◆ Contact Dossier
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
4.7
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $11.4M
90-Day Window4.7 SIG
- Edge / share
- +4.1¢ · 31 resolved
- Hit rate
- 71.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $1.3M / $11.4M
- % return
- +13.8%
- Observations
- 42
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
-1.3%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 5
2W · 3L5 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes43.1¢ → 100.0¢+132%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No84.8¢ → 100.0¢+18%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No75.4¢ → 9.5¢-87%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes73.2¢ → 7.2¢-90%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes42.7¢ → -0.0¢-100%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 593,512.12 | 79.3¢ | 95.9¢ | $568,881 | +$98,113 (+20.8%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 574,826.14 | 60.2¢ | 15.5¢ | $89,098 | -$256,977 (-74.3%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 176,754.68 | 90.4¢ | 93.4¢ | $165,089 | +$5,271 (+3.3%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 147,947.52 | 82.4¢ | 77.0¢ | $113,920 | -$7,940 (-6.5%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 143,809.83 | 56.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $28,043 | -$53,066 (-65.4%) |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 139,613.33 | 87.0¢ | 49.3¢ | $68,760 | -$52,672 (-43.4%) |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 105,999.96 | 85.0¢ | 44.5¢ | $47,170 | -$42,989 (-47.7%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 80,439.8 | 68.0¢ | 81.5¢ | $65,558 | +$10,854 (+19.8%) |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 69,999.97 | 82.0¢ | 77.5¢ | $54,250 | -$3,150 (-5.5%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 50,747.09 | 93.9¢ | 99.7¢ | $50,569 | +$2,915 (+6.1%) |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 49,999.98 | 85.0¢ | 78.5¢ | $39,250 | -$3,250 (-7.6%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 49,917.26 | 78.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $46,673 | +$7,327 (+18.6%) |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 44,502.23 | 78.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $42,522 | +$7,822 (+22.5%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 33,000 | 88.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $32,159 | +$2,888 (+9.9%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 28,999.92 | 18.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $5,655 | +$325 (+6.1%) |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 28,692.54 | 87.9¢ | 98.2¢ | $28,162 | +$2,937 (+11.6%) |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 26,909.55 | 84.9¢ | 98.3¢ | $26,452 | +$3,608 (+15.8%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 25,000 | 28.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $6,625 | -$375 (-5.4%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 24,022.46 | 82.9¢ | 99.6¢ | $23,926 | +$4,007 (+20.1%) |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 20,744.14 | 86.3¢ | 94.4¢ | $19,582 | +$1,676 (+9.4%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20,577 | 13.4¢ | 10.5¢ | $2,161 | -$603 (-21.8%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19,999.97 | 88.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $16,300 | -$1,400 (-7.9%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 16,999.94 | 87.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $16,575 | +$1,725 (+11.6%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 15,451.07 | 94.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $14,748 | +$221 (+1.5%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 15,374.27 | 74.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $11,300 | -$99 (-0.9%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 15,000 | 92.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $13,875 | +$25 (+0.2%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14,999.94 | 7.0¢ | 3.0¢ | $457 | -$592 (-56.4%) |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 12,999.99 | 49.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $7,215 | +$845 (+13.3%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 11,921.03 | 83.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $9,596 | -$318 (-3.2%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 10,000 | 28.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $550 | -$2,297 (-80.7%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10,000 | 92.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $9,250 | +$0 (+0.0%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 9,999.91 | 76.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $850 | -$6,750 (-88.8%) |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9,920.39 | 13.0¢ | 6.2¢ | $615 | -$675 (-52.3%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 9,439.42 | 92.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $9,123 | +$389 (+4.5%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,000.02 | 45.8¢ | 7.5¢ | $600 | -$3,064 (-83.6%) |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 93.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $7,804 | +$319 (+4.3%) |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 5,883.53 | 84.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $5,854 | +$898 (+18.1%) |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 5,000.13 | 75.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,625 | +$858 (+22.8%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 73.0¢ | 85.5¢ | $4,275 | +$625 (+17.1%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 5,000 | 75.8¢ | 95.4¢ | $4,770 | +$980 (+25.9%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 91.