9¢ → -0.0¢-101%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 92,902.3 | 5.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $2,276 | -$2,749 (-54.7%) |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 20,000.01 | 13.1¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,900 | -$720 (-27.5%) |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 15,263.09 | 69.8¢ | 75.0¢ | $11,447 | +$785 (+7.4%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12,660.46 | 52.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $2,849 | -$3,805 (-57.2%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 11,871.7 | 22.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $2,196 | -$433 (-16.5%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10,042.76 | 25.6¢ | 15.0¢ | $1,506 | -$1,068 (-41.5%) |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 10,000.01 | 85.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $8,750 | +$171 (+2.0%) |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 8,808.65 | 10.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,365 | +$431 (+46.1%) |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | No | 8,255.47 | 86.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $8,061 | +$928 (+13.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 6,999.99 | 32.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $1,855 | -$385 (-17.2%) |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6,000 | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | $5,997 | +$38 (+0.6%) |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 5,476.32 | 10.9¢ | 13.0¢ | $712 | +$117 (+19.6%) |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 15.0¢ | 14.5¢ | $725 | -$25 (-3.3%) |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 17.0¢ | 16.5¢ | $825 | -$25 (-2.9%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 79.6¢ | 51.8¢ | $2,593 | -$1,386 (-34.8%) |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 14.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $425 | -$275 (-39.3%) |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,999.99 | 14.0¢ | 16.0¢ | $800 | +$100 (+14.3%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 4,000.01 | 42.4¢ | 65.5¢ | $2,620 | +$926 (+54.6%) |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4,000 | 84.1¢ | 80.5¢ | $3,220 | -$144 (-4.3%) |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 3,999.7 | 12.3¢ | 8.5¢ | $340 | -$150 (-30.6%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,751.8 | 15.2¢ | 14.9¢ | $561 | -$9 (-1.6%) |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,750.01 | 55.9¢ | 59.5¢ | $2,231 | +$134 (+6.4%) |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3,729.59 | 2.7¢ | 2.3¢ | $84 | -$15 (-15.5%) |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 3,699.81 | 58.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $721 | -$1,438 (-66.6%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 3,456.99 | 57.9¢ | 54.5¢ | $1,884 | -$117 (-5.9%) |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3,065.53 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | $291 | +$77 (+35.7%) |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 3,000 | 95.8¢ | 99.5¢ | $2,984 | +$110 (+3.8%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3,000 | 70.0¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,935 | -$165 (-7.9%) |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2,999.99 | 46.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $315 | -$1,075 (-77.3%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,815.9 | 15.0¢ | 4.0¢ | $114 | -$308 (-73.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 2,500 | 93.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,386 | +$39 (+1.7%) |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | 81.4¢ | 93.0¢ | $2,325 | +$290 (+14.3%) |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 2,005.11 | 80.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,815 | +$194 (+12.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 76.8¢ | 77.0¢ | $1,540 | +$5 (+0.3%) |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,000 | 23.0¢ | 11.5¢ | $230 | -$230 (-50.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 90.0¢ | 93.4¢ | $1,868 | +$68 (+3.8%) |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1,343.03 | 48.6¢ | 60.5¢ | $813 | +$160 (+24.4%) |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1,268.89 | 57.8¢ | 60.3¢ | $765 | +$31 (+4.2%) |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,136.86 | 86.9¢ | 87.5¢ | $995 | +$7 (+0.7%) |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 1,000.01 | 21.0¢ | 10.5¢ | $105 | -$105 (-50.0%) |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 77.0¢ | 85.5¢ | $855 | +$85 (+11.0%) |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 735.26 | 23.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $158 | -$16 (-9.1%) |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | No | 650 | 94.0¢ | 99.1¢ | $644 | +$33 (+5.4%) |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 593.55 | 71.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $490 | +$67 (+15.9%) |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 562.82 | 5.1¢ | 4.0¢ | $23 | -$6 (-20.2%) |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 486.09 | 10.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $13 | -$37 (-74.3%) |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 478.98 | 98.0¢ | 97.4¢ | $466 | -$3 (-0.6%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 276.16 | 34.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $117 | +$23 (+25.0%) |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | 98.7¢ | $197 | -$1 (-0.4%) |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | Yes | 169.98 | 90.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $159 | +$6 (+3.9%) |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 144.7 | 44.0¢ | 53.5¢ | $77 | +$14 (+21.6%) |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 75.41 | 30.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $11 | -$12 (-52.7%) |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 65.19 | 23.0¢ | 38.5¢ | $25 | +$10 (+67.4%) |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | No | 50 | 90.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $46 | +$1 (+1.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?nobel peace prize winner 2026 139 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 3,092.04 | 26.51 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?nobel peace prize winner 2026 139 | Yes | 2.7¢ | — | 3,729.59 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?nobel peace prize winner 2026 139 | Yes | 5.1¢ | — | 562.82 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?nobel peace prize winner 2026 139 | No | 98.0¢ | — | 478.98 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?trump invokes war powers in yemen by september 30 | No | 99.0¢ | — | 200 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?uss george hw bush in centcom onptptpt | Yes | 44.0¢ | — | 144.7 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?los angeles mayoral election 117 | Yes | 57.8¢ | 62.0¢ | 2,000 | 731.11 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | No | 19.5¢ | 29.5¢ | 3,999.99 | 3,999.99 | +$400 (+51.3%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 36.8¢ | 18.5¢ | 11,089.54 | 11,089.54 | -$2,025 (-49.7%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 0.