◆ Contact Dossier
@Wickier
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
6.0
/ 10 · 90D
Beluga
Class · est. size $1M
90-Day Window6.0 SIG
- Edge / share
- +8.7¢ · 49 resolved
- Hit rate
- 42.4%
- Net P/L · Vol
- $570.4K / $1M
- % return
- +52.6%
- Observations
- 59
Dive Profile
Return · 90D
+40%
Hypothetical return if you’d copied every trade this wallet made starting from $100, staking 1% of your running balance on each — shown as % gain/loss vs that $100. Scrub the curve to read the markets that settled on any step in the Settlement Log below.
Settlement LogAug 1
1W · 0L1 market
MarketEntry → ExitReturn
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? · No95.0¢ → 100.0¢+5.2%
% return · $100 start · 1% per trade90-day trace
Current Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Entry | Current | Value | Unrealized P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | Yes | 218,605.91 | 3.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $3,170 | -$4,395 (-58.1%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 190,898.65 | 12.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $27,680 | +$3,818 (+16.0%) |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 152,665.95 | 76.0¢ | 96.4¢ | $147,094 | +$31,095 (+26.8%) |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 40,109.01 | 44.2¢ | 36.5¢ | $14,640 | -$3,078 (-17.4%) |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 5,995.63 | 76.3¢ | 88.0¢ | $5,276 | +$704 (+15.4%) |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 83.4 | 59.4¢ | 16.5¢ | $14 | -$36 (-72.2%) |
Trade History
| Market | Outcome | Avg Entry | Avg Exit | Bought | Sold | P/L | Last | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 44.2¢ | — | 40,109.01 | 0 | — | Aug 5, 2026 |
| ▸ | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 | No | — | 92.0¢ | 0 | 848.85 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 3.5¢ | — | 218,605.91 | 0 | — | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ▸ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | Yes | 12.5¢ | — | 190,898.65 | 0 | — | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 95.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 6,761.91 | 6,761.91 | +$337 (+5.2%) | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| ▸ | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?who will trump publicly insult by july 31 20260626210612709 | Yes | 71.9¢ | — | 25,569.89 | 0 | — | Jul 30, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 20.7¢ | 36.7¢ | 10,357.51 | 25,483.89 | +$5,037 (+87.9%) | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | No | 59.4¢ | 64.0¢ | 14,164.7 | 14,081.3 | — | Jul 29, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 77,500.47 | 77,500.46 | -$15,423 (-99.5%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0.1¢ | 77,500.47 | 77,500.46 | -$15,423 (-99.5%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0.4¢ | 77,500.47 | 77,500.46 | -$15,160 (-97.8%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | No | 91.1¢ | 98.1¢ | 4,587.16 | 4,587.16 | +$321 (+7.7%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | No | 73.0¢ | 77.6¢ | 22,598.37 | 0 | -$2,606 (-4.2%) | Jul 28, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?us announces halt in iran offensive operations byptptpt 20260718015003096 | Yes | 55.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 12,215.48 | 0 | +$15,586 (+95.7%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?fed decision in july 181 | Yes | 70.9¢ | 92.2¢ | 45,000 | 0 | +$90,483 (+63.2%) | Jul 27, 2026 |
| ▸ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?us announces end of iranian blockade byptptpt 20260713152715080 | Yes | 24.9¢ | 24.0¢ | 5,000 | 9,999.98 | — | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?us x iran effective ceasfire byptptpt 2 week pause 20260715194822042 | Yes | 19.8¢ | 52.1¢ | 13,294.97 | 13,294.97 | +$4,296 (+163.1%) | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?iran announces withdrawal from mou negotiations byptptpt 20260622191732319 | No | 76.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 2,275.66 | 2,275.66 | +$546 (+31.6%) | Jul 18, 2026 | |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 more markets | Over | 40.3¢ | 100.0¢ | 9,999.98 | 9,999.98 | +$5,975 (+148.4%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?world cup nation to reach final | Yes | 18.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 58,220.27 | 58,220.27 | +$21,568 (+206.3%) | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?us charges hormuz fees byptptpt 20260713151243232 | Yes | 6.0¢ | 1.9¢ | 47,785.69 | 47,785.69 | -$1,957 (-68.5%) | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)ufc max1 con | Max Holloway | 67.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 50,000 | 50,000 | +$16,200 (+47.9%) | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?fifwc prt esp | No | 99.9¢ | 100.0¢ | 150,000 | 150,000 | +$150 (+0.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancefifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 more markets | England | 51.