◆ Contact Dossier
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
0.0
/ 10 · 90D
Porpoise
Class · est. size $3.8M
90-Day Window0.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- -15.4¢ · 237 resolved
- Hit rate
- 48.2%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$723K / $3.8M
- % return
- -21.5%
- Observations
- 340
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+62.2K%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogJun 23
+62.2K%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 628,869.06 | 95.9¢ | 98.4¢ | $618,493 | +$15,563 (+2.6%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 558,512.12 | 78.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $488,977 | +$48,789 (+11.1%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 430,239.19 | 48.6¢ | 47.5¢ | $204,364 | -$4,607 (-2.2%) |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 139,613.33 | 87.0¢ | 92.0¢ | $128,444 | +$7,012 (+5.8%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 107,947.52 | 82.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $91,216 | +$2,356 (+2.7%) |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 95,999.96 | 85.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $87,840 | +$6,180 (+7.6%) |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 114,601.44 | 49.0¢ | 62.5¢ | $71,626 | +$15,432 (+27.5%) |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 47,980.86 | 93.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $47,117 | +$2,111 (+4.7%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 52,000 | 89.9¢ | 85.0¢ | $44,200 | -$2,550 (-5.5%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 45,702.42 | 91.0¢ | 93.8¢ | $42,846 | +$1,257 (+3.0%) |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 44,502.23 | 78.0¢ | 88.5¢ | $39,384 | +$4,684 (+13.5%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 33,000 | 88.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $31,779 | +$2,508 (+8.6%) |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 28,692.54 | 87.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $28,018 | +$2,793 (+11.1%) |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 26,909.55 | 84.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $24,622 | +$1,778 (+7.8%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 24,022.46 | 82.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $21,981 | +$2,061 (+10.3%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 31,999.87 | 72.2¢ | 63.5¢ | $20,320 | -$2,790 (-12.1%) |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 15,867.12 | 84.9¢ | 94.0¢ | $14,915 | +$1,447 (+10.7%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 16,999.94 | 87.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $14,535 | -$315 (-2.1%) |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 30,320 | 53.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $13,796 | -$2,423 (-14.9%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 11,441.77 | 94.0¢ | 96.4¢ | $11,024 | +$274 (+2.5%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10,747.12 | 87.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $10,156 | +$721 (+7.6%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 19,999.98 | 53.7¢ | 50.5¢ | $10,100 | -$650 (-6.0%) |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 93.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $7,636 | +$151 (+2.0%) |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 12,999.99 | 49.0¢ | 51.5¢ | $6,695 | +$325 (+5.1%) |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 5,883.53 | 84.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $5,563 | +$606 (+12.2%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 5,000 | 90.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $4,883 | +$373 (+8.3%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 91.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,625 | +$45 (+1.0%) |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 5,000.13 | 75.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $4,425 | +$658 (+17.5%) |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 4,700 | 79.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,301 | +$590 (+15.9%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 73.0¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,175 | +$525 (+14.4%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 4,439.42 | 92.0¢ | 94.0¢ | $4,173 | +$89 (+2.2%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 5,000 | 75.8¢ | 73.0¢ | $3,650 | -$140 (-3.7%) |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 10,030.79 | 61.0¢ | 34.5¢ | $3,460 | -$2,658 (-43.4%) |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 3,599.99 | 90.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,436 | +$169 (+5.2%) |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 2,902.3 | 88.0¢ | 98.9¢ | $2,869 | +$314 (+12.3%) |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,680.97 | 84.8¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,603 | +$331 (+14.6%) |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 5,289 | 57.8¢ | 47.5¢ | $2,512 | -$543 (-17.8%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 2,500 | 77.2¢ | 91.0¢ | $2,276 | +$346 (+17.9%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 2,282.33 | 91.0¢ | 92.0¢ | $2,100 | +$23 (+1.1%) |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 1,999.97 | 89.0¢ | 95.3¢ | $1,906 | +$126 (+7.1%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1,876.2 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,773 | +$28 (+1.6%) |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 2,030.44 | 49.0¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,249 | +$253 (+25.4%) |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 69.0¢ | 36.0¢ | $1,080 | -$990 (-47.8%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 1,200 | 66.0¢ | 89.8¢ | $1,078 | +$285 (+36.0%) |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 965.92 | 92.0¢ | 96.0¢ | $928 | +$39 (+4.4%) |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,064.57 | 81.