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,434.06 | 5,434.06 | -$47 (-100.9%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?pakistan military action against yemen by 20260909 | No | 96.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 199.99 | 199.99 | +$6 (+3.3%) | Oct 4, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?us announces diesel export ban byptptpt | No | 86.4¢ | — | 8,255.47 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?what will be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260624150226501 | Yes | — | 17.3¢ | 0 | 1,474.8 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 | No | 80.8¢ | — | 2,005.11 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 | Yes | 27.0¢ | 20.5¢ | 816.84 | 816.84 | -$53 (-24.0%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 18.7¢ | — | 3,350.62 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Nothing Ever Happens: Octobernothing ever happens october 26 | Nothing | 90.0¢ | — | 169.98 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?next prime minister of sweden | Yes | 84.1¢ | — | 3,933.84 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?us reissues iran oil sales sanction relief byptptpt 20260708142359046 | Yes | 2.9¢ | 2.9¢ | 3,100.78 | 3,100.78 | -$1 (-1.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 | Yes | 4.1¢ | — | 45,652.21 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077 | Yes | 3.4¢ | 3.2¢ | 30,199.99 | 30,199.99 | -$63 (-6.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 62.5¢ | 92.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$590 (+47.2%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | 41,362.79 | 41,362.79 | -$435 (-20.9%) | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?will trump visit greenland by march 31 | No | 94.0¢ | — | 600 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine peace talks byptptpt 20260609012540716 | Yes | — | 69.0¢ | 0 | 1,250 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027 | No | — | 90.0¢ | 0 | 2,499.99 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | No | 58.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | China x Philippines military clash before 2027?china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 | No | — | 74.0¢ | 0 | 911.49 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | No | 70.0¢ | — | 3,000 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump renames AI by September 30?trump renames ai by september 30 | No | 71.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | -$450 (-42.3%) | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0.5¢ | 325,694.47 | 324,442.39 | -$20,007 (-92.8%) | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | No | 32.0¢ | — | 1,999.99 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 86.9¢ | — | 1,136.86 | 0 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next us iran senior diplomatic meeting byptptpt | Yes | 41.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 233 | 0 | -$97 (-100.0%) | Sep 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | No | 99.3¢ | — | 4,000 | 0 | — | Sep 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?us iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,624.25 | 5,624.25 | +$157 (+2.9%) | Sep 27, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?israel x turkey military clash before 2027 | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 2,000 | 0 | — | Sep 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Trump renames AI by December 31?trump renames ai by september 30 | No | 56.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 70 | 0 | -$40 (-100.0%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 22.4¢ | 2.4¢ | 6,993.57 | 6,997.23 | -$1,394 (-89.2%) | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | Yes | — | 62.6¢ | 0 | 1,530.72 | — | Sep 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?us announces diesel export ban byptptpt | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,927.26 | 0 | +$189 (+5.1%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 31.4¢ | 13.9¢ | 3,218.81 | 3,218.8 | -$564 (-55.7%) | Sep 24, 2026 |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30 | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$210 (+26.6%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?will xi jinping visit us before 2027 | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,787.06 | 1,787.06 | +$26 (+1.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?iran blockade lifted before xi visits us | No | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,012.62 | 4,012.62 | +$60 (+1.5%) | Sep 24, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478 | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0.3¢ | 249,999.93 | 249,999.93 | -$5,611 (-88.4%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election | No | 44.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$140 (+31.9%) | Sep 23, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | No | 72.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 113.39 | 113.39 | +$32 (+38.9%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | No | 42.2¢ | 18.7¢ | 3,999.94 | 3,999.94 | -$940 (-55.7%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 30.0¢ | 12.9¢ | 1,485.16 | 1,485.16 | -$254 (-57.1%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?texas senate election winner | Yes | 53.0¢ | 62.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$180 (+17.0%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 24.6¢ | 0.1¢ | 6,914.97 | 6,914.97 | -$1,693 (-99.6%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 9.7¢ | 0.1¢ | 1,147.3 | 1,147.3 | -$110 (-99.0%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 11.2¢ | 0.7¢ | 19,106.55 | 19,106.55 | -$2,010 (-94.1%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?which party will gain most seats in russian parliamentary election | Yes | 66.2¢ | 97.9¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$3,170 (+47.9%) | Sep 21, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 16.5¢ | 12.6¢ | 23,767.42 | 23,767.42 | -$945 (-24.1%) | Sep 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | No | 57.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 384.31 | 384.31 | -$219 (-100.0%) | Sep 20, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 21.7¢ | 2.9¢ | 22,422.81 | 22,422.81 | -$4,213 (-86.5%) | Sep 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?us x iran effective ceasefire begins byptptpt 2 week pause | No | 60.1¢ | 64.4¢ | 12,979.52 | 12,979.52 | +$548 (+7.0%) | Sep 18, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 34.6¢ | 70.3¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$7,149 (+103.