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0x43e2...5fbd
0x43e2edf8d9b5acc69e419f660b265c5c94535fbd
5.0
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $58.2K
90-Day Window5.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +3.0¢ · 146 resolved
- Hit rate
- 47.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $2.4K / $58.2K
- % return
- +4.0%
- Observations
- 268
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 599.98 | 90.7¢ | 92.0¢ | $552 | +$8 (+1.5%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 66.0¢ | 75.5¢ | $378 | +$48 (+14.4%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 34.0¢ | 35.5¢ | $107 | +$5 (+4.4%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 312.67 | 23.9¢ | 29.5¢ | $92 | +$18 (+23.5%) |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 99.99 | 38.0¢ | 37.5¢ | $37 | -$1 (-1.3%) |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 50 | 57.0¢ | 39.5¢ | $20 | -$9 (-30.7%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 90.7¢ | — | 599.98 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 38.0¢ | — | 99.99 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 93.2¢ | 95.8¢ | 800 | 800 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?iran charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260625175035466 | Yes | 24.0¢ | 19.1¢ | 200 | 200 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 40.4¢ | 41.5¢ | 1,699.97 | 1,800.14 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | Yes | 66.0¢ | — | 500 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | Yes | 23.9¢ | — | 312.66 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by october 31 | Yes | 65.2¢ | 56.9¢ | 450 | 400 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 45.7¢ | 48.8¢ | 299.99 | 399.99 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by | Yes | 34.0¢ | — | 300 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 82.9¢ | 85.5¢ | 1,500 | 1,500 | +$38 (+2.8%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 89.8¢ | 801.08 | 801.07 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | 300 | 300 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 65.5¢ | 66.2¢ | 1,100 | 1,100 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 93.1¢ | 95.4¢ | 2,651.07 | 2,651.08 | +$91 (+3.3%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 77.4¢ | 83.4¢ | 149.99 | 149.99 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 90.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 222.23 | 222.22 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by december 31 | Yes | 52.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 55.0¢ | 57.7¢ | 300 | 300 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?will iran target ukraine byptptpt 20260727234956916 | Yes | 13.0¢ | 13.3¢ | 100 | 100 | — | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 27 2026?will wti hit week of july 27 2026 | Yes | 54.4¢ | 69.0¢ | 758 | 757.99 | +$110 (+17.3%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 70.7¢ | 68.6¢ | 300 | 1,242.85 | +$125 (+7.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 95.1¢ | 98.2¢ | 599.99 | 599.99 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 39.0¢ | 66.8¢ | 699.92 | 699.92 | +$206 (+41.8%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 38.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 210 | 210 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 85.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 200 | 200 | +$30 (+17.5%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 67.7¢ | 66.7¢ | 100 | 100 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 89.4¢ | 90.8¢ | 1,249.51 | 1,249.51 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 66.0¢ | 61.6¢ | 100 | 100 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 41.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 1.69 | 1.69 | — | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?what price will wti hit in july 2026 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 512.93 | 512.93 | +$36 (+7.5%) | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup erling haaland goals 20260611150914296 | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 200 | 200 | +$58 (+40.7%) | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?will spacexs valuation hit by june 30 | Yes | 10.2¢ | 12.4¢ | 2,030.36 | 2,030.36 | +$46 (+22.3%) | Jun 22, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 79.9¢ | 95.1¢ | 5,484.09 | 5,484.09 | +$830 (+18.9%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | Yes | 91.0¢ | 96.9¢ | 1,599.94 | 1,599.94 | +$94 (+6.5%) | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?will spacexs valuation hit by june 30 | Yes | 51.8¢ | 64.0¢ | 523.12 | 523.12 | +$64 (+23.6%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?us iran nuclear deal before 2027 | Yes | 86.3¢ | 93.4¢ | 3,299.99 | 3,299.99 | +$232 (+8.2%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 82.0¢ | 84.5¢ | 1,305.97 | 1,305.97 | +$33 (+3.0%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 455 | Yes | 5.1¢ | 8.4¢ | 6,686.45 | 6,686.45 | +$221 (+64.8%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | Yes | 92.0¢ | 99.2¢ | 400 | 400 | +$29 (+7.8%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?bitcoin above on june 8 2026 | Yes | 89.2¢ | 92.6¢ | 1,301.03 | 1,301.03 | +$44 (+3.8%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 40.4¢ | 41.6¢ | 2,897.97 | 2,897.97 | +$35 (+3.0%) | Jun 5, 2026 | |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by | Yes | 22.