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $4,860 | +$280 (+6.1%) |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 4,700 | 79.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,348 | +$637 (+17.2%) |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 3,599.99 | 90.7¢ | 97.9¢ | $3,524 | +$257 (+7.9%) |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 69.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $1,365 | -$705 (-34.1%) |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 2,902.3 | 88.0¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,831 | +$276 (+10.8%) |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,680.97 | 84.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $2,639 | +$367 (+16.2%) |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Yes | 2,504 | 93.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $2,413 | +$78 (+3.3%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 2,500 | 77.2¢ | 97.6¢ | $2,440 | +$510 (+26.4%) |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Yes | 2,467.49 | 91.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,258 | +$12 (+0.5%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 2,299.63 | 91.0¢ | 96.2¢ | $2,211 | +$118 (+5.7%) |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 13.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $430 | +$160 (+59.3%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 1,914.73 | 91.1¢ | 4.3¢ | $82 | -$1,663 (-95.3%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1,876.2 | 93.0¢ | 98.1¢ | $1,841 | +$96 (+5.5%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 1,802.44 | 55.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $820 | -$171 (-17.3%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 1,200 | 66.0¢ | 94.4¢ | $1,133 | +$341 (+43.0%) |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,064.57 | 81.9¢ | 24.0¢ | $255 | -$616 (-70.7%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1,016.94 | 31.6¢ | 17.9¢ | $183 | -$139 (-43.2%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 44.8¢ | 15.0¢ | $150 | -$298 (-66.5%) |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | 55.0¢ | 25.5¢ | $255 | -$295 (-53.6%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 965.92 | 92.0¢ | 98.0¢ | $947 | +$58 (+6.5%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 729.99 | 76.3¢ | 84.0¢ | $613 | +$56 (+10.1%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 415.68 | 83.0¢ | 97.0¢ | $403 | +$58 (+16.8%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 376.74 | 75.0¢ | 95.7¢ | $361 | +$78 (+27.6%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 329.83 | 83.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $325 | +$48 (+17.5%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 190.64 | 89.3¢ | 98.7¢ | $188 | +$18 (+10.4%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 10.02 | 79.7¢ | 18.5¢ | $2 | -$6 (-76.8%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 73.0¢ | — | 831.25 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 | Anthropic | 91.0¢ | — | 2,467.49 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D Housebalance of power 2026 midterms | Yes | 28.0¢ | — | 25,000 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | No | 18.4¢ | — | 28,999.92 | 0 | — | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 42.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,299.98 | 5,299.98 | -$2,265 (-100.0%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | Yes | 43.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,299.99 | 5,299.99 | +$3,017 (+132.1%) | Oct 5, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | No | 74.0¢ | 12.1¢ | 7,286.08 | 20,178.28 | -$16,912 (-87.4%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 2nd place | Yes | 71.4¢ | 10.9¢ | 23,996.19 | 32,999.98 | -$33,022 (-90.2%) | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?which party will win the house in 2026 | No | 92.3¢ | — | 15,000 | 0 | — | Oct 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by | Yes | 11.0¢ | — | 577.02 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?crude oil all time high by | No | 89.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,999.97 | 1,999.97 | +$220 (+12.4%) | Oct 2, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?will openais valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 76.3¢ | — | 729.99 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?anthropic ipo by | Yes | 77.9¢ | — | 461 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?brazil presidential election first round 3rd place | No | 83.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,025.02 | 0 | +$1,970 (+17.9%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fed decision in october 20260617190323537 | Yes | 31.0¢ | 28.5¢ | 4,000 | 16,000 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 78.6¢ | — | 3,198.15 | 0 | — | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?will the us confirm that aliens exist before 2027 | No | 90.5¢ | 97.5¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$701 (+7.7%) | Oct 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | No | 85.0¢ | — | 23,273.07 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Another Fed rate hike in 2026?another fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 82.0¢ | — | 59,632.16 | 0 | — | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by | No | 87.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 6,999.97 | 6,999.97 | +$420 (+6.9%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will Iran Play in the World Cup?will iran play in the world cup | Yes | 86.