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$57 (+0.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 54.2¢ | 64.1¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$4,989 (+18.4%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 9,814.73 | 9,814.73 | -$281 (-96.7%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | Yes | 69.4¢ | 87.1¢ | 1,929.97 | 1,929.97 | +$342 (+25.5%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$250 (+125.0%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0.5¢ | 102,663.29 | 102,663.29 | -$4,759 (-90.4%) | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?will iran target ukraine byptptpt 20260727234956916 | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | 16,153.94 | 16,153.94 | -$502 (-76.8%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 14.9¢ | 3.1¢ | 8,300.61 | 8,300.61 | -$978 (-79.0%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | Yes | 3.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 20,055.15 | 20,055.15 | -$673 (-100.2%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0.4¢ | 103,160.23 | 103,160.23 | -$5,355 (-92.5%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 19.5¢ | 10.9¢ | 1,530.21 | 1,530.21 | -$132 (-44.1%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 26.2¢ | 74.8¢ | 3,262.99 | 3,262.99 | +$1,586 (+185.7%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 1.4¢ | 65,385.15 | 65,385.15 | -$3,000 (-76.2%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?us reissues iran oil sales sanction relief byptptpt 20260708142359046 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,999.99 | 2,999.99 | -$150 (-100.0%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 41.3¢ | 44.8¢ | 11,966.72 | 11,966.72 | +$421 (+8.5%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Augustnothing ever happens august 20260731190455728 | Something | 11.0¢ | 1.4¢ | 675.51 | 675.51 | -$65 (-87.6%) | Sep 11, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | No | 75.1¢ | 85.8¢ | 2,499.98 | 2,499.98 | +$267 (+14.2%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0.8¢ | 434,999.84 | 434,999.84 | -$19,250 (-85.3%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 | No | 60.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 232.06 | 232.06 | +$92 (+65.9%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 | No | 77.5¢ | 96.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$370 (+23.9%) | Sep 9, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | No | 49.5¢ | 69.1¢ | 6,889.74 | 6,889.74 | +$1,352 (+39.6%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?israel military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714001321874 | No | 85.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 377.19 | 377.19 | +$54 (+16.6%) | Sep 4, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 54.5¢ | 79.1¢ | 10,475.5 | 10,475.5 | +$2,577 (+45.2%) | Sep 3, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31?will anthropics valuation hit by august 31 20260730152502269 | No | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$11 (+1.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?will the us invade a latin american country in 2026 | No | 82.0¢ | 89.5¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$375 (+9.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 63.2¢ | 73.2¢ | 2,733.51 | 2,733.51 | +$274 (+15.8%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?israel closes its airspace by | No | 77.0¢ | 87.3¢ | 6,931.82 | 6,931.82 | +$713 (+13.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 97.7¢ | 101.8¢ | 6,057.41 | 6,057.41 | +$251 (+4.2%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 91.2¢ | 107.1¢ | 19,082.1 | 19,082.1 | +$3,034 (+17.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$126 (+2.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | Yes | 13.2¢ | 7.7¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | -$552 (-41.9%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?iran leadership change by | No | 95.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$42 (+4.4%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 45.2¢ | 46.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$15 (+1.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260810145737299 | No | 85.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$43 (+16.7%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace by august 31 20260623143114130 | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 369 | 369 | +$8 (+2.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace by august 31 20260623143114130 | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,066.13 | 1,066.13 | +$54 (+5.3%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace by august 31 20260623143114130 | No | 81.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 310 | 310 | +$56 (+22.1%) | Sep 1, 2026 | |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?how many republican senate incumbents will not win their primary | No | 61.4¢ | 5.4¢ | 787.3 | 787.3 | -$441 (-91.3%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?how many republican senate incumbents will not win their primary | Yes | 60.7¢ | 5.7¢ | 499.96 | 499.96 | -$275 (-90.6%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?how many republican senate incumbents will not win their primary | No | 96.8¢ | 55.1¢ | 2,069.07 | 2,069.07 | -$862 (-43.0%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 74.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,999.99 | 6,999.99 | +$1,792 (+34.4%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 85.0¢ | 96.4¢ | 825.06 | 825.06 | +$94 (+13.4%) | Aug 26, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by August 22?iran leadership change by | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,259.52 | 3,259.52 | +$52 (+1.6%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 7.8¢ | 1.2¢ | 45,991.6 | 45,991.6 | -$3,046 (-84.6%) | Aug 23, 2026 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | Yes | 27.5¢ | 18.7¢ | 13,068.18 | 13,068.18 | -$1,156 (-32.1%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?clacton by election 2nd place 20260707214539733 | No | 20.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 14,999.98 | 14,999.98 | -$3,027 (-100.0%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsdota2 ironwi boombo | Iron Wing | 42.