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$9,800 (+96.1%) | Jul 6, 2026 | |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?fifwc mex eng | Yes | 38.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | -$100 (-2.6%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?fifwc bra nor | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 10,000 | 10,000 | +$8,000 (+400.0%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancefifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 more markets | Norway | 30.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$14,000 (+233.3%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?fifwc bra nor | No | 46.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 4,300 | 4,300 | +$2,322 (+117.4%) | Jul 5, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?will the iranian regime fall by june 30 | No | 63.2¢ | 95.8¢ | 69,951.72 | 69,951.72 | +$22,823 (+51.6%) | Jul 1, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 29.0¢ | 94.7¢ | 68,867.81 | 68,867.81 | +$45,238 (+226.5%) | Jun 19, 2026 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?us x iran permanent peace deal by | Yes | 13.3¢ | 94.5¢ | 661,124.75 | 661,124.75 | +$536,601 (+610.5%) | Jun 18, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | Yes | 21.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 53,869.62 | 53,869.62 | +$2,155 (+19.0%) | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?what iranian demands will trump agree to by june 30 | No | 73.0¢ | 80.0¢ | 2,207.89 | 2,207.89 | +$155 (+9.6%) | Jun 10, 2026 | |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?next manchester united manager | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 22,752.55 | 22,752.55 | +$49 (+0.2%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 17.8¢ | 99.9¢ | 27,877.89 | 27,877.89 | +$22,885 (+461.0%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 17.1¢ | 99.9¢ | 17,624.36 | 17,624.36 | +$14,591 (+483.7%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?what will trump say during bilateral events with xi jinping | No | 14.9¢ | 99.9¢ | 44,204.4 | 44,204.4 | +$37,585 (+571.7%) | May 22, 2026 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31 2026 | Yes | 36.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 31,315.36 | 31,315.36 | +$20,009 (+177.0%) | May 11, 2026 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?will the iranian regime fall by april 30 | No | 95.6¢ | 100.0¢ | 175,056.13 | 175,056.13 | +$7,724 (+4.6%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?us obtains iranian enriched uranium by | No | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | 17,995.63 | 17,995.63 | +$935 (+5.5%) | May 1, 2026 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?will the us invade iran before 2027 | No | 65.0¢ | 72.0¢ | 49,999.8 | 49,999.8 | +$3,500 (+10.8%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 2.9¢ | 63.3¢ | 343,458.77 | 343,458.77 | +$207,357 (+2083.7%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?iran x israelus conflict ends by | Yes | 8.1¢ | 75.0¢ | 395,479.86 | 395,479.86 | +$264,586 (+829.7%) | Apr 21, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?trump announces us x iran ceasefire by | No | 85.0¢ | 100.0¢ | 3,133.33 | 3,133.33 | +$470 (+17.6%) | Apr 16, 2026 | |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?the masters winner 2026 | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | 9,055.99 | 9,055.99 | -$353 (-100.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?the masters winner 2026 | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | 4,999.99 | 4,999.99 | -$135 (-100.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?trump announces us x iran ceasefire by | No | 91.4¢ | 100.0¢ | 20,000 | 20,000 | +$1,720 (+9.4%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?the masters winner 2026 | Yes | 70.0¢ | 35.0¢ | 21,222 | 21,222 | -$7,427 (-50.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?which countries will send warships through the strait of hormuz by april 30 | Yes | 95.1¢ | 100.0¢ | 14,271.47 | 14,271.47 | +$693 (+5.1%) | Apr 12, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 50.5¢ | 100.0¢ | 11,338.24 | 11,338.24 | +$5,611 (+98.0%) | Apr 11, 2026 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?israel strike on yemen by 593 | Yes | 42.0¢ | -0.0¢ | 9,748.72 | 9,748.72 | -$4,094 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 19.3¢ | 6.8¢ | 454,174.17 | 454,174.17 | -$57,103 (-65.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?military action against iran ends on 127 | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 555.97 | 555.97 | -$7 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | 513.28 | 513.28 | -$20 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office | Yes | 36.1¢ | 0.5¢ | 36,952.25 | 36,952.25 | -$13,132 (-98.5%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?us x iran ceasefire by | Yes | 11.3¢ | 0.0¢ | 504,573.1 | 504,573.1 | -$56,898 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 | |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?military action against iran ends on 127 | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | 9,500 | 9,500 | -$114 (-100.0%) | Apr 10, 2026 |