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@BeanC0unter
0x2200b75c27835935a40308779b5656c09ab40f2d
4.8
/ 10 · 90D
Narwhal
Class · est. size $429.5K
90-Day Window4.8 SIG
- Edge / share
- +2.7¢ · 96 resolved
- Hit rate
- 42.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $11.4K / $429.5K
- % return
- +2.8%
- Observations
- 139
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+41%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 5
+41%
Open positions marked to today’s prices — no markets settled this day.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 3,716.44 | 70.1¢ | 47.7¢ | $1,773 | -$832 (-31.9%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 1,427 | 34.4¢ | 26.8¢ | $382 | -$109 (-22.2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | Yes | 6,121.42 | 3.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $95 | -$95 (-50.0%) |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Yes | 3,350.75 | 6.8¢ | 2.4¢ | $80 | -$147 (-64.6%) |
| Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Yes | 1,019.35 | 17.0¢ | 4.7¢ | $48 | -$125 (-72.4%) |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1,560.41 | 12.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$187 (-99.2%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 34.4¢ | — | 1,427 | 0 | — | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?mo 01 democratic primary winner | No | 69.0¢ | — | 1,000 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 3.1¢ | — | 6,121.42 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 12.0¢ | 13.5¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2026 | Yes | — | 7.0¢ | 0 | 4,696.97 | — | Aug 2, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?israel x iran ceasefire continues throughptptpt 20260716224448963 | No | 29.9¢ | — | 21,000.66 | 0 | — | Aug 1, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 21.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 2,500 | 2,500 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 20.2¢ | 25.0¢ | 16,980.9 | 16,980.89 | +$816 (+23.6%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?will mitch mcconnell resign from the senate before his term ends | No | 50.8¢ | 62.4¢ | 4,657.75 | 4,657.75 | +$685 (+20.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?elon musk net worth on july 31 20260629141452413 | Yes | 1.0¢ | — | 9,107 | 0 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by July 31?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 20.4¢ | 14.6¢ | 10,001.81 | 5,207.87 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran full airspace closure by July 27?iran full airspace closure byptptpt 20260625195253028 | Yes | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 2,112.8 | 2,112.8 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Israel closes its airspace by July 31?israel closes its airspace by | Yes | 22.3¢ | — | 5,344.42 | 0 | — | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?south carolina republican senate special primary winner 20260712135206676 | Yes | 70.1¢ | — | 3,716.44 | 0 | — | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 53.9¢ | 56.7¢ | 11,889.11 | 9,454.54 | +$1,392 (+23.4%) | Jul 24, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 0 | +$2,569 (+33.7%) | Jul 23, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | Yes | 34.1¢ | 45.3¢ | 2,931.29 | 2,931.28 | — | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesmlb tex atl | Atlanta Braves | 21.0¢ | — | 3,500 | 0 | — | Jul 18, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?2026 july 1st 2nd 3rd hottest on record 20260706144334512 | Yes | 17.0¢ | — | 1,019.35 | 0 | — | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0.6¢ | 19,752.94 | 9,327.98 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | 15.6¢ | 19.3¢ | 18,995.75 | 18,995.77 | +$2,414 (+7.2%) | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Honor of Kings: Team WE vs WST (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group B AND LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A AND Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs AND Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs AND LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Yes | 6.4¢ | — | 149.12 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Honor of Kings: Team WE vs WST (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group B AND LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A AND Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs AND Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs AND LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Yes | 6.3¢ | — | 150.28 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Honor of Kings: Team WE vs WST (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group B AND LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A AND Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs AND Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs AND LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Yes | 5.0¢ | — | 191.63 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Honor of Kings: Team WE vs WST (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group B AND LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A AND Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs AND Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs AND LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Yes | 6.9¢ | — | 137.79 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Honor of Kings: Team WE vs WST (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group B AND LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A AND Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs AND LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Yes | 8.6¢ | — | 110.29 | 0 | — | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?world cup winner | Yes | — | 1.9¢ | 0 | 11,605.28 | — | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | Yes | 31.5¢ | 44.5¢ | 11,531.63 | 11,531.63 | +$1,502 (+41.4%) | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?nba lebron james next team | No | 41.4¢ | 98.0¢ | 3,275.58 | 3,275.58 | +$1,853 (+136.5%) | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 more markets | Under | 55.