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$2,110 (-100.0%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0.9¢ | 46,326.22 | 46,326.22 | -$3,571 (-89.6%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 20.8¢ | 4.5¢ | 6,687.15 | 6,687.15 | -$1,094 (-78.6%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,305.5 | 4,305.5 | -$215 (-100.0%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 24.0¢ | 38.2¢ | 9,325.86 | 9,325.86 | +$1,323 (+59.1%) | Aug 22, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 2.9¢ | 25,000 | 25,000 | -$3,017 (-80.5%) | Aug 19, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 3.1¢ | 1.2¢ | 155,711.45 | 155,711.45 | -$3,025 (-62.1%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 36.7¢ | 0.1¢ | 7,409.36 | 7,409.36 | -$2,708 (-99.7%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | No | 28.3¢ | 28.1¢ | 6,446.54 | 6,446.54 | -$16 (-0.9%) | Aug 18, 2026 | |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?iran leadership change by | No | 99.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,954.95 | 6,954.95 | +$59 (+0.9%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 41.3¢ | 76.0¢ | 2,923.89 | 2,923.89 | +$1,014 (+83.9%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 183.44 | 183.44 | +$28 (+17.6%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 96.0¢ | 112.7¢ | 3,044.27 | 3,044.27 | +$509 (+17.4%) | Aug 16, 2026 | |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?south carolina senate special republican primary first round winner 20260721172033648 | Yes | 83.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,069.06 | 14,069.06 | +$2,344 (+20.0%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.99 | 9,999.99 | +$371 (+3.8%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?clacton by election count binface vote 20260708142507718 | No | 92.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,270.57 | 1,270.57 | +$95 (+8.1%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,434.78 | 4,434.78 | +$75 (+1.7%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?clacton by election winner 20260707143521303 | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 21,311.12 | 21,311.12 | +$535 (+2.6%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | No | 43.0¢ | 50.7¢ | 12,505.98 | 12,505.98 | +$969 (+18.0%) | Aug 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 5.0¢ | 0.7¢ | 5,497.08 | 5,497.08 | -$235 (-85.5%) | Aug 13, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 51.3¢ | 53.3¢ | 12,060.55 | 12,060.55 | +$236 (+3.8%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 11.2¢ | 1.0¢ | 35,109.43 | 35,109.43 | -$3,571 (-90.8%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 39.9¢ | 58.2¢ | 11,158.93 | 11,158.93 | +$2,042 (+45.9%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | 10,857.15 | 10,857.15 | +$2 (+1.6%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | 37,999.91 | 37,999.91 | +$267 (+92.3%) | Aug 12, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 15.3¢ | 31.7¢ | 13,215.1 | 13,215.1 | +$2,165 (+107.0%) | Aug 11, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | 9,999.92 | 9,999.92 | -$70 (-70.0%) | Aug 11, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 70.0¢ | 89.7¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$197 (+28.1%) | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 31,867.99 | 31,867.99 | -$671 (-96.2%) | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 92.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 5,439.29 | 5,439.29 | +$54 (+1.1%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | No | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | 24,565.66 | 24,565.66 | +$25 (+0.1%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 86.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 3,104.99 | 3,104.99 | +$124 (+4.6%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 8.2¢ | 0.5¢ | 16,412.86 | 16,412.86 | -$1,250 (-93.3%) | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 77.5¢ | 95.0¢ | 5,738.62 | 5,738.62 | +$1,005 (+22.6%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 299.98 | 299.98 | -$39 (-100.0%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 76.4¢ | 83.2¢ | 14,295 | 14,295 | +$965 (+8.8%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 7.6¢ | 1.4¢ | 11,999.99 | 11,999.99 | -$740 (-81.1%) | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 61.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 221.1 | 221.1 | +$85 (+62.9%) | Aug 7, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 59.0¢ | 95.2¢ | 1,790.34 | 1,790.34 | +$648 (+61.3%) | Aug 7, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260729163314520 | No | 41.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,189.55 | 1,189.55 | +$698 (+142.0%) | Aug 7, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.8¢ | 122.5¢ | 13,994.12 | 13,994.12 | +$3,172 (+22.7%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 75.9¢ | 81.0¢ | 2,680.79 | 2,680.79 | +$137 (+6.8%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 43.5¢ | 48.7¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$522 (+12.0%) | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 323.12 | 323.12 | +$2 (+0.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100.1¢ | 10,292.7 | 10,292.7 | +$39 (+0.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?michigan democratic senate primary winner | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,661.66 | 8,661.66 | +$25 (+0.3%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$490 (+119.5%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?who will trump speak to in july 20260626154217421 | No | 89.7¢ | 100.4¢ | 14,576.33 | 14,576.33 | +$1,559 (+11.9%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?avgpt of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of july 20260626153158273 | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0.2¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$920 (-99.0%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | No | 76.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,278.28 | 8,278.28 | +$1,954 (+30.9%) | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,905 | 3,905 | +$22 (+0.6%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?0 ships transit hormuz on any date byptpt 20260626172559966 | No | 79.2¢ | 90.0¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$108 (+13.6%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | No | 94.2¢ | 99.7¢ | 4,118.32 | 4,118.32 | +$227 (+5.8%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | No | 59.4¢ | 64.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$230 (+7.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | Yes | 5.0¢ | 1.1¢ | 151,084.46 | 151,084.46 | -$5,894 (-78.5%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 55.3¢ | 74.0¢ | 1,259.97 | 1,259.97 | +$235 (+33.7%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 79.6¢ | 89.2¢ | 14,999.98 | 14,999.98 | +$1,441 (+12.1%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 98.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 38.53 | 38.53 | +$0 (+1.2%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | Yes | 25.0¢ | 11.5¢ | 2,721.14 | 2,721.14 | -$366 (-53.8%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | No | 92.