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $910 | +$39 (+4.4%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,000.02 | 45.8¢ | 11.0¢ | $880 | -$2,784 (-76.0%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 10,000 | 28.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $850 | -$1,997 (-70.1%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,103.76 | 15.0¢ | 22.5¢ | $473 | +$158 (+50.0%) |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10,000 | 13.0¢ | 4.4¢ | $440 | -$860 (-66.2%) |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1,016.94 | 31.6¢ | 37.6¢ | $383 | +$62 (+19.2%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 44.8¢ | 35.5¢ | $355 | -$93 (-20.7%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 376.74 | 75.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $345 | +$62 (+22.0%) |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 329.83 | 83.8¢ | 92.6¢ | $305 | +$29 (+10.6%) |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 1,914.73 | 91.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $163 | -$1,583 (-90.7%) |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | 55.0¢ | 9.5¢ | $95 | -$455 (-82.7%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 70.47 | 83.0¢ | 86.5¢ | $61 | +$2 (+4.2%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 62 | 61.0¢ | 50.5¢ | $31 | -$7 (-17.2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 10.02 | 79.7¢ | 62.0¢ | $6 | -$2 (-22.3%) |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.63 | 30.0¢ | 55.5¢ | $1 | +$1 (+85.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?fed rate hike by | Yes | 56.0¢ | — | 24,742 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 98.1¢ | — | 1,865.9 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 63.0¢ | — | 7,000 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?largest ipo by market cap in 2026 287 | No | 92.8¢ | — | 19,413.4 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | No | 84.8¢ | — | 60,000 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 54.2¢ | — | 228,618.89 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 88.9¢ | — | 60,000 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Fed rate hike in 2026?fed rate hike in 2026 | Yes | 67.0¢ | — | 10,000 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 97.5¢ | — | 39,772.62 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | No | 61.0¢ | — | 62 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?fed decisions jun sep | Yes | 58.2¢ | — | 4,789 | 0 | — | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?fed rate cut by 629 | No | 97.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 217,315.33 | 217,315.33 | +$4,791 (+2.3%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 98.3¢ | 99.9¢ | 426,826.82 | 426,826.82 | +$6,824 (+1.6%) | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 8.9¢ | 13.2¢ | 79,999.99 | 79,999.99 | +$3,425 (+48.3%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 16.3¢ | 21.0¢ | 79,999.97 | 79,999.97 | +$3,780 (+29.1%) | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 16.9¢ | 37.1¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$16,108 (+118.8%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 2.5¢ | 4.8¢ | 99,999.74 | 99,999.74 | +$2,300 (+92.0%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 11.3¢ | 14.8¢ | 80,000 | 80,000 | +$2,760 (+30.4%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?colombia presidential election | No | 63.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 41,999.92 | 41,999.92 | +$15,516 (+58.6%) | Jun 24, 2026 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?fed decision in june 825 | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 130,500 | 130,500 | +$2,428 (+1.9%) | Jun 17, 2026 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?us iran nuclear deal before 2027 | Yes | 52.3¢ | 96.0¢ | 9,999.9 | 9,999.9 | +$4,369 (+83.5%) | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 37.4¢ | 60.7¢ | 16,086.98 | 16,086.98 | +$3,752 (+62.4%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026 nba champion | Yes | 14.9¢ | 40.4¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$12,768 (+171.5%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?will trump restart project freedom by | Yes | 33.0¢ | 82.6¢ | 6,999.66 | 6,999.66 | +$3,474 (+150.4%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?spacex ipo closing market cap lowest strikes | Yes | 91.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 36,540 | 36,540 | +$2,975 (+8.9%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?spacex ipo closing market cap above | Yes | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 25,415.58 | 25,415.58 | +$3,951 (+18.4%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?spacex ipo by | Yes | 68.