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0x289f...4f9a
0x289fea1268b85373f817ad4ed666b04992034f9a
6.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $10.3K
90-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +11.3¢ · 31 resolved
- Hit rate
- 81.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $1.5K / $10.3K
- % return
- +15.6%
- Observations
- 43
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+13%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogOct 1
2W · 0L2 markets
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No44.0¢ → 78.0¢+77%
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes46.1¢ → 50.0¢+8.4%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 850.99 | 70.8¢ | 55.8¢ | $475 | -$128 (-21.2%) |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 805.47 | 74.9¢ | 87.5¢ | $705 | +$102 (+16.9%) |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 658.54 | 40.0¢ | 26.5¢ | $175 | -$89 (-33.7%) |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 400 | 13.0¢ | 14.5¢ | $58 | +$6 (+11.5%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 96.76 | 6.9¢ | 2.9¢ | $3 | -$4 (-57.2%) |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | -$4 (-90.0%) |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.63 | 30.0¢ | 96.0¢ | $3 | +$2 (+220.0%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | No | 70.8¢ | — | 850.99 | 0 | — | Oct 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 44.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 163.31 | 163.31 | +$56 (+77.3%) | Oct 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | No | 74.9¢ | — | 805.47 | 0 | — | Sep 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?unl ser nld | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 99.99 | 0 | +$32 (+47.1%) | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?ballon dor winner 2026 | Yes | 6.9¢ | — | 96.76 | 0 | — | Sep 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace talks by december 31 20260812153824803 | Yes | 14.0¢ | 20.7¢ | 366 | 366 | +$25 (+48.0%) | Sep 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?saudi oil pipeline east west restarts byptptpt | Yes | 46.1¢ | 50.0¢ | 550 | 549.99 | +$21 (+8.4%) | Sep 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?will iran withdraw from the npt before 2027 | Yes | 13.4¢ | 13.8¢ | 3,296 | 3,296 | +$17 (+3.9%) | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?iran oman hormuz management agreement byptptpt 20260804222725871 | Yes | 32.2¢ | 33.0¢ | 468.41 | 111.72 | — | Sep 12, 2026 |
| ▸ | Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?putin meets with iranian officials by december 31 | No | 40.0¢ | — | 10 | 0 | — | Sep 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 11, 2026?will iran target an arab country byptptpt 20260901 | No | 8.3¢ | — | 350 | 0 | — | Sep 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?where will enzo fernandez transfer 20260612231640461 | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 290 | 0 | +$64 (+28.2%) | Aug 31, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?where will julian alvarez transfer 20260612230221012 | Yes | 13.8¢ | 17.1¢ | 380 | 379.94 | +$13 (+23.9%) | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 93.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 39 | 0 | +$3 (+7.5%) | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?usd x iranian rials end of august 20260728205517245 | Yes | 46.8¢ | 4.6¢ | 532.74 | 532.74 | -$230 (-90.4%) | Aug 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election | Yes | 33.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 1,000 | 999.91 | -$0 (-0.0%) | Aug 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?usd x iranian rials end of august 20260728205517245 | No | 51.0¢ | 95.1¢ | 64.6 | 64.59 | +$28 (+86.0%) | Aug 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by August 31?will usd hit iranian rials by august 31 20260728205801827 | Yes | 15.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 141.37 | 141.37 | +$109 (+493.1%) | Aug 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?uefa champions league 2027 champion 20260701202025549 | Yes | 13.0¢ | — | 400 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?usd x iranian rials end of august 20260728205517245 | Yes | 27.4¢ | — | 120 | 0 | — | Aug 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 20.5¢ | — | 313.99 | 0 | — | Aug 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 71.5¢ | 18.0¢ | 400 | 400 | -$214 (-74.8%) | Aug 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 11, 2026?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260729163314520 | No | 82.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 364.67 | 0 | +$63 (+20.9%) | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 | Yes | 18.0¢ | 20.5¢ | 200 | 200 | +$2 (+4.9%) | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 54.0¢ | 91.9¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$379 (+70.2%) | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?michigan senate election winner | No | 40.0¢ | — | 658.54 | 0 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?will iran target a arab country onptptpt 20260801004719118 | No | 72.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 464.13 | 0 | +$129 (+38.4%) | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 54.0¢ | 54.7¢ | 514.04 | 514.04 | +$4 (+1.3%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?where will vinicius junior transfer 20260612232836376 | No | 68.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 263.82 | 0 | +$82 (+44.9%) | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?will iran target ukraine byptptpt 20260727234956916 | Yes | 3.9¢ | 5.5¢ | 1,000 | 1,000 | +$16 (+41.6%) | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by december 31 | Yes | 29.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 1,899.98 | 999.97 | -$7 (-1.3%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 0.3¢ | 2.3¢ | 339.99 | 2,858.22 | +$61 (+1011.9%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace by august 31 20260623143114130 | No | 92.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 100 | 0 | +$8 (+8.2%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?who will attend a round of us iran peace by august 31 20260623143114130 | No | 91.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 83.32 | 0 | +$7 (+9.3%) | Jul 21, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?mojtaba khamenei public appearance by | No | 97.0¢ | 98.5¢ | 802.93 | 802.88 | +$12 (+1.5%) | Jul 20, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup young player award winner 20260602160649063 | No | 17.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 199.99 | 0 | +$166 (+488.2%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?where will the next next round of us iran peace talks beptptpt 20260623023740663 | Yes | 10.7¢ | 12.0¢ | 959.79 | 499.99 | +$3 (+3.0%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?saudi arabia military action against yemen byptptpt 20260714210903830 | No | 74.0¢ | 90.0¢ | 169.61 | 169.61 | +$27 (+21.6%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?houthi military action against saudi arabia byptptpt 20260714212508550 | No | 80.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 152.71 | 0 | +$37 (+24.2%) | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?will usd hit iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325078 | Yes | 41.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 277.46 | 277.46 | +$161 (+138.9%) | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | No | 77.0¢ | 80.8¢ | 650.4 | 650.4 | +$24 (+4.9%) | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 82.0¢ | 94.0¢ | 1,120 | 1,120 | +$134 (+14.6%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?us announces blockade on iran byptptpt 20260622191049039 | No | 70.1¢ | 76.8¢ | 401.47 | 401.47 | +$27 (+9.6%) | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | Yes | 40.2¢ | 75.0¢ | 148.32 | 148.32 | +$52 (+86.5%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 65.2¢ | 91.5¢ | 221 | 221 | +$58 (+40.3%) | Jul 11, 2026 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?iran military action against a gulf state onptptpt 20260708212328295 | No | 59.1¢ | 94.0¢ | 68.09 | 68.09 | +$24 (+59.2%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 41.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 51.51 | 51.51 | +$30 (+143.5%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 83.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,690.22 | 2,690.22 | +$444 (+19.8%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?who will attend us iran signing ceremony 20260615232202457 | No | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 5 | 5 | +$3 (+203.0%) | Jul 8, 2026 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?iran successfully targets shipping onptptpt 20260625225210236 | No | 25.0¢ | 5.7¢ | 83.68 | 83.68 | -$16 (-77.2%) | Jul 7, 2026 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | No | 16.5¢ | 36.0¢ | 200 | 200 | +$39 (+118.2%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 8.6¢ | 9.5¢ | 4,609.2 | 4,609.2 | +$45 (+11.3%) | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30 | No | 55.0¢ | 99.7¢ | 999.99 | 999.99 | +$447 (+81.3%) | Jun 30, 2026 |