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,599.58 | 3,599.58 | +$283 (+8.5%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?israel military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714001321874 | No | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$30 (+17.6%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 32,689.44 | 32,689.44 | +$82 (+0.3%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?israeli forces enter nabatieh by | No | 92.0¢ | 98.6¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$66 (+7.2%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?iran leader end of 2026 | Yes | 76.4¢ | 82.6¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$62 (+8.1%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?us anti cartel operation outside of the us by 20260616214856017 | No | 99.4¢ | 102.3¢ | 12,939.83 | 12,939.83 | +$382 (+3.0%) | Aug 3, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 95.1¢ | 99.8¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$94 (+4.9%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 140,000 | 140,000 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?presidential election winner 2028 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 140,000 | 140,000 | +$0 (0.0%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 80.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$384 (+23.8%) | Aug 2, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?avgpt of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of july 20260626153158273 | No | 39.7¢ | 0.2¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | -$1,582 (-99.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Julynothing ever happens july 20260626174334834 | Nothing | 90.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,127.69 | 3,127.69 | +$311 (+11.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | Yes | 1.8¢ | -0.0¢ | 6,724 | 6,724 | -$125 (-100.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,394.83 | 1,394.83 | -$6 (-100.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | Yes | 1.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,685 | 4,685 | -$81 (-100.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 91.1¢ | 98.3¢ | 7,298.33 | 7,298.33 | +$524 (+7.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260720155040247 | No | 89.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 39.98 | 39.98 | +$4 (+11.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?us reissues iran oil sales sanction relief byptptpt 20260708142359046 | Yes | 19.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 188.02 | 188.02 | +$36 (+100.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?romanian pm bolojan out by | No | 74.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 583.36 | 583.36 | +$148 (+34.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014 | No | 90.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$192 (+10.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 22.4¢ | 32.9¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$421 (+46.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31 | No | 73.7¢ | 89.4¢ | 28,000 | 28,000 | +$4,380 (+21.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?us iran final nuclear deal by 20260621201254412 | No | 97.1¢ | 98.9¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | +$9 (+1.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?israel withdraws from lebanon by | Yes | 13.0¢ | 4.2¢ | 15,082.65 | 15,082.65 | -$1,332 (-67.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | Yes | 22.5¢ | 4.2¢ | 2,101.93 | 2,101.93 | -$385 (-81.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | No | 98.2¢ | 92.1¢ | 501.92 | 501.92 | -$31 (-6.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 14.3¢ | 11.2¢ | 14,235.02 | 14,235.02 | -$439 (-21.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 99.1¢ | 101.2¢ | 16,000 | 16,000 | +$332 (+2.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 97.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,467.8 | 1,467.8 | +$34 (+2.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 24.5¢ | 30.4¢ | 3,999.95 | 3,999.95 | +$237 (+24.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 82.7¢ | 94.7¢ | 13,000.01 | 13,000.01 | +$1,553 (+14.4%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,005.01 | 5,005.01 | +$5 (+0.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? scotus accepts sports event contract case by july 31 2026 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$6 (+20.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 92.5¢ | 99.8¢ | 8,072.31 | 8,072.31 | +$589 (+7.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,263.35 | 4,263.35 | +$32 (+0.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.5¢ | 111.6¢ | 977.43 | 977.43 | +$119 (+12.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 98.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,144.89 | 3,144.89 | +$38 (+1.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 99.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,579.18 | 2,579.18 | +$7 (+0.3%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163 | No | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,537.26 | 3,537.26 | +$73 (+2.1%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 105.7¢ | 2,694.34 | 2,694.34 | +$159 (+5.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.2¢ | 4,667.58 | 4,667.58 | +$21 (+0.5%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 20260701001952738 | No | 65.5¢ | 77.0¢ | 818.66 | 818.66 | +$94 (+17.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 90.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$0 (+0.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 205.1 | 205.1 | +$0 (+0.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 903 | 903 | +$2 (+0.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 90.6¢ | 112.9¢ | 16,756.03 | 16,756.03 | +$3,741 (+24.6%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.5¢ | 102.4¢ | 7,552.25 | 7,552.25 | +$222 (+3.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by | No | 96.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 172.37 | 172.37 | +$7 (+4.0%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 129.63 | 129.63 | +$0 (+0.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 101.7¢ | 7,466.03 | 7,466.03 | +$142 (+1.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 103.6¢ | 395.38 | 395.38 | +$15 (+3.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$1 (+0.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.5¢ | 99.9¢ | 102.02 | 102.02 | +$0 (+0.4%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?who will sign uptspt x iran deal 20260612002238373 | No | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 16 | 16 | +$0 (+0.1%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?will hamaz disarm by december 31 | Yes | 51.8¢ | 88.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | +$724 (+69.9%) | Jul 31, 2026 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?us strike on cuba by | No | 65.0¢ | 61.8¢ | 9,985.58 | 9,985.58 | -$323 (-5.