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$2,550 (+46.8%) | Jun 12, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 63.3¢ | 77.4¢ | 38,999.95 | 38,999.95 | +$5,466 (+22.1%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?trump announces us blockade of hormuz lifted by | Yes | 24.6¢ | 47.1¢ | 24,999.98 | 24,999.98 | +$5,625 (+91.5%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026 mens french open winner | No | 28.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 4,999.94 | 4,999.94 | +$2,600 (+185.7%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may | No | 76.0¢ | 93.3¢ | 20,199.99 | 20,199.99 | +$3,492 (+22.7%) | Jun 2, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?what price will bitcoin hit in may 2026 | No | 74.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 18,058.98 | 18,058.98 | +$4,645 (+34.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?what price will bitcoin hit in may 2026 | No | 52.9¢ | 83.3¢ | 16,499.98 | 16,499.98 | +$5,026 (+57.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?uefa champions league winner | Yes | 26.2¢ | 58.1¢ | 19,999.89 | 19,999.89 | +$6,380 (+121.6%) | May 30, 2026 | |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?epl bou mac | Yes | 25.0¢ | 55.9¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$3,093 (+123.8%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by may 15 | Yes | 0.7¢ | 50.0¢ | 39,999.98 | 39,999.98 | +$19,720 (+7042.7%) | May 19, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?what price will bitcoin hit may 11 17 | No | 59.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,000 | 9,000 | +$3,690 (+69.5%) | May 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 91.0¢ | 97.0¢ | 49,999.98 | 49,999.98 | +$2,999 (+6.6%) | May 16, 2026 | |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?who will be confirmed as fed chair | No | 96.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 99,999.98 | 99,999.98 | +$3,252 (+3.4%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?kevin warsh confirmed as fed chair by may 15 | Yes | 76.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 18,374.1 | 18,374.1 | +$4,308 (+30.6%) | May 14, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?what price will bitcoin hit may 4 10 | No | 65.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 8,999.99 | 8,999.99 | +$3,150 (+53.8%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?ucl ars atm1 | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,599.92 | 9,599.92 | +$3,744 (+63.9%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?epl eve mac | No | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.92 | 9,999.92 | +$6,700 (+203.0%) | May 5, 2026 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?trump announces end of military operations against iran by | Yes | 38.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.97 | 9,999.97 | +$6,202 (+163.3%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 86.7¢ | 99.2¢ | 55,000 | 55,000 | +$6,874 (+14.4%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | No | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 29,271 | 29,271 | +$3,807 (+15.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?ucl liv1 psg1 | No | 60.0¢ | 97.6¢ | 8,000 | 8,000 | +$3,009 (+62.7%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?ucl psg1 liv1 | Yes | 53.0¢ | 99.3¢ | 7,000 | 7,000 | +$3,244 (+87.4%) | Apr 14, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 52.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,998.78 | 6,998.78 | +$3,339 (+91.3%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?lal mad bar | No | 68.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$3,169 (+46.6%) | Apr 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 0.2¢ | 50.0¢ | 28,000 | 28,000 | +$13,944 (+24900.0%) | Mar 6, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 31.9¢ | 50.0¢ | 23,000 | 23,000 | +$4,153 (+56.5%) | Mar 6, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | Yes | 74.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 145,000 | 145,000 | +$36,674 (+33.9%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?who will trump nominate as fed chair | No | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 334,620.09 | 334,620.09 | +$15,416 (+4.8%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?who will trump nominate as fed chair | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 100,999.94 | 100,999.94 | +$6,088 (+6.4%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?what price will bitcoin hit february 23 march 1 | Yes | 1.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 6,499.96 | 6,499.96 | +$3,184 (+4825.6%) | Mar 4, 2026 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?us strikes iran by | Yes | 72.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 89,999.98 | 89,999.98 | +$24,869 (+38.2%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by june 30 747 | Yes | 83.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 30,000 | 30,000 | +$4,881 (+19.4%) | Mar 2, 2026 | |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?judy shelton fed chair nomination odds above by feb 20 | No | 90.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 64,159.99 | 64,159.99 | +$5,928 (+10.2%) | Feb 24, 2026 | |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?judy shelton fed chair nomination odds above by feb 20 | No | 98.2¢ | 100.0¢ | 130,138.14 | 130,138.14 | +$2,352 (+1.8%) | Feb 24, 2026 | |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by friday | No | 69.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$3,041 (+43.7%) | Feb 17, 2026 |