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,783.99 | 1,783.99 | +$803 (+81.8%) | Jun 20, 2026 | |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election2026 seoul mayoral election winner | No | 19.4¢ | 50.6¢ | 5,332.52 | 5,332.52 | +$1,664 (+161.1%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?billionaire one time wealth tax passes in california election 2026 | No | 79.2¢ | 88.1¢ | 9,018.11 | 9,018.11 | +$799 (+11.2%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 97.1¢ | 108.2¢ | 170,200.37 | 170,200.37 | +$18,781 (+11.4%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 93.2¢ | 98.6¢ | 19,893.57 | 19,893.57 | +$1,076 (+5.8%) | Jun 14, 2026 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 86.2¢ | 88.8¢ | 51,017.33 | 51,017.33 | +$1,355 (+3.1%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?la mayoral election who will advance to the 2nd round | No | 35.6¢ | 83.9¢ | 5,166 | 5,166 | +$2,496 (+135.7%) | Jun 9, 2026 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | Yes | 57.3¢ | 63.7¢ | 30,966.56 | 30,966.56 | +$1,984 (+11.2%) | Jun 8, 2026 | |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?daegu mayoral election winner | No | 13.5¢ | 43.4¢ | 2,427 | 2,427 | +$725 (+221.2%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?2026 gyeongsangnam province gubernatorial election winner | No | 40.5¢ | 94.0¢ | 3,472.64 | 3,472.64 | +$1,856 (+131.9%) | Jun 3, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 70.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,302.68 | 3,302.68 | +$971 (+41.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | No | 25.1¢ | 84.9¢ | 4,272.03 | 4,272.03 | +$2,551 (+237.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | Yes | 13.5¢ | 80.2¢ | 3,324.79 | 3,324.79 | +$2,218 (+494.5%) | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 1.7¢ | 4.3¢ | 155,152.33 | 155,152.33 | +$4,007 (+154.0%) | May 27, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 5.2¢ | 56.4¢ | 1,623.65 | 1,623.65 | +$831 (+975.6%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 7.7¢ | 62.1¢ | 5,800 | 5,800 | +$3,156 (+710.7%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 16.1¢ | 45.1¢ | 5,133 | 5,133 | +$1,487 (+180.0%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?iran ceasefire continues through | No | 12.2¢ | 62.5¢ | 2,700 | 2,700 | +$1,357 (+411.1%) | May 26, 2026 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?iran closes its airspace by | Yes | 40.7¢ | 60.5¢ | 3,857.64 | 3,857.64 | +$763 (+48.6%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?ky 04 republican primary winner | No | 57.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,571.99 | 1,571.99 | +$661 (+72.6%) | May 20, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 22.7¢ | 99.9¢ | 847.74 | 847.74 | +$655 (+340.7%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 20.4¢ | 99.9¢ | 849.99 | 849.99 | +$676 (+390.2%) | May 15, 2026 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?peru presidential election winner | No | 61.7¢ | 70.6¢ | 7,500.59 | 7,500.59 | +$670 (+14.5%) | Apr 15, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 24.4¢ | 29.3¢ | 41,576.08 | 41,576.08 | +$2,031 (+20.0%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 30.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 16,081.58 | 16,081.58 | +$4,660 (+96.6%) | Apr 8, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 5.4¢ | 66.9¢ | 6,521.44 | 6,521.44 | +$4,010 (+1128.9%) | Apr 7, 2026 | |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?who will win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections | No | 21.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,011.09 | 3,011.09 | +$2,359 (+361.9%) | Mar 10, 2026 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | Yes | 35.9¢ | 45.2¢ | 14,087.45 | 14,087.45 | +$1,305 (+25.8%) | Mar 1, 2026 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52 | No | 4.0¢ | 6.5¢ | 49,444 | 49,444 | +$1,254 (+64.1%) | Feb 25, 2026 | |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69 | No | 22.4¢ | 58.2¢ | 1,948.75 | 1,948.75 | +$699 (+160.4%) | Jan 11, 2026 | |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?will trump release epstein files by | Yes | 55.7¢ | 84.5¢ | 2,195.85 | 2,195.85 | +$632 (+51.7%) | Dec 19, 2025 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?time 2025 person of the year | No | 31.0¢ | 78.8¢ | 1,270.91 | 1,270.91 | +$608 (+154.3%) | Dec 10, 2025 | |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?honduras presidential election | No | 56.9¢ | 98.7¢ | 2,174.99 | 2,174.99 | +$909 (+73.4%) | Dec 4, 2025 | |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?ukraine agrees to us approved peace plan by thursday | Yes | 5.7¢ | 20.5¢ | 4,784.26 | 4,784.26 | +$709 (+261.0%) | Nov 25, 2025 | |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?when will trump sign the epstein disclosure bill into law | Yes | 10.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 800 | 800 | +$716 (+852.4%) | Nov 20, 2025 | |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?who will trump talk to in november | No | 22.2¢ | 68.2¢ | 1,312.91 | 1,312.91 | +$604 (+207.2%) | Nov 19, 2025 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12?what day will the government shutdown end | No | 6.9¢ | 38.4¢ | 4,750 | 4,750 | +$1,496 (+454.0%) | Nov 13, 2025 | |
| Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?vz quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2025 1pt17 | No | 27.8¢ | 84.3¢ | 2,705.6 | 2,705.6 | +$1,527 (+202.7%) | Oct 29, 2025 | |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?c quarterly earnings gaap eps 2025 10 14 1pt90 | No | 18.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,542.78 | 2,542.78 | +$2,083 (+452.5%) | Oct 14, 2025 | |
| Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?fast quarterly earnings gaap eps 2025 10 13 0pt30 | No | 14.6¢ | 99.6¢ | 1,934.25 | 1,934.25 | +$1,645 (+583.6%) | Oct 14, 2025 | |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?trump renames department of defense by september 30 | Yes | 30.1¢ | 92.3¢ | 4,453.76 | 4,453.76 | +$2,772 (+207.1%) | Sep 4, 2025 | |
| Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?what will powell say during his speech at jackson hole on august 22 | No | 24.3¢ | 85.3¢ | 1,445.19 | 1,445.19 | +$883 (+251.9%) | Aug 22, 2025 | |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?price of dozen eggs in may | Yes | 15.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 1,752.34 | 1,752.34 | +$1,483 (+549.8%) | Jun 11, 2025 |