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?will russia target kyiv byptptpt 20260727233830630 | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 45 | 45 | +$0 (+1.1%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?will russia target kyiv byptptpt 20260727233830630 | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 72.96 | 72.96 | +$3 (+4.2%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 99.9¢ | 94.9¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | -$501 (-5.0%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 24.6¢ | 16.8¢ | 2,062.18 | 2,062.18 | -$160 (-31.5%) | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 86.4¢ | 93.4¢ | 2,926.34 | 2,926.34 | +$206 (+8.2%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 84.3¢ | 89.6¢ | 29,999.98 | 29,999.98 | +$1,592 (+6.3%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 99.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$58 (+0.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 12.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | -$240 (-100.0%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 99.8¢ | 108.4¢ | 1,283.74 | 1,283.74 | +$111 (+8.6%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 7.2¢ | 3,999.98 | 3,999.98 | -$272 (-48.6%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?next claude opus text arena debut 20260714204425670 | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 438.11 | 438.11 | +$2 (+0.4%) | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | Yes | 24.9¢ | 24.2¢ | 82.92 | 82.92 | -$1 (-2.9%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 75.8¢ | 71.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$240 (-6.3%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 50.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | -$2,005 (-100.0%) | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 6.8¢ | 20.5¢ | 2,218.63 | 2,218.63 | +$305 (+202.0%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 53.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$60 (+5.6%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | Yes | 8.3¢ | 9.0¢ | 10,216.2 | 10,216.2 | +$65 (+7.6%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?trump renames ice to nice by june 30 | No | 73.8¢ | 91.0¢ | 86.88 | 86.88 | +$15 (+23.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | Yes | 10.5¢ | -0.2¢ | 2,200 | 2,200 | -$236 (-101.6%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$775 (+18.3%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$140 (+7.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$11 (+122.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?israel military action against beirut byptptpt 20260708221422557 | No | 98.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 2,446 | 2,446 | +$26 (+1.1%) | Jul 24, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260720155040247 | Yes | 87.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$38 (+14.6%) | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 52.6¢ | 20 | 20 | +$3 (+46.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | No | 66.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$3 (-24.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 20 | 20 | +$4 (+61.3%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 94.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 6,200 | 6,200 | +$355 (+6.1%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 21?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 87.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,341.76 | 2,341.76 | +$292 (+14.2%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | Yes | 3.0¢ | 26.5¢ | 40 | 40 | +$9 (+783.0%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | No | 91.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 19.99 | 19.99 | -$8 (-45.1%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | Yes | 26.7¢ | 34.7¢ | 22,999.98 | 22,999.98 | +$1,851 (+30.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 14?israel military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714001321874 | No | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 150.68 | 150.68 | +$1 (+0.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no orban | Yes | 1.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 8,750.82 | 8,750.82 | -$106 (-100.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancefifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 more markets | Argentina | 42.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 240.96 | 240.96 | -$103 (-100.0%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no orban | No | 32.3¢ | 21.7¢ | 7,251.34 | 7,251.34 | -$771 (-32.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no orban | Yes | 30.2¢ | 16.0¢ | 8,601.9 | 8,601.9 | -$1,224 (-47.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?china x philippines military clash before 2027 | Yes | 32.3¢ | 36.0¢ | 2,285.11 | 2,285.11 | +$85 (+11.6%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 28.9¢ | 15.2¢ | 1,008.56 | 1,008.56 | -$138 (-47.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 86.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,824.54 | 4,824.54 | +$647 (+15.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.1¢ | 11.3¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | +$3,676 (+443.9%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 10.5¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,312.3 | 1,312.3 | -$137 (-100.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 8.3¢ | 4.0¢ | 2,501.92 | 2,501.92 | -$107 (-52.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,219.67 | 3,219.67 | +$6 (+0.2%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 34.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 122 | 122 | -$1 (-2.9%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 68.5¢ | 78.6¢ | 16,429.03 | 16,429.03 | +$1,658 (+14.7%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 74.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000.01 | 3,000.01 | +$778 (+35.0%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | No | 64.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 20 | 20 | -$3 (-21.9%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | No | 60.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2.82 | 2.82 | -$0 (-16.7%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255 | No | 90.0¢ | 95.0¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$300 (+5.6%) | Jul 17, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 28.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 1,045 | 1,045 | +$147 (+50.2%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?will trump meet with netanyahu byptptpt 20260714195149520 | No | 12.