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 99.99 | 99.99 | +$61 (+277.3%) | Jun 4, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 89.8¢ | 97.3¢ | 800 | 800 | +$61 (+8.5%) | May 24, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | No | 91.7¢ | 95.6¢ | 891.05 | 891.05 | +$35 (+4.3%) | May 23, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?elon musk of tweets may 8 may 15 | No | 47.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 200.09 | 200.09 | +$104 (+108.6%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?elon musk of tweets may 8 may 15 | No | 86.1¢ | 93.6¢ | 399.99 | 399.99 | +$30 (+8.8%) | May 13, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 87.0¢ | 99.9¢ | 400 | 400 | +$51 (+14.8%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire before 2027 | Yes | 36.4¢ | 41.4¢ | 1,855 | 1,855 | +$92 (+13.6%) | May 9, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 42.0¢ | 53.9¢ | 320 | 320 | +$38 (+28.3%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 44.0¢ | 51.8¢ | 800 | 800 | +$63 (+17.8%) | May 7, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 59.1¢ | 64.7¢ | 1,999.99 | 1,999.99 | +$111 (+9.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?what price will wti hit in may 2026 | Yes | 96.5¢ | 99.2¢ | 1,292.62 | 1,292.62 | +$36 (+2.9%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?what price will wti hit in april 2026 | Yes | 38.1¢ | 64.9¢ | 170 | 170 | +$46 (+70.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 51.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 80 | 80 | +$25 (+60.8%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 329 | No | 60.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$33 (+55.0%) | Apr 25, 2026 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?where will the next us iran diplomatic meeting happen 811 | Yes | 97.9¢ | 98.7¢ | 5,966.33 | 5,966.33 | +$47 (+0.8%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?us x iran diplomatic meeting by 833 | Yes | 93.0¢ | 96.8¢ | 722.78 | 722.78 | +$28 (+4.2%) | Apr 9, 2026 | |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by | Yes | 40.5¢ | 58.1¢ | 249.96 | 249.96 | +$44 (+43.4%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?us x iran ceasefire before trump visits china | Yes | 52.4¢ | 79.9¢ | 485.13 | 485.13 | +$133 (+52.4%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 79.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 500 | 500 | +$95 (+24.1%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | No | 62.8¢ | 79.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$32 (+25.7%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?us forces enter iran by | Yes | 96.0¢ | 97.7¢ | 1,514.83 | 1,514.83 | +$26 (+1.8%) | Apr 5, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?will crude oil cl hit by end of march | Yes | 2.3¢ | 5.7¢ | 1,708.96 | 1,708.96 | +$57 (+145.5%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?will crude oil cl hit by end of march | No | 87.5¢ | 89.3¢ | 1,409.37 | 1,409.37 | +$25 (+2.1%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?what will crude oil cl settle at in march | Yes | 88.5¢ | 97.5¢ | 372.34 | 372.34 | +$34 (+10.2%) | Mar 31, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?cl hit jun 2026 | Yes | 95.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 799.95 | 799.95 | +$33 (+4.3%) | Mar 30, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?will crude oil cl hit by end of march | Yes | 90.2¢ | 92.2¢ | 3,932.09 | 3,932.09 | +$78 (+2.2%) | Mar 30, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?will crude oil cl hit by end of march | No | 95.9¢ | 99.1¢ | 3,414.03 | 3,414.03 | +$111 (+3.4%) | Mar 30, 2026 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?will crude oil cl hit by end of march | Yes | 90.9¢ | 95.8¢ | 903.97 | 903.97 | +$45 (+5.4%) | Mar 27, 2026 | |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?how many ships transit the strait of hormuz this week mar 17 23 | No | 93.1¢ | 99.3¢ | 400 | 400 | +$25 (+6.6%) | Mar 18, 2026 | |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?what will the usisrael target in iran by march 31 | Yes | 44.3¢ | 75.0¢ | 206.66 | 206.66 | +$63 (+69.4%) | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by october 31 | Yes | 8.0¢ | 16.4¢ | 400 | 400 | +$34 (+105.6%) | Mar 3, 2026 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 | Yes | 0.8¢ | 53.5¢ | 307.09 | 307.09 | +$162 (+6590.2%) | Jan 2, 2026 |