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0x1d2f...acf8
0x1d2f783a56cbdbe00baf8fce01c0c867f47bacf8
6.0
/ 10 · 90D
Humpback
Class · est. size $4K
90-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +19.1¢ · 15 resolved
- Hit rate
- 53.8%
- Net P/L · Vol
- -$206.5 / $4K
- % return
- -5.2%
- Observations
- 39
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
0.0%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
No open positions on record.
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?how many fed rate cuts in 2026 | Yes | 88.7¢ | 85.2¢ | 1.13 | 1.12 | -$0 (-5.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?anthropic ipo by | Yes | 68.0¢ | 73.0¢ | 1.47 | 1.47 | +$0 (+4.8%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by june 30 | No | 71.0¢ | 82.0¢ | 1.41 | 1.4 | +$0 (+15.4%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will no listed leader be out before 2027?next leader out of power before 2027 no starmer or petro 20260630194619406 | Yes | 35.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 28.57 | 28.57 | -$1 (-8.6%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?venezuela leader end of 2026 | Yes | 82.7¢ | 82.3¢ | 12.09 | 12.08 | -$0 (-1.9%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?russia x ukraine peace talks byptptpt 20260609012540716 | No | 65.0¢ | 81.4¢ | 76.92 | 76.92 | +$13 (+25.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?will openais valuation hit by december 31 | Yes | 64.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 100 | 100 | -$2 (-3.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?will russia capture all of chasiv yar by | Yes | 73.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 100 | 100 | +$2 (+2.7%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 74.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 135.14 | 135.13 | +$34 (+33.8%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | Yes | 39.0¢ | 97.2¢ | 205.13 | 205.12 | +$119 (+149.2%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?nato x russia military clash in 2025 | No | 76.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 263.16 | 263.15 | +$3 (+1.3%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?anthropic ipo by | No | 85.7¢ | 89.0¢ | 300 | 300 | +$8 (+3.0%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?will ukraine recapture crimean territory by june 30 2026 | No | 90.0¢ | 93.0¢ | 555.56 | 555.55 | +$17 (+3.3%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?what will the bitcoin implied volatility index hit by august 31 2026 | Yes | 21.0¢ | 15.7¢ | 19.05 | 19.04 | -$1 (-33.5%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?what will the bitcoin implied volatility index hit by august 31 2026 | Yes | 53.0¢ | 28.5¢ | 40 | 40 | -$10 (-48.9%) | Aug 19, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?will anthropics valuation hit by december 31 | No | 29.0¢ | 7.1¢ | 100 | 100 | -$22 (-77.5%) | Aug 17, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?what price will wti hit in august 2026 | Yes | 56.0¢ | 92.0¢ | 57.86 | 57.85 | +$21 (+63.4%) | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?russia x ukraine peace talks byptptpt 20260609012540716 | Yes | 63.5¢ | 56.0¢ | 149.67 | 149.67 | -$11 (-11.8%) | Aug 11, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | No | 77.0¢ | 81.0¢ | 259.74 | 259.74 | +$10 (+5.2%) | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?iran leadership change by | No | 62.6¢ | 63.6¢ | 511.15 | 511.14 | +$5 (+1.6%) | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by September 30?iran leadership change by | Yes | 13.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 384.62 | 384.61 | -$27 (-53.9%) | Aug 10, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fed decision in september 762 | Yes | 45.0¢ | 39.5¢ | 222.22 | 222.22 | -$18 (-17.1%) | Aug 9, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?avgpt of ships transiting strait of hormuz end of august | Yes | 47.5¢ | 52.0¢ | 42.13 | 42.13 | — | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448 | No | 53.1¢ | 27.0¢ | 564.82 | 564.81 | -$147 (-49.2%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 89.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 110.11 | 110.11 | -$7 (-6.7%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 3.1¢ | 3.6¢ | 323.55 | 323.54 | +$2 (+17.2%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | No | 56.7¢ | 90.7¢ | 193.88 | 193.87 | +$66 (+59.9%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?us iran hormuz agreement byptptpt 20260803235957575 | No | 35.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 2.86 | 2.85 | +$1 (+68.9%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | No | 83.0¢ | 87.0¢ | 180.72 | 180.72 | +$7 (+4.8%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 18.0¢ | 17.0¢ | 5.56 | 5.55 | -$0 (-5.6%) | Aug 7, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0.8¢ | 338.39 | 338.38 | -$7 (-73.1%) | Aug 6, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260629155934230 | No | 24.3¢ | 66.0¢ | 824.64 | 58 | -$162 (-80.9%) | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 53.9¢ | 48.4¢ | 185.64 | 185.63 | -$10 (-10.2%) | Jul 26, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?next round of us iran peace talks byptptpt 20260623022722982 | No | 92.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 1.09 | 0 | +$0 (+8.7%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31?gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20 | 0 | +$1 (+5.1%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Iran leadership change by December 31?iran leadership change by | Yes | 24.0¢ | 23.0¢ | 318 | 318 | -$3 (-4.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?will russia capture kostyantynivka by | No | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 210.97 | 0 | +$11 (+5.5%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 71.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 280.44 | 0 | +$80 (+40.2%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 69.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 289.86 | 0 | -$200 (-100.0%) | Jul 25, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | No | 90.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 111.11 | 0 | +$11 (+11.1%) | Jul 22, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting byptptpt 20260629155934230 | No | 41.7¢ | 100.0¢ | 239.65 | 0 | +$140 (+139.7%) | Jul 15, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | Yes | 17.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 588.24 | 588.23 | -$18 (-17.7%) | Jul 10, 2026 |