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$47 (+391.7%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?next uk chancellor of the exchequer in 2026 20260621005319178 | Yes | 18.6¢ | 1.0¢ | 2,000 | 2,000 | -$352 (-94.6%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 36.0¢ | 49.3¢ | 311 | 311 | +$41 (+36.9%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?will ukraine recapture crimean territory by june 30 2026 | No | 90.0¢ | 89.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$30 (-1.1%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 56.0¢ | 52.4¢ | 279.13 | 279.13 | -$10 (-6.5%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 65.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 255 | 255 | -$40 (-23.8%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 20.9¢ | 6.9¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | -$699 (-67.0%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 11.0¢ | 23.6¢ | 2,439.82 | 2,439.82 | +$307 (+114.5%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | No | 93.8¢ | 96.6¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | +$414 (+2.9%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?israel closes its airspace by | No | 91.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,000 | 4,000 | +$326 (+8.9%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 85.7¢ | 99.5¢ | 8,499.98 | 8,499.98 | +$1,171 (+16.1%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 2,811 | 2,811 | -$169 (-100.0%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancefifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 more markets | Argentina | 32.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 636.11 | 636.11 | +$430 (+208.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advancefifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 more markets | France | 10.9¢ | -0.0¢ | 7,424.66 | 7,424.66 | -$812 (-100.1%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 6.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 15,000 | 15,000 | -$956 (-100.0%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,089.59 | 1,089.59 | +$17 (+1.6%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | No | 8.6¢ | 6.2¢ | 1,105 | 1,105 | -$27 (-28.2%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | No | 17.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 3.03 | 3.03 | +$1 (+194.1%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | Yes | 85.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,113.76 | 2,113.76 | +$314 (+17.4%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | Yes | 85.9¢ | 99.5¢ | 295.21 | 295.21 | +$40 (+15.8%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | Yes | 52.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 931.68 | 931.68 | +$441 (+90.0%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100.2¢ | 5,833.9 | 5,833.9 | +$48 (+0.8%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | No | 98.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,992.93 | 1,992.93 | +$27 (+1.4%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | Yes | 12.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 600 | 600 | +$228 (+316.7%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 4.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$160 (-80.0%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | Yes | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$421 (-79.7%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | Yes | 36.0¢ | 19.0¢ | 50 | 50 | -$9 (-47.2%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 66.0¢ | 80.4¢ | 143.03 | 143.03 | +$21 (+21.9%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,788 | 1,788 | +$2 (+0.1%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 54.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | -$2,721 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 85.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$90 (-3.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 22.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$3,873 (+343.8%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348 | No | 93.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 16,413.59 | 16,413.59 | +$1,045 (+6.8%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$200 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancefifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 more markets | DR Congo | 2.2¢ | 1.3¢ | 28,107.34 | 28,107.34 | -$274 (-43.7%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0.2¢ | 52,822.45 | 52,822.45 | -$734 (-86.9%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?fifwc aus egy | Yes | 41.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 121.95 | 121.95 | -$51 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancefifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 more markets | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 17.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 588.24 | 588.24 | -$102 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.1¢ | -0.0¢ | 193,419.69 | 193,419.69 | -$211 (-109.2%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260626200919626 | No | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,267.5 | 4,267.5 | -$341 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancefifwc par fra 2026 07 04 more markets | Paraguay | 5.3¢ | -0.0¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | -$526 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsfifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 player props | Yes | 5.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 220.57 | 220.57 | -$11 (-100.1%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancefifwc che col 2026 07 07 more markets | Colombia | 60.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 166.67 | 166.67 | -$101 (-100.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?which countries will recognize israel by june 30 | Yes | 1.2¢ | -0.0¢ | 1,204.57 | 1,204.57 | -$14 (-100.3%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?us announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622192051747 | Yes | 17.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 508 | 508 | -$88 (-100.1%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | No | 98.7¢ | 106.2¢ | 4,595.45 | 4,595.45 | +$344 (+7.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by june 30 | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0.9¢ | 17,416.84 | 17,416.84 | -$249 (-62.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?fifwc ger par | Yes | 52.3¢ | 15.2¢ | 1,404.23 | 1,404.23 | -$521 (-71.0%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by | Yes | 14.5¢ | 7.2¢ | 107,933.34 | 107,933.34 | -$7,922 (-50.5%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | Yes | 24.9¢ | 25.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$1 (+0.3%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 94.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$266 (+5.6%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 more markets | England | 69.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 146.52 | 146.52 | +$45 (+44.2%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsfifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 player props | No | 55.