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 6,999.96 | 6,999.96 | +$420 (+7.0%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 63.5¢ | 77.2¢ | 38,999.95 | 38,999.95 | +$5,330 (+21.5%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETbtc updown 15m 1781822700 | Up | 87.3¢ | 89.2¢ | 25 | 25 | +$0 (+2.1%) | Sep 25, 2026 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?zelenskyy out as ukraine president before 2027 | No | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,450,010 | 2,450,010 | +$0 (0.0%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?zelenskyy out as ukraine president before 2027 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 2,450,010 | 2,450,010 | +$0 (0.0%) | Sep 22, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 66.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,818,330.77 | 5,818,330.77 | +$1,970,005 (+51.2%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 94.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 48,598.44 | 48,598.44 | +$2,940 (+6.4%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?how many fed rate hikes in 2026 20260623190717369 | No | 49.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,045.44 | 2,045.44 | +$1,037 (+102.8%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 98.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,068,868.95 | 3,068,868.95 | +$52,613 (+1.7%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 255,796.22 | 255,796.22 | +$153,411 (+149.9%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | No | 57.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,699.99 | 8,699.99 | +$3,722 (+74.8%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 40.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 24,965.46 | 24,965.46 | +$14,960 (+149.5%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | No | 77.6¢ | 50.0¢ | 24,498.28 | 24,498.28 | -$6,764 (-35.6%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 130,394.99 | 130,394.99 | +$70,395 (+117.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 49.4¢ | 91.0¢ | 142,202.99 | 142,202.99 | +$59,265 (+84.5%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2.63 | 2.63 | +$2 (+233.3%) | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?ipos before 2027 | No | 61.0¢ | 10.9¢ | 10,030.79 | 10,030.79 | -$5,026 (-82.2%) | Sep 13, 2026 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 89.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 52,000 | 52,000 | +$5,243 (+11.2%) | Aug 27, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 31 | Yes | 66.4¢ | -0.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | -$3,320 (-100.0%) | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?fed decisions apr jul | No | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 49,999.98 | 49,999.98 | -$5,000 (-100.0%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 217,315.33 | 217,315.33 | +$4,762 (+2.2%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 15.8¢ | 1.0¢ | 2,843,288.37 | 2,843,288.37 | -$419,740 (-93.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 17.5¢ | 1.2¢ | 1,980,172.21 | 1,980,172.21 | -$323,619 (-93.3%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 98.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 426,826.82 | 426,826.82 | +$6,611 (+1.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 99.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$532 (+0.7%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | 100,000 | 100,000 | +$299 (+65.0%) | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 9.0¢ | 13.1¢ | 79,999.99 | 79,999.99 | +$3,301 (+45.7%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 16.5¢ | 20.4¢ | 79,999.97 | 79,999.97 | +$3,079 (+23.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?world cup unbeaten champion | Yes | 77.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 7,999.94 | 7,999.94 | +$1,808 (+29.2%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 17.2¢ | 37.1¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$15,896 (+115.5%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?june inflation us annual 20260610151727862 | No | 98.5¢ | 0.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | -$2,955 (-100.0%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?june inflation us annual 20260610151727862 | No | 75.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,924.98 | 6,924.98 | +$1,724 (+33.2%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.5¢ | 4.6¢ | 99,999.74 | 99,999.74 | +$2,074 (+83.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 11.5¢ | 14.2¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$2,105 (+22.8%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?will the steam machine cost 700 or more at release | Yes | 86.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,280.5 | 2,280.5 | +$302 (+15.3%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of june | Yes | 43.1¢ | 21.9¢ | 40,000 | 40,000 | -$8,458 (-49.1%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?which continent will win the world cup | No | 97.7¢ | 99.6¢ | 44,999.98 | 44,999.98 | +$888 (+2.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 9.7¢ | -0.0¢ | 56,629.68 | 56,629.68 | -$5,494 (-100.0%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldoworld cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837 | Messi | 97.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,999.94 | 12,999.94 | +$276 (+2.2%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup golden boot winner | No | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 5,000 | 5,000 | +$123 (+2.5%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.6¢ | -0.0¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | -$6,866 (-100.0%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?anthropic vs meta higher valuation on june 30 | Meta | 90.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,000 | 3,000 | +$290 (+10.7%) | Jul 1, 2026 |