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 185.19 | 185.19 | +$83 (+81.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 81.1¢ | 98.1¢ | 1,858.61 | 1,858.61 | +$316 (+21.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260627173804882 | No | 96.9¢ | 99.7¢ | 6,171.08 | 6,171.08 | +$177 (+3.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 73.3¢ | 103.3¢ | 20,443.38 | 20,443.38 | +$6,142 (+41.0%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancefifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 more markets | Spain | 74.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 136.99 | 136.99 | +$36 (+35.2%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 87.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 260.96 | 260.96 | +$32 (+14.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 43.3¢ | 74.5¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$312 (+72.1%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsfifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 player props | Yes | 81.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 915.25 | 915.25 | +$171 (+23.0%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsfifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 player props | No | 98.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 761.97 | 761.97 | +$11 (+1.5%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancefifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 more markets | France | 78.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 128.62 | 128.62 | +$28 (+27.8%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?fifwc fra mar | Yes | 1.9¢ | 1.1¢ | 5,848.19 | 5,848.19 | -$47 (-42.4%) | Jul 9, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,627.12 | 3,627.12 | +$4 (+0.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 7?israel closes its airspace by | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$30 (+1.0%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 90.1¢ | 107.0¢ | 1,585.75 | 1,585.75 | +$268 (+18.7%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 91.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,497.29 | 5,497.29 | +$461 (+9.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 350 | 350 | +$0 (+0.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 491.86 | 491.86 | +$4 (+0.8%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 707.73 | 707.73 | +$7 (+0.9%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,235 | 2,235 | +$2 (+0.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 92.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,312.22 | 3,312.22 | +$254 (+8.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 334.41 | 334.41 | +$1 (+0.2%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,936.12 | 1,936.12 | +$330 (+20.5%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 96.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,283.52 | 1,283.52 | +$48 (+3.9%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.9¢ | 100.1¢ | 1,494.7 | 1,494.7 | +$3 (+0.2%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 97.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,322.71 | 9,322.71 | +$223 (+2.4%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 364 | 364 | +$4 (+1.1%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,402 | 3,402 | +$32 (+1.0%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,744.95 | 8,744.95 | +$138 (+1.6%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 98.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,448.6 | 3,448.6 | +$44 (+1.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | Yes | 9.6¢ | 19.4¢ | 11,000 | 11,000 | +$1,081 (+102.8%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 1.0¢ | 2.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$101 (+98.9%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | Yes | 28.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 39.86 | 39.86 | +$1 (+10.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancefifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 more markets | Egypt | 37.7¢ | 49.2¢ | 270.27 | 270.27 | +$31 (+30.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancefifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 more markets | Argentina | 51.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 196.08 | 196.08 | +$95 (+93.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?avg of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of june | No | 96.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 25.64 | 25.64 | +$1 (+4.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?will ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 | No | 92.3¢ | 99.8¢ | 903.03 | 903.03 | +$68 (+8.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | No | 99.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 6,000 | 6,000 | +$40 (+0.7%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 4.5¢ | 3.8¢ | 219,084.88 | 219,084.88 | -$1,494 (-15.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?iran successfully targets shipping byptptpt 20260629202434609 | No | 84.9¢ | 1.6¢ | 444.28 | 444.28 | -$370 (-98.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?iran successfully targets shipping byptptpt 20260629202434609 | No | 69.0¢ | 1.6¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | -$674 (-97.6%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | No | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 499.99 | 499.99 | +$23 (+4.8%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 97.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,583.24 | 4,583.24 | +$129 (+2.9%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | No | 94.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,568.95 | 1,568.95 | +$79 (+5.3%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,477.9 | 3,477.9 | +$7 (+0.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancefifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 more markets | Spain | 67.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 298.51 | 298.51 | +$97 (+47.8%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | No | 97.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 578.47 | 578.47 | +$17 (+3.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 99.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 5 | 5 | +$0 (+0.9%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 55.9¢ | 68.5¢ | 12,551 | 12,551 | +$1,582 (+22.5%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 21.4¢ | -0.2¢ | 22,527.09 | 22,527.09 | -$4,884 (-101.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?which countries will recognize israel by june 30 | No | 80.3¢ | 83.2¢ | 1,393.86 | 1,393.86 | +$40 (+3.6%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 more markets | Norway | 30.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 678.16 | 678.16 | +$474 (+232.1